RealGM Top 100 List #31

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RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#1 » by penbeast0 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:19 am

Criteria: Take into account both peak and career play, era dominance, impact on the game of basketball, and how well their style of play and skills would transcend onto different eras. To be more exact, how great they were at playing the game of basketball.

Voting Will End In 2 Days at 10PM EST

Please vote and nominate

Newest addition:

Kevin McHale
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Hall of Fame 1999
3 NBA Championship Teams
1 All NBA 1st Team
3 All-Defense 1st Team
3 All-Defense 2nd Team
2 Sixth Man of the Year Awards


Tracy McGrady/b]
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Most Improved (2001)
2x1st Team All-NBA
3x2nd Team All-NBA
2x3rd Team All-NBA
7xAll-Star

[b]Paul Pierce

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NBA Champion 2008
2008 NBA Finals MVP
1x All-NBA2ndt Team
3x All-NBA 3rd Team
9x All-STar



Dwight Howard
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4x All-NBA 1st Team
1x All-NBA 3rd Team
3x NBA DEFENSIVE PLAYER OF THE YEAR
3x NBA All-Defensive 1st Team
1x NBA All-Defensive 2nd Team
5x All-STar



Jason Kidd
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NBA Champion 2011
5x All-NBA 1st Team
1x All-NBA 2nd Team
4x All-Defense 1st Team
5x All-Defense 2nd Team
10x All-Star
Rookie of the Year 1995


George Gervin
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5x All-NBA 1st team
2x All-NBA 2nd team
2x All-ABA 2nd Team
12x All-Star (3 ABA, 9 NBA)
All-Star MVP (1980)
Hall of Fame (1996)


Clyde Drexler
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* NBA Champion 1994
* 1x 1st All-NBA
* 2x 2nd All-NBA
* 2x 3rd All-NBA
* 10x All-Star


Gary Payton
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NBA Champion (2006)
2× All-NBA First Team Selection
5× All-NBA Second Team Selection
2x All-NBA Third Team Selections
NBA Defensive Player of the Year (1996)
9x 1st Team All-Defense
9× All-Star


Artis Gilmore
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ABA MVP 1972
ABA Champion 1975
ABA Playoff MVP 1975
5x All-ABA 1st Team
4x ABA All-Defense 1st Team
1x NBA All-Defense 2nd Team
ABA All-Star Game MVP 1974
5xABA All-Star
6xNBA All-Star
ABA Rookie of the Year 1972
Hall of Fame 2011



John Stockton
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2x All-NBA 1st Team
6x All-NBA 2nd Team
3x All-NBA 3rd Team
5x All-Defense 2nd Team
10x All-Star
All-Star MVP (1993)
NBA’s All-Time leader in Assists
NBA’s All-Time leader in Steals
Hall of Fame 2009
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#2 » by penbeast0 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:26 am

Voting Candidates
The PGs: John Stockton is efficient and the all time leader in both assists and steals; Gary Payton is the volume scorer and better defender -- I have traditionally favored Payton but the efficiency both in shooting and in A/TO is tough to argue with and some of the strong pro-Stockton posts have me leaning a little to Stockton at the moment.

Among the wings, there are no top defenders although Gervin and Barry were unusually offense oriented. Gervin didn't pass the way all the others did but is the best scorer of the bunch and that's the main attribute for each of them. Advanced numbers support Gervin or Pierce who is surprisingly strong. Accolades indicate that contemporary observers were less impressed with Pierce and support Gervin or Barry as the most dominant. I'm not a huge fan of Gervin as a piece of a championship team (although I never thought Kobe could win twice with that Laker team either) but the RPOY project has him surprisingly strong whereas Barry outside that one great run disappoints especially if you think Nate Thurmond is a top 50 caliber player (Barry did win an ABA title but that was despite him, not because of him, since he went down halfway into the year and the team didn't skip a beat._

REGULAR SEASON – Gervin is the best scorer but doesn’t have the playmaking
Barry 6.6 reb 4.6ast 24.2pts .525ts%
Drexler 6.5reb 5.9ast 21.7pts .548ts%
Gervin 5.8reb 2.8ast 27.1pts .566ts%
Pierce 5.9reb 3.7ast 21.6pts .569ts%


PLAYOFFS – All perform at a similar or even better rate in their playoffs (in 38-41 mpg)
Barry 6.8 reb 4.5ast 28.7pts .518ts%
Drexler 7.1reb 6.4ast 21.0pts .534ts%
Gervin 7.0reb 2.9ast 27.1pts .560ts%
Pierce 6.5reb 4.0ast 21.4pts .559ts%

