Oden2 wrote:DusterBuster wrote:mojomarc wrote:Nash is such a better idea than overpaying for Dragic.
I actually agree with that.
If he really wanted to come here, I wouldn't look a gift horse in the mouth.
Nash is a short-term solution, Dragic is a REAL long-term solution. That's why I want Goran 9 times out of 10.
I love when people capitalize words like "REAL" in these sorts of sentences. We have zero idea if Dragic is a long-term, short-term, or no-term solution because he has only performed at a decent level for about 35 games in his career. He is young, and if he is indeed as good as he showed during the 35 games, then he could be a REAL long-term solution. And even with a career high last year, his PER was still 2 points behind Nash's career average, which Nash pretty much hit last year as well. So what you REALLY have to conclude about Dragic is:
1. He showed some promise over a limited sample last season
2. That sample still doesn't put him among the elite PGs in the league
3. Houston says they absolutely want to keep him
4. Therefore in order to get him you'll have to give him a ridiculously expensive long-term contract with basically a 35 game stretch of a strike-shortened that may or may not pan out, depending on whether his small burst on the scene can be maintained going forward four or five seasons, and finally...
5. Even if he does maintain that pace, he's not going to be an elite PG in the league and thus the best you can likely expect is a solid to good starter at an all star salary.
It's the same situation reversed as we face with Batum. Like Batum, locking him up long-term at the price it will take to convice Houston not to match has incredible downside but not a huge amount of upside.