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Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI "Re-Building" Edition)

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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#221 » by Noonskadoodle » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:34 pm

MitchellUK wrote:
Edrock wrote:
MitchellUK wrote:I think most of them are mistaken. This deal would be 100% financial for the Bulls - they're over the lux-tax threshold as it is ($72.5m for 12 players. You can add $800k or so for Vladimir Radmanovic, who they have signed but for whom I can't find the exact figure, but since he's a veteran and on a min contract he'll only count 800k towards the cap numbers. That's 13 players, but with Rose out for most of the year, they almost certainly have to sign at least one more to see them through until he returns).

Say they end up at a total of $74.5m in salary for the year, that's $4.2m over the tax threshold. So look at it this way:

Rip Hamilton will cost them $5m in salary, plus $4.2m in dollar for dollar tax, plus $1m to waive him next summer when his contract becomes unguaranteed - $10.2m

If they send him to us, using our TPE, their salary drops down to $69.5m, they don't have to pay any tax (and will be eligible for some of the cash that is redistributed from the teams that did pay tax). They will also be just about able to replace him with a veteran on a minimum deal without going back up over the tax threshold (I think some of them have mentioned Tracy McGrady as someone they have been linked with or want). That scenario costs them $800k or so and leaves them eligible for a tax sharing payment.

If they take salary back from us - even if it's just the $1.6m Vucevic is owed - they stay over the tax threshold of $70.31m and will end up paying tax rather than receiving a payment from the pot. If they take JJ they actually end up in a worse situation because he's owed roughly $1m more than Hamilton.

Some of the posters over there don't seem to be grasping the logic of the hypothetical trade - we would be taking an underperforming player off their hands and paying his $5m salary for the year, also saving them the tax costs of keeping that player on their books. This isn't a talent swap, it's a salary dump, and in order for us to take Richard Hamilton from them and pay his salary, they would have to send us some sort of compensation - in this case, given the direction Rob Hennigan seems to be heading, one would assume that compensation would be a first rounder.


Nice breakdown... So what are the Bulls willing to give up for the cap relief? Would we be looking for someone like Teague, or a 1st rounder? Perhaps the big euro center (who's name currently escapes me) that they're stashing. The TPE certainly seems like a nice asset to have.

Other than CHI, what other teams have player to move and assets to give up?


I don't know what the Bulls would be willing to give up - that was all hypothetical, but a lot of their fans think that they will try and dump one of their bigger contracts to get under the tax threshold, since Jerry Reinsdorf has notoriously tight purse strings and has never before paid the tax (and isn't likely to want to this year, given that they won't be contending with Rose out for most of the year). Usually in deals like that, where a team takes an unwanted contract from another team, the one ditching the crappy deal usually has to give up something like a first rounder or a prospect - something proportionate to the size of the unwanted deal.

Other than Chicago...not sure. Golden State are approaching the tax limit, and although they could still amnesty him next summer before the last year of his deal, I am sure they would love to get rid of Andres Biedrins. I'd assume that Detroit would love to ditch Charlie Villanueva. There are probably plenty of other teams who have a contract or two that they can't wait to get rid of.


Didn't they already use their amnesty on Charlie Bell?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#222 » by Jiwol » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:37 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:Didn't they already use their amnesty on Charlie Bell?


Yeah, I was about to put that out. Which actually helps our cause.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#223 » by tiderulz » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:49 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:
tiderulz wrote:
Noonskadoodle wrote:Lorenzo Brown > Ian Miller

Zo is a 6 foot 5 PG who is a very good scorer, but also a great passer. He was a HUGE reason that NC State made it to the Sweet 16 last season.

He will be a junior this year. Keep your eyes open for him. :)


bad thing is, Mark Gottfried doesnt develop his players very well


This may be true, but Zo Brown already has improved a TON in one year with Gottfried. It was mostly due to the confidence Gottfried put in him to run the team/point & make all the decisions, & Zo took off from there.


that is Gottfrieds style. He lets players run free, but is horrible at teaching them fundamentals. As an Alabama fan, i got a close look at his coaching style for years. He just throws players out there and lets them run, no sense of coaching philosophies.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#224 » by MitchellUK » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:54 pm

Ballah wrote:If the Bulls are planning on not contending they are not under any circumstance giving up their first round pick.


It's not that cut and dried, though, is it? Firstly, they are owed a first rounder from Charlotte which might be conveyed this year but is more likely to come in 2014 or 2015. Having that in their pocket might make them less concerned about giving up a draft pick to ditch Hamilton.

Then there's the possibility that they don't give us a pick right away - maybe they make it a 2014 first rounder, which they would forecast to be a later pick (in the 20s) because by that point they would have Rose back for the full 2013-14 season and be back towards the top of the Eastern Conference.