ADJUSTED (pace adjusted points and efg adjusted ts%) -- Pierce really is helped by the pace adjustment
Barry (league average 110.2) = 21.9adj ppg (.455 league efg) ..575 adj ts%
Drexler (league average 106.5) = 20.2adj ppg (.491 league efg) .556adj ts%
Gervin (league average 109.2) =24.7adj ppg (.482 league efg) .585 adj ts%
Pierce (league average 97.0) = 22.0adj ppg (.485 league efg) .584 adj ts%

ACCOLADES -- Havlicek didn't even have All-Def his whole career
Barry – 5x1st, 1x2nd All-NBA, 4x1st All-ABA, Finals MVP, .592 (4th in 75, 4th in 76)
Drexler – 1x1st, 2x2nd, 2x3rd All-NBA, .778 MVP Shares (2nd in 1992)
Gervin – 5x1st, 2x2nd All-NBA, 2x2nd All-ABA, .991 MVP Shares (2nd in 78 and 79, 3rd in 80)
Pierce – 1980 Finals MVP, 1x2nd, 3x3rd All-NBA, .040 MVP Shares (best is 7th in 09)



I still prefer Artis Gilmore to any of the other big men out there despite the various posts on him (almost all of which ignore his ABA prime to focus on his NBA years). Although his NBA career isn't overwhelming for anything but scoring efficiently, still a 20ppg scorer who it the MOST EFFICIENT PLAYER IN NBA HISTORY is pretty damned intriguing. Dwight Howard is also a damn good candidate here but with peak not as impressive as Gilmore's ABA peak (though in a tougher environment to dominate as a center) and Gilmore has a solid, if not equally spectacular, NBA career in addition. McHale has only one All-Pro year which was an outlier, otherwise he's an excellent defensive, very efficient 20/8/2 guy with below average rebounding and passing. But, not as dominant defensively nor as efficient as prime Gilmore and Gilmore was a far better rebounder and the prime star on the 75 Kentucky title team.

So, for peak, it's Gilmore and Howard with Gilmore having a long solid career that Howard hasn't yet matched (though I think he will given health). For sustained excellence it's Stockton and Gervin; however I think it would be easier to build a champion around Stockton's all around game than Gervin's isolation scoring. So, either Gilmore or Stockton gets my vote -- for now

VOTE Artis Gilmore


Vote: Artis Gilmore
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#3 » by penbeast0 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:33 am

For the nomination:

PG -- It is between the great playmaking but inefficient even for his era (especially in playoffs) Bob Cousy, and the young gun with 2 great years but only 5 1/2 years total, Chris Paul. Other candidates include the injury prone Kevin Johnson, the surprisingly efficient Chauncey Billups, and possibly Lenny Wilkens from the 60s or the purely offensive Nate Archibald or Pete Maravich from the 70s. Of them, I'd lean to Billups for the efficiency, the defense, and for helping kick the superstar laden Shaq/Kobe/KMalone/Payton Lakers in the ass; if KJ had won with that Phoenix team it would be him easily. Paul and Archibald are superb but only for a short time and that isn't always translating into team success.

Wings -- On the wings, there are still great scorers left . . . I like Alex English's consistency and all around play over the more spectacular but less consistent Bernard King, Mark Aquirre, or David Thompson, the equally consistent but less efficient and lazier defense of Dominique Wilkins or the statistically best Adrian Dantley. Not sure where to rank Hal Greer or Sam Jones's early 60s play or Ray Allen or Reggie Miller's 3 point skills. Defensively, I love Moncrief (and Dumars and Bobby Jones have a shot too but Moncrief was the most dominant at his peak) though the shortness of his peak (5 years then a major falloff) is a big issue. Still, we voted Wade in based on the same, and not even consecutive, peak . . .

Alex English v. Dominique Wilkins
Longevity peak (10 years with Denver, call it 8 year peak v. 11 years with ATL, call it 9 year peak) even
Scoring Volume -- peak never under 25 peaked at 29.8 v. 8 years in a fast paced balanced motion offense v. peak never under 25 peaked at 30.7 in a slow paced isolation offense featuring him -- even
Scoring Efficiency -- English consistently had a shooting efficiency about 30pts higher -- ENGLISH
Playmaking -- English was a more willing passer with better assist/turnover rates -- ENGLISH
Rebounding -- English started out even or better but slipped while Nique stayed strong -- WILKINS
Defense -- Nique often didn't care, English was above average -- ENGLISH
Intangibles -- Both had reps as classy men and good team leaders -- even
Team Impact -- As offensive stars, the team ORTGs (which ignore pace) averaged 4.0 for Denver during English's 8 year peak, 8.67 for Atlanta during NIque's 9 year peak -- ENGLISH
Accolades -- Contemporaries clearly favored the Human Highlight Film -- WILKINS
To me, both were classy offensive machines but the efficiency, defense and passing give it to English


