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Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30)

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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#641 » by rcklsscognition » Sun Apr 22, 2012 10:14 am

Bensational wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:

As far as Dwight, he is overkill. We don't need him offensively and we could find a cheaper alternative in a defensive center that has a limited post game but preferably a mid-range jumper so he doesn't sit in the paint all game and clog it up. He would also be able to pass. We can all see our offense is running smoothly without him in the game. I'm not really saying our system is wrong, I personally don't enjoy it, but I know a lot of people here don't like the 1 in 4 out, but with Dwight and what skills he has, that's what we're going to run.

At this moment in time, we just happen to be in the unfortunate position of having no defensive center on a team designed to have one. If you replaced Dwight right now with a defensive specialist, would we not be better with that + our current offense?


defensive specialist C's still aren't easy to come by.

i think that despite the team's recent change in gear, people are forgetting that we're still only 3-6 since Dwight went down with back problems - including losses to the Pistons and Wizards. we've scared a couple decent teams, but we're yet to really make a statement that says "this team is capable of winning without Dwight".

against the Pacers, though, i'm quietly hoping that Davis can do enough to hold Hibbert down. Davis was really useful for the Celtics against Howard in recent playoff series, hopefully he can bring that against the Pacers as well.


Not saying they're a dime a dozen, but they're cheaper. We could get someone for 9-14 mil a year instead of 20. Then we have 6-11 mil more to play with.

I never said this team is better without Dwight, I said this team + a defensive center is better. Everyone here is talking about how this team is 3-6 and they don't consider that this team is 3-6 without Dwight playing but with Dwight on our capspace. If Dwight's 20 mil was not on our cap and a 9-14 mil a year defensive center and another MLE type player at 5-7 mil was, we'd be as good or slightly better IMO.

I think we're overpaying for Dwight's abilities that overlap and cancel out some of our talent. I think we're paying 8 mil a year for Dwight's offensive/leadership contributions that we don't need. Yes, we need his defense, which I value at about 12 million a year, but there are players out there that can give us enough defense to succeed and cost 9-13 per. If that $7-11 mil is spent on a good player, who can play D and score, improve our wing defense, we'd not need such a great defender in the paint.

In the end, we have a system and I'm fine with it. But there are alternatives. I know the instant reaction is, see, we're 3-6 without Dwight and giving up 50% from the field, these guys suck! But, you have to keep in perspective that if Dwight really wasn't here, there'd be a replacement for him. We'd have 20 million worth of replacements for him in whatever form works for the team. The fear is Dwight has some special intangible skillset that will put us over the top, some leadership skill that will motivate his teammates, and we're losing that if we don't have him. The cost of having the best center in the game who is not good enough overall on his own to win is that you're still paying him as though he is. Too much superstar overhead on Dwight at this point in time. Granted, he might improved enough to make it worth it, and if he stays here, I hope he does.

I think that might have been my longest post ever, I've got a good gin and tonic buzz going and was feeling this topic there for a while. :lol:
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#642 » by Bensational » Sun Apr 22, 2012 10:51 am

rcklsscognition wrote:
Bensational wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:

As far as Dwight, he is overkill. We don't need him offensively and we could find a cheaper alternative in a defensive center that has a limited post game but preferably a mid-range jumper so he doesn't sit in the paint all game and clog it up. He would also be able to pass. We can all see our offense is running smoothly without him in the game. I'm not really saying our system is wrong, I personally don't enjoy it, but I know a lot of people here don't like the 1 in 4 out, but with Dwight and what skills he has, that's what we're going to run.

At this moment in time, we just happen to be in the unfortunate position of having no defensive center on a team designed to have one. If you replaced Dwight right now with a defensive specialist, would we not be better with that + our current offense?


defensive specialist C's still aren't easy to come by.

i think that despite the team's recent change in gear, people are forgetting that we're still only 3-6 since Dwight went down with back problems - including losses to the Pistons and Wizards. we've scared a couple decent teams, but we're yet to really make a statement that says "this team is capable of winning without Dwight".

against the Pacers, though, i'm quietly hoping that Davis can do enough to hold Hibbert down. Davis was really useful for the Celtics against Howard in recent playoff series, hopefully he can bring that against the Pacers as well.


Not saying they're a dime a dozen, but they're cheaper. We could get someone for 9-14 mil a year instead of 20. Then we have 6-11 mil more to play with.

I never said this team is better without Dwight, I said this team + a defensive center is better. Everyone here is talking about how this team is 3-6 and they don't consider that this team is 3-6 without Dwight playing but with Dwight on our capspace. If Dwight's 20 mil was not on our cap and a 9-14 mil a year defensive center and another MLE type player at 5-7 mil was, we'd be as good or slightly better IMO.

