Political Roundtable Cosmic String of Cataclysm - Part V

[Wizardspride]

Not to be paranoid but considering Michael Husted is involved.....


Click on the link to read the rest.
http://www.bradblog.com/?p=9698

Why Was Uncertified 'Experimental' Software Installed on ES&S Tabulation Systems in 39 OH Counties Just Days Before Presidential Election?


Last week, Bob Fitrakis and Gerry Bello at FreePress.org reported an important story concerning what they described as "uncertified 'experimental' software patches" being installed at the last minute on electronic vote tabulation systems in 39 Ohio counties.

The story included a copy of the contract [PDF] between Republican Ohio Sec. of State Jon Husted's office and ES&S, the nation's largest e-voting system manufacturer, for a new, last minute piece of software created to the custom specifications of the Sec. of State. The contract itself describes the software as "High-level enhancements to ES&S' election reporting software that extend beyond the current features and functionality of the software to facilitate a custom-developed State Election Results Reporting File."

A subsequent story at The Free Press the following day included text said to be from a November 1 memo sent from the OH SoS Election Counsel Brandi Laser Seske to a number of state election officials confirming the use of the new, uncertified software on Ohio's tabulator systems. The memo claims that "its function is to aid in the reporting of results" by converting them "into a format that can be read by the Secretary of State's election night reporting system."

On Friday evening, at Huffington Post, journalist Art Levine followed up with a piece that, among other things, advanced the story by breaking the news that Fitrakis and his attorney Cliff Arnebeck were filing a lawsuit for an immediate injunction against Husted and ES&S to "halt the use of secretly installed, unauthorized 'experimental' software in 39 counties' tabulators". Levine also reported that Arnebeck had referred the matter to the Cincinnati FBI for criminal investigation of what the Ohio attorney describes as "a flagrant violation of the law."

"Before you add new software, you need approval of a state board," says Arnebeck. "They are installing an uncertified, suspect software patch that interfaces between the county's vote tabulation equipment and state tabulators." Arnebeck's alarm is understandable.

[Nivek]

IF state polls are to be believed, it looks like an Obama win tomorrow. He gets to 281 based on the polls with Virginia, Colorado and Florida still as toss-ups. Virginia and Colorado are leaning toward Obama; Florida to Romney.

My official predictions:

- Obama wins with 303 electoral votes
- Obama ends up with 50.5% of popular vote
- Dems end up with 52 Senate seats

Get your wild-ass guesses in before the voting starts tomorrow.

[fishercob]

By now I think everyone in this thread knows who they are voting for. Most here have a very strong preference.

So here is a fun, albeit twisted, question relating to the one thing that binds us all together -- The Wizards.

What level of Wizards success would trade your vote for? What level of Wizards success would you trade the election for?

As a DC resident I would gladly vote for Romney if the Wizards were to make the playoffs this season.

Four years of Romney? That's much tougher obviously. But if you could give me two Wizards titles during that span, I may do it.

I'm a sick puppy -- I know! What say you all?

[closg00]

Any updates from Nate Silver? Can't check the Internets right now.

[Nivek]

Any updates from Nate Silver? Can't check the Internets right now.

Silver says the national polls have solidified at about +1 for Obama and that the national and state polls are now more "aligned." His analysis suggests a close win for Obama.

Re fishercob's question: I'd vote for Romney if it meant 3 Wizards championships in the next 4 years. I told a Romney canvasser yesterday that I'd vote for Romney in exchange for $50,000. I managed to keep a straight face, which left the kid befuddled.

[fishercob]

Re fishercob's question: I'd vote for Romney if it meant 3 Wizards championships in the next 4 years. I told a Romney canvasser yesterday that I'd vote for Romney in exchange for $50,000. I managed to keep a straight face, which left the kid befuddled.

Wait, so you could guarantee Wizards Nation TWO championships over just the next four year period and would pass over your own silly personal politics?? Way to reach across the aisle.

[Wizardspride]

Any updates from Nate Silver? Can't check the Internets right now.

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight


Obama becoming a heavier favorite, in 538's view. Now 86% to win Electoral College

[Nivek]

Re fishercob's question: I'd vote for Romney if it meant 3 Wizards championships in the next 4 years. I told a Romney canvasser yesterday that I'd vote for Romney in exchange for $50,000. I managed to keep a straight face, which left the kid befuddled.

Wait, so you could guarantee Wizards Nation TWO championships over just the next four year period and would pass over your own silly personal politics?? Way to reach across the aisle.

I'm 33% more patriotic than you.

[montestewart]

Any candidate whose platform is "The GM is too damn high" gets my vote.

[fishercob]

Re fishercob's question: I'd vote for Romney if it meant 3 Wizards championships in the next 4 years. I told a Romney canvasser yesterday that I'd vote for Romney in exchange for $50,000. I managed to keep a straight face, which left the kid befuddled.

Wait, so you could guarantee Wizards Nation TWO championships over just the next four year period and would pass over your own silly personal politics?? Way to reach across the aisle.

I'm 33% more patriotic than you.

But not that good at math. 3 is 50% more than 2. Who is the resident stat guru now??

[Nivek]

Dangit, I shoulda known better than to use my Political Calculator.

[closg00]

Thanks for te Silver updates, just hoping to know who won the election on the same night.

[Spence]

Apparently, this is what quite a few Ron Paul acolytes believe.

[verbal8]

I would vote for Romney in exchange for 3 play-off appearances and 1 championship for the Wizards, however I would insist on Snyder also selling the Skins as part of the bargain

[Wizardspride]

I would vote for Romney in exchange for 3 play-off appearances and 1 championship for the Wizards, however I would insist on Snyder also selling the Skins as part of the bargain

I'd rather see the Wizards and Redskins leave town before I vote for Romney.

[closg00]

Any updates from Nate Silver? Can't check the Internets right now.

Silver says the national polls have solidified at about +1 for Obama and that the national and state polls are now more "aligned." His analysis suggests a close win for Obama.

Re fishercob's question: I'd vote for Romney if it meant 3 Wizards championships in the next 4 years. I told a Romney canvasser yesterday that I'd vote for Romney in exchange for $50,000. I managed to keep a straight face, which left the kid befuddled.

I remembered your post when I saw this
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/11 ... ml?hp=t1_3

[Chocolate City Jordanaire]

This is about the closest I've studied the candidates, and about the only time I have paid much attention to Katy Perry.



Katy is obviously a huge presidential supporter.

Wonder what the independent ballot looks like? If she turns around ...

[montestewart]

nice dimpled chads Katy

[Severn Hoos]

Hey, I'd vote for Romney for just one Wizards championship. Guess that makes me the most patriotic of all!

[Wizardspride]

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight


A few more polls to add. But Obama at 91% to win Electoral College based on today's data so far.

Nate Silver ‏@fivethirtyeight


There's been a pretty clear shift toward Obama in national polls. Based on most recent data, he may lead by 2-3% in popular vote.