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Harden Traded to the Rockets!

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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#201 » by Zubby » Mon Oct 29, 2012 4:59 pm

Good points Moof, except for the idea of having Balkman, Anderson, or B Wright imo PPat & T. Jones would be better.

Ilyasova would be nice, and Faried is nice but I spent the last year trying to forget Morris was who we got. :(
T. Jones should be a nice redemption for Morey tho.



My main worry is that we under-develop our young bigs because of lack or minutes.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#202 » by moofs » Mon Oct 29, 2012 5:11 pm

Z3snap wrote:Good points Moof, except for the idea of having Balkman, Anderson, or B Wright imo PPat & T. Jones would be better.

Ilyasova would be nice, and Faried is nice but I spent the last year trying to forget Morris was who we got. :(
T. Jones should be a nice redemption for Morey tho.

My main worry is that we under-develop our young bigs because of lack or minutes.


From what I've seen the last two years, the sooner we get rid of Patterson, the better.
I'm looking forward to Jones so far, but we won't really know until he's got some serious run in real games.

Even then, all those guys I listed are really good. I'm least sure about Wright and Ilyasova, but Balkman is really good, and Anderson and Faried are both destroyers - their joy lies in nothing less than eating your house, burning your children, and gnawing on the bones!

I would have listed Leonard, but he's with the Spurs. They know better.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#203 » by CKRT » Mon Oct 29, 2012 8:06 pm

I'm buying league pass so I can watch Harden/the Kings.

Harden is so awesome. You guys are going to love him.

Cole has okay potential. I'm pretty disappointed we traded him, but oh well. No one does high kicks after made threes from the bench remotely as good as Aldrich does. Sets good screens. Hustles.

Cook is a great floor spacer. Expect some line ups involving Harden at the 3 and Cook at the 2. Learn to yell DC for THREEEEEE.

Hayward looks like he's going to get cut, but man I'm attached to that guy. He's a great locker room presence and good practice fodder.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#204 » by Mount Mutombo » Mon Oct 29, 2012 8:59 pm

Have we found our future star player? I'm not convinced, was Pierce good on his own? Manu has never been on his own in the NBA, so I don't know if he'd be better or worse. I like Harden, but future superstar?
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#205 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 9:31 pm

Mount Mutombo wrote:Have we found our future star player? I'm not convinced, was Pierce good on his own? Manu has never been on his own in the NBA, so I don't know if he'd be better or worse. I like Harden, but future superstar?

i'm with you
but seem like we are the 1%
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#206 » by Mount Mutombo » Mon Oct 29, 2012 9:42 pm

MaxRider wrote:
Mount Mutombo wrote:Have we found our future star player? I'm not convinced, was Pierce good on his own? Manu has never been on his own in the NBA, so I don't know if he'd be better or worse. I like Harden, but future superstar?

i'm with you
but seem like we are the 1%

I'm happy with the move, and I can tell you're content with it also, but Harden, much like Manu/Pierce, is seemingly an impact player on a great team. We aren't a great team.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#207 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 9:57 pm

Mount Mutombo wrote:
MaxRider wrote:
Mount Mutombo wrote:Have we found our future star player? I'm not convinced, was Pierce good on his own? Manu has never been on his own in the NBA, so I don't know if he'd be better or worse. I like Harden, but future superstar?

i'm with you
but seem like we are the 1%

I'm happy with the move, and I can tell you're content with it also, but Harden, much like Manu/Pierce, is seemingly an impact player on a great team. We aren't a great team.

we're not even a playoff team
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#208 » by Vator » Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:25 pm

Welll sorry guys, Lebron and Durant just weren't available. Morey should have just sat on his ass and prayed for Wiggins to fall into his lap, hope Jeremy Lamb is a good player, draft another role player with Toronto's late lottery pick and draft another guy we hope pans out with the Dallas late 1st. The Bobcats pick is a 2nd rounder yet people act like its a lotto pick too. How many draft picks do we need to have every year? This team was going to have 5 rookies and Greg Smith on it! Do we really need more projects on this team next year or is it time to start cashing in these picks for proven talent? No matter what you may think or how you feel about it, Morey has admitted to stockpiling these picks to trade them, not to have 3 or more rookies on the team each year. You can't win like that. Upgrading your team with a 23 year old star can't be a bad thing. You have to start the process somewhere. This won't be the last move that is made...look at the big picture. If this is it then yeah this sucks, but there is no way that Morey is going to be like my work here is done.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#209 » by rocketsballin » Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:35 pm

lol
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#210 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 10:42 pm

