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04.17 Rockets @ Lakers Box Score win-points

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04.17 Rockets @ Lakers Box Score win-points 

Post#1 » by Yi » Thu Jan 31, 2013 10:56 am

04.17 Rockets @ Lakers: Gasol wins 5.4 points for Lakers

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04.01 Magic @ Rockets: Asik wins 10.9 points for Rockets

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03.24 Spurs @ Rockets: Harden wins 8.7 points for Rockets

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03.20 Jazz @ Rockets: Lin wins 7.9 points for Rockets

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03.15 Timberwolves @ Rockets: Harden wins 9.1 points for Rockets

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03.09 Rockets @ Suns: Dudley wins 6.4 points for Suns

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03.08 Rockets @ Warriors: Parsons wins 10.6 points for Rockets

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03.01 Rockets @ Magic: Beverley wins 6.5 points for Rockets

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02.20 Thunder @ Rockets: Harden wins 20.2 points for Rockets

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02.12 Rockets @ Warriors: Parsons wins 6.6 points for Rockets

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02.10 Rockets @ Kings: Hayes wins 5.1 points for Kings

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02.08 Blazers @ Rockets: Harden wins 14.1 points for Rockets

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02.06 Rockets @ Heat : Wade wins 8.4 points for Heat

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02.05 Warriors @ Rockets: Lin wins 8.1 points for Rockets

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02.02 Bobcats @ Rockets: Patterson wins 7.9 points for Rockets

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01.30 Rockets @ Nuggets: Gallinari wins 6.3 points for Nuggets

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WPTS means win points. The last column "Final WPTS" is the sum of the 11 WPTS before. The sum of "Final WPTS" of all one team players is equal to the match points difference.

Instructions of the 11 WPTS before "Final WPTS" are as below:
"Shot WPTS" is calculated by using PTS, FGA and FTA. Compare the PTS, FGA and FTA of one player with the other players of two teams. For example, one player shoots 9 times and scores 12 points. The other players of two teams shoot 100 times and score 100 points. This player "Shot WPTS" is 12-9*100/100=3.

In "RB WPTS" :
One offensive rebound points= “points per possession” * “defensive rebound probability”.
In above formula: “defensive rebound probability”=“two teams defensive rebounds” / ”two teams total rebounds”.
One defensive rebound points= “points per possession” * “offensive rebound probability”.
In above formula: “offensive rebound probability”=“two teams offensive rebounds” / ”two teams total rebounds”.
For example in one match two teams get 30 offensive rebounds with 70 defensive rebounds and score 200 points with 200 offensive times. In this game:
One offensive rebound points=(200/200)*[70/(30+70)]=0.7
One defensive rebound points=(200/200)*[30/(30+70)]=0.3
"RB TIME" before "Shot WPTS" is to amplify the minutes played of centers and power forwards and reduce the minutes played of guards and small forwards. So the rebound performances are judged on the player position differently.

"AST WPTS", "STL WPTS" and "BLK WPTS" are calculated by using the number of assists, steals, blocks and minutes played respectively.
"TOV Lost WPTS" is the losing points due to turnovers and calculated by using the number of turnovers.
"MP Cost WPTS" is to make up for turnovers according to minutes played.
"Shot Cost WPTS" is to make up for turnovers according to shooting times.

"DEF WPTS" means defense win points. If the offensive efficiency of one team is better than the other team, "DEF WPTS" is positive. Otherwise "DEF WPTS" is negative. One team total "DEF WPTS" can only be distributed according to minutes played for lack of opponents’ points and shooting times on each player’s defense.The team total "DEF WPTS" is close to "Shot WPTS".

Sum up shooting times and assist times of every player. Punish the players who are under the average level of team by "OFFEN WPTS". The penalty points "OFFEN WPTS" are distributed to the players whose "PTS/MP" exceeds the average level of team.
"DEV WPTS" is to eliminate deviation. "DEV WPTS" is proportional to minutes played.
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 01.30 Rockets @ Nuggets statistics win-points 

Post#2 » by moofs » Thu Jan 31, 2013 2:04 pm

Neat stuff. Where'd you get it?
Morey 2020.