I think we're overpaying for Dwight's abilities that overlap and cancel out some of our talent. I think we're paying 8 mil a year for Dwight's offensive/leadership contributions that we don't need. Yes, we need his defense, which I value at about 12 million a year, but there are players out there that can give us enough defense to succeed and cost 9-13 per. If that $7-11 mil is spent on a good player, who can play D and score, improve our wing defense, we'd not need such a great defender in the paint.

In the end, we have a system and I'm fine with it. But there are alternatives. I know the instant reaction is, see, we're 3-6 without Dwight and giving up 50% from the field, these guys suck! But, you have to keep in perspective that if Dwight really wasn't here, there'd be a replacement for him. We'd have 20 million worth of replacements for him in whatever form works for the team. The fear is Dwight has some special intangible skillset that will put us over the top, some leadership skill that will motivate his teammates, and we're losing that if we don't have him. The cost of having the best center in the game who is not good enough overall on his own to win is that you're still paying him as though he is. Too much superstar overhead on Dwight at this point in time. Granted, he might improved enough to make it worth it, and if he stays here, I hope he does.

I think that might have been my longest post ever, I've got a good gin and tonic buzz going and was feeling this topic there for a while. :lol:


this team without Dwight THIS season is at $51M, so we'd have $8M to play with to find a C that can bring a defensive presence. Tyson Chandler, Nene, Marc Gasol and DeAndre Jordan got well over $10M. Centers for $8M and under, that aren't on rookie deals, are guys like Gortat (great value), Perkins (good value), Dalembert, Frye, Hayes, Kwame, etc, etc. Considering the fact that neither Phoenix nor Oklahoma are interested in giving up their big men, you're looking at one of the other washups.

this team without Dwight NEXT season is at $50M, BUT, still has to extend Anderson an offer. so then you're looking at signing a replacement C with the MLE.

unless, that is, you trade Dwight. in which case you could probably move him for Okafor/Jefferson/Lopez/Kaman or maybe Bynum if you get really lucky. in the case of Okafor/Jefferson/Lopez/Kaman you could also get some other talent/picks thrown in.

OR, and this could be the best case example in your scenario - Fran Vasquez.

but will a team of:

Bynum/Jefferson/Okafor/Lopez/Kaman/Dalembert/Frye/Kwame
Anderson/Davis
Hedo/Q
JRich/JJ
Nelson/Duhon

really be any better??? (IMO, it wouldn't be better than this team with Dwight, but it would certainly be better than the team on the court right now). would it be good enough to compete for a ring?

on the flip side, do you not think the team would be better with Dwight plus $50M of any other players?? you don't think we could get a better SF for $12M a year? or one really good PF/SG for the combined salaries of Anderson + Davis or JRich + JJ??? heck, give Dwight a legit PG that knows how to run a PnR/throw an alley/make an entry pass and you'll see a 10 times more effective offense than what we're currently seeing.

Nelson/JJ/JRich/Anderson/Davis plus [insert center] are not a championship caliber team.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#643 » by rcklsscognition » Sun Apr 22, 2012 1:12 pm

Not going to quote our previous convo cause we'd be eating a page a post, but in response to above:

I think it's sort of pointless to look at this as us having only $8 million, even though that's an accurate reality because of the salary cap restrictions, we'd either have had another player(s) under contract to get us up to our current 68 mil, or traded Dwight for players with enough salary to fill up that space. So when I'm talking salary, I'm talking about the value of Dwight, either never being on the team, in which case we'd have rights to a player and be allowed to be 20 mil over the cap, or his trade value, +/- 125k in trade value of incoming players.

Would Bynum/Anderson/Hedo/J-Rich/Nelson be better? Probably similar. Better in some ways, worse in others. In the end, it'd probably come down to random chance if we won or not, but I'd say it'd be a very similar outcome. The problem is Bynum is better offensively (we don't need) and worse defensively (we need) so that sort of screws us.

Can we get a better SF than Hedo for 12 mil, sure! That'd be easy, in a land where everyone is free agents. Could we swap Ryan/Davis/J-Rich for a better 2/3/4 combo, maybe, if everyone was free agents just swap in D-Wade, Iggy, and Bosh. Problem is, we're not going to be able to swap these guys for anything better if we're talking real trades here. We get penalized in a trade based on their skills and contracts.

