Retro POY '05-06 (Voting Complete)

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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#141 » by semi-sentient » Mon May 3, 2010 5:03 pm

mysticbb wrote:Well, I can read, too bad when someone is pointing out your logic here, isn't it? You are writing a whole paragraph about what Bryant could have done to the Mavs or Spurs.


No, you can't read. At all.

I answered a question about how the Lakers might fare had the '06/'09 rosters been swapped, and that had absolutely nothing to do with my ranking. It was imply a response to a hypothetical situation.

My ranking is based heavily on what Kobe did in the regular season and how he transformed his game in the playoffs to make it a highly competitive series. There isn't any question in my mind that Kobe could have averaged 50+ on the Suns if he wanted to, but they would have been swept (and exactly what the Suns had hoped for). At the end of the day, I wasn't going to punish him for a lack of teammates. He carried the team in the regular season and played great basketball in the playoffs, so there was nothing to knock him for.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#142 » by Tim_Hardawayy » Mon May 3, 2010 5:10 pm

semi-sentient wrote:
I'll retract my statement about Wade not having that same ability as that was a heat of the moment post, but I don't think he's as good as drawing fouls on the perimeter as Kobe.


No doubt, Wade is not Kobe's equal there, but its something they both have in their repertoire.

Disagree. Kobe draws more attention from defenses than Wade, and I think he's just as willing when he has competent teammates around him. Kobe has been to 6 NBA Finals, so I don't know how much more proof is needed that he's deadly in a team environment. The fact that he took a backseat to Shaq is a testament to that, and I don't think that should be overlooked just because he played like an idiot in 2004 which was clearly not the norm.


I have to ask if you watched Miami's first round series against Boston. When surrounded by poor teammates, both guys are equally harassed. The past 2 seasons, teams have routinely trapped Wade at halfcourt in the 4th quarter, refusing to even let him touch the ball at times. When he does have the ball, the entire defense is focused on Wade, and as soon as he enters the paint all 5 guys routinely are found looking in his direction.

That said, I'll agree Kobe has the capability to operate in a team setting (and has improved at it as his career has gone on), although I can't agree that Wade isn't more adept at knowing when to score and when to pass. If anything, this has been Kobe's primary criticism for his whole career, he is great at virtually everything else.

You're putting too much emphasis on shooting percentages. That's just a part of the overall equation. The Lakers lost those games because Jameer went nuts, not because Kobe shot poorly. The Lakers have won plenty of games where Kobe shoots <45% because he makes up for it in other areas, so I don't think shooting percentages should be singled out.



The Lakers won with their defense. Compare how Orlando fared against both the Cavs and Lakers and you'll see that that is clearly the difference.


Fair enough on both points, I just don't like the implication that what Wade did is replicable by Kobe or anyone. Players are judged on accomplishments, not potential.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#143 » by mysticbb » Mon May 3, 2010 5:12 pm

semi-sentient wrote:At the end of the day, I wasn't going to punish him for a lack of teammates. He carried the team in the regular season and played great basketball in the playoffs, so there was nothing to knock him for.


Ok, that is fine. Nobody should get punished for his teammates. And I agree with you about Bryant playing great in the regular season. I just don't think that Bryant played really that good in the Suns series, even though it was seen that the game plan wasn't "Bryant beats the Suns by himself".
I know you might dismiss it, but that is also seen in his OnCourt/OffCourt numbers. The Lakers were +4.7 without him on the court, while they were -9.5 with him on the court. Especially the defense wasn't any good with him on the court. 115.1 DRtg doesn't imply a great impact on the defensive end. And I know that those numbers are largely effected by the small sample size, and especially that sequenz in which the bench players alone made that huge run for the Lakers (not quite sure which game it was, probably 2nd or 4th) has a huge impact on those numbers. But that also showed that it wasn't just Bryant playing according to the game plan and helping his team winning, but also his teammates showed up in those 3 wins.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#144 » by drza » Mon May 3, 2010 5:14 pm