Big Men -- The bigs left all have some issue with their games. Zo had health issues and was always a step behind the best like Shaq/Robinson/Duncan/etc. Willis Reed and Wes Unseld weren't as individually dominant and broke down faster too, while Neil Johnston and Mel Daniels played against inferior competition during their primes and were more limited besides. Dave Cowens was an inefficient scorer and not a great help defender though a super hustle guy. Bob McAdoo while his 5 year peak is spectacular, didn't play big man defense and his teams didn't dominate; Bob Lanier and Walt Bellamy had nice numbers but their teams weren't that much either and Detroit with Lanier sucked defensively for 9 of Lanier's 10 prime years which I consider pretty bad. Finally there is Dikembe Mutombo who was a great shot blocker and consistent player for years. Finally, Bill Walton had one great year (not that much better than Wes Unseld's MVP year) but every other year he broke down and left the Portland and San Diego teams which had built around him destroyed until he made another 1 year comeback as a top reserve. I wouldn't choose a one in eight shot at catching lightning in a bottle at the expense of a virtually guaranteed team crash the other seven over most of the above named players.

At PF, Hayes scores, rebounds, and plays defense but was inefficient and a jerk, and Bobby Jones and Dennis Rodman may be the greatest pair of defensive forwards but Jones, while extremely efficient, didn't score or rebound that much while Rodman had no offense and for 1/2 his career, left his man at times to pad his rebounding stats at the team's expense. Hayes led his team to 3 finals and a title with Wes Unseld beside him and probably was the best overall though I love Bobby Jones on almost any team.

So, Billups v. Moncrief v. English v. Hayes or Bobby Jones v. Unseld or Zo . . . For consistent dominance, it is Hayes or English, for peak pretty easily Moncrief; for now I will go with

NOMINATION: Sidney Moncrief
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#4 » by penbeast0 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:36 am

mysticbb from a list

Vote: John Stockton

Nominate: Reggie Miller
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#5 » by TMACFORMVP » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:51 am

Vote: Gary Payton
Nominate: Dominique Wilkins
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#6 » by ronnymac2 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 2:52 am

Vote: Gary Payton

Nominate: Bob McAdoo
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#7 » by JordansBulls » Mon Aug 29, 2011 3:07 am

Vote: Clyde Drexler
Nominate: Dominique Wilkins
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#8 » by ElGee » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:54 am

vote: Gary Payton
nominate: Chris Paul

Let's revisit this longevity issue. I've got Paul and Howard right next to each other. They came into the league a year apart.

Paul's got 76 WS, is 35th in MVP shares 3 all-NBA's (5x WC POM).
Howard's got 80 WS, is 28th in MVP shares 5 all-NBA's (6x EC POM).

To summarily dismiss Paul because of longevity seems bizarre to me, just on the surface.

And it doesn't stop there. The contributions of Walton, Alonzo Mourning, Kevin Johnson, Marques Johnson, Penny Hardaway, Grant Hill, David Thompson and Bernard King are all significant when compared to the rest of this field. These players are typically downgraded on past lists bc (1) Their team's lost and (2) lack of longevity...but the spirit of this project is to deviate from past list criteria.

Everyone still has to weigh peak vs. longevity. But of course, everyone has been doing this in his own way since the beginning of the project. There is no reason to change now. 3, 4 or 5 really fantastic seasons are still just that...fantastic. And they provide more value toward a championship than 7 or 8 "good" seasons. Adding an AS to a team usually helps them a little (depending on fit). Adding a top-5 player always helps them A LOT. It's a difference maker. The people I mentioned have fit that description. The more celebrated, long-term players never did (mostly).

So, make what you will of Chris Paul. But I ask that people re-evaluate these players in the context of this project.

