Retro POY '89-90 (Voting Complete)

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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#61 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Jun 16, 2010 12:38 am

TrueLAfan wrote:1. Magic Johnson. The Lakers won 63 games, and the team was full of holes. It may have been Worthy's best year. Buy Byron regressed, and was pretty average (especially without Magic). A.C. Green was slightly above average. Vlade was good, but a rookie; he and Mychal Thompson (a below average C and player in 1990) combined to give the Lakers an average starting C. Wooldridge was, literally, th e only decent bench player; behind him the bench was next to non-existant. Without Magic, that is not a good team. Put an average PG on there, and they have Worthy and four average starters and a below average bench. That's a 38 to 45 win team. They won 63. Put it this way; I agree that David Robinson had a good year. Compare the rest of the Spurs to the Lakers—Terry Cummings, Mo Cheeks/Rod Strickland at PG. Willie Anderson was good--better than Byron, IMO, in 1990. Sean Elliot, David Wingate, Sean Elliot and Frank Brickowski on the bench. I'd take the Spurs without Drob six days a week and twice on Sunday over the Lakers without Magic. The Lakers won 7 more games in the RS. Magic wasn't just better than Drob, he was much better. Sure, the Lakers weaknesses got exposed in the playoffs...but can you really blame it on the guy who averaged 25-6-13 on 49% shooting in the postseason?
2. Michael Jordan. Won it all. Had a good, young team with him. He was great. I have nothing bad to say. But I don't think he was as valuable as Magic.


Finding myself debating on this. I guess the main thing I'd like to hear more on is Jordan at this stage in his career. Statistically, he was as good as he ever got, do people think this was not Jordan right near his peak? If so, why not?
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#62 » by semi-sentient » Wed Jun 16, 2010 12:59 am

I wanted to go with Magic, but damn, there's nothing I can really knock MJ for to justify not having him 1st. Magic was awesome, but Jordan was just a little awesomer.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#63 » by ronnymac2 » Wed Jun 16, 2010 4:30 am

Dr Mufasa wrote:I've heard some people compare where Duncan is right now to post injury Bird. Top 7-10 player probably, can still lead a 50 win team, but no longer a dominant guy or in the conversation for top 5 really, the younger talent is just too good. Still though he probably could've made it in a weaker year like 97 when a past his prime Hakeem, Hill, and Pippen were the 3-5. Funny that Hakeem got major 3rd place votes for 97 and will get next to nothing for 90 when he was clearly the better player... I guess that's how it works


I'm not sure about 1990 Bird being 2010 Duncan. I think Bird is able to produce a lot more at this point. Maybe 2007 Duncan though.

I don't know. Everything I see indicates to me that Larry clearly isn't the same Larry Bird. His stats went down, his defense apparently went down, and people at the time didn't think he was at his old level. I have to think this is latter-prime Bird, at best. That's still **** sick though.


Let me look at other's first. Mike and Magic are top two. Charles has to be on my list. I really don't like his supporting cast too much. Hersey Hawkins put up good numbers, but he won't kill anybody, especially going up against Jordan and Pippen on the wings.

Let's see....Isiah, Drexler, Olajuwon, Robinson, Ewing, Malone. Absolutely not to Pippen (migraine seals the deal) and Stockton. Stockton definitely couldn't do what Isiah did this year. I'm not even saying Thomas is making my list, but....just **** no to Stockton.

I'm liking Clyde right now. He was beastly in the finals, though his game 5 wasn't too hot. Still, he played against a great defense that defended even Jordan pretty tough.

Isiah was pretty damn good in the finals, too. I don't see how people are blasting Isiah for not being part of the main components of Detroit's success- defense and rebounding. That's bs imo. If a team has defense and rebounding, they still need scoring. Isiah, as always, raised his game in the playoffs and provided a guy who would take the big shots, take being the hero, and take the falls for his team offensively. He drove their admittedly well-balanced offense. That's still extremely important. "Defense and rebounding wins championships" only works when you can score yourself. It should be "defense, rebounding, and offense wins championships."

Robinson was phenomenal as a rookie. All-time great for a rookie. But....I don't really like rookies. I couldn't put Duncan in in 98, and I laughed at the insinuation that Shaq deserved even an honorable mention in 93, so....sorry David. This is a really strong year. I'll give him an HM though. He had an amazing rookie season.

