RealGM Top 100 List #28

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#21 » by ronnymac2 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 8:19 am

DavidStern wrote:
drza wrote:1) Adrian Dantley, Ricky Davis and Mark Blount were among the most negative impacts in both measures.


In Dantley's case numbers are skewed, because data is from 3 AD's seasons including two of his last 3 in the NBA.
And of course in most of these games he was replaced by Rodman, so it also affected the results.


Good points.

I question Dantley's poor reputation. I know his stats look suspect when Utah essentially sucked with him putting up enormous production. He DID work slow, and it did bog down offenses at times.

However, when he went to Detroit in 1987, the team didn't crash. In fact, they improved slightly and almost made it to the NBA Finals. Dantley was an efficient 20 ppg second option in the playoffs for them.

The next year's version of Detroit- possibly the best version considering who they beat this year and how they were constructed- got to the Finals and were basically good enough to be champs. They were right there with Dantley once again as a 20 ppg scorer on excellent efficiency as the second option. They had the sixth best offense in the league in the regular season.

Now, I know what happens next. Dantley gets traded mid-season and Detroit ends up with 63 wins and wins the title in 1989.

My question is this: should what happened in 1988 put to rest the notion that Dantley was bad for teams (at least relative to his stats)? His stats took a hit- though were still very good- and he was the second option on a team that almost won a championship.

I remember Warspite telling me Dantley was valuable for Detroit because the majority of the time when he used Piston offensive possessions, the result yielded allowed Detroit to set up their vaunted defense in the half-court. Now, all efficient scorers have that effect, but Dantley was very efficient. Combine great efficiency with his style (low-post or deeper mid-post, which meshed nicely with Laimbeer and created an inverted offense) and penchant for drawing fouls at ridiculous rates (disregard the efficiency advantage of the fouls drawn, and think about the stoppage of time and the physics of what that does on the court), and it would appear Dantley probably could be a great piece on the right team.

He found that right team in Detroit. They just came up short in 1988, against the Showtime Lakers. No shame in that.

What kind of credit does Dantley deserve? How much does Dantley's successful seasons with Detroit change the way you see him or his prior season, if at all? Did he actually change gears a la Paul Pierce in 2008, or was the decrease in stats and simultaneous increase in Detroit's level of play attributable to other factors such as the growth and improvement of a balanced squad?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#22 » by ronnymac2 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 8:29 am

BTW...Detroit had the seventh best offense in 1989, and routinely placed in the top 10 throughout the 1980s. They placed first in offense in 1984.

People say Isiah and his average efficiency hurt his teams...and that he is overrated because of the titles...and that the title teams were based around defense...how do they reconcile that?

Hell, the fact that Detroit won 63 games and the title in 1989 with a defense-oriented team whose offense was led by Isiah - an offense that ranked 7th in the league- is a feather in Isiah's cap if anything.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#23 » by JordansBulls » Mon Aug 22, 2011 12:03 pm

VOTE: John Havlicek (leading scorer on many title teams and also won Finals MVP)
Nominate: Bill Walton (League MVP, Finals MVP winner that led the Blazers to it's only title in franchise history)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#24 » by Laimbeer » Mon Aug 22, 2011 12:57 pm

Dantley's major problem was his attitude, in Detroit and elsewhere. He was a moody guy. In Detroit, he began complaining when Rodman started eating into his playing time. That was unacceptable in that team culture. The Pistons got Aguirre for him after Isiah made it clear to his good friend that he'd have to tow the line in Detroit. Note that Aguirre had been something of a pain himself in Dallas. Aguirre agreed. The Mavs' days as a serious contender in the West were over, and the Pistons won titles.

Is there a statistic for that?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#25 » by lorak » Mon Aug 22, 2011 2:34 pm

ronnymac2 wrote:BTW...Detroit had the seventh best offense in 1989, and routinely placed in the top 10 throughout the 1980s. They placed first in offense in 1984.

