Doctor MJ wrote:ElGee wrote:Very interesting. LA in the 2000 PS was +0.8 on defense after its -6 in the RS. I was suspicious that a lot of that had to do with Reggie Miller in the Finals, who seems to be completely impervious to ANY kind of defense ever. Here are the results by series:
SAC (5g) +12.3 ORtg, +0.6 DRtg
Pho (5g) +10.6 ORtg, -3.5 DRtg
Por (7g) +6.5 ORtg, +1.6 DRtg
Ind (6g) +8.9 ORtg, +6.0 DRtg
So really what are we looking at here if we suggest the postseason defense is damning to O'Neal (as the anchor)? Sacramento hit 38% of 3's in that series, up from 32% in the RS, which covers 3.3 efficiency points by itself. The Kings ORtg was 0.3 worse in this series than it was during the RS v LA.
The Phoenix series doesn't look like anyone would take much issue with it.
The Portland series is clearly "won" by Portland. They were 7 pts/100 better than they were in the RS vs. LA. But again let's look at the variable stats that have less to do with O'Neal, FT% and 3p%. If the players shot their RS averages the Blazers ORtg drops almost 4 points and the stat to -2.2.
In the Finals, we see another Miller team winning out against a great offense.
Is that really the picture of someone who suddenly isn't a defensive anchor? (Keeping in mind this is independent of the his teammates and a smallish sample)?
Strong rebuttal. That's basically what I was looking for. The Lakers went up against great offenses in '00, and actually did about what you expect. And like you said, what you expect is that the Lakers tear down all normal offenses, and can do nothing against the uncanny Reggie.
Question: How do you think the '00 Lakers would have done in the '01 playoffs against the teams the '01 Lakers faced?
The 2001 Lakers basically made the following changes:
-Kobe got better
-Fisher replaced Harper
-Rice was gone (Fox started now)
-One old man (Grant) replaced another (Green) as the starting 4
-I think the first series against Portland they would be fine. There was no strange shooting there, it was just Shaq and a better team vs. age. Don't see what the 2000 squad difference would be.
-In the second round it gets dicier, because I'm not sure how Harper would have helped. On the other hand, Rick Fox was 1-10 from 3 and I don't remember him locking up anyone so Rice may have helped the offense (LA actually shot 29.8% from 3 in this series).
-The Conference Finals against the Spurs is practically a loaded question, because it's utterly unrealistic to expect any team to go 32-72 from downtown in a series. Phil Jackson teams tend to defend the 3 well and the 2000 team was much better in that regard...so I don't see the Spurs perimeter players doing much against the 2000 team there (13-59 in 2001). There was no David Robinson so I see the Lakers exploiting the same mismatches. Despite being a lesser player, the matchup is still ripe for Kobe.
-The FInals are still a cakewalk.
Btw, The other side of the O'Neal defensive coin is to look at the centers of the opposing teams.
R1 Divac: 11-7-3 (36% FG, 4.7 FTA 1.8 TOV) down from 12-8-3 (50% FG 4.1 FTA 2.3 TOV)
R2 Longley: 5-3-1 (37% FG, 0.2 FTA, 0.2 TOV) down from 6-5-1 (47% FG, 1.3 FTA, 1.9 TOV)
R3 Sabonis: 8-6-2 (38% FG, 2.1 FTA, 0.7 TOV) down from 12-8-2 (51% FG, 3.0 FTA, 1.5 TOV)
R4 Smits: 10-4-1 (47% FG, 1.0 FTA, 1.3 TOV) down from 13-5-1 (48% FG, 2.7 FTA, 1.4 TOV)
These guys basically couldn't do a thing against him. Keep in mind Shaq posted a 27% DRB% and 4% Blk% for the postseason, a pretty rare statistical feat.
http://bkref.com/tiny/yDEATand re: Shaq's foul rates in 2001, I believe it was called "Hack A Shaq"