Aren't we at a point when two MVP-dominant seasons would be better than almost everything that's left? Would you rather have peak Jordan for two seasons or Ray Allen's contributions over his career? If your answer is "well, Allen gives me 10 good chances on a good team," I will remind you that the majority of teams you add Ray Allen to will *NOT* be good teams. But, in those 2 seasons, adding Michael Jordan will likely yield 2 titles in a number of settings -- he can lift average teams to title-contender. Because of this, I'd argue it's easier to win a single championship with Jordan twice with random team-building than with Allen 10x and random team-building.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#9 » by drza » Mon Aug 29, 2011 5:13 am

Vote: Jason Kidd
Nominate: Dominique Wilkins
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#10 » by ElGee » Mon Aug 29, 2011 5:32 am

Just to quickly expand on this mathematically, so everyone understands where I'm coming from:

Using the normalization I've been using for the SIO numbers, we can give a player a rough value that he adds to a given team. I think it's fair in this example to use +7.0 SIO for Jordan and +3.0 for Allen. That means MJ takes a .500 team to ~7 SRS on average (60 wins) and Ray Ray a .500 team to ~3 SRS (49 wins). (You can judge the long-term SIO results posted in the statistical forum and see if that seems fair...)

If that's the case, adding each player to a random roster as constructed in 2011 would lead to the following SRS's:

At that rate, Jordan would bring 23 teams over a 5 SRS -- 55 wins a fairly good historical cutoff (depending on season) for title contention. Conversely, Allen would be on 8 teams over a 5 SRS.

But the higher the SRS, the higher the probability a team wins the playoff. A player like Allen isn't usually going to lift a contender to dominant status. An MVP-level player will. Jordan has 15 teams shifted to over 7 SRS in that example...to 0 for Allen.

A crude mathematical example...but it demonstrates the difference in value across random teams between an all-time level season and an all-star level season. One makes a massive difference in a single season in the championship picture, the other doesn't.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#11 » by lorak » Mon Aug 29, 2011 6:20 am

vote: Stockton
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#12 » by Snakebites » Mon Aug 29, 2011 6:37 am

Vote: Payton
Nominate: Wilkins
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#13 » by Dr Positivity » Mon Aug 29, 2011 8:00 am

Jordan for 2 years vs Ray Allen is obviously an entirely different question than Paul for 2 years vs Ray Allen, and even then, 2 years of Jordan probably means you win less titles than Ray Allen has. If Jordan had knee surgery and was never the same after 88, he would be slightly more well regarded than Bernard King or David Thompson because of having an MVP, but not that much more. Having short primes didn't work out for King or Thompson's teams and it wouldn't have for the Bulls if they just had till 88. And it certainly hasn't for the Hornets. The Hornets, Thompson Nuggets, King Knicks, hypothetical prime done after 88 Jordan all share something in common, they'd have flamed out before their teams even had a chance to contend once, let alone go through the rigours of getting kicks at the can over and over until it works as most do before they win

I'm a big Paul fan but him vs Nique, English, Allen, Miller, Reed, Hill, Gasol, etc. isn't a grand canyon gap by my standards. Those guys do most of what you want at their positions and have all led 50-55 W+ teams. Paul had a team that fit him, a lower tier all-star PF, defensive Cs, and a lot of 3pt shooters and hasn't carried the Hornets farther than those guys did. I'm willing to say he's better than them, but just how much? Is Paul good enough to be a 20-25 guy with a 10 year career? Sure. But is the gap between the 20-25 guys and 35-50 guys on this list really that big? Just how much better is Elgin Baylor than Alex English? Just how much better is Patrick Ewing than Dave Cowens? etc.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#14 » by ronnymac2 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 8:14 am

ElGee wrote:Just to quickly expand on this mathematically, so everyone understands where I'm coming from:

Using the normalization I've been using for the SIO numbers, we can give a player a rough value that he adds to a given team. I think it's fair in this example to use +7.0 SIO for Jordan and +3.0 for Allen. That means MJ takes a .500 team to ~7 SRS on average (60 wins) and Ray Ray a .500 team to ~3 SRS (49 wins). (You can judge the long-term SIO results posted in the statistical forum and see if that seems fair...)

If that's the case, adding each player to a random roster as constructed in 2011 would lead to the following SRS's:

At that rate, Jordan would bring 23 teams over a 5 SRS -- 55 wins a fairly good historical cutoff (depending on season) for title contention. Conversely, Allen would be on 8 teams over a 5 SRS.

But the higher the SRS, the higher the probability a team wins the playoff. A player like Allen isn't usually going to lift a contender to dominant status. An MVP-level player will. Jordan has 15 teams shifted to over 7 SRS in that example...to 0 for Allen.

A crude mathematical example...but it demonstrates the difference in value across random teams between an all-time level season and an all-star level season. One makes a massive difference in a single season in the championship picture, the other doesn't.


