badinage wrote:One more thing: this notion that Ernie didn't ask for picks. Just because you don't GET picks doesn't mean you didn't TRY for picks. What makes everyone so sure he didn't?
One function of boards like this is that people come on and make compelling arguments for things that are based on mere projection and speculation, and other people back them up and take those arguments to be gospel, and after a while a kind of group think prevails whereby that argument based on mere projection and speculation becomes truth. That's what's happened with all this BOYD talk. People have convinced themselves of what the market is.
Same thing happened with the draft. Folks convinced themselves that Booker was a reach, because the mocks all had Booker as a second-rounder -- and subsequently bashed Grunfeld for "overpaying." I heard this over and over again; it became the cliche of the post-mortems of draft day: "I like Booker, I just don't like what we paid for him." But the mocks are not reality. The reality is the reality. Mocks are projections made by outside observers. They're semi-educated guesses.
+1,000,000
I'd also add that there's a prevalent belief around every sports site I visit that every trade is a fleecing, i.e., since the Wizards haven't made any killings in their recent trades, it only goes to reason that they were taken advantage of. But the reality is that most trades in most sports are either one unexceptional player straight up for another, or one overpaid, aging prospect in exchange for cash, future considerations, a player to be named later, etc. This trade was by no means an exceptional one for the Wizards, but it doesn't seem fair for us to judge it based on fantasy of what NJ would have been willing to give up if Ernie had played hardball. We have no idea if other teams would have been willing to make a similar--or even worse--trade. If NJ or Chicago had become desperate enough, they would have found ways to sweeten the deals, but there's certainly no guarantee that the Wizards would have been the beneficiary. The best hope is you get something like Kwame for Caron, where the deal proves to be lopsided after the fact. I have no expectations for the Yi trade to work out like that, but at least the potential exists, however slightly.
That said, I understand everyone who dislikes the move because they don't see Yi as having any value. Statistically and anecdotally, he comes off as pure garbage. And as for establishing an international presence, I somewhat share the skepticism of those who don't see Yi as particularly useful in that regard. For now, though, I'm content in the belief that Leonsis signed off on this deal and at least saw it as something that cannot hurt the team (I mean, the guy's putting post-it notes on all the broken toilet paper dispensers at the VC. I'm pretty sure he has the time and the inclination to be informed of all trades). I trust Ted.