People say Isiah and his average efficiency hurt his teams...and that he is overrated because of the titles...and that the title teams were based around defense...how do they reconcile that?


1984 was exception, on of the few during Isiah's career.
Here's Pistons ortg relatively to league average during Thomas career:

Code: Select all

1994   -3,6
1993   -0,6
1992   -0,7
1991   0,3
1990   1,8
1989   3,0
1988   2,5
1987   0,9
1986   1,8
1985   1,7
1984   3,9
1983   0,7
1982   -1,1


So only 3 offenses above +2.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#26 » by Laimbeer » Mon Aug 22, 2011 3:36 pm

Consensus rating of players nominated

17 John Havlicek SG/SF
21 Isiah Thomas PG
23 Rick Barry SF
26 John Stockton PG
36 Jason Kidd PG
38 George Gervin SG
41 Gary Payton PG
42 Clyde Drexler SG
71 Dwight Howard C
72 Artis Gilmore C
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#27 » by Laimbeer » Mon Aug 22, 2011 3:39 pm

Top consensus ratings for players not nominated

22 Bob Cousy PG
32 Willis Reed PF/C
33 Elvin Hayes PF/C
34 Kevin McHale PF
35 Dave Cowens PF/C
37 Allen Iverson G
40 Dolph Schayes PF
44 Tiny Archibald PG
45 Dominique Wilkins SF
46 Wes Unseld PF/C
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#28 » by FJS » Mon Aug 22, 2011 4:35 pm

vote: John Stockton
Nominate: Hayes
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#29 » by ElGee » Mon Aug 22, 2011 5:03 pm

vote: Gary Payton
nominate: Tracy McGrady

Again, nomination between McGrady and Pierce...Right now, I've got Barry, Drexler, Isiah and Gervin before Captains of Consistency in Stockton and Havlicek.

I've made detailed arguments for Payton before and can bring them back if needed, but to me he clearly has a better peak than the other PG's on the board. Again, I think of him more as a combo guard, so you aren't going to have a QB-style PG give you an all-time offense...but he will help run point on a great offense, as he did in Seattle many times (offenses that were historically good).

I love Payton for team-buildling purposes: He's an iron man, allows you to play a giant backcourt on a defensive juggernaut, can create his offense if needed AND space the floor with shooting. He's been good in a unipolar scoring/combo role and on balanced, good teams.

Finally, back to the old argument about sustained prime...the guy had EIGHT top-10 MVP seasons. He was regularly regarded in his prime as one of the best players in the league (4th in RPOY in 98 and 00 behind Shaq, Malone and Jordan/Zo, 5th in 96).

Doc MJ has argued Payton is hard-headed (see LA and Miami late in career)...I don't think that's much of an issue in the prime of his career given his work in Seattle. He's not a basketball savant, he's not a QB-PG...but so what? He was fantastic for a long time.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#30 » by Sedale Threatt » Mon Aug 22, 2011 5:07 pm

Vote, Havlicek. Nominate, Reed.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#31 » by colts18 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 5:42 pm

McGrady vs. Pierce:

03:
McGrady +11.8 (-8.9 off the court) 5th in the league
Pierce +10.1 (-8.4 off the court) 8th in the league

04:
McGrady +4.4 (-10.1 off the court)
Pierce +1.7 (-2.7 off the court)

05:
McGrady +2.0 (+2.4 off court)
Pierce +8.1 (-5.2 off court)

06:
McGrady +5.9 (-4.2 off court)
Pierce +2.6 (-3.5 off court)

07:
McGrady: +7.8 (-0.2 off court)
Pierce +5.9 (-5.9 off court)

In McGrady's prime, he beat out Pierce 4 times out of 5 in +/-
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#32 » by Laimbeer » Mon Aug 22, 2011 6:09 pm

Vote: Hondo
Nominate: Cousy (subject to change if out of the running)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#33 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Aug 22, 2011 8:06 pm

colts18 wrote:McGrady vs. Pierce:

