2011-2012 Season tracker

[nate33]

My data for turnover % is screwed up somehow, but I have the rest of the numbers. Basically, we made radical improvements in eFG%, eFG%-allowed, and defensive rebounding. We were relatively unchanged in offensive rebounding and turnovers. We were much worse at getting to the foul line on offense.

Offense Four Factors - PRE TRADE:
eFg%: 29th
TO%: ??
Oreb% 17th
FT/FGA: 16th

Offense Four Factors - POST TRADE:
eFg%: 16th
TO%: ??
Oreb% 17th
FT/FGA: 28th


Defense Four Factors - PRE TRADE:
eFG%: 25th
TO%: ??
Dreb%: 29th
FT/FGA: 26th

Defense Four Factors - POST TRADE:
eFG%: 5th
TO%: ??
Dreb%: 13th
FT/FGA: 23rd

The eFG% numbers are amazing. eFG% is by far the most important of the four factors, and our post trade numbers look like those of a top 10 ball club.

[nate33]

And for posterity, let me post these numbers again:

Code: Select all

Condition     Pace   OffEff  DefEff  Diff    Wins  Losses
With Nene     93.0   102.9    92.1  +10.8      7     4     
After Trade   93.2   100.2    98.9   +1.3     11    14   
Before Trade  95.8    97.9   106.9   -9.0      9    32   

[Higga]

To be fair, didn't we play the Bobcats twice after the Nene deal? We also got to play the Heat twice without their stars which will inflate the #s.

I do agree though that the team definitely looks a lot better post trade. Hopefully we can upgrade the SG and SF spots next year, maybe then we can make a run at the playoffs.

[nate33]

To be fair, didn't we play the Bobcats twice after the Nene deal? We also got to play the Heat twice without their stars which will inflate the #s.

I do agree though that the team definitely looks a lot better post trade. Hopefully we can upgrade the SG and SF spots next year, maybe then we can make a run at the playoffs.

We played the Bobcats twice before the Nene deal too.

It's true that the schedule was weaker in the last 25 games when factor that Miami played without their stars and Chicago played without Rose, but the weaker schedule doesn't explain THAT kind of dramatic improvement. I mean seriously, we went from being ranked 25th in defensive eFG% to 5th. We went from being ranked 29th in offensive eFG% to 16th. Our point differential went from -9.0 to +1.3. And let's remember we had our own injury issues too, Nene missed 14 of those post-trade games. Booker missed almost all of them. How good would the numbers looked if Nene played in them all?

[long suffrin' boulez fan]

^
I'm a pre money ball kind of GM wannabe... And it was so abundantly obvious that, possession by possession, McGee gave us little chance of getting a stop, independent of an unforced turnover or missed shot.

His gaudy block numbers were the anti-Russell. When he blocked a shot, it usually went out of bounds. When he altered a shot, his man was generally there for the put back.

It was fun watching the 2012 Wiz 2.0 on the defensive end. Decent rotations, closing out shooters, lots of hustle and boxing out rather than Quixotically looking to swat every shot.

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

Post Nene-trade, there are some interesting numbers as to who played well and who did not.

http://www.nerdnumbers.com/splits?team= ... F26%2F2012

James Singleton, Nene Hilario, and believe it or not, Jan Vesely were top three. If you didn't already look at the link, you'll be surprised who graded fourth.

You can definitely guess who is at the bottom of the list. And probably the next guy up from the bottom.

I trust nerdnumbers and points over par a lot more than +/- , efficiency, PER, or win score.

[montestewart]

He was clearly the key to their 6 game winning streak. Not surprised he scored so high. I think a lot of people here, myself included, might have guessed those top three. Don't have comparison numbers, but I'm guessing Booker's score is better when he's not hobbled and Seraphin's score reflects his weak rebounding numbers.

