RealGM Top 100 List #73

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#41 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Nov 28, 2011 3:35 am

therealbig3 wrote:Fair enough, I did say as of now, because I could be convinced to put Price back ahead of Deron...but I'm not really seeing Parker over Deron.

If Deron's not having superstar impact, then clearly neither is Parker. The only real edge he has on Deron is longevity. Parker doesn't really hit his prime until 05, so we have 7 prime seasons from him, compared to 4 for Deron. Are three extra seasons for Parker enough to compensate for the fact that he's clearly not as good as Deron, and clearly had an inferior peak? And I understand that APM is big for you, and I know that Deron isn't all that impressive in those terms...but he's still better than Parker, from what I've seen. Ilardi's study ranks Parker ahead of Williams, but all of the RAPM studies rank Williams ahead of Parker.

And btw, I don't think Utah gave up on Deron. Well I mean they did, but I don't think it's because they lost confidence in him as a franchise player. A few reasons for my thinking:

-Everyone, including the fan base, the media, teammates, coaches, and Williams himself, was shocked that he was traded

-Williams led them to a bunch of very successful seasons, they just couldn't get past the Lakers or Spurs

-He did fight with Sloan...but what superstar hasn't had a problem with their head coach at some point?

-I think the whole situation with Melo scared Utah into thinking they could potentially lose their superstar for nothing, so they decided to trade him for what they could get

I don't really see what Williams could have done to have them give up on him as their franchise player...they were a perennial playoff team with him (always a middle seed it seemed), and he always played well in the playoffs for them. They still could have made the playoffs if they kept him in 2011...after he was traded, their playoff hopes went out the window.


I can definitely see the case for Deron over Parker, I do think though that Deron was put in a gaudy stat situation for a while before he actually started having real star-level impact, and I think Parker's in a situation where gaudy stats would just never happen. As such I do think people overrate the longevity of Deron as a superior player, and people tend to not appreciate that being the 3rd leg of a stable dynasty-ish team is a pretty big deal. No argument from me though that Deron's the superior peak player though so at a certain point it comes down to GOAT-philosophy rather than anything more pressing.

Re: The trade. Yeah, this is something we're going to have to meditate on for a long time, maybe forever. While it sounds like I'm using it to damn Deron, what I'm really doing is trying to be cautious in how I elevate him when I see red flags.

I mean, it's all well and good to say Utah was just being proactive knowing they couldn't re-sign Deron...but the primary piece they got for Deron was a power forward, and their two best current players not named Deron were both...power forwards, one of whom they just acquired this year. To say that we're going to be looking at Jazz management with a critical eye for years to come is an understatement. They look like they are completely crazy at this point after decades of being considered one of the 3 best run franchises in the league.

I'll also make clear that I personally factor in off court stuff to my list. It's the reason why I have Duncan ahead of Shaq.

So anyway, maybe in the end we come off thinking that the Jazz were completely crazy, and that Deron is indeed an MVP-level performer with know negative intangibles, and at that point my evaluation of Deron's career is going to get a more vehement thumb's up from me. At this point though, there is a legit question of what all he's accomplished.

A question to ponder: I would certainly expect that no one considers Deron to be a HOFer right now. If I asked the same question of Tony Parker, how would you react? Even if you say "No" to him as well, do you hesitate a bit longer?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#42 » by therealbig3 » Mon Nov 28, 2011 3:57 am

I say "No" to Parker just as easily as to Williams...Parker won 3 rings and was Finals MVP...that's a good resume, and that's probably why a few people would put him in, but to me, that's a result of playing with a top 10 player of all time, one of the GOAT coaches, a very solid supporting group of players (including a 2nd option that's better than you in Ginobili), and one of the best front offices in the league. You're going to win. Props to Parker for exploding in the Finals and winning FMVP in 07, but I think it's crazy to suggest that he was more important than Duncan. And we shouldn't forget that his contributions as a 3rd option to the Spurs haven't exactly been consistent:

-The 07 Finals was the only Finals of his 3 championships in which he actually showed up; he was pretty mediocre/non-existent in the 03 and 05 Finals

-Overall, he's not even that great of a playoff performer, his efficiency in the playoffs takes a nose dive, and he disappears for series at a time. He was very disappointing in these past playoffs especially, and was outplayed by Conley for the most part, even though the Spurs desperately needed him to play great.