03:
McGrady +11.8 (-8.9 off the court) 5th in the league
Pierce +10.1 (-8.4 off the court) 8th in the league

04:
McGrady +4.4 (-10.1 off the court)
Pierce +1.7 (-2.7 off the court)

05:
McGrady +2.0 (+2.4 off court)
Pierce +8.1 (-5.2 off court)

06:
McGrady +5.9 (-4.2 off court)
Pierce +2.6 (-3.5 off court)

07:
McGrady: +7.8 (-0.2 off court)
Pierce +5.9 (-5.9 off court)

In McGrady's prime, he beat out Pierce 4 times out of 5 in +/-


A 5-year prime, in which they both were on pretty dubious teams, and McGrady won -- what?

Pierce was an important player both before and after that 5-year prime. If we count the set of seasons in which Pierce mattered to this team -- which pretty much equals the entire length of Pierce's career to date -- I think you'll find him beating McGrady more often than not.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#34 » by colts18 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 8:27 pm

Fencer reregistered wrote:
colts18 wrote:McGrady vs. Pierce:

03:
McGrady +11.8 (-8.9 off the court) 5th in the league
Pierce +10.1 (-8.4 off the court) 8th in the league

04:
McGrady +4.4 (-10.1 off the court)
Pierce +1.7 (-2.7 off the court)

05:
McGrady +2.0 (+2.4 off court)
Pierce +8.1 (-5.2 off court)

06:
McGrady +5.9 (-4.2 off court)
Pierce +2.6 (-3.5 off court)

07:
McGrady: +7.8 (-0.2 off court)
Pierce +5.9 (-5.9 off court)

In McGrady's prime, he beat out Pierce 4 times out of 5 in +/-


A 5-year prime, in which they both were on pretty dubious teams, and McGrady won -- what?

Pierce was an important player both before and after that 5-year prime. If we count the set of seasons in which Pierce mattered to this team -- which pretty much equals the entire length of Pierce's career to date -- I think you'll find him beating McGrady more often than not.
No one is arguing that Pierce doesnt have more longevity. The argument is whether Pierce longevity makes up for T-Mac being better in his prime and peak as evident by his MVP shares and All-NBA honors.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#35 » by therealbig3 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 9:55 pm

colts18 wrote:
Fencer reregistered wrote:
colts18 wrote:McGrady vs. Pierce:

03:
McGrady +11.8 (-8.9 off the court) 5th in the league
Pierce +10.1 (-8.4 off the court) 8th in the league

04:
McGrady +4.4 (-10.1 off the court)
Pierce +1.7 (-2.7 off the court)

05:
McGrady +2.0 (+2.4 off court)
Pierce +8.1 (-5.2 off court)

06:
McGrady +5.9 (-4.2 off court)
Pierce +2.6 (-3.5 off court)

07:
McGrady: +7.8 (-0.2 off court)
Pierce +5.9 (-5.9 off court)

In McGrady's prime, he beat out Pierce 4 times out of 5 in +/-


A 5-year prime, in which they both were on pretty dubious teams, and McGrady won -- what?

Pierce was an important player both before and after that 5-year prime. If we count the set of seasons in which Pierce mattered to this team -- which pretty much equals the entire length of Pierce's career to date -- I think you'll find him beating McGrady more often than not.
No one is arguing that Pierce doesnt have more longevity. The argument is whether Pierce longevity makes up for T-Mac being better in his prime and peak as evident by his MVP shares and All-NBA honors.


The difference is that when both were in their primes, and outside of 03 and 04, you could only make the case that T-Mac was slightly better. In the last few years, Pierce has been much better than T-Mac. In 01, 02, 05, years that people usually award to T-Mac, Pierce was at the very least right there with him in terms of production. T-Mac was clearly better in 03 and 04, and was clearly better in 07 due to an injury to Pierce. Pierce was clearly better in 06, 08, 09, 10, and 11, by a lot imo.

