Rerisen wrote:LoveDaBoo wrote:I disagree. Miami had and has much better top-end talent than the Bulls, and they beat us 4-1 the previous year in the ECF. To call that a 50/50 chance just isn't realistic. Vegas will back me up here.
By point differential, the Bulls had improved and surpassed Miami, while the Heat had regressed. Not saying that means we were better overall, but we were certainly better suited than 2011 to take them on.
Boozer and Noah were not banged up, we had Rip over Bogans, and Rose himself had a year extra experience, and himself did not have those two severe ankle sprains he was dealing with in 2011.
I think a good case can be made Miami was actually a better team in 2011, that should have won but just lost due to LeBron choking. 2012 required miracle shooting from Battier and Mike Miller to win.
It's just not 50/50. Sorry. When you have LeBron, your chances are not 50/50. At best.. at
best our chances were something like 60/40.
And that was last year. The FO had to take into account the already-old Boozer and Rip being a year older. What would our chances have been this year? If they'd kept it together, no better than 70/30, IMO.
Most of that's arguable, of course, but your 50/50 is plainly wrong. Like I said, Vegas would back me up.
If you want to argue Miami was still clear favorites, that's fine. But what I'm going to say is that the team the Bulls just dismantled, there is no realistic way for the Bulls to (re)build one with much better odds vs Miami. We just cost cut a great team to prepare for a future where... we try to build up the exact same type of team we had! That will never be favorites on paper vs the Heat.
Not unless we acquire another top 5 player and we are not going to.
They have to; or at least, if not top-5, at least a seriously oustanding player. Something like top 20. If we can't ever do it, we won't ever win with Rose. That's all there is to it. It's long odds at this point, but it is what it is. That's why I was a tanker. We need another top player, and the paths to acquire one are long-ass odds. Asiks and Kovers won't do it. Period.