I'm not feeling Malone this year. I'm seeing insane scoring stats, but he definitely wasn't a better offensive player now than in later years. Look at the turnovers and passing. I'm iffy on that. I always laud Malone for his passing. I mean, Amare can give me Malone's scoring production more or less. But Malone's passing allows him to be an all-time great offensive anchor imo. I'm not even sure he was a better scorer this year than in other years. Him scoring more points is misleading...that's just my opinion though.

Hakeem had what is statistically the greatest defensive season in NBA history as long as the stats could be taken down. All I know about his playoffs is that he blocked 10 shots in a game and averaged 6 with over 2 steals per game. He also averaged 24 per game on 50% shooting during the season. He was slowed down in the playoffs offensively. I wish I had individual game boxscores here to see if it was just one horrible game like Ewing/Shaq/Robinson in recent years. I have to dock him a bit for that.

Wow. Welcome to the show Mr. Ewing.

Of course, the one edge I thought Magic would have on Jordan- 3-point shooting- is insignifcant, as Jordan shot well from 3 this year. Making this even more difficult. I'm tempted to just put MJ and MJ in the first two slots and letting DoctorMJ make the call regarding his patients.


Bye-bye to Isiah and Drexler. Barkley and Ewing are in. Robinson is out. Malone vs. Hakeem goes to Hakeem. Where is Birdman? Where would something better than 07 Duncan rank? Around Dream level. Soooo.....I'll go with Hakeem. Wins more tiebreakers.

Barkley narrowly beats Ewing. Very close. Very, very close.

Final Vote:

MJ (Michael Jordan)
MJ (Magic Johnson)
Charles Barkley
Patrick Ewing
Hakeem Olajuwon

Honorable Mentions: Larry Bird, David Robinson, Karl Malone, Clyde Drexler, Isiah Thomas.

This was an amazing year.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#64 » by lorak » Wed Jun 16, 2010 8:39 am

1. MJ
2. Magic
3. Barkley
4. Ewing
5. Robinson
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#65 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 9:21 am

shawngoat23 wrote:I'm going to give Patrick Ewing and Karl Malone some nods as probably the next two best players this year, but I'm going to put Isiah Thomas at #4, which I'm sure will be a point of contention to a lot of judges this season.


I don't exactly understand the nature of this choice.

Malone and Ewing are better, but since Isiah was THE face on a championship team he ranks ahead of them.

Doesn't that run counter to the idea of this project? It seems too team-oriented a definition, particularly when you have a team as deep, multi-talented and defensively-defined as Detroit (would anybody say that Isiah was a lockdown, great or even very good defender?).

Thomas wasn't even a top 3 PG this year, let alone a top 5 player, period.

Stockton was putting up 17, nearly 15 and about 3 a game, which is an outlier so great that no one else has done it. Only Stockton himself has come close to replicating it. Shot over 50% again, and over 40% on 3s. A/TO ratio is nuts by comparison: Isiah averaged 5 fewer assists, and more TOs. Stockton's A/TO ratio was 4.1.

Ironically, Stockton was on an All-Defense squad, too. While Thomas, from the defensively-defined Pistons -- a team that would win another championship due to this factor, largely -- never made an All-Defense team; Stockton did it five times.

A player can be undervalued in certain areas by media votes, but I've never seen what I would call consistently good defense -- either man or team -- from Zeke. And it's hard to believe Isiah would be undervalued in this area, considering the nature of his own team and the spotlight that consistently was aimed at him as its representative. Bit of cognitive dissonance here.

Then there's Kevin Johnson. 22.5 and 11.4 per on 49% shooting. A/TO was 3.4. Isiah again averaged fewer assists and more TOs.

Isiah put up 18.4 and 9.4, shooting 43.8% for the season. Thomas' A/TO was 2.35.

I don't tend to believe efficiency is everything, but where is Isiah showing his superiority over those guys, when looking at his season on an individuated basis?

Really not getting the Isiah love.

Certainly, I don't believe he was the fourth best player for the entire season, but I do believe that for a veteran team like the Pistons coming off a championship the previous ring, their one goal is to defend a ring. Therefore, that is the primray goal by which I judge Isiah, and he was able to help the Pistons do exactly that.


The key word is 'help'. Are you even asking yourself how big his contribution was?

The most contentious series the Pistons had was with Chicago. They gave Jordan problems, if not fits.

Yet we know that Dumars led this charge, not Thomas.