Vator wrote:Welll sorry guys, Lebron and Durant just weren't available. Morey should have just sat on his ass and prayed for Wiggins to fall into his lap, hope Jeremy Lamb is a good player, draft another role player with Toronto's late lottery pick and draft another guy we hope pans out with the Dallas late 1st. The Bobcats pick is a 2nd rounder yet people act like its a lotto pick too. How many draft picks do we need to have every year? This team was going to have 5 rookies and Greg Smith on it! Do we really need more projects on this team next year or is it time to start cashing in these picks for proven talent? No matter what you may think or how you feel about it, Morey has admitted to stockpiling these picks to trade them, not to have 3 or more rookies on the team each year. You can't win like that. Upgrading your team with a 23 year old star can't be a bad thing. You have to start the process somewhere. This won't be the last move that is made...look at the big picture. If this is it then yeah this sucks, but there is no way that Morey is going to be like my work here is done.

that's why you go for the #1 pick
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#211 » by Sasaki » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:02 pm

MaxRider wrote:
Vator wrote:Welll sorry guys, Lebron and Durant just weren't available. Morey should have just sat on his ass and prayed for Wiggins to fall into his lap, hope Jeremy Lamb is a good player, draft another role player with Toronto's late lottery pick and draft another guy we hope pans out with the Dallas late 1st. The Bobcats pick is a 2nd rounder yet people act like its a lotto pick too. How many draft picks do we need to have every year? This team was going to have 5 rookies and Greg Smith on it! Do we really need more projects on this team next year or is it time to start cashing in these picks for proven talent? No matter what you may think or how you feel about it, Morey has admitted to stockpiling these picks to trade them, not to have 3 or more rookies on the team each year. You can't win like that. Upgrading your team with a 23 year old star can't be a bad thing. You have to start the process somewhere. This won't be the last move that is made...look at the big picture. If this is it then yeah this sucks, but there is no way that Morey is going to be like my work here is done.

that's why you go for the #1 pick

That's not strategy. That's literally praying that the balls fall our way, and nothing more. Not to mention...what are the chances that the guy you get is going to be better than James Harden anyways? There was a thread on the Board that shall not be named that pointed that Shabazz Muhammed, the guy who tankers like you claim we should have gotten somehow..... is frequently compared to James Harden.

I mean, seriously, I've been disgusted by the ease which fanbases accept tanking these days, but we're getting to the point where the Sterling style of running a team is actually lauded as a GOOD thing. And that needs to change.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#212 » by Mr. E » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:04 pm

Eh, I'll take Patrick Patterson at 14 over Olawakandi at 1 ;)
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#213 » by Baller 24 » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:11 pm

Max, it's not that easy. Daryl Morey and the Houston Rockets organization has been committed to the idea that tanking will not solve any problems. They have stated on numerous occasions that our game plan from day 1 has been committed to winning and being competitive while upgrading the roster. Morey has *never* been about developing a first round pick and building around him. It's been more or so to find that star/superstar to build around and go from there.

And why is everyone acting as if even the #1 pick in ANY draft has the potential even be as good or better than Harden? James Harden has not hit his ceiling. The kid is only 23 with 3 years of NBA experience under his belt. He's been to the playoffs every single season, he's been to the WCF, and the Finals. He played like a MONSTER in rounds 1, 2, and 3. He's showen the ability to close out in BIG playoff games when Westbrook and Durant weren't in their groove (v Dallas Game 4, V San Antonio Game 5). All objective evidence and advanced statistics point to one thing: he's got the ability to be the best SG in the ENTIRE league. He's 23 and already is undoubtably the 3rd best all-around shooting guard in the league. How hard is it in today's league to wind a swingman that scores at an ultra-efficient rate, has range, can run the pick n' roll with EASE and level up with the best, grab 4-5 rebounds, AND be a legitimate play-maker to run an offensive scheme? Very hard.