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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#15 » by Dr Positivity » Mon Aug 29, 2011 8:32 am

I like the McAdoo mention, he did have 5-6 years of clear all-star ability with the massive 3 year MVP caliber stretch, then more valuable years reinventing himself in LA. I think McAdoo and Tmac is a solid comparison actually. Both with massive peaks, limited in longevity... both ended up being in the 'doesn't quite get it' zone which put a big damper on their careers, to go with lack of great longevity.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#16 » by babyjax13 » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:00 pm

Vote: John Stockton
Nominate: Bob McAdoo

The fact that he is the all time leader in steals and assists should earn him a pretty high spot; Stockton also lead the Jazz to dominate the western conference through the mid to late nineties. Seems like an easy choice to me...Payton was a great player and has a ring to his name, but on an individual level wasn't as good for as long. Stockton was a top tier point guard until he retired.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#17 » by FJS » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:13 pm

Vote: John Stockton
Nonimate: Elvin Hayes
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#18 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:21 pm

ElGee wrote:Just to quickly expand on this mathematically, so everyone understands where I'm coming from:

Using the normalization I've been using for the SIO numbers, we can give a player a rough value that he adds to a given team. I think it's fair in this example to use +7.0 SIO for Jordan and +3.0 for Allen. That means MJ takes a .500 team to ~7 SRS on average (60 wins) and Ray Ray a .500 team to ~3 SRS (49 wins). (You can judge the long-term SIO results posted in the statistical forum and see if that seems fair...)

If that's the case, adding each player to a random roster as constructed in 2011 would lead to the following SRS's:

At that rate, Jordan would bring 23 teams over a 5 SRS -- 55 wins a fairly good historical cutoff (depending on season) for title contention. Conversely, Allen would be on 8 teams over a 5 SRS.

But the higher the SRS, the higher the probability a team wins the playoff. A player like Allen isn't usually going to lift a contender to dominant status. An MVP-level player will. Jordan has 15 teams shifted to over 7 SRS in that example...to 0 for Allen.

A crude mathematical example...but it demonstrates the difference in value across random teams between an all-time level season and an all-star level season. One makes a massive difference in a single season in the championship picture, the other doesn't.


I think it's good to try to discuss peak vs longevity issue directly like this. I maintain that there is no one right way to rate peak vs longevity, but everyone should really think about how they themselves do it and really try to be consistent.

I'm totally with LG that one should put a special weight on peak and prime, and should appreciate the special place of someone who boosts a team quite a bit in any particular year.

The "happy" balance I came to at the start of the project was to think in terms of drafting a player. After all, the reason I'm willing to sacrifice technical career value to some degree for a superior peak is because as an owner/GM, winning titles is a really big deal and I'd be willing to accept some down years if it meant uping those title odds a lot.

And that all sounds like a great recipe for boosting guys with great peaks accordingly...but as we've been doing the last half a dozen or so nominations which involve some players with some serious short careers, I'm having difficulty.

Consider Reggie Miller vs Howard or Paul. If Howard or Paul retired tomorrow, would they really be seen as much as a franchise hero as Miller is to Indiana? Now, I realize one can say "Well, if they had had better teammates, Howard/Paul's peak edge over Miller would be the difference between winning titles or not." and this is a very good point for everyone to consider, but I don't know if it's enough to sway me.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#19 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:34 pm

Also wanted people to meditate on Miller vs Nique a bit since Nique just almost got nominated.

First thing is that they both played in the NBA until they were 39. Career Win Shares? Miller 174, Wilkins 118. Pretty self explanatory what that means, the obvious rebutal is "What about peak?".

Well think about this: In the playoffs, Wilkins had a PER north of 20 only twice, never reaching higher than 23. Miller by contrast broke 20 in the playoffs 10 times.

Miller's placement for All-NBA and All-Star accolades was weak in large part because he didn't actually have huge scoring numbers. While someone like Nique broke 30, Miller didn't break 25. However, come playoff time, both broke 25 in 5 years. But while Nique's best efficiency of those years was 52.7% TS, and he was always flirting with 50%, all of Reggie's had him with TS% north of 60.

In other words, in addition to being far more able to contribute helping his team at an advanced age, even in their primes, when it really mattered, Miller was known as a playoff hero for a reason. This was not someone whose game relied only on being able to get a middling number of open shots per game, but rather someone who could volume scorer with great effectiveness as his teammates struggled with fierce playoff defense.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #31 

Post#20 » by lorak » Mon Aug 29, 2011 4:42 pm

What with Ray Allen? Isn't he better than Reggie?
And if McAdoo gets nomination shouldn't Iverson also gets some recognition?

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