Moreover, despite the fact that they beat the Blazers in five, some of those games were bitterly contested until the very end, and my understanding is that Isiah Thomas came up huge in the final moments for several of those games


Is anybody watching tape? Portland's talent was only matched by their lack of brains. Watching that game 5, the Blazers create fairytale moments...for their opponent.

The way to beat Portland wasn't so much outsmarting them -- that was nearly an automatic -- but having enough talent to not be overwhelmed by their roster. Detroit had that.

In the last two minutes, they allow a 7 point lead to turn into a 2 point loss.

Yet the leader of this charge is not Isiah, it's the Microwave, Vinny Johnson taking the Blazers apart on isos. They didn't even have Isiah bring the ball up the floor, a further testament to team depth and diversity as far as Daly's Bad Boys. No, instead Vinny handles it, end to end.

Isiah does score the game tying FG, credit there. But the game-winning run is keyed by Johnson, as he scores 7 points in two minutes.

Considering how far behind other players Isiah's overall season was, I'd think that there would have to be a greater sense of his winning each Finals game for Detroit, in very direct, domineering and clutch fashion conflated, to make the case for him in the top 4.

It's rather like arguing Tony Parker as the league's fourth best player in 07.

Bit of an exaggeration -- talent versus talent, mind you -- but it matches the exaggerated worth of Isiah's 90 season due to that championship.

Isiah was also very good down the stretch of game 1. But my point remains that this team had many heroes -- and I don't mean that in the sense of a shot here or there, but within the context of extended sequencing and even full series -- and it's arguable that Thomas was just one of them.

The irony remains that Detroit's championships were won largely on defense. The NBA's marketing department was never fully comfortable with this, IMO, and this has only increased with time. Hence, Joe Dumars' contributions are pushed into the background evermore as Isiah's legend grows, particularly as regards that game 6 against LA in 88.

But Detroit's true legacy was formed on D, they changed the league through it. Was Isiah at the vanguard of that? Was it Isiah that bothered Jordan in multiple playoff series?

Come on.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#66 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 10:48 am

Optimism Prime wrote:
TrueLAfan wrote:1. Magic Johnson. The Lakers won 63 games, and the team was full of holes. It may have been Worthy's best year. Buy Byron regressed, and was pretty average (especially without Magic). A.C. Green was slightly above average. Vlade was good, but a rookie; he and Mychal Thompson (a below average C and player in 1990) combined to give the Lakers an average starting C. Wooldridge was, literally, th e only decent bench player; behind him the bench was next to non-existant. Without Magic, that is not a good team. Put an average PG on there, and they have Worthy and four average starters and a below average bench. That's a 38 to 45 win team. They won 63. Put it this way; I agree that David Robinson had a good year. Compare the rest of the Spurs to the Lakers—Terry Cummings, Mo Cheeks/Rod Strickland at PG. Willie Anderson was good--better than Byron, IMO, in 1990. Sean Elliot, David Wingate, Sean Elliot and Frank Brickowski on the bench. I'd take the Spurs without Drob six days a week and twice on Sunday over the Lakers without Magic. The Lakers won 7 more games in the RS. Magic wasn't just better than Drob, he was much better. Sure, the Lakers weaknesses got exposed in the playoffs...but can you really blame it on the guy who averaged 25-6-13 on 49% shooting in the postseason?
2. Michael Jordan. Won it all. Had a good, young team with him. He was great. I have nothing bad to say. But I don't think he was as valuable as Magic.
3. Charles Barkley. Barkley's in the middle of his really good roll here. Was still on okay defender at this point in his career; had all the tools on the other end.
4. Patrick Ewing. The beginning of his best period; probably his greatest year. The one year when (I think) he was clearly the best C in the league.
5. Karl Malone. Just can't put Hakeem (not a good shooting year; underperforming team that he was the leader of) or Drob (great supporting cast) over Malone. 31 and 11 on 56% shooting with good D.

HM—Hakeem, Drob, Stockton



Just ran a quick, seat-of-my-pants stat--(PER*MP)/100 for all players--this way we can see how productive each team was. Call it wTER - weighted Team Efficiency Rating. ;) Don't sue me, Mr. Hollinger.

Lakers: 3281.757
Bulls: 3095.706
Jazz: 3084.966
Spurs: 3043.067

Now, let's subtract Magic, Michael, Robinson, and Malone, to see how good their supporting casts were:

Lakers: 2500.515
Spurs: 2253.541
Jazz: 2235.782
Bulls: 2098.242

Not claiming that this is a be-all, end-all analysis, but according to PER... Lakers team was good; Bulls were not. Jazz and Spurs were somewhere in between.