Dr Mufasa wrote:On the topic of KG, that team sucked because they ranked 28th offensively (10th defensively). Is it partly his fault they weren't better... actually, yes it is. A guy like Lebron is so valuable offensively because he creates points at the rim and from the 3point line the whole game. Garnett doesn't particularly do either. I can't consider a guy who leads his team to 28th offensively to be superior to the Nash, Duncan, Kobe's of that year... no way


I'm late to this thread and wanted to read through the whole thing before responding, but I'm answering this in real-time in case I happen to forget. One under-considered (never considered?) aspect of Garnett's '05-'07 seasons is that in that 3 year span, the Wolves:

*Had 4 different head coaches, each with different philosophies
*Had at least 6 different starting point guards
*Had at least four different nominal "second options"

You reference the team offensive rating, but it has to be noted that '06 was the beginning of the Dwane Casey/Randy Witttman philosophy of playing KG more off the ball. For instance, KG in '03 and '05 led the Wolves to top-6 offenses with guard play that was about as weak as is possible. But those offenses ran more through KG, he was the main initiator, the one that often made the decisions and got everyone else involved.

In '06, under Casey, the plan was to make KG more of a finisher with the guards doing more of the initiating. You can see the results in KG posting the highest true shooting percentage in his career, but for the reasons you point out I believe it was to the team's detriment because it essentially took away the best facilitator on the team where the other options were extremely weak.

People here aren't interested in excuses, and I'm not interested in giving them in an attempt to draw votes. I honestly didn't expect KG to get many in '06 or '07, and I'm cool with that. But there are very legit and tangible reasons for why the team was so bad, despite him playing in his window as arguably the best player in the world.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#145 » by Silver Bullet » Mon May 3, 2010 5:24 pm

There is absolutely no argument for KG being the best player in the World at any point.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#146 » by drza » Mon May 3, 2010 5:28 pm

Silver Bullet wrote:There is absolutely no argument for KG being the best player in the World at any point.


Indeed. I'm glad you cleared that up for me.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#147 » by sp6r=underrated » Mon May 3, 2010 5:28 pm

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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#148 » by Sedale Threatt » Mon May 3, 2010 5:51 pm

OK, I've read a lot of good arguments here. Going to go ahead and vote and get it over with:

1. Wade. Had a great season to begin with, but what he did in the playoffs, especially the Finals, puts him over the top. Pretty easily in my opinion.

The next three spots were really, really tough. I think you can make a great case for any of these players. In the end, I went with:

2. Kobe. Probably the best season of his career from a purely statistical standpoint. Yeah, he chucked. But he had to. Plus, 35 points per game is 35 points per game.

3. Nowitzki. Just a fantastic season across the board. Had some pretty low moments while the Finals were slipping away, but not enough to earn the "choker" label he's been branded with.

4. Nash. Very, very impressed with what he did that season, leading a pretty average team to the WCF. No glaring reason why he's fourth; I just liked the other two better.

5. LeBron. Could have very easily picked Garnett here. They were sort of tied here, with no massive difference other than the fact that one team won and the other didn't. So...

Didn't seriously consider Duncan. With his injury, this was probably his worst season of the decade. And I use that word very, very loosely. But, by his massively high standards, not up to par barring the great series against Dallas.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#149 » by drza » Mon May 3, 2010 6:14 pm

Again, since I'm late to the party, I'm just now really getting into the topic while others are finalizing their votes. Nevertheless, here are some of my initial thoughts:

*My first set of finalists: Kobe, LeBron, Nash, Dirk, Wade, KG, maybe Duncan. I always leave the door open to add people, but for now that's where I'm beginning my analysis.

*Kobe: this was the season that really solidified a lot of people going with him as the best player in the world. I never really agreed with that valuation, and I know I've looked at his '06 season before when compared with other great solo missions of the last decade, but I've never really compared it in depth to his contemporaries. I'm interested to see how it plays out for me.

*LeBron: a quick look through the different advanced stats that I favor shows LeBron measuring out as good or better than Kobe across most of them. As I really re-immerse myself in that seasons memories, I wonder if those numbers will support my memories of their relative valuation. Right now I think they do, but I want to look more into it.

* This was Nash's second straight MVP, and there were some very impressive aspects to his season. As a disclaimer, though, my feelings about Nash's MVPs have always fallen more in line with what I've read from folks like ElGee so I'm not sure where I'll end up with him.