And to the comment about Manu and Pierce, we've seen what those guys can do, they're old, and even when they had the ability to play at the level they did, they weren't loaded with this much potential. Harden can surpass those guys, but this is a step. It's a building piece around a project. He's an olympic champ, players are aware he's the real deal, he has the ability to attract others.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#214 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:27 pm

Sasaki wrote:That's not strategy. That's literally praying that the balls fall our way, and nothing more. Not to mention...what are the chances that the guy you get is going to be better than James Harden anyways? There was a thread on the Board that shall not be named that pointed that Shabazz Muhammed, the guy who tankers like you claim we should have gotten somehow..... is frequently compared to James Harden.

I mean, seriously, I've been disgusted by the ease which fanbases accept tanking these days, but we're getting to the point where the Sterling style of running a team is actually lauded as a GOOD thing. And that needs to change.

workout pretty well as long you don't draft a 7 foot or above center

12- Davis ; looking good so far
11- Irving ; you know Cleveland tank for him, i'll take him over Harden
10- Wall ; tough choice, his team is bad
09- Griffin ; need to say?
08- Rose ; top 5 players when healthy
07- Oden ; 7 footer, should've go with Durant
06- Bargnani ; Toronto screw up, we all know the best player during draft was Roy
05- Bogut ; another 7 footer center, best player was CP3
04- Howard ; he's shorter than 7 foot
03- James ; do i need to say?
02- Yao ; we know the story
01- Brown ; okay i'll shut up
so it's like 50/50 you will get a good player (if you draft right) with #1 overall pick
i'll take my 50% chance
tanking is bad
but still better than having all hopes up and then miss the playoff and stuck at #9 again and again and again
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#215 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:35 pm

Baller 24 wrote:Max, it's not that easy. Daryl Morey and the Houston Rockets organization has been committed to the idea that tanking will not solve any problems. They have stated on numerous occasions that our game plan from day 1 has been committed to winning and being competitive while upgrading the roster. Morey has *never* been about developing a first round pick and building around him. It's been more or so to find that star/superstar to build around and go from there.

And why is everyone acting as if even the #1 pick in ANY draft has the potential even be as good or better than Harden? James Harden has not hit his ceiling. The kid is only 23 with 3 years of NBA experience under his belt. He's been to the playoffs every single season, he's been to the WCF, and the Finals. He played like a MONSTER in rounds 1, 2, and 3. He's showen the ability to close out in BIG playoff games when Westbrook and Durant weren't in their groove (v Dallas Game 4, V San Antonio Game 5). All objective evidence and advanced statistics point to one thing: he's got the ability to be the best SG in the ENTIRE league. He's 23 and already is undoubtably the 3rd best all-around shooting guard in the league. How hard is it in today's league to wind a swingman that scores at an ultra-efficient rate, has range, can run the pick n' roll with EASE and level up with the best, grab 4-5 rebounds, AND be a legitimate play-maker to run an offensive scheme? Very hard.

And to the comment about Manu and Pierce, we've seen what those guys can do, they're old, and even when they had the ability to play at the level they did, they weren't loaded with this much potential. Harden can surpass those guys, but this is a step. It's a building piece around a project. He's an olympic champ, players are aware he's the real deal, he has the ability to attract others.

i hate that phrase of " has not hit the ceiling" on young player
you can use that on almost everyone
didn't you guys use that on terrence williams?
harden was playing with durant and westbrook
team pay most of their defense attention on them and not harden
when thunder need harden the most to be the playmaker and he failed
it's a good plan
but this plan make sense if we still have half of our old team (we need to trade most of them to trade for harden) at least with dragic
but not lin