I don't know how this relates to the whole league, I only ran these four teams, but there you have it.


My concern with this is one where Magic's value is being undervalued by PER, as it is with most great playmakers.

Meaning that Magic himself could be raising his teammates' value to a much higher level than it would be without him, thus defeating the point of any statistical measurement that tries to analyze these guys as pieces separated from him.

A marionette rebellion is oxymoronic.

It's the same thing I took away from watching the 4th quarter of Phoenix v Utah. While Thurl Bailey is ostensibly keeping Utah in it, the fact is that he only is able to score off of prime -- or near-perfect -- positioning due to Phoenix's overwhelming concern with Malone, while Stockton orchestrates and exploits.

Take away Utah's stars, and you have what appears to be a miserable team. Not only are their numbers huge but, from what I've been watching, they create nearly all the action for their teammates as well, making scrubs look much better than they otherwise would.

That being said, I have to believe the same of Michael. Which means that I'd have trouble ranking Magic over him, simply because I can't make the call as to individuated-control-as-team-phenomenon in the context of one over the other. And Michael's stats, as relate purely to himself, are superior.

Robinson is the one I question. My knowledge of his game leads me to believe that he lacked basic skillsets required in the context of not only raising his own game, but also that of his teammates. Rather lame post up player (no real moves, less than great at post-sealing, so forth), not very good on range, a lacking passer, etc.

The fact that he could be thoroughly outplayed and even shut down in matchup contexts in his prime raises a major red flag under this rubric.

From what I've seen of all five of these guys -- a great deal -- I'd say that Robinson was the one question mark as far consistently being able to make his teammates better.

The other four guys were dominant in their ability to draw attention, exploit that attention through skillsets, and generally facilitate.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#67 » by jicama » Wed Jun 16, 2010 11:24 am

Some 1990 Finals stats.
These players contributed to wins as estimated by column 1.
A rate of 1.0 eWins/480 minutes is average.

Code: Select all

eWins  90 Finals     MPG  TS%    Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk  e480
.91   Drexler   Por  41  .598   25.4   7.4   5.6  1.7   3.2   .2  2.14
.91   Isiah     Det  38  .629   30.0   5.6   6.5  1.6   4.9   .4  2.27
.69   Laimbeer  Det  38  .565   13.6  14.4   2.2  1.4    .2   .6  1.74
.52   Porter    Por  41  .588   18.0   2.5   7.5  1.9   4.1   .2  1.20
.42   Dumars    Det  42  .524   19.0   2.8   4.9   .7   3.3   .0   .96

.42   Kersey    Por  41  .539   17.2   6.6   1.1   .6   1.5   .6   .97
.26   Edwards   Det  28  .474   17.3   5.2   1.0   .5   1.3   .8   .90
.25   Buck W    Por  38  .519   10.5   9.0   1.7   .6   1.6   .2   .62
.19   Duckworth Por  30  .545   18.1   6.7    .0   .2   3.6   .5   .62
.19   Vinnie    Det  23  .585   18.9   3.2   1.7   .3   2.3   .9   .80

.17   Salley    Det  29  .437    7.4   8.5    .5   .2   1.0  2.9   .56
.09   Aguirre   Det  24  .442   12.4   5.5   1.1   .6   1.7   .0   .37
.04   W Cooper  Por  15  .327    3.5  10.1    .5  1.0   1.0  2.0   .33
.04   Cliff R   Por  14  .274    5.6   5.0   1.6  1.6    .8  1.6   .26
.00   Rodman    Det  20  .418    3.3   9.7   1.2   .8   2.4   .8   .00

Vinnie had his moments, JoeD was steady, but this was Isiah's show.
Clyde just played more minutes, also very well.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#68 » by lorak » Wed Jun 16, 2010 11:33 am

jicama wrote:.00 Rodman Det 20 .418 3.3 9.7 1.2 .8 2.4 .8 .00


00?!

What exactly is formula for your stat?
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#69 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 11:37 am

jicama wrote:Some 1990 Finals stats.
These players contributed to wins as estimated by column 1.
A rate of 1.0 eWins/480 minutes is average.