Lastly, there's the attitude of management and ownership towards draft picks and finances. Robert Sarver in Phoenix used to basically give away draft picks because he didn't value them or want to pay them. Phoenix could have added Luol Deng in 04 but traded him for Jackson Vroman and a future late first (which became Nate Robinson, who they moved on draft day with a still healthy Q-Rich for Kurt Thomas and Dijon Thompson, the former of which they sent to OKC with two future firsts for a future second rounder). Reinsdorf is pretty tight, so if it's the difference between a draft pick in the mid-to-late teens (Bulls won't contend this year, but I'd still expect them to reach the playoffs as a low seed) and paying $10m for an underperforming Rip Hamilton, then I'd expect him to look to make some sort of deal.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#225 » by Nyce_1 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:56 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:TPE deals interest?

Bulls-Rip/1st
Pistons-Prince/1st
Warriors-Biedrins/1st
Suns-Frye/1st
Bobcats-Tyrus/1st
Bucks-Gooden/1st
Raptors-Amir/1st
Cavs-Varejao/1st
TWolves-Darko/1st

That's all I could really come up with, but Henny certainly has some options if teams want to clear a contract.

Wolves amnestied Darko this summer.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#226 » by MitchellUK » Fri Aug 17, 2012 1:56 pm

Jiwol wrote:
Noonskadoodle wrote:Didn't they already use their amnesty on Charlie Bell?


Yeah, I was about to put that out. Which actually helps our cause.


You're right, I forgot they did that. Wasn't it so they could sign DeAndre Jordan to an offer sheet they knew the Clippers would match? So yeah, I'd definitely expect GSW to want to move Biedrins.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#227 » by Noonskadoodle » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:00 pm

Nyce_1 wrote:
Noonskadoodle wrote:TPE deals interest?

Bulls-Rip/1st
Pistons-Prince/1st
Warriors-Biedrins/1st
Suns-Frye/1st
Bobcats-Tyrus/1st
Bucks-Gooden/1st
Raptors-Amir/1st
Cavs-Varejao/1st
TWolves-Darko/1st

That's all I could really come up with, but Henny certainly has some options if teams want to clear a contract.

Wolves amnestied Darko this summer.


Really? Man I completely missed that.

Still plenty of options for Henny out of that list
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#228 » by Nyce_1 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:15 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:
Nyce_1 wrote:Wolves amnestied Darko this summer.


Really? Man I completely missed that.

Still plenty of options for Henny out of that list

Agreed. And thanks for shifting through each team to find a possible partner. I was def to lazy to do that. There are options out there and we just have to wait and see if Henny takes advantage of their situations. One this for sure, this years trade deadline & draft weeks, will be filled with Magic rumors!
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#229 » by j_n » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:21 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:TPE deals interest?

Bulls-Rip/1st
Pistons-Prince/1st
Warriors-Biedrins/1st
Suns-Frye/1st
Bobcats-Tyrus/1st
Bucks-Gooden/1st
Raptors-Amir/1st
Cavs-Varejao/1st
TWolves-Darko/1st

That's all I could really come up with, but Henny certainly has some options if teams want to clear a contract.

Im pretty sure we wont be using the TPE on anyone who doesnt expire before the summer of 2014 so that takes Prince, frye, gooden and tyrus thomas off the table.

I can see us trying to get picks/prospects by trading for Amir johnson/varejao but I think our best bet would be trade for Charlie villanueva becasue hes in the dog house in detroit anyway and will be making 16.6 million over the next 2 years while detroit will be looking to get under the cap next off season so I think they would be willing to give us 2 protected first rounders to take on his contract.

If our owner is willing to pay in order to aquire assets, than that TPE could be a huge asset.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#230 » by OrlChamps2030 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:51 pm

What do you guys think of CJ Leslie? He needs to bulk up a little and hes a project player until he finds his niche because he doesn't have one specific strength but has length and athleticism and he was ballin HARD toward the end of last year having a few 20+/10 against UNC and FSU and some more good games

He also led NC state to the sweet 16 and almost upset Kansas. Dude is a baller and was a 5 star coming out of High School

Game logs http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball ... 06/gamelog

Draftexpress scouting report
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#231 » by OrlChamps2030 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 2:51 pm

What do you guys think of CJ Leslie? He needs to bulk up a little and hes a project player until he finds his niche because he doesn't have one specific strength but has length and athleticism and he was ballin HARD toward the end of last year having a few 20+/10 against UNC and FSU and some more good games

He also led NC state to the sweet 16 and almost upset Kansas. Dude is a baller and was a 5 star coming out of High School

Game logs http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball ... 06/gamelog

Draftexpress scouting report http://www.draftexpress.com/profile/C.J.-Leslie-5736/
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#232 » by BadMofoPimp » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:19 pm

Pistons can afford to wait another year before amnestying Charlie Villa. They are around the cap limit and have a full team with backups at every position. No penalties and no use paying for a player not on the team until they could improve the team in Free agency like they could next summer when they have cap relief already to add to.

