yuedar wrote:because if that star available that year was anyone but garnett I don't think they would have been winning championships. Or what if that star available was someone that contradicted or didn't work well with pierce. its luck that garnett was the available star that year.
Of course. That's sports. If Rodgers wasn't in that draft, the Packers don't win the Super Bowl. If Howard Green wasn't cut by the Jets, he couldn't have played a role in that huge play in the Super Bowl. If DeSean Jackson doesn't take a 4th quarter-ending punt return back, the Packers don't even make the playoffs. What if Woodson didn't destroy his leg the year before the Packers signed him with the Raiders? What if Clay Matthews Jr. didn't impregnate Virgin Mary to create Clay Matthews III, who died for our sins?
But what if it was theoretically Amare on the trade block that year? Pierce/Amare/Allen/Rondo may not have a ring, but they'd be a top 2 team in the East those few years and maybe play in a finals. That's still 10x better than the Bucks have done the past 25 years aside from one season of a nice run.
I don't see how you can write this stuff off as luck. The actual champion is going to need some luck. The Lakers needed luck to get Gasol in that garbage trade and they are lucky that he was available and that the Grizzlies' GM was willing to take roofies that night. The Spurs were lucky that Robinson had a season ending injury the year that Duncan was going to be available. The Heat were lucky that Shaq was on the block that season.
But the common denominator here is that all of these teams were prepared for these things and had good management in place. All of these trades/picks involved some long-term vision.
The Thunder lucked into Durant being their guy in that season. That said, they amassed so much other talent that they'd at least be a competing East team if they had gotten, say, Horford instead of Durant.