Code: Select all

eWins  90 Finals     MPG  TS%    Sco   Reb   Ast  Stl   TO   Blk  e480
.91   Drexler   Por  41  .598   25.4   7.4   5.6  1.7   3.2   .2  2.14
.91   Isiah     Det  38  .629   30.0   5.6   6.5  1.6   4.9   .4  2.27
.69   Laimbeer  Det  38  .565   13.6  14.4   2.2  1.4    .2   .6  1.74
.52   Porter    Por  41  .588   18.0   2.5   7.5  1.9   4.1   .2  1.20
.42   Dumars    Det  42  .524   19.0   2.8   4.9   .7   3.3   .0   .96

.42   Kersey    Por  41  .539   17.2   6.6   1.1   .6   1.5   .6   .97
.26   Edwards   Det  28  .474   17.3   5.2   1.0   .5   1.3   .8   .90
.25   Buck W    Por  38  .519   10.5   9.0   1.7   .6   1.6   .2   .62
.19   Duckworth Por  30  .545   18.1   6.7    .0   .2   3.6   .5   .62
.19   Vinnie    Det  23  .585   18.9   3.2   1.7   .3   2.3   .9   .80

.17   Salley    Det  29  .437    7.4   8.5    .5   .2   1.0  2.9   .56
.09   Aguirre   Det  24  .442   12.4   5.5   1.1   .6   1.7   .0   .37
.04   W Cooper  Por  15  .327    3.5  10.1    .5  1.0   1.0  2.0   .33
.04   Cliff R   Por  14  .274    5.6   5.0   1.6  1.6    .8  1.6   .26
.00   Rodman    Det  20  .418    3.3   9.7   1.2   .8   2.4   .8   .00

Vinnie had his moments, JoeD was steady, but this was Isiah's show.
Clyde just played more minutes, also very well.


I have my doubts about stat-tracking, particularly when we're trying to get these metrics to rank a defensive team such as Detroit. Defense is far harder to evaluate through this sort of thing than offense.

Through that, I have my doubts as to Isiah's value, relative to hype, not just in the Portland series but throughout Detroit's title seasons.

Rodman was defensive player of the year, yet your system gives him a value of...nada.

I'm also curious as to where your formula would rank Isiah for the year.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#70 » by mysticbb » Wed Jun 16, 2010 12:50 pm

Stats for the 89-90 season:

Code: Select all

Rk Player              PER  WS   ON   SUM
1  Michael Jordan     31.4 23.4  7.1 61.9
2  Magic Johnson      26.2 17.9  7.7 51.7
3  Charles Barkley    26.5 17.8  5.0 49.2
4  David Robinson     25.8 16.6  5.8 48.1
5  Karl Malone        26.0 15.6  5.3 46.9
6  John Stockton      22.9 13.9  5.8 42.6
7  Patrick Ewing      25.7 14.3  1.6 41.6
8  Kevin Johnson      22.2 12.5  4.8 39.6
9  Terry Porter       19.3 14.4  4.2 37.9
10 Kevin McHale       21.4 11.3  3.9 36.6
11 Hakeem Olajuwon    23.6 11.1  1.4 36.0
12 Clyde Drexler      20.6 12.6  2.5 35.7
13 Isiah Thomas       18.9 11.5  4.9 35.3
14 Reggie Miller      20.7 12.7  1.8 35.2
15 Mark Price         21.3 11.1  2.7 35.2
16 James Worthy       19.4 10.8  4.8 35.1
17 Terry Cummings     19.7 10.6  3.6 33.8
18 Larry Bird         21.7  9.5  2.5 33.7
19 Jeff Hornacek      18.7 10.4  4.6 33.7
20 Tom Chambers       18.4 10.7  3.9 33.0


Huge difference between Jordan and Magic. Neither the Lakers nor the Bulls had significant more success. Thus I will have Jordan ahead of Magic.
I wouldn't put Isiah Thomas or Clyde Drexler into the Top5, don't see the point of punishing those players ahead of them in that stats ranking for their weaker teams. Malone ahead of Stockton, in this season I believe that is the right order.

Unfortunately I have not much time right now to go deeper into it. The Soccer WC gets more attention, I hope that is ok.

Vote:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Magic Johnson
3. Charles Barkley
4. David Robinson
5. Karl Malone
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#71 » by tha_rock220 » Wed Jun 16, 2010 1:17 pm

1. Jordan
2. Magic
3. Barkley
4. Malone
5. Robinson
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#72 » by drza » Wed Jun 16, 2010 1:30 pm

This is a difficult year on many levels. Let's start with the top.

