killbuckner wrote:1. History shows that the threat to decertify is, without question, a sham to exert leverage in negotiations. (does anyone doubt that this is true?)
The NFL went years without a union- the only reason they recertified is because the NFL owners needed them to in order to have a salary cap.
And I think that the NBA players are likely in a position where they are better off without a union on a permanent basis. When the NBA owners are asking for concession after concession and I just don't see why they should agree to them. The Salary cap, luxury tax, Draft, Maximum Salary, and Maximum contract length would all almost certainly be illegal without a union. For the players to accept these restrictions I think the owners would have to offer them other things they want. (A guaranteed percentage of BRI) Otherwise I think the players should decertify and simply take the highest offer that a team is willing to give them. They would be nuts to lock themselves into a lousy CBA like the owners are trying to force on them.
I'm not all that versed on the NFL, but the NBA's reference to Kessler's "permanent and irreversible" quote in their brief seemed to imply that the union recertified shortly after they resolved the CBA dispute in the early 90s. That, combined with the NBPA's purported history of threatening decertification during each CBA negotiation, would lead one to credibly conclude that they don't actually intend to do business outside of the non-statutory exemption going forward.
But you have a point. I hadn't really considered taking them at face value. If they were to actually go forward without being unionized, top flight players like Wade and Howard would certainly do well in the free market frenzy. On the other hand, middling players who benefit from guaranteed mid-level or veterans exception type contracts, which the union is fighting to keep, could be looking at far less lucrative and non-guaranteed contracts under your scenario. Even if a new CBA lowers or abolishes provisions like the mid-level exception, you'd have to think that it will still take better care of the majority of players than the free market would. I can't see the majority of middle-class players being comfortable going forward without union representation.