* Dirk and Wade are both definitely going to figure prominently in my final rankings for this year, and their postseason performances will be heavily weighted though both were also exceedingly strong regular season performers as well.

*This was a bit of a transition year for Garnett, and I'm not sure how it's going to end up for me. From 03-05 KG was in the midst of a span of ridiculous statistical achievement. By '07 and '08 he was starting to lose his fastball a bit and tailoring his game more towards making impacts in different ways. '06 is right in the middle, where he was still at physical peak but was already on his 3rd coach, 3rd point guard, and 3rd "2nd option" of a year span and he was being asked to play in a different way.

*Duncan...I know he was hurt and didn't maximize in the regular season, but he still has to be at least considered/evaluated as I go through the season.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#150 » by shawngoat23 » Mon May 3, 2010 7:20 pm

1. Dwyane Wade
2. Dirk Nowitzki
3. LeBron James
4. Kobe Bryant

Lots of ways to go for #5. I think I'll go with Steve Nash over Kevin Garnett and Chauncey Billups.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#151 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 3, 2010 8:35 pm

So I guess I'll give my current thoughts on this years, which is one of the toughest ones in history for me to evaluate:

Wade's my #1. Totally understand if you feel otherwise based on either 1) considering his FTs illegitimate or 2) you really think Kobe's superhuman this year. For myself, I had Wade right in the think of my MVP rankings during this regular season, and thought he took it to the next level in the playoffs. For perspective, Wade's playoff stats were about as good as Kobe's ever done in the playoffs (better PER than Kobe's playoff peak) - and he became better with each subsequent series. This is a guy who just has the capability to push through when the going gets tough.

Re: What about Shaq? Hey Shaq helped. They don't win the title without Shaq, but it's not just about winning the title or not. And however the Heat got to the finals, once they were there, Wade was an absolute force of nature on the biggest stage.

My 2-5 are LeBron, Kobe, Dirk, and Nash in some order. I have a really tough time picking between them. I've gone back & forth for years, and I doubt I'll be satisfied with whatever order I choose this time around.

Duncan doesn't make the cut. It's tough because the way he was playing in the playoffs, seemed like his old self, and I consider his peak to be greater than any of the players this season. This is where how much you weight playoff play is huge. Had the Spurs won the title with Duncan playing the way he had, he'd be my #1. As it stands though, Duncan's improved play over a baker's dozen of games is only part of the Spurs disappointing in the playoffs, and it does not come anywhere close to erasing the 82 game season the preceded it - during which, Duncan really was not playing like his normal self. And know this wasn't just an offensive issue. The plantar fasciitis definitely affected his defense too.

Garnett doesn't make the cut. I'll give him a shout out in my honorable mentions but that's all. It's all well and good to say "but his terrible supporting cast", but this is a guy who was carrying a lightly regarded supporting cast to 50 wins for years before Spree and Cassell came to town. Garnett was still a great player, but his impact did go down when the team fell toward 30 wins.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#152 » by ElGee » Mon May 3, 2010 9:56 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:So I guess I'll give my current thoughts on this years, which is one of the toughest ones in history for me to evaluate:

Wade's my #1. Totally understand if you feel otherwise based on either 1) considering his FTs illegitimate or 2) you really think Kobe's superhuman this year. For myself, I had Wade right in the think of my MVP rankings during this regular season, and thought he took it to the next level in the playoffs. For perspective, Wade's playoff stats were about as good as Kobe's ever done in the playoffs (better PER than Kobe's playoff peak) - and he became better with each subsequent series. This is a guy who just has the capability to push through when the going gets tough.

Re: What about Shaq? Hey Shaq helped. They don't win the title without Shaq, but it's not just about winning the title or not. And however the Heat got to the finals, once they were there, Wade was an absolute force of nature on the biggest stage.

My 2-5 are LeBron, Kobe, Dirk, and Nash in some order. I have a really tough time picking between them. I've gone back & forth for years, and I doubt I'll be satisfied with whatever order I choose this time around.