MJ vs MJ. This is just a ridiculous competition. The best point guard ever at the end of his peak vs the best shooting guard ever comfortably in his and still rising. Thus, it is extremely unsatisfying that I have so few tools with which to try to separate them. I remember at the time believing that Magic was still better, that Jordan was more of a ball hog while Magic was making everybody better. Of course, I was watching a fraction of the games then that I do now and my viewing wasn't nearly as sophisticated. PER favors Jordan, though if I'm not mistaken I remember reading that Hollinger used Jordan as his template when he was creating PER...essentially, that he was devising a ranking system by which Jordan (who he saw as clearly the best player) would rate out as the best with everyone else arrayed in a logical pattern after him. I can't swear to that, but I really think I read that somewhere years ago. That, of course, would make me question the PER findings, but...really, there's no box score stat I can think of where Jordan wouldn't be ridiculous so in the end that's not a big concern.

If I try for just basic, macro statistical patterns I can do the old back-of-the-napkin calculations like total points = points + 2* assists and see that Jordan's 33.6 and 6.3 assists yields 46.2 total points vs Magic's 22.3 and 11.5 yielding 45.3 (in the postseason it's Jordan 50.3 vs Magic's 50.8). Their rebounds are essentially even. Jordan is the better defender, though as always it is unclear how big of an effect defense has on total value for perimeter players. Magic had a small advantage in true shooting percentage, but Jordan nearly equalled that efficiency on much higher volume. I just saw the pretty shocking result that the Bulls actually played at a slightly faster pace than the Lakers in 1990, and Magic's Lakers were the #1 offense in the league in terms of efficiency. All along, as I've worked through this comp in my mind and began writing this I was expecting for the pace to make Magic's numbers look a bit less impressive than Mike's, which I thought would be part of the tie-breaker to tilt this into Michael's favor. Instead, it just leads to a bigger impasse.

This is another case where maybe +/- stats could have helped differentiate, because the box scores don't tell me enough. Magic's Lakers were better in the regular season, posting the 2nd highest SRS in the league. In the postseason Jordan's Bulls went further, but in a different conference. Their first round opponent had a negative SRS, and their 2nd round opponent had a SRS of 4.23... on the other hand, Magic's Lakers lost in the 2nd round to the team with the highest SRS in the NBA. But like every other stat, as has been discussed in this thread, SRS is imperfect and the Pistons handled the Blazers and their higher SRS.

In the end, I can find no realistic separation on either side. The ultimate individual star vs the ultimate make-my-team-better guy. Individual and team results haven't helped me to make my decision. In the end, I'm going with my gut. In 1990, if you had given me a choice of the two I'd have taken Magic. 20 years later, and there's still not enough there to make me change my mind.

1) Magic
2) Michael

I'll go with Barkley at 3rd in a close margin over Ewing. They were extremely close statistically, and often in these types of comparisons I favor the defensive-minded big over Barkley because of his own lacks in that (not well-measured) aspect of the game. But in this case, again going with my gut, I just think Barkley was more dynamic and was creating a larger impact on the game. This was another toss-up, but I'm comfortable with Barkley at 3.

3) Barkley
4) Ewing

FInally, for fifth, I've got Olajuwon, Malone, Robinson, Bird, and Isiah under consideration. Like others, I'm not convinced that Isiah was quite as good as the others. He was great, but there are enough questions that I don't feel comfortable with him over the others. Interestingly Bird, Dream, and Robinson all averaged exactly 24.3 points on the season. But the two big men win handily in the advanced stats, and this is a case where there was a huge defensive difference that makes this one even easier. That leaves me with Mail, Dream, and Robinson for my 3rd slot.

Statistically, there isn't a lot to separate the three big men. Malone had slight advantages in PER and Win Shares in the regular season, but they were all close and he was virtually tied with Robinson by those measures. Robinson and Olajuwon get a boost for their defensive impact, though overall the competition is still fairly close. In the postseason, though, Robinson separated himself statistically from them in both measures and also led his team through into the 2nd round. Plus, in the past I've noted and boosted players for helping lead huge turnaround seasons so that's another nice little tie-breaker.

5) Robinson

Ranking:

1) Magic
2) Jordan
3) Barkley
4) Ewing
5) Robinson
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#73 » by jicama » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:27 pm

kaima wrote:Rodman was defensive player of the year, yet your system gives him a value of...nada.

I'm also curious as to where your formula would rank Isiah for the year.