23 is young but this is his 4th year
usually players reach their ceiling around 3-5 years in this league
people just think younger is better
just have to realize these days players enter the league at age 19
before it was 21-23
imo harden is already at/near his ceiling
it's just that if he can figure out how to play without durant and westbrook
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#216 » by MaxRider » Mon Oct 29, 2012 11:47 pm

no point on arguing back and forth
you guys get the point that i don't like this trade
let's wait 3-4 years and come visit this again
hopefully realgm is still around and mod would actually let us talk about old stuff
no more from me on this topic
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#217 » by Mount Mutombo » Tue Oct 30, 2012 12:19 am

Harden's name was called upon in the playoffs, and he struggled, which is a concern. I am not high on potential, seems like more and more draft picks recently are just quietly exiting the league. The fact that Harden is unproven as a star is a concern, and everyone is overrating the effect Harden will have. We have no idea how he'll do as a starter on a team where he can't rely on Durant or Westbrick to pick up the load if he's having an off night. Overall, whatever, meh - the trade is a medium risk high reward type of thing. He won't excel until we have a decent core around him, his passing might be neutralized if Parsons, Lin, Delfino...etc aren't hitting shots at a high clip.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#218 » by moofs » Tue Oct 30, 2012 12:49 am

MaxRider wrote:so it's like 50/50 you will get a good player (if you draft right) with #1 overall pick
i'll take my 50% chance
tanking is bad
but still better than having all hopes up and then miss the playoff and stuck at #9 again and again and again


I can't recall the chart, but there's like a 40% chance (not 50%) that the #1 pick pans out. When there's no clear-cut #1, GMs tend to go with size, cause, y'know, you can't teach it.

There's a 25% chance that if you're THE worst team that you'll get the #1 pick, .
#1, 25.0% chance of receiving the #1 pick
#2, 19.9% chance
#3, 15.6% chance
#4, 11.9% chance
#5, 8.8% chance
#6, 6.3% chance
#7, 4.3% chance
#8, 2.8% chance


You have a ~1/7 chance of being the worst team if you go into tank mode, the less attractive you are for the draftee, and less marketable you are for your fans, the better your odds!

I'm going to assume that if you tank, there's a 100% chance you're in the bottom 8 in the league, and that you have less chance of being the worst than of being the 8th worst, so IF you tank, you're looking at, on average, (.9 * .25 + .10 * .2 + .11 * .156 + ... + .16 * .043 + .17 * .028) = .3 / 8 = 3.8% chance of landing the #1 pick. Hell, let's make this interesting. We'll just say you have a 10% chance of landing it, just for grins.
Take that 40% chance of a #1 pick being a superstar and you have a ... well.. a 4% chance at landing a superstar by tanking.

Within 20 years, there's about a 56% chance that you'll have drafted a superstar via the #1 pick if you tank every year (actually, closer to 29%). Now, if you add in the odds of your other lottery picks, your odds get a bit better, but even expanding these calculations to cover the top 10 picks, I'd estimate that there's maybe an 8-12% chance of getting a superstar via draft.

Yeah, let's do it. Let's tank. Who wants the best shooting guard in the league when you can suck for 7 years to get a middling lottery pick who'll score a lot, yet never net your team many wins?
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#219 » by Mount Mutombo » Tue Oct 30, 2012 12:50 am

Morey has to much on the line to go full on Golden State Warriors tank. He preaches effort.
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Re: Harden Traded to the Rockets! 

Post#220 » by Sasaki » Tue Oct 30, 2012 1:32 am

Mount Mutombo wrote:Harden's name was called upon in the playoffs, and he struggled, which is a concern. I am not high on potential, seems like more and more draft picks recently are just quietly exiting the league. The fact that Harden is unproven as a star is a concern, and everyone is overrating the effect Harden will have. We have no idea how he'll do as a starter on a team where he can't rely on Durant or Westbrick to pick up the load if he's having an off night. Overall, whatever, meh - the trade is a medium risk high reward type of thing. He won't excel until we have a decent core around him, his passing might be neutralized if Parsons, Lin, Delfino...etc aren't hitting shots at a high clip.

I just don't get this "Harden sucked in the Finals, therefore he's not a star." None of the Thunder players played all that well, are they not stars? Lebron stunk it up when he got to the Finals in 2007, is he not a star? And furthermore, Harden DID play well throughout the playoffs as a whole- OKC doesn't defeat San Antonio without him.
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