which big man in the 2nd round?? ive narrowed it down to 3

WigginsNation · Post #1 » by **WigginsNation** » Tue Oct 5, 2010 1:40 pm

In a 10team rotisserie league, I have the 1st pick, then the 20th and 21st.
We all know who the first pick is, but which big man would you take in the 2nd or 3rd round? i have it down to 3 players who will most likely be available at my 20th pick. The three big men ive narrowed it down to are:

Al Horford
Chris Bosh
Al Jefferson.

Which of the three would you go with? interested to hearing your opinions.

WigginsNation · Post #2 » by **WigginsNation** » Tue Oct 5, 2010 4:09 pm

15 views and no suggestions? cmon guys....im already leaning towards one of them, but i wanna hear what some of the "experts" have to say.

FantasyMVP · Post #3 » by **FantasyMVP** » Tue Oct 5, 2010 4:57 pm

Horford is probably the safest pick out of the three. Considering Jefferson's injury history and Bosh playing third wheel now. With that being said, you should go with Al Jefferson. He'll produce a TON if he can stay healthy, playing with Deron Williams and all. He'll likely score, rebound and block more shots than the other two guys.

I would rank them like this: Jefferson, Horford, Bosh

rpa · Post #4 » by **rpa** » Tue Oct 5, 2010 5:13 pm

Probably between Horford & Big Al.

I think Bosh gets eliminated REALLY quickly when you realize that a lot of his value was based solely on his USG--which translated to solid contributions in points & both percentages. With a low usage (which is a near definite) he's not going to be able to contribute as much in those 3 cats. After that what's he left with? Unspectacular blocks/steals/assists and the possibility of good rebounds.

As far as the other 2 go I think that Horford is probably safer but Big Al has a higher ceiling. Couple things:
- After shooting around 73% from the line his first 2 years Horford managed nearly 79% last year. That screams "statistical outlier" to me.
- Despite being thought of as a great defensive option Horford's not huge in blocks (1.1 last year).
- Big Al is likely to be playing a lot of minutes next to Okur who is historically a very poor rebounder

I think what it really comes down to is how well you think Al adjusts to being in a PnR heavy offense--one where he's not just given the ball on the block all the time and told "go to work". If he adapts well then he could put up some great numbers. Possibly something around: 22/10/2 on 51-53%, with 1.5 blocks, and low turnovers.