Golden State: They may Amnesty Beans, but there is no way in hell any team should trade for that guys $9 mil contract, especially via TPE. Dude probably has a worse contract that Charlie V.

Darko: Solid backup Center that would be nice to have being the Magic don't have a true Center that could play 20-30mpg effectively not counting BBD.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#233 » by RYgoBOOM » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:22 pm

BadMofoPimp wrote:Pistons can afford to wait another year before amnestying Charlie Villa. They are around the cap limit and have a full team with backups at every position. No penalties and no use paying for a player not on the team until they could improve the team in Free agency like they could next summer when they have cap relief already to add to.

Golden State: They may Amnesty Beans, but there is no way in hell any team should trade for that guys $9 mil contract, especially via TPE. Dude probably has a worse contract that Charlie V.

Darko: Solid backup Center that would be nice to have being the Magic don't have a true Center that could play 20-30mpg effectively not counting BBD.

Darko is a F/A

I'd rather gamble on Oden personally
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#234 » by MoMM » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:55 pm

Noonskadoodle wrote:
MoMM wrote:I like it too, then we could send this thread to Rob and he hires us as the new Magic Internet Scout Group :)


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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#235 » by Def Swami » Fri Aug 17, 2012 3:59 pm

The odds have always been against UCLA’s star recruit Shabazz Muhammad staying with the program for more than a year. He’s one of the best two-way players in the nation and he has a sizable role waiting for him that should allow him to showcase his abilities enough to remain a top-ranked prospect in the 2013 NBA Draft. However, at the 2012 adidas Nations championship game he was saying all the right things regarding his future.

“I’m not expecting to be one-and-done,” Muhammad said in an exclusive interview with HOOPSWORLD. “I want to get this college season started and try to make our way to Atlanta.

“It is hard (to block out all the draft talk), but you have to look at it as you put yourself in this position so I’m just going to keep continuing to work hard and see what the outcome is.”

Unfortunately for UCLA and Muhammad, his decision could be made for him by the NCAA. They are currently investigating whether or not Muhammed and his family accepted impermissible benefits that endangered his amateur status. He is not eligible to play in the team’s upcoming trip to China as the NCAA continues to research his case. The investigation dates all the way back to February; CBSSports.com’s Jeff Goodman and Gary Parrish had the details:

In relatively short order we should know whether or not Muhammad is one of those pieces. It never looked like he was going to be at UCLA long anyway, but if he’s ineligible than you can certainly pencil him in as one of the top picks in the 2013 draft. If Enes Kanter, who never played at Kentucky due to being permanently ineligible for playing professionally in Turkey beforehand, still went top three in the 2011 NBA Draft, it’s highly unlikely that Muhammad takes much of a hit either.

http://www.hoopsworld.com/nba-am-shabaz ... ast-track/
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Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI "Re-Building" Edition) 

Post#236 » by MagicTownBaller » Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:01 pm

BadMofoPimp wrote:Pistons can afford to wait another year before amnestying Charlie Villa. They are around the cap limit and have a full team with backups at every position. No penalties and no use paying for a player not on the team until they could improve the team in Free agency like they could next summer when they have cap relief already to add to.

Golden State: They may Amnesty Beans, but there is no way in hell any team should trade for that guys $9 mil contract, especially via TPE. Dude probably has a worse contract that Charlie V.

Darko: Solid backup Center that would be nice to have being the Magic don't have a true Center that could play 20-30mpg effectively not counting BBD.

Golden State already used their amnesty on Charlie Bell.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#237 » by BadMofoPimp » Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:25 pm

Sucks to be Golden State then.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#238 » by arsenal6106 » Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:31 pm

Edrock wrote:
BrianEvansfor3 wrote:210k is a lot to break a contract? Orlando wouldn't help with this? I'm disappointed. :(


I'm actually a little relieved that it was more or less financial rather than a 'change of heart' (or 'pulling a Donovan') makes the rejection seem more reasonable.


I feel the same way. Before this, it seemed like Henny was getting all his guys without hesitation.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#239 » by londoncollin » Fri Aug 17, 2012 4:39 pm

I don't get why Bulls fans are so desperate to get rid of Rip. This year he makes five million. Next year he's has a team option, so he's basically an expiring.

There's no way they give up their best pick since getting Rose to get rid of a guy who's expiring.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. XLVI 

Post#240 » by j_n » Fri Aug 17, 2012 5:04 pm

BadMofoPimp wrote:Pistons can afford to wait another year before amnestying Charlie Villa. They are around the cap limit and have a full team with backups at every position. No penalties and no use paying for a player not on the team until they could improve the team in Free agency like they could next summer when they have cap relief already to add to.

I think they would prefer to trade Villanueva for a TPE and to amnesty Prince.
That would give them around 30 million in cap space for next summer so they could fill both of their wing positions and I doubt their picks would be very high after they use their cap space so they wouldnt lose a lot of value while we continue to aquire assets.

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