Post#1267 » by MagicFan41 » Fri Dec 23, 2011 12:50 pm
Look at the past 20 years of champions or so, and name me ONE that quickly "rebuilt through the draft" after tanking for a while. The only one that comes close is the Spurs, and they just got really really lucky that they got to pick up arguably the best PF of all time (and that ONLY happened because David Robinson, one of the top centers in the league at the time was injured all season so they sucked). Sort of like what is going on with the Colts in the NFL right now. However...
Mavs: not even close, all trades and FA signings and spending lots of money and sticking with their guy, and their guy sticking with them
Lakers: name me one guy the Lakers have drafted in the past 10 years who did anything for them - and if you say Bynum, I want you to be the first one who welcomes him with open arms, because 99% of the people on this board hate on him relentlessly because of his injuries, so you can't be in both boats at the same time. Plus, Bynum was only acquired because the Lakers sucked for a few years after Shaq, even with one of the all-time-greats in Kobe, so this should be another sign that just when you have a superstar, it doesn't always mean you contend. And the Marc Gasol draft pick and/or Kwame that landed them Pau doesn't count either. That was bush-league ridiculousness that doesn't happen for anybody but the Lakers.
Spurs: They were always contenders since Duncan, which I discussed, and their draft picks weren't ever high, they just drafted well late, but that completely refutes the idea of tanking, and supports my idea of keeping talent around and simply scouting better. Spurs meaningful draft picks after Duncan were: Ginobli 57th, Parker 28th, Scola 55th, Salmons 26th, Barbosa 28th, Splitter 28th, George Hill 26th, Blair 37th. So yeh, not exactly tanking and getting high picks. Simply amazing drafting (mostly internationally).
Heat: they were probably the closest to doing the tanking and rebuilding thing with the Wade draft, but they also got very lucky in being able to trade for Shaq that year, and still have some good veterans around those 2 as role players. Plus, we all know what happened after Shaq left...the Heat haven't been exactly relevant in the past 5 yrs. This past year they simply had a friend-concocted, Riley orchestrated coup in which one of the top players (if not the top) in the league in Lebron came to join arguably the best SG in the game in Wade, and then their lil lapdog friend in Bosh, another all-star joined them. That was a first, and it probably won't ever happen again, so that's not much of a case study. Plus, if we got rid of our superstar, nobody would be coming here to join him anyways. Irrelevant.
Pistons: the only guy they really drafted was Prince and Darko (which everyone laughed/laughs at with gut-splitting force) - everybody else on that perennially contending team (Rip, Rasheed, Ben Wallace, etc) was acquired through either trade or FA signing. They simply put together a great team of tough-nosed guys, some young, some older, who played well together.
Lakers a decade ago: They got the steal of the century in being able to trade Vlade for Kobe (they didn't really tank and rebuild through their own draft picks), as well as being able to steal Shaq from us. Then they had a bunch of good older role players surrounding those two. So both Lakers dynasties of the past decade didn't rebuild through tanking and drafting
Bulls: Yeh, if you want to consider "rebuilding through the draft" to mean getting the greatest of all time and then waiting 8 years for him to win his first one? Don't forget he wasn't drafted 1st either. So just because you have high picks doesn't mean you're getting a championship piece. Just ask the post-Jordan Bulls who "rebuilt" with Elton Brand as the #1 overall pick in 1999....followed by #4 pick Marcus Fizer and #7 pick Chris Mihm in 2000. Followed by #4 pick Eddy Curry in 2001. Followed by #2 pick Jay Williams in 2002. Yeh, hall of famers, all of them... The key pieces of their championship runs (Kukoc was drafted 29th overall - Pippen was drafted by the Sonics and traded to the Bulls for Olden Polynice, one of the worst trades ever - Rodman was acquired late in his career as FA I believe) weren't really built up through the draft. In fact, the Bulls SUCKED at drafting with super high picks for years, as I just mentioned.
Rockets: I don't exactly think Hakeem, one of the greatest centers ever to play the game, 10 years later counts as "rebuilding through the draft". Hell, the very year before the Dream, the Rockets had the #1 pick as well, and they drafted Ralph Sampson, so that should show just how wrong the experiment could've gone. It took them 10 years after drafting Hakeem to pick up Horry with the #11 pick and Cassell with the #24 while surrounding them with guys like Clyde, Maxwell, Kenny Smith etc before even the Dream won a championship or two.
Even a lot of the other teams that were contenders but didn't win it over the years weren't typically substantially built through the draft: Jazz, Nets, Sonics, Knicks...
Yes I am aware that OKC is a nice anomaly of how it CAN be done, but that's an extreme rarity. They got the #2, #3, #4 picks back to back to back, and drafted basically perfectly. Almost never ever happens. Greg Oden anybody? Even Memphis was partially built through trades (anybody hating on that Marc Gasol trade all that much NOW?). It simply isn't the norm. For every team like an OKC, I can name you 10 that failed miserably.
You can go back many many many years and find little to no teams that ever won a championship historically by doing it that way, at least not anytime remotely soon after (and look, we almost did it with Dwight, and now look, 7 yrs into it....just like the Cavs almost did with Lebron, they both want out). Gone are the days of the NBA where guys like Jordan, Hakeem, Stockton/Malone, Ewing, etc all stick with their teams so that if you draft them, you have their careers to put guys around them. It's a different beast now.