The DPOY's coach only could find 20 minutes per game for him. That alone tells you he's not playing very well.
He may have had something to do with Jerome and Buck playing below their norms, but only for 42% of the games (20/48).

Rodman fell from 14.5 pts/48 in the season -- about 73% of NBA average scoring rate -- to just 5.5 in the Finals. TS% from .608 to .418 .
His rebounds were about 80% what they'd been in the RS, and Laimbeer picked up the slack.
The Worm's turnover rate nearly doubled. Just some sort of funk.
One could guess that the Pistons would have done just as well without him at the Finals. Thus .00 .

Isiah appaers at the bottom of my post ranking the players of 1990. He was only about 20th in the RS, but his prodigious playoffs vault him past KJ, 'Nique, Chambers, McHale, Miller, Mullin, Price, Cummings, Worthy, and DHarper, to #10.
Still too distant for serious consideration at 1 thru 5.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#74 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:31 pm

1) Air
2) Magic
3) Barkley
4) Ewing
5) Malone

Top three, blah, blah, blah. Easy.

I question the order, though I can't find a good reason to change it. Jordan was Jordan. And then he topped (transcended) himself for much of the post-season.

Magic versus Barkley. Curious about how close the MVP vote was. What created the momentum? What created the meme? Even newspaper clippings show a cluelessness; obvious bias to one side, for someone had to be making arguments for Barkley, and I would assume strongly. I haven't found those articles, though I haven't searched all that far and wide. Cursory.

Thought Ewing and Malone were the next clear bracket. Malone had a tremendous regular season -- monstrous -- but down playoffs. Ewing was great in both. Thought Malone was better in the regular season, but I'll go with the balance.

HM: Stockton, KJ, Akeem, Robinson

Really, really, really (really?) thought Stockton's season should have gotten a stronger look. Especially when Thomas is being mentioned and, unbelievably, ranked.

But, as predicted, team play nuked what was literally an historic season for Stockton. Another 1000+ assists; only guy in history to do it multiple seasons (7). Again thought he was great at both the break and halfcourt; amazing facilitator, and a very rare pace-control player.

Think KJ was pretty awesome. Kept it up in the playoffs. Underrated prime and peak. This is pretty similar to Isiah's peak value (though, not the outlier on assists from, I think, 84), and I have little doubt that Isiah will get more looks with similar numbers and a worse team.

Olajuwon was in a weird period. Rockets kind of, well, sucked in the regular season. Olajuwon pretty much inverted that standard in the post-season. Still learning how to deal most effectively with coverage in the lane. Really seemed to screw him up. And there's the sense throughout this period that Olajuwon's head isn't all there -- though, this is understandable when playing for a mediocre team.

The Lakers' defense seemed to bother him more than his D could bother them.

Robinson was great, though I question the turnaround arguments to an extent; between the added surrounding talent, and a question that relates as another sort of 'Jordan rule' (is Robinson's impact really to be measured by a one-year turn in W/L patterns and, if so, what does that say about the Bulls of 94 versus 93? What does that say about the regular season versus playoffs?), I think the matter is over-played and overvalued. From my cursory look, Robinson disappeared for multiple games against Portland, yet the Spurs still pushed them to 7.

Skillsets look largely the same this year as peak value. Anecdotes and vid make me question fundamental ability in offensive reads, general sets, and leadership (there's even a statement where Robinson was supposedly surprised that his level of play had to change in the playoffs).

Pretty much the usual. Like Duncan, he came fully formed.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#75 » by semi-sentient » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:35 pm

drza wrote:I remember at the time believing that Magic was still better, that Jordan was more of a ball hog while Magic was making everybody better.


You are not the only one. This was the general perception back then. Game commentators would talk about it, and even we'd mock Jordan on the playground (in HS) by saying that we were going to be like him and put WD-40 on our elbows and shoot until the rust went away -- or something like that.

This is a very difficult comparison, because Magic always sacrificed his game to make everyone else better, while Jordan made the best of his abilities and put up monster numbers. Then again, he kind of had to.

Your argument was convincing though.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#76 » by jicama » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:44 pm

Don't take this as Robinson bashing, but are you guys aware that for his whole career he averaged almost 1 block per game more at home than on the road?

1990 set the tone here. In identical minutes, he got 183 blocks at home and 136 on the road.
All other stats nearly identical.
Was he a 4 blocks per game phenom? Or merely a 3.3 Blk/G (away avg) guy?