My final thoughts are that I don't see anyone who is going to put D12 over the top enough to win a ring. I know everyone thinks a PG will do it, but I do not think Dwight has great p&r fundamentals. Jameer runs the pick and roll with BBD very well, because Glen has great fundamentals and depth to his offensive game. I think Dwight defends the pick and roll extremely well, probably best in the league, but on the other side, he's got work to do. He doesn't have many driving skills, his dribbling is suspect, he's clunky, and he doesn't have a pullup jumper in case the defense is waiting in the lane. Occasionally he'll get the ball and do a spin and throwup a hook, but usually he just rolls, posts up, and gets a pass from the wing. I'm not sure how an elite PG is going to solve that. Dwight clogs up the lane and hasn't got good enough passing skills to help a SG thrive here (we always blame the SG for failing). Same goes for a SF. We know what happens to PFs when they play with Dwight.

I don't think there is a player that can help Dwight's game. He's not going up much further. There are players that'd make the team better, but won't make him much better. If you could have CP3/JJ/Q-Rich/Ryno/Howard you'd be much better. But Howard wouldn't be much better IMO, we'd be better at the 1-4 because of CP3. If Howard is going to commit for however many more years he can and we can get CP3 as a FA with some cleared capspace next season, by all means I'm for it. But in two years, with Hedo and Nelson off the books (nelson resigned cheap) then we're faced with the option again with moving Howard for other talent, like for instance, Harden/Perkins. Cp3/Harden/Q-Rich/Ryno/Perkins with backups Nelson/JJ/Harper/Davis/C. You'd still be around 68 mil. Problem would be finding a team with a good SG/C combo or SF/C combo worth trading Dwight for.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#644 » by G-Heel » Sun Apr 22, 2012 3:36 pm

Bensational wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:
Bensational wrote:
defensive specialist C's still aren't easy to come by.

i think that despite the team's recent change in gear, people are forgetting that we're still only 3-6 since Dwight went down with back problems - including losses to the Pistons and Wizards. we've scared a couple decent teams, but we're yet to really make a statement that says "this team is capable of winning without Dwight".

against the Pacers, though, i'm quietly hoping that Davis can do enough to hold Hibbert down. Davis was really useful for the Celtics against Howard in recent playoff series, hopefully he can bring that against the Pacers as well.


Not saying they're a dime a dozen, but they're cheaper. We could get someone for 9-14 mil a year instead of 20. Then we have 6-11 mil more to play with.

I never said this team is better without Dwight, I said this team + a defensive center is better. Everyone here is talking about how this team is 3-6 and they don't consider that this team is 3-6 without Dwight playing but with Dwight on our capspace. If Dwight's 20 mil was not on our cap and a 9-14 mil a year defensive center and another MLE type player at 5-7 mil was, we'd be as good or slightly better IMO.

I think we're overpaying for Dwight's abilities that overlap and cancel out some of our talent. I think we're paying 8 mil a year for Dwight's offensive/leadership contributions that we don't need. Yes, we need his defense, which I value at about 12 million a year, but there are players out there that can give us enough defense to succeed and cost 9-13 per. If that $7-11 mil is spent on a good player, who can play D and score, improve our wing defense, we'd not need such a great defender in the paint.

In the end, we have a system and I'm fine with it. But there are alternatives. I know the instant reaction is, see, we're 3-6 without Dwight and giving up 50% from the field, these guys suck! But, you have to keep in perspective that if Dwight really wasn't here, there'd be a replacement for him. We'd have 20 million worth of replacements for him in whatever form works for the team. The fear is Dwight has some special intangible skillset that will put us over the top, some leadership skill that will motivate his teammates, and we're losing that if we don't have him. The cost of having the best center in the game who is not good enough overall on his own to win is that you're still paying him as though he is. Too much superstar overhead on Dwight at this point in time. Granted, he might improved enough to make it worth it, and if he stays here, I hope he does.

I think that might have been my longest post ever, I've got a good gin and tonic buzz going and was feeling this topic there for a while. :lol:


this team without Dwight THIS season is at $51M, so we'd have $8M to play with to find a C that can bring a defensive presence. Tyson Chandler, Nene, Marc Gasol and DeAndre Jordan got well over $10M. Centers for $8M and under, that aren't on rookie deals, are guys like Gortat (great value), Perkins (good value), Dalembert, Frye, Hayes, Kwame, etc, etc. Considering the fact that neither Phoenix nor Oklahoma are interested in giving up their big men, you're looking at one of the other washups.

this team without Dwight NEXT season is at $50M, BUT, still has to extend Anderson an offer. so then you're looking at signing a replacement C with the MLE.

unless, that is, you trade Dwight. in which case you could probably move him for Okafor/Jefferson/Lopez/Kaman or maybe Bynum if you get really lucky. in the case of Okafor/Jefferson/Lopez/Kaman you could also get some other talent/picks thrown in.