Duncan doesn't make the cut. It's tough because the way he was playing in the playoffs, seemed like his old self, and I consider his peak to be greater than any of the players this season. This is where how much you weight playoff play is huge. Had the Spurs won the title with Duncan playing the way he had, he'd be my #1. As it stands though, Duncan's improved play over a baker's dozen of games is only part of the Spurs disappointing in the playoffs, and it does not come anywhere close to erasing the 82 game season the preceded it - during which, Duncan really was not playing like his normal self. And know this wasn't just an offensive issue. The plantar fasciitis definitely affected his defense too.

Garnett doesn't make the cut. I'll give him a shout out in my honorable mentions but that's all. It's all well and good to say "but his terrible supporting cast", but this is a guy who was carrying a lightly regarded supporting cast to 50 wins for years before Spree and Cassell came to town. Garnett was still a great player, but his impact did go down when the team fell toward 30 wins.


(1) People seem to be treating Duncan with an all-or-nothing approach. As in, he was still great in the playoffs, so I'd want Duncan over just about everyone. Or, he had a subpar regular season, so nothing can make up for those 82 games.

I'm wondering about balancing those concepts though. His regular season wasn't really "bad," just subpar. He anchored a top defense and was still a good offensive option. Furthermore, Duncan has a history of taking fewer shots in the regular season and spiking some of his scoring numbers in the playoffs because of it.

To me, the conundrum is how to watch Game 7 of the Mavs series (de facto WCF) and not consider Duncan one of the best player's in the world.

He had 26 points in 15 rebounds in that game 7...In the second half.

(2) KG in 06 probably wasn't the KG in 03 and 04. That said, I think you're being unfair with regards to the supporting cast. To me, even with posters who are not slaves to team success, this is where team and individual performance become convoluted. All weak casts aren't equally bad.

KG's team in 03: (>1000 MP)
Hudson
Rasho
Peeler
Gill (34 years old)
Wally
Trent
Joe Smith
Marc Jackson (C)

51 wins. Pre-injury Wally was a good offensive option. 42% from downtown. Joe Smith provided solid minutes - he worked that jumper well if I recall. Hudson was sort of an explosive combo guard. The rest are big bodies. KG played at a ridiculous level then - defensively, 13.5 rebounds, 40 minutes a night, 6 assists, etc. 51 wins is impressive. But even great ones need serviceable parts.

KG's team in 06: (>1000 MP)
Trenton Hassell
Marko Jaric
Wally (40 games)
Ricky Davis (36 games)
McCants
Eddie Griffin
Marcus Banks
Mark Blount

Already there's a coaching downgrade to Dwane Casey. The ORtg plummets to 28th. Injuries are a serious issue. And the peripheral and role players are atrocious. No winning team has ever played Ricky Davis more than 600 minutes. He's a cancer. He has a very poor concept of basketball on both ends of the court. After that, how do the parts fit? Who's providing balance with shooting, penetration, offensive orchestration? Certainly not Marcus Banks -- he's barely an NBA player. McCants was a rookie who is also barely an NBA players. These issues are huge.

Basically, the 2003 team had parts, players and a coach. The 2006 team is a mess on all three fronts. This leads me to...

(3) Kobe Bryant. I've said before I see little difference in his ability between 06 and 07. Perhaps he provided a little more value in 06 (as most advanced metrics would indicate), but I'm not sure it's enough to jump levels. Some people seem to carry this mystical conception about 06 because of the 81 points or raw ppg. I don't see much evidence his scoring ability changed at all. He did take more shots in 2006...

But I wanted to address parts, players and the coach on the Lakers.

Coach: Phil Jackson and the triangle are about as proven as relativity, so I don't need to say much about that.

Parts: Let's focus on offense because that was the strength of the Lakers team.

Smush Parker, who also had a poor understanding of basketball, at the least was a decent shooter. Vujacic could always shoot and surrounding Bryant with shooters works well. My recollection is Sasha provided a big boost at times off the bench, and in wins he shot nearly 40% from downtown in 2006, just 28% in losses. Cook could shoot - it was just about the only thing he could do - and he loved that 18 foot pop shot and had range out to 3. Within the triangle, Walton has always facilitated offense well, and in that sense he's a decent part. He's still providing value on the championship Pau teams, defending bigger forwards (pre-Artest) and improving offensive flow on the court. FInally, Odom could create offense for others and at times was a matchup nightmare. The two playoffs games I've rewatched he created about as much offense as Bryant and drew significantly more fouls attacking.