Ewing, btw, has the opposite history. In this season, he had 11 more home blocks, in 66 more minutes.
For his career, actually fewer blocks at home.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#77 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:50 pm

semi-sentient wrote:
drza wrote:I remember at the time believing that Magic was still better, that Jordan was more of a ball hog while Magic was making everybody better.


You are not the only one. This was the general perception back then. Game commentators would talk about it, and even we'd mock Jordan on the playground (in HS) by saying that we were going to be like him and put WD-40 on our elbows and shoot until the rust went away -- or something like that.

This is a very difficult comparison, because Magic always sacrificed his game to make everyone else better, while Jordan made the best of his abilities and put up monster numbers. Then again, he kind of had to.

Your argument was convincing though.


It's interesting how this chant dies with Jordan winning a title.

That it was over Magic may have added to it. Though, that people saw the battle as mano-a-mano, means that Jordan's mentality implicitly dominated the whole time; forget specified outcome.

There's a sense of vindication and, yet, irony in that team success for both becomes an issue of hype and personification.

Magic as the team, Jordan as beyond it.

Commentators attack those they see as vulnerable. When Jordan's vulnerability disappeared, the scavengers moved on to his rivals or imitators.

Which might be why Kobe can't shake the hatred. He's seen as both, and through that winning one -- or two, or three -- would never be enough. Team success won't be enough; it would have to be team success as a subservient expression of the dominant individual. Statistically a no-go.

Yet the whole time, the real hypocrisy is never noted: criticize the individual for being selfish, and yet this selfishness is defined by team failure. So often it is not considered that the team itself is the problem; no, that is because the explicit talk of selfishness is the implicit assumption that the team is always a direct statement as to that selfsame player's value.
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#78 » by lorak » Wed Jun 16, 2010 2:54 pm

jicama wrote:Don't take this as Robinson bashing, but are you guys aware that for his whole career he averaged almost 1 block per game more at home than on the road?

1990 set the tone here. In identical minutes, he got 183 blocks at home and 136 on the road.
All other stats nearly identical.
Was he a 4 blocks per game phenom? Or merely a 3.3 Blk/G (away avg) guy?


Typical for great shotblocker. For example:

1987 Eaton

3.36 BPG away
4.75 BPG home

1990 Hakeem
3.49 BPG away
4.96 BPG home

And again - could you explain your ewins stat because it seems it highly underrates defenders (Rodman with 00 is the best example).
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#79 » by kaima » Wed Jun 16, 2010 3:02 pm

DavidStern wrote:
jicama wrote:Don't take this as Robinson bashing, but are you guys aware that for his whole career he averaged almost 1 block per game more at home than on the road?

1990 set the tone here. In identical minutes, he got 183 blocks at home and 136 on the road.
All other stats nearly identical.
Was he a 4 blocks per game phenom? Or merely a 3.3 Blk/G (away avg) guy?


Typical for great shotblocker. For example:

1987 Eaton

3.36 BPG away
4.75 BPG home

1990 Hakeem
3.49 BPG away
4.96 BPG home

And again - could you explain your ewins stat because it seems it highly underrates defenders (Rodman with 00 is the best example).


Hey, speaking of explanations, when are you going to explain Robinson's seeming lack of defensive impact in big series?

Why couldn't he stop Karl Malone? Hakeem? The Blazers' high powered offense? Run TMC's attack in 91?

If you say that it's because of offense>defense, doesn't that undermine your entire stance? Same question arises if you go to old faithful, i.e. lacking teammates; not a good argument on the scale(s) of Robinson as a transcendent lane clogger and man defender.

Since this forms a huge base for your argumentation to Robinson's side, I think in his last season it would be reasonable (if long overdue) to justify your arguments and votes for him based on a defensive impact you've yet to present factually, especially as relates to playoff basketball.

Also, why do metrics like PER, WS, TS% from the regular season only seem to matter to you when Robinson leads in them, relatively or altogether? Why is it that when another player leads Robinson, this often doesn't seem to factor into your voting?
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Re: Retro POY '89-90 (ends Wed morning) 

Post#80 » by lorak » Wed Jun 16, 2010 3:09 pm

I was talking about his defense in previous threads. For example in 1992, when he missed many games so it was clear how great was his defensive impact:

68 games with Robinson: Spurs 102.3 DRtg (that's better than all time great Knicks defense that season)
14 games without Robinson: Spurs 111.4 DRtg (and 119.6 in 3 playoff games)

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