OR, and this could be the best case example in your scenario - Fran Vasquez.

but will a team of:

Bynum/Jefferson/Okafor/Lopez/Kaman/Dalembert/Frye/Kwame
Anderson/Davis
Hedo/Q
JRich/JJ
Nelson/Duhon

really be any better??? (IMO, it wouldn't be better than this team with Dwight, but it would certainly be better than the team on the court right now). would it be good enough to compete for a ring?

on the flip side, do you not think the team would be better with Dwight plus $50M of any other players?? you don't think we could get a better SF for $12M a year? or one really good PF/SG for the combined salaries of Anderson + Davis or JRich + JJ??? heck, give Dwight a legit PG that knows how to run a PnR/throw an alley/make an entry pass and you'll see a 10 times more effective offense than what we're currently seeing.

Nelson/JJ/JRich/Anderson/Davis plus [insert center] are not a championship caliber team.


I completely agree with you. People are crazy if they want to build around Jameer/JRich/Ryno/BBD... these guys are not championship materials, at least not if they're the focal points. Building around Dwight is much easier!! I don't know why people can't understand this.

I can't see any scenarios that we'll win anything without Dwight, even if we traded him for Bynum; UNLESS we overhaul the team and bring in some real players. Bynum + this squad isn't going to win anything. But why trade for Bynum and build around him when we can just build around Dwight? Mind boggling.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#645 » by rcklsscognition » Sun Apr 22, 2012 3:58 pm

G-Heel wrote:I completely agree with you. People are crazy if they want to build around Jameer/JRich/Ryno/BBD... these guys are not championship materials, at least not if they're the focal points. Building around Dwight is much easier!! I don't know why people can't understand this.

I can't see any scenarios that we'll win anything without Dwight, even if we traded him for Bynum; UNLESS we overhaul the team and bring in some real players. Bynum + this squad isn't going to win anything. But why trade for Bynum and build around him when we can just build around Dwight? Mind boggling.


I never said I wanted to build around Jameer/JRich/Ryno/BBD, I said that if we traded Dwight for 2 guys, a defensive C and a good wing, we'd be as good or better than us with Dwight because we only need Dwight for his defense but we're paying him for his offense too. I also never said I wanted to trade for Bynum and if we did, we'd be similar to what we are now with just random chance making us better or worse because Bynum is worse defensively but better offensively but we really are in need of offense from our center position.

Dwight plus this squad isn't going anywhere either. I'm saying Dwight costs too much to build around. He will require an all-star level PG or SG plus another borderline AS for him to get a ring. He's a fantastic talent, but he will never win a ring on his own, and I think his odds at winning one with someone like a prime Kobe or a DWade are 50/50 tops. He'd need a 3rd guy to get him there. And I'm not saying that based on any other team he'd ever face, not just cause the Heat or OKC have a big three, this is based solely off what D12 brings on and off the court.

So in the end, his max contract hampers a team, because they have to spend more money on other players to fill gaps in his game that could be spent on depth or talent elsewhere.

CP3+Dwight and scrubs will not win a title.
CP3+Monta+Dwight would have a legit shot.
CP3+Iggy+Dwight might have a legit shot.
Deron+Dwight would not win a title.
Deron+Dwight+JSmith would have a legit shot.

A lot of people think having an AS point guard is going to unleash Dwight but I just don't see it happening. I'd be ecstatic if it did of course, but just don't see it.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#646 » by JNelson43 » Sun Apr 22, 2012 5:27 pm

For Dwight's offense, I think its being very underrated here if people think that just throwing a good defensive player on this team will somehow make us better than we were with Dwight.

I'll quote myself on it since I already commented on this.

JNelson43 wrote:One thing about the offense being better without Dwight and the defense being worse... sometimes there's some give and take when you switch styles or emphasis. A coach isn't going to purposefully be bad on one side of the floor, but a team can sacrifice things on one side of the floor in order to maximize things on the other.

So when I see people trying to tie the better offense directly[i/] to Dwight's absence, I disagree. I think Stan has done more to change the team's philosophy then people think. In other words, we're playing a style that maximizes offense and leads to bad defense (for different reasons). It wouldn't make sense to play at that tempo with the defensive player of the year out there.

So my point is that the "good offense" could be considered something of an illusion and that I don't think Dwight was as bad as first option as some people seem to think... or at least it isn't that simple.

Although I still say Dwight should have been incorporated into the offense better with a good wing player who could create for himself.