[nate33]

I finally updated my spreadsheet. I now have pace-adjusted per-36 averages for our players for the time period from the McGee trade until the end of the season, including PER. Here goes:

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Player           PTS  REB  AST  STL  BLK   TO  MIN eFG%  TS%  PER
wall,john       14.5  4.1  8.4  1.7  0.9  3.7 34.5 .393 .468 15.5
crawford,jordan 20.1  3.4  3.5  1.3  0.1  2.6 31.4 .464 .510 15.6
singleton,chris  8.2  5.9  1.1  1.6  0.8  1.1 24.4 .465 .476  8.1
vesely,jan      10.5  8.7  1.6  1.2  1.1  1.6 24.7 .564 .580 14.4
seraphin,kevin  16.1  7.8  1.1  0.6  1.9  2.2 30.3 .535 .551 16.6
mack,shelvin    11.0  3.2  7.3  1.4  0.1  3.1 13.6 .385 .454 10.5
mason,roger     14.0  3.8  2.3  0.4  0.4  1.9 20.4 .492 .509  9.7
martin,cartier  14.3  5.2  0.9  1.0  0.2  1.2 23.2 .549 .555 12.7
singleton,james 13.3 11.0  2.0  1.2  1.1  1.4 21.8 .560 .600 19.7
hilario,nene    19.3 10.1  2.3  0.7  1.6  2.3 25.7 .607 .624 22.4

Nene and Singleton were playing out of their minds, but we knew that. The most startling numbers are Vesely's. The guy really played like a rotation-caliber NBA forward. The counting stats weren't gaudy, but they were quietly efficient, and acceptable for a defensive specialist.

Crawford was also borderline competent. A .510 TS% given his shot volume isn't good, but it's not quite as detrimental as it was pre-trade. Pre-trade, his TS% was .475. (The NBA average TS% this year was .527.)

[fishercob]

Apologies if this was posted elsewhere, but I didn't see anyone else link to Ted's "Exit Interviews" blog piece and found it germane to the overall assessment of the season.

http://www.tedstake.com/2012/04/29/exit-interviews/

I had the opportunity to speak to a few of our Wizards players on Friday as they prepared to leave for home and begin to prepare for next season. Everyone noted how important this off season was to them individually and to our franchise. They also noted how different the team culture had become and how uplifted they were by the last 20 games of the season and the progress they all saw in each other and as a team.

I was pleasantly surprised by the positive discussions with several players. Here are a few highlights via verbatim notes:

“The last 20 games or so of the season were the most fun I have ever had. This is a tight and great group of guys to play with. We hang out together on the road. It is really enjoyable to play for this team. Everyone wants everyone to be successful.”

“This is a serious no nonsense locker room now. We can’t wait to come back and play next season. This is our business. We don’t take it lightly.”

“No one cared about stats – only team victories. If we had had another 12 games to play I think we could have won more than half of them. This is a totally different team now. We are all excited about next season.”

“Nene is one of the best big men in the East. I really didn’t know how good he was to have an inside presence now changes everything. We have so much great spacing now. He really knows the game. He is a great guy. I think if we had had him all of this season we would have made the playoffs.”

“We are all getting ready for next season. We will work out together and practice together in the off season. You get us a few more pieces and some additional vet presence and we will be a vastly improved team. We will surprise everyone. I will get stronger and know what I have to work on and I promise you I will and I am so positive about how much I can improve alongside my teammates.”

“My coach had confidence in me and gave me minutes. I worked hard for him and my teammates. I know I can play now and contribute. I am very grateful.”

“It was like a light switch was turned on. We knew we could win games and be tough to play against if we played like a group and played hard and played man up tough defense. We are athletic and smart now. We know how to win. This will carry over to next season.”

“I love my teammates.”

“First time I have ever been around a group of guys that don’t care about their own stats. They only care about the team. This is a good change and they respect the coach and staff. We want to get better.”

“I was surprised at how much talent was on the team. We make some smart moves this off season. We will be a dangerous team. No one will want to play against us because we are big, young, and fast and we really like to play defense. We get at it.”

And on and on. As this article shows too the coaching staff and the players bonded tightly during the last half of the season as well.

I took lots of notes. I listened intently. I learned a lot from the sessions. We have a lot of work to do this off season. We will take some time off to reflect but I must be straightforward. I felt uplifted after the sessions. There was great self-refection in each discussion and there was a positive discussion about culture change and what we can become as a team. Onward. Thank you.