You could make the case that Pierce is still in his prime, because in his last two years, his scoring is still around 18-19 ppg, his rebounding is still great, his defense is very good, and he's more efficient than he's ever been in his last two years.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#36 » by pancakes3 » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:17 pm

therealbig3 wrote:The difference is that when both were in their primes, and outside of 03 and 04, you could only make the case that T-Mac was slightly better. In the last few years, Pierce has been much better than T-Mac. In 01, 02, 05, years that people usually award to T-Mac, Pierce was at the very least right there with him in terms of production. T-Mac was clearly better in 03 and 04, and was clearly better in 07 due to an injury to Pierce. Pierce was clearly better in 06, 08, 09, 10, and 11, by a lot imo.

You could make the case that Pierce is still in his prime, because in his last two years, his scoring is still around 18-19 ppg, his rebounding is still great, his defense is very good, and he's more efficient than he's ever been in his last two years.


03 and 04 are right in the meaty chunk of the "5 year prime" where TMac is better and by a good margin. 01, 02, and 05 make up the other 3 years of the "5 year prime" where Tmac is still "slightly better." the later seasons, '06-present, discounting pierce's injured '07 season is outside of the "prime" years and so it's not surprising that people aren't on board with your "5 good pierce seasons for 5 good TMac seasons" logic.

I think if we're to really say that this is a list that ranks how GOOD of a player someone was, Tracy was definitely the better player. Kudos to Pierce for having great longevity, and he ranks as a top perimeter player of the 2000's for sure (probably even ahead of Iverson) but TMac was just a better player.

higher volume scorer on similar efficiency, better playmaker on less turnovers, similar rebounding %'s... and frankly PER tells a pretty convincing story here. TMac was a 25 PER guy and Pierce a 20 PER guy. You can say how you don't trust PER but when one player has a 20% edge in PER? that's something you can't just entirely dismiss.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#37 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:41 pm

colts18 wrote: as evident by his MVP shares and All-NBA honors.


"Evident" is much too strong a word.

If you mean "evidenced" -- well yes, but how strong is that as evidence?

The All NBA part is particularly silly, for two reasons. First, Pierce got some nods outside your preferred band of years. Second, they were up for different positions. McGrady made 2nd team over Michael Redd and Baron Davis on 3rd team. Pierce missed 3rd team behind Dirk Nowitski (although the other one that year was Ron Artest).

Also, you're being selective in focusing on regular season accolades. TMac, for example, has never been a Finals MVP. Pierce was, only one year outside your preferred comparison band.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#38 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:45 pm

pancakes3 wrote:similar efficiency,


Other pro-TMac claims may make some sense (e.g. play-making), but that one is a crock.

TMac has rarely had a season that has beaten Pierce's career average in any efficiency metric. (I think there were either one or two, depending on which metric you favor.)

Pierce has rarely had a season that's been below TMac's career average in any efficiency metric.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#39 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:47 pm

colts18 wrote:McGrady vs. Pierce:

03:
McGrady +11.8 (-8.9 off the court) 5th in the league
Pierce +10.1 (-8.4 off the court) 8th in the league

04:
McGrady +4.4 (-10.1 off the court)
Pierce +1.7 (-2.7 off the court)

05:
McGrady +2.0 (+2.4 off court)
Pierce +8.1 (-5.2 off court)

06:
McGrady +5.9 (-4.2 off court)
Pierce +2.6 (-3.5 off court)

07:
McGrady: +7.8 (-0.2 off court)
Pierce +5.9 (-5.9 off court)

In McGrady's prime, he beat out Pierce 4 times out of 5 in +/-


If I'm correct to look at on-off by subtracting the off number from the on number, then even by your hand-selected criteria, McGrady only wins three years out of the five you selected to make your point.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #28 

Post#40 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Aug 22, 2011 11:48 pm

Double post; tried to delete and failed.
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