eyeteeth wrote:Another winnable game lost because of too many turnovers. Prediction: when the Wolves get turnovers to under 18 a game, they will win half or more of their games.
I think you're probably right. So many of our close losses have been in games where we had like 23+ TOs. If you think of it in terms of, say, however many TOs over 18 we had in a game, give us that many extra possessions after the final buzzer has buzzed. No possessions for the other team, just a bunch of possessions for us in a row, where we have to try and score as much as possible. Also, if we turn the ball over on these possessions, we get another free one, so as to keep our TO total at 18. With how effective our offense is, for the most part, we would probably have no trouble making up the difference in most games. In that scenario, I think we would be close to a .500 team.
Take last night for example. We lost by 8, we had 25 TOs. At the end of the game, give us 7 possessions in a row to try and score 8 or more points.
Obviously, I don't think the league is gonna let this fly. But it does a good job of showing just how costly TOs are for this team. As bad as our defense is, it is not our biggest problem. The horribleness of our defense is inflated by our pace and by our silly TOs, because so many of them lead directly to fast break points for the other team. No team in the league would look good on D when the other team is given so many transition scoring opportunities. Again, I'm not saying that our D is great, but that it's horribleness can be overstated. Whereas the costliness of our TOs simply cannot be overstated.
EDIT:
http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/team/ ... rder/falseAfter looking at those stats^ we average 17.4 TOs per game, dead last in the league. Taking that into account, I think 15 is a more fair number than 18 for the scenario above. If we could just average 15 per game, which is still bottom third in the league, we would be a much better team.
As many of you know, I am a big Rambis supporter. I feel that you can't blame silly unnecessary TOs on the coach. For the most part, he has this team playing much more competitive basketball than most would expect, but is consistently let down by some of the silliest turnovers seen this side of youth basketball leagues.