Now, as players I don't think I need to elaborate further. Vujacic is a defensive sieve. Kwame Brown, well, he could rebound and block an occasional shot but he's still Kwame Brown (ie terrible). But Odom constantly gets overlooked as a No. 2 option (probably because you can't win a title with him as a No. 2). He's a very good help defender on defense and a fantastic rebounder. Through the first 6 games of the Phoenix series, with a favorable matchup, LO averaged 20.3 points, 12.0 rebounds and 5.3 assists. He took nearly 3 shots more per game, as Kobe limited shots, and the results were impressive.

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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#153 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 3, 2010 10:05 pm

ElGee wrote:I'm wondering about balancing those concepts though. His regular season wasn't really "bad," just subpar.


It probably does sound like I'm totally ignoring the post-season in my finals judgement, but I'm all for weighing the post-season as well. It's just that Duncan can improve his standing with the post-season, and still not necessarily improve his ranking imho. As I mentioned, I consider 2-5 so damn close and I don't even know how to separate them, so it's not a matter of #7 in the regular season plus #1 in the post season = #4 overall, y'know?
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#154 » by ronnymac2 » Mon May 3, 2010 10:06 pm

Okay, I'm going to start at 4 and 5.

Nash vs. Dirk vs. KG vs. LBJ.

I'm putting James over Nash and Dirk. I think he's a better player at this point than either. And to be perfectly honest...I think Kevin Garnett is as well. The only thing that makes me think is that Dirk had a great playoff run and got his team to the finals. I actually think he performed all right in the finals, too. Not amazing, but he didn't choke. LBJ's team did better than KG and LBJ put up some amazing stats, so unfortunately for KG, it is he who has to battle Dirk for the fifth spot. Can't take LBJ away. I think James is actually close to Wade and Bryant at this point. Like right there. It's just that Kobe in 06 has more experience and did historical things, and Wade went ballistic in the finals.

Dirk vs. KG....do I think Garnett could have made the finals with something similar to what Dirk had? Again....I just don't see 06 KG as that much worse than 04 KG that he can't make an 04 or 08 KG type of impact. I put stock in team success, but I'm going to make it a point to not totally screw over players who had an awful supporting cast. I'm taking KG.

Now, the big one....Duncan vs. Wade vs. Bryant. In all honesty...I think Wade the player is underrated in 06. The separation is not THAT big between Wade in 09 and Wade in 06. Seeing as how i think Wade and Bryant are equals at their peak (I'd prefer Wade because I like his style more), Bryant gets a slight edge as a player there. Very slight when you consider that, again, I prefer Wade's style.

Then Wade does what he does against DET and DAL. I can't ignore that. I can't. I went in here thinking I was going to rectify generally underrating Kobe's peak by voting him first over Wade, but I don't think I can. I want to, but I can't. I love how Kobe played in those 06 playoffs. That's actually my favorite Laker team outside of 2000 and 2008. I thoroughly enjoyed watching that series with Phoenix. Bryant played amazing in it- the finest basketball I have ever seen him play.

But bringing your team back from 12 down with 6 minutes left, with the season on the line....he tipped away the alley to howard.....he grabbed big rebounds....he made sure Miami won game 4 right away....he was sensational in the clutch in game5......he was all over the place in game 6.....Can a player perform better than that?

Maybe Wade is lucky that he and his team struggled the first two games in Dallas.....


I'm going to reward Bryant and Wade for their playoff runs. They basically played great the whole season when Timmy struggled a bit. Tim was fantastic in the playoffs, and if somebody rates Duncan over either of the two wings, I'd have no problem with it, but I'm going with Kobe and Wade over Duncan.

Final ranking:

Dwyane Wade
Kobe Bryant
Tim Duncan
Lebron James
Kevin Garnett
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#155 » by ElGee » Mon May 3, 2010 10:32 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
ElGee wrote:I'm wondering about balancing those concepts though. His regular season wasn't really "bad," just subpar.