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Re: 01.30 Rockets @ Nuggets statistics win-points 

Post#3 » by Yi » Sun Feb 3, 2013 10:57 am

moofs wrote:Neat stuff. Where'd you get it?

its original
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 02.02 Bobcats @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#4 » by Mr. E » Mon Feb 4, 2013 4:15 pm

Very interesting stuff, Yi!

Looking forward to seeing the comparisons between games as the season closes out (especially when comparing games against the same opponent).
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Re: 02.02 Bobcats @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#5 » by madbucky » Tue Feb 5, 2013 8:06 am

Looks like it has some good potential for stats geeks.

Can you post links to a spreadsheet with the calculations, like a google spreadsheet? (or is it secret?) I'd like to understand it more.

You said there are 11 Win Point factors. Are they equally weighted (e.g. is Reb WPTS worth the same as Blk WPTS)?
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Re: 02.02 Bobcats @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#6 » by Yi » Thu Feb 7, 2013 11:50 am

Mr. E wrote:Very interesting stuff, Yi!

Looking forward to seeing the comparisons between games as the season closes out (especially when comparing games against the same opponent).

THANKS
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 02.02 Bobcats @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#7 » by Yi » Sat Feb 9, 2013 12:21 pm

madbucky wrote:Looks like it has some good potential for stats geeks.

Can you post links to a spreadsheet with the calculations, like a google spreadsheet? (or is it secret?) I'd like to understand it more.

You said there are 11 Win Point factors. Are they equally weighted (e.g. is Reb WPTS worth the same as Blk WPTS)?


In "RB WPTS" :
One offensive rebound points= “points per possession” * “defensive rebound probability”.
In above formula: “defensive rebound probability”=“two teams defensive rebounds” / ”two teams total rebounds”.
One defensive rebound points= “points per possession” * “offensive rebound probability”.
In above formula: “offensive rebound probability”=“two teams offensive rebounds” / ”two teams total rebounds”.
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 02.10 Rockets @ Kings Box Score win-points 

Post#8 » by Yi » Mon Feb 11, 2013 11:20 am

02.10 Rockets @ Kings updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 02.10 Rockets @ Kings Box Score win-points 

Post#9 » by Zubby » Mon Feb 11, 2013 8:29 pm

Defeated by the Chuckwagon
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Re: 02.20 Thunder @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#10 » by Yi » Thu Feb 21, 2013 11:16 am

02.20 Thunder @ Rockets updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 03.01 Rockets @ Magic Box Score win-points 

Post#11 » by Yi » Sat Mar 2, 2013 12:49 pm

03.01 Rockets @ Magic updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 03.01 Rockets @ Magic Box Score win-points 

Post#12 » by TMU » Sat Mar 2, 2013 11:45 pm

Really neat stuff Yi. Thanks for keeping everything in one thread as well.

I'll be honest, I haven't had the time to really look at the tables and identify what the numbers really meant. I certainly hope to do that one day.
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Re: 03.01 Rockets @ Magic Box Score win-points 

Post#13 » by Yi » Sat Mar 9, 2013 11:08 am

TMU wrote:Really neat stuff Yi. Thanks for keeping everything in one thread as well.

I'll be honest, I haven't had the time to really look at the tables and identify what the numbers really meant. I certainly hope to do that one day.

thanks
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 03.15 Timberwolves @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#14 » by Yi » Sat Mar 16, 2013 11:37 am

03.15 Timberwolves @ Rockets updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 03.20 Jazz @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#15 » by Yi » Thu Mar 21, 2013 10:41 am

03.20 Jazz @ Rockets updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 03.24 Spurs @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#16 » by Yi » Mon Mar 25, 2013 11:48 am

03.24 Spurs @ Rockets updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 04.01 Magic @ Rockets Box Score win-points 

Post#17 » by Yi » Tue Apr 2, 2013 10:33 am

04.01 Magic @ Rockets updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.
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Re: 04.17 Rockets @ Lakers Box Score win-points 

Post#18 » by Yi » Thu Apr 18, 2013 10:25 am

04.17 Rockets @ Lakers updated
Tell the relation between statistics and match points difference.

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