How the New Updates to the Competitive Balance Lottery will Affect the Blue Jays
With the new changes to the CBA, how will this affect MLB teams?
Jonathan Mayo has recently posted an article up at mlb.com regarding additional details regarding the competitive balance lottery. Here are a summary of those details:
- The lottery will occur one day after the draft signing period. The tentative date is July 14th, 2012
- Teams will only be allowed to trade picks during the season. That is, from July 14th, 2012 until the end of the regular season. Teams will not be allowed to trade their draft picks until opening day of the following season leading up until the draft.
- Mayo also provides a list of the teams that will be involved in the lottery. They’re chance of winning is based on their prior year record. Teams are as follows:
Arizona Diamondbacks
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
Baltimore Orioles
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
As you can see, there is a mix of non-contending and contending teams alike. With the different philosophies of these teams, you’ll see them handle their lottery draft picks differently (assuming they win one, of course):
- Contending teams could immediately use picks to pick up pieces for a playoff run. Teams like St. Louis could use their picks to pick up relievers instead of having to use underachieving players like Colby Rasmus.
- Non-contending teams can use their picks to speed up their rebuilding process by trading draft picks for players with lower seasons closer to the majors. (Billy Beane will probably be all over this).
- Teams like the Tampa Bay Rays will continue to attempt to draft well and will in all likelihood hang onto their pick. Unless, of course, they’re in need of adding to their current roster.
How this affects the Blue Jays:
The Blue Jays, having one of the bigger markets, are likely never to get involved in the draft lotto themselves. However, they will be extremely active on the trade front. This additional aspect also adds to a comment I had mentioned in an earlier blog regarding relief pitchers (if you missed it, you can read it here). This new process almost recreates the Type B free agent reliever with some modifications.
Let’s look at Casey Janssen and Carlos Villanueva as examples. Both are in the final year of their contract and will not garner any kind of compensation once they leave in free agency. However, if teams engaged in playoff races may require relievers for their playoff run and may be obliged to give up their draft pick to obtain a Janssen or Villanueva.
Will relievers on 1-year contracts like Carlos Villanueva become the next Type B draft compensation for the Toronto Blue Jays?
Furthermore, against what I’ve also said in my last blog, it seems that AA will once again be aggressive in obtaining players on 1-year deals, especially relievers. All while continuing to stockpile young relievers. Basically, relievers have maintained the ability to receive compensation through trades of draft choices, or something similar to the Type B status of the past. If AA signs relievers to 1-year deals in the coming months, expect him to look to trade them next July, as well as Janssen and Villanueva.
August and September will generally become more active in the draft, as position players in the last year of their contract that will not garner compensation for their team and clear waivers, could be dealt for draft picks if contending teams still have them. September will involve more non-contending teams trying to get deals out of the way to add prospects for the following season.
Look for guys like Edwin Encarnacion, Luis Valbuena, Casey Janssen, and Carlos Villanueva as well as any 1-year signings to be included as pieces traded for draft picks. Also look for excess prospects that don’t project high enough to be included in the Blue Jays long-term plans to be included as trade for draft pick possibilities as well.
In final, the ability to trade CBL draft picks will become the new, morphed version of the ranked free agent, as teams attempt to unload players in the final year of their deal, as well as prospects not considered in their long term plans. Look for Alex Anthopoulos to explore it to the fullest.
With a continued growth in our current system, it’s hard not to imagine the possibility of Alex Anthopoulos attempting to acquire ALL 12 lottery picks.
That’s a lot of interviews, eh Alleycat?
http://jaysprospects.com/2011/11/30/how ... ment-10590
Want: Trae Young, Michael Porter Jr., DeAndre Ayton, Jaren Jackson Jr, Marvin Bagley III, Mohamad Bamba, Shai Gilgeous- Alexander, Elie Okobo, Jevon Carter