So basically, my point is that getting a "poor man's Dwight" who doesn't get offensive touches would NOT help this team nearly as much as is being indicated here because this style of play will negate any defender's offense. For evidence on this, just look at any team that kept mostly the same personnel but had a change in coaching philosophy from more offense-oriented to defense-oriented.

Heck, take the example of THIS team. Anyone who thinks we've never had games like this with Dwight must have selective memory or something, because I remember several. Think of that overtime game against Golden State last season. The thing is that when we played that style Dwight wasn't as effective defensively even if he seemed to "flow" with the defense more.

As a penultimate point, I don't see why people think we're going to shoot great percentages in the playoffs. Just look at how the team performed last year, to somehow blame Dwight for that when he carried the whole team on his back and everybody else managed to shoot 20-35% is really stretching the limits of credulity imo.

And for the final point, yeah "heart and hustle" can be fun, but I don't see how some people are talking like this has been some sort of [i]success. We've been losing a lot despite what appears to be doubled effort. Its not unusual for teams with top players to really give it their all and carry the load, the Magic have tried that and have mostly failed really.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#647 » by Last Guardian » Sun Apr 22, 2012 9:43 pm

I will reword my stance to be we are better offensively when Dwight isn't the first option, not without him entirely. These games are proving that we can do things offensively without Dwight being the first option, but I think if we played like this WITH him we would be better offensively than we are now. He is a better roll player than Davis, and a bigger target.

As for your last point....can't you cut them a little slack? They have to play without Dwight for the first time ever (for an extended period of time that is) and learn on the fly at the end of the season right before the playoffs start. And you are basically saying forget whatever good they are doing they are failures. They need time, which they don't have. We aren't winning the first round either, not even close. But I don't want to even read what you guys will write after that even though Indiana is better than Orlando even when we are healthy and they have their key players and been playing all season together while this Orlando team going in will have less than 10 games playing together.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#648 » by Bensational » Sun Apr 22, 2012 10:06 pm

rckless, i could agree with what you're saying if this team had more depth. if we were stacked like Oklahoma, or Miami, i could concede that giving up one of our stars for more depth/better fitting players could actually be a good idea in this scenario. but our current crop of players don't play like OKC/MIA minus a star. heck, they don't even play like Chicago minus their one star - and that shows you just how deep a team can be that appears to only have one great player.

as for Davis running a p&r better than Dwight - ah, no. go to mysynergysports.com and watch back Davis' p&r's. he does well, i really don't want to make it sound like he doesn't do a good job, but there's not a chance he makes a better roll to the basket, or that he is a more adaptive receiver than Howard. you might mistake the few times Davis gets wide open as he rolls through the lane for Davis having done something extra, but it's just the defense cheating on Davis because they don't consider him a threat. Davis' biggest advantage is that he's actually able to roll just to the top of the key for a nice little jumper, and he'll often find good spacing. that's one thing that he obviously has over Dwight by a long measure, since Dwight hasn't shown a consistent or effective jumper yet.

you know what the real problem is with this team at a fundamental level? Jameer Nelson. the guy is only effective when he's a scorer. he lacks vision as if he were playing with blinkers on. he will quite often play with no motivation or effort if his shot isn't falling. how often have you seen Jameer control a game with his passing alone? Steve Nash, Chris Paul, Rondo, Deron have all done that plenty of times - because they have court vision. and what annoys me most is this growing trend of him coasting all season long, and then only turning it on for the playoffs. that's cool, he can do that, and he'd be a great 6th man off the bench if that's what his career has come to, but there's not a chance he deserves a starting PG spot if that's how he wants to handle an NBA season.

you give me this exact same team minus Jameer and with D'Antoni and Steve Nash/Paul/Deron/Rondo and i guarantee you're looking at a 60 win regular season team. unfortunately, knowing D'Antoni's track record, you're probably looking at a 2nd round/ECF ouster as well...
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#649 » by rcklsscognition » Mon Apr 23, 2012 1:03 am

I really enjoyed this discussion and glad we all kept it civil. Maybe it'll come up again in another thread, but since this is an old game thread now, I'm going to give it a rest. Thanks guys.
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Re: Magic(36-26) @ Jazz(33-30) 

Post#650 » by Bensational » Mon Apr 23, 2012 2:08 am

Last Guardian wrote: we are better offensively when Dwight isn't the first option,


agreed. but, are any of the other options on this team are a better 1st option?

if we had a legit 20ppg scoring threat on the team, i'd much rather we run the offense through them. at the same time, though, Dwight shouldn't become an afterthought.

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