It probably does sound like I'm totally ignoring the post-season in my finals judgement, but I'm all for weighing the post-season as well. It's just that Duncan can improve his standing with the post-season, and still not necessarily improve his ranking imho. As I mentioned, I consider 2-5 so damn close and I don't even know how to separate them, so it's not a matter of #7 in the regular season plus #1 in the post season = #4 overall, y'know?


Right, I have the same issue. It's less of "weighing" and just saying "how much does he help x team that year?" If his regular season is solid but injury plagued and they get you to the playoffs in solid standing and then he's better than every other big, don't you want him ahead of just about everyone? Doesn't he give you a great chance of winning?

The flip side is that players who are healthy for 70 games and then blow out a knee in March essentially cannot have value in getting you a championship.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#156 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 3, 2010 10:47 pm

ElGee wrote:Right, I have the same issue. It's less of "weighing" and just saying "how much does he help x team that year?" If his regular season is solid but injury plagued and they get you to the playoffs in solid standing and then he's better than every other big, don't you want him ahead of just about everyone? Doesn't he give you a great chance of winning?

The flip side is that players who are healthy for 70 games and then blow out a knee in March essentially cannot have value in getting you a championship.


Yeah comes down to fundamentals about how you approach this thing. I agree with you that it's about how much you helped your team.

In the case of a guy taking over the post-season and winning a title, I let a lot of regular season stuff slide. After all, if you can win a title from whatever seed you had, then obviously the regular season didn't hurt you much. So as long as I'm really confident that that guy was the best when it counted, I'll go with him #1.

For Duncan in 2006 though, they didn't win it all, even got upset. So I weight things more linearly. If a guy helped his team X much on average for the first 82 games, and then helped them Y much over the next 13, my end judgement for how much he helped his team is going to be a lot closer to X than Y.

This might seem inconsistent to some, but the alternatives to me are just untenable. If I were to rate Duncan based primarily on his post-season over 2 series, than why not rate players just off of 1 series, and before you know it I'm rating Hakeem at #1 in '88 because he went for 37 & 16 in a first round?
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#157 » by ElGee » Mon May 3, 2010 10:58 pm

ronnymac2 wrote:Okay, I'm going to start at 4 and 5.

Nash vs. Dirk vs. KG vs. LBJ.

I'm putting James over Nash and Dirk. I think he's a better player at this point than either. And to be perfectly honest...I think Kevin Garnett is as well. The only thing that makes me think is that Dirk had a great playoff run and got his team to the finals. I actually think he performed all right in the finals, too. Not amazing, but he didn't choke. LBJ's team did better than KG and LBJ put up some amazing stats, so unfortunately for KG, it is he who has to battle Dirk for the fifth spot. Can't take LBJ away. I think James is actually close to Wade and Bryant at this point. Like right there. It's just that Kobe in 06 has more experience and did historical things, and Wade went ballistic in the finals.

Dirk vs. KG....do I think Garnett could have made the finals with something similar to what Dirk had? Again....I just don't see 06 KG as that much worse than 04 KG that he can't make an 04 or 08 KG type of impact. I put stock in team success, but I'm going to make it a point to not totally screw over players who had an awful supporting cast. I'm taking KG.

Now, the big one....Duncan vs. Wade vs. Bryant. In all honesty...I think Wade the player is underrated in 06. The separation is not THAT big between Wade in 09 and Wade in 06. Seeing as how i think Wade and Bryant are equals at their peak (I'd prefer Wade because I like his style more), Bryant gets a slight edge as a player there. Very slight when you consider that, again, I prefer Wade's style.

Then Wade does what he does against DET and DAL. I can't ignore that. I can't. I went in here thinking I was going to rectify generally underrating Kobe's peak by voting him first over Wade, but I don't think I can. I want to, but I can't. I love how Kobe played in those 06 playoffs. That's actually my favorite Laker team outside of 2000 and 2008. I thoroughly enjoyed watching that series with Phoenix. Bryant played amazing in it- the finest basketball I have ever seen him play.

