It_Was_Typed wrote:One more question...Will the Jazz try and compete (or expected to) for a playoff seed this upcoming season or is it a season to build towards the future?
Ty has his career riding on this season. He's not going to tank. But, do we have the talent to be a playoff team?
PG - Harris, ?
I don't love Harris, but, I expect his stats to return to career averages this year. He'll be an above average PG. If we can resign Watson, we'll have a very competent and experienced PG position.
SG and SF - These positions are fairly interchangeable for the Jazz. What we need is 3 or 4 quality players here. What we have is Hayward, Miles, Burks, and Bell. Of the 4 only Hayward seems to fit the bill. So, we're seriously deficient at the swing positions.
Miles may or may not be here. I suspect he will. He's a below average starter. Maybe a quality reserve. Maybe not even that. Lets be generous and say he's a quality reserve.
Burks is a very nice prospect IMHO. If he can come in and start at SG teh Jazz will be VASTLY improved. I'm not expecting that though, I think he'll need a couple years to really come into his own.
Bell was beyond terrible for the Jazz. Maybe he'll have a bounce back year and give us something not too far off his career numbers, but, I think he's just a wasted roster slot.
AK may be resigned, hard to say. I believe he will as he's an asset that could be used in the future. However, I've seen the Jazz cast aside many assets before: Matthews, Stevenson, Mo Williams, Kris Humphries, etc... I don't think the Jazz MO has been to collect assets for the sake of stockpiling assets in the past. Perhaps now that Larry and Sloan are gone we'll be more willing to sign guys just because they have value, perhaps not. My hunch is that we'll resign AK with the idea that we may move Millsap or Jefferson at some point and then he could backup the 4 restoring our big man depth. If he's resigned he's an above average starter and way above average bench player WHEN HEALTHY. Problem is, he's only healthy about a third of a season.
Evans and Millsap are possible help at SF. However, I think neither guy is likely to be very effective in that role.
Jazz will have the MLE to use. If we're looking to win now adding a guy like Battier makes a ton of sense. He would be a great locker room leader for the team as well as jump right into the starting SF slot.
Jazz may also look for a trade. With all teh bigs the Jazz have, it's not an unlikely proposition.
Jazz also have the GS pick next year. They may just decide to sit on their hands and try to add a wing player with that next season.
PF - Favors and Millsap. I think Favors will come out with a strong season. I'm thinking 13-9-2 if he gets to start. Millsap is better suited to a reserve role and I expect he'll either be traded or moved to a 6th man role. PF is a strength for the Jazz.
C - Jefferson, Kanter, and Okur. Jefferson is the best center we've had since Eaton. By far the best offensively. I doubt we'll move him. I doubt Kanter can move him out of the starting spot, at least not this year. Okur is a question mark, I think his best value to the Jazz at this time would be as an expiring contract in a trade. Jefferson and Kanter should give the Jazz the most explosive offensive center position in the league. Defense should be average. Center is a strength for the Jazz.
PG - 7
SG - 6
SF - 3
PF - 9
C - 9
That's how I see it. We address the weaknesses at SG and SF then I would say the Jazz are a lock to make the playoffs. If we do nothing more than sit on our hands I still think we challenge for a 7 or 8 spot. If Burks is a quality starter things change quickly, but, I find that unlikely. If we resign AK and he's healthy all year (yeah right!) things change quickly. If Evans magically becomes a top flight SF or Millsap drops 20lbs and starts moving like a deer, things change dramatically.
But right now I think we are a 40-44 win team. We could easily be a 50-55 win team if we somehow turned SG and SF positions into positions of strength.
"Thibs called back and wanted more picks," said Jorge Sedano. "And Pat Riley, literally, I was told, called him a mother-bleeper and hung up the phone."