I just think Parker gets overrated by playing on a great team. He's a very good player, who's excellent at what he's asked to do. Tim Duncan opens things up a lot for slashers, and Parker takes full advantage of that, and he's good at driving and kicking and finding open shooters. He's also a fantastic finisher at the rim...he just doesn't miss layups, even the really hard ones. But his inconsistent outside shooting, his lack of aggression at times, and his mediocre FT shooting are real problems, and on top of that, he's not a great creator, he makes the simple passes and takes care of the ball. All of these weaknesses have been exploited in the playoffs, and although I haven't looked at it in depth, I'm sure that it's cost the Spurs a few series. None of that screams HOF to me...at least with Deron, I have seasons with big box score stats that seem to correlate strongly with team success, very impressive playoff performances, and a four-year stretch when he was legitimately top 5 at his position.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#43 » by drza » Mon Nov 28, 2011 4:41 am

Back from being (unexpectedly) completely off the grid since Wednesday. In my absence the NBA lockout ended!!! Plus, I missed a vote or two on here.

I'm coming in completely cold, don't have strong feelings on the vote. I'll sleep on it.

On the nomination side, I like the Mark Price talk and that Ben Wallace is getting mentions as well. They'll be up next for me. But for now,

Nominate: Chris Webber
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#44 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Nov 28, 2011 5:12 am

realbig, I get that, but do you realize how easily I could substitute "Worthy" in for "Parker" there? I don't remember your opinion on Worthy, so I have no idea if that makes you hesitate at all. It is something that makes me hesitate to some degree. I look at Parker's career, and think, yeah, he was an important part of something.

By contrast, to this point Deron just feels like he was just starting something, and it got cutoff without completion. Whether or not it was his fault, there's no legacy there.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#45 » by lorak » Mon Nov 28, 2011 5:34 am

therealbig3 wrote:And something that's interesting to me, and everyone can take this as they will, is that in the 12 games that Williams played for the Nets this past year, they had a 107.9 ORating. For the season overall, the Nets had a 103.1 ORating, which was 27th in the league. With Williams, they would have been 14th in the league offensively.


That's nice, but how do you explain 2009, when Deron missed 14 games? Jazz ortg without him was better than with him by 1.1. And in 2011 Jazz offense was worse without him by 2.4 - so significant improvement, but nothing special, for sure that's not more valuable impact than Price's.


And I would like you to elaborate on that: I think Price is a good impact player, but he's not anchoring an offense, like his numbers suggest.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#46 » by ronnymac2 » Mon Nov 28, 2011 5:45 am

OK, since I haven't fully teased out an argument for Deron, I'll nominate C-Web. Deron is definitely on my radar now. Dude is a legit offensive anchor for playoff team.

Vote: David Thompson

Nominate: Chris Webber


Thompson gets in over Archibald because I simply don't have enough evidence for peak Archibald in the playoffs. Thompson was pretty good.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#47 » by ElGee » Mon Nov 28, 2011 5:53 am

Vote worthy
Nominate webber
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#48 » by lukekarts » Mon Nov 28, 2011 10:59 am

I'm gonna vote James Worthy here; I've made plenty of arguments in earlier topics.

My nomination will go to Jerry Lucas. One of the best big men of the 60's, multiple 1st team selections; just a tiny bit more impactful than Webber IMO.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#49 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Nov 29, 2011 1:17 am

Alright, gotta pick someone...

Nominate: Lucas
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#50 » by penbeast0 » Tue Nov 29, 2011 4:51 am

VOTE
Bobby Jones – penbeast0, Doctor MJ, Keeslinator
James Worthy – JordansBulls, Dr Mufasa, DavidStern, ElGee, lukekarts
Nate Archibald – therealbig3, Laimbeer
David Thompson – ronnymac2

NOMINATE
Jerry Lucas – penbeast0, Laimbeer, lukekarts, DoctorMJ
Chris Webber – ronnymac2, JordansBulls, drza, ronnymac2, ElGee
Jack Sikma – Dr Mufasa
Larry Nance – Keeslinator
Mark Price – DavidStern
Dandridge – therealbig3
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #73 

Post#51 » by ronnymac2 » Tue Nov 29, 2011 5:40 am

Pen, I appreciate you thinking my nomination counts twice as much as everybody else's. :wink:
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