Post#295 » by Severn Hoos » Tue Dec 27, 2011 5:57 am
I realize that cataloging the Wizards' shortcomings is a Sisyphean task, but if one were to begin the list, it would have to start with:
1. Shooting
2. Post scoring
3. Defensive Rebounding
4. Post Defense
(I realize that Post defense is a huge, glaring weakness, but in terms of opportunity costs, you could add Dikembe Mutombo and the team would still struggle to get out of the 70s. That's why I use the order listed above.)
So the good news is, this draft looks to be really long on shooters. Barnes, Beal, Lamb, the other Lamb all should be solid-to-great shooters in the NBA. Even if the Wiz take a Big Man with their own pick, I would really love to see them find a way to somehow get one of those 4 guys to provide some kind of shooting ability to the current roster.
As you guys know, I was Sullinger's #1 fan here last year, and would be ecstatic to see him on the Wiz. Just a heady, physical guy, hard worker, good teammate. And maybe the most fundamentally sound post scorer in college ball today. I understand the concern about whether he will be able to get his shot off in the NBA, and it does give me pause. In fact, if the Wiz are picking top 3, even I would probably pass on Jared, as much as it kills me - all the while thinking that I'd end up regretting it. But, you know he'll be solid, he'll grab boards and hold his position, although many of the current PFs will shoot right over him. Still, I would hardly be disappointed if he joins the team this summer.
Henson would give the Wiz defense and rebounding. And yet, I wouldn't touch him with a 10-foot pole. oh, don't get me wrong, he's an outstanding prospect. But it would be painful to add him to the current roster - talk about offensively challenged, we'd be looking at pre-shot clock scoring outputs.
I want no part of T. Jones. Same deal, we have some solid defenders, hustle guys, athuletes already. I've loved the attitude transplant from Booker, Singleton, Vesely, and even Crawford. Now, it's time to add some skill players. Henson and Jones don't give you that.
Also why I would pass on Perry Jones. He's got skills, to be sure, but I need to be more convinced we're not looking at reintroducing the knucklehead factor.
I'd take Davis - even though his current contribution is more like Henson's - purely on potential. He passes the eye test, as you can imagine him filling both the defender/rebounder role and possibly the skilled big man role on offense. But, he would have a long way to go to get there - he'll have to fill out, and develop an automatic mid-range jumper. I think he'll get there, but I still have some apprehension until he does so.
Drummond is a giant question mark for me, as I haven't seen a minute of him playing yet. Based on other people's observations, I think he could be very good. Can he coexist with McGee? Or would the team look to S&T McGee (can you still do that? I'm woefully behind on the new CBA) or even let him walk? Yikes, talk about putting all your eggs in one basket...
The hard part for me is that my "favorite" guys in this year's draft are all clearly limited. In terms of guys I'd feel really good about adding, it would look like: Sullinger, Barnes, J. Lamb, Beal. Are any of those guys legitimate 2nd stars? And when you consider that he would have to supplement some of the areas that our current #1 star doesn't have, we need more than just a sidekick. I don't know that any of those guys fit that bill, though every one would be a great 3rd option.
So what to do? Well, I don't think we need to worry about the ping pong balls, they'll take care of themselves this year.
So I'll be watching those 4 guys, plus Davis & Drummond, and hoping that our newest addition is one of those 6 players. Just about anyone else - barring a surprise emerging from the NCAAs or International ranks - would be a disappointment, IMO.
"A society that puts equality - in the sense of equality of outcome - ahead of freedom will end up with neither equality nor freedom. The use of force to achieve equality will destroy freedom" Milton Friedman, Free to Choose