But bringing your team back from 12 down with 6 minutes left, with the season on the line....he tipped away the alley to howard.....he grabbed big rebounds....he made sure Miami won game 4 right away....he was sensational in the clutch in game5......he was all over the place in game 6.....Can a player perform better than that?

Maybe Wade is lucky that he and his team struggled the first two games in Dallas.....


I'm going to reward Bryant and Wade for their playoff runs. They basically played great the whole season when Timmy struggled a bit. Tim was fantastic in the playoffs, and if somebody rates Duncan over either of the two wings, I'd have no problem with it, but I'm going with Kobe and Wade over Duncan.

Final ranking:

Dwyane Wade
Kobe Bryant
Tim Duncan
Lebron James
Kevin Garnett


Ronny - I'm with you on a lot of your thought process, not necessarily the conclusions. Do you see Kobe's postseason as how he could have played all year, how he was capable of playing when necessary, or as a culmination of a great season?

I also feel like James is being vastly underrated this year. I remember thinking he was right behind Wade in the regular season...and I think he played better against the Pistons (way better in 2006) than in 2007, which is lost in the 25 points in a row...
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#158 » by ElGee » Mon May 3, 2010 11:11 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
ElGee wrote:Right, I have the same issue. It's less of "weighing" and just saying "how much does he help x team that year?" If his regular season is solid but injury plagued and they get you to the playoffs in solid standing and then he's better than every other big, don't you want him ahead of just about everyone? Doesn't he give you a great chance of winning?

The flip side is that players who are healthy for 70 games and then blow out a knee in March essentially cannot have value in getting you a championship.


Yeah comes down to fundamentals about how you approach this thing. I agree with you that it's about how much you helped your team.

In the case of a guy taking over the post-season and winning a title, I let a lot of regular season stuff slide. After all, if you can win a title from whatever seed you had, then obviously the regular season didn't hurt you much. So as long as I'm really confident that that guy was the best when it counted, I'll go with him #1.

For Duncan in 2006 though, they didn't win it all, even got upset. So I weight things more linearly. If a guy helped his team X much on average for the first 82 games, and then helped them Y much over the next 13, my end judgement for how much he helped his team is going to be a lot closer to X than Y.

This might seem inconsistent to some, but the alternatives to me are just untenable. If I were to rate Duncan based primarily on his post-season over 2 series, than why not rate players just off of 1 series, and before you know it I'm rating Hakeem at #1 in '88 because he went for 37 & 16 in a first round?


Hmmm...I undertand the slope you're afraid to go down, but it doesn't ever have to really be like that, does it?

If Hakeem in 1987 established himself as someone you thought was clearly #1 in the league, then had an injury plagued season and came to life in 88 and went 37-16, wouldn't you want him over everyone? I don't think they're the same thing. Duncan 06 is closer to Hakeem in 95 in this sense. I see Hakeem's postseason in 95 as "I still own this league" versus a lesser established just playing OK in the regular season and having a good series or two. We can't ignore other seasons when evaluating a player...
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#159 » by mysticbb » Mon May 3, 2010 11:29 pm

ronnymac2 wrote:I'm going to reward Bryant and Wade for their playoff runs.


We are talking about 2006. You know, that year when the Lakers had a 3-1 lead over the Suns and lost that first round series in 7. Duncan played much better in the playoffs than Bryant. I would love to hear the argument why Bryant should get a reward for his playoff run and Duncan not.
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Re: Retro POY '05-06 (ends Wed. morning PST) 

Post#160 » by Doctor MJ » Mon May 3, 2010 11:40 pm

ElGee wrote:Hmmm...I undertand the slope you're afraid to go down, but it doesn't ever have to really be like that, does it?

If Hakeem in 1987 established himself as someone you thought was clearly #1 in the league, then had an injury plagued season and came to life in 88 and went 37-16, wouldn't you want him over everyone? I don't think they're the same thing. Duncan 06 is closer to Hakeem in 95 in this sense. I see Hakeem's postseason in 95 as "I still own this league" versus a lesser established just playing OK in the regular season and having a good series or two. We can't ignore other seasons when evaluating a player...


It's a fair point, but on the other hand, I am trying to stay focused on the year at hand and what total value the player actually contributed that year. Will be keep thinking on this.
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