Harry Palmer wrote:Jakay wrote:Pretty sure Bargnani's not allowed to be good at anything.
He's a victim, all right.
Throw in anyone else's name, the song remains the same.
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Harry Palmer wrote:Jakay wrote:Pretty sure Bargnani's not allowed to be good at anything.
He's a victim, all right.
apparently Andrea Bargnani is really good at this. His problem? He doesn’t often get within five feet of his opponents
We all know he has a good interior man to man defender


Schadenfreude wrote:FluLikeSymptoms wrote:Little things like post defence and shooting? Good grief.
Yes. Because if his post defense is more than cancelled out by his lack of rebounding and help defense -- and it is -- and he makes his shots at a rate well below the league average, then yes: they are, in the grand scheme, little things.
You sound like a fan of baseball, a sport of endless, easily-tracked 1v1 outcomes. But presenting broad stats like on/off as proof of anything in a sport like basketball is silly.
Actually, and there's the great irony, people are pointing to easily-tracked 1v1 outcomes as a way to tout Bargnani's defense, while the 5v5 numbers are considerably less favourable.You're not proving anything, 10 players and 2 coaches can dictate the outcome of each play. There's a reason guys like Goldsberry are coming up with new ways to analyze basketball by breaking it down to the smallest number of factors possible and in identified conditions, such as 1v1 outcomes 5ft from the hoop. It's fair to question the study, but to rebut with substantially less conclusive evidence is about as smart as that sounds, as is treating those stats as indicators of future success in different conditions.
And from that granular accounting we have a pretty clear picture: Bargs does well 1v1 with his man. However, he also frequently loses his man or allows them to get to positions where they can do damage free of his influence, and he provides very little by way of help. Thus why he was a topic of conversation at Sloan.
In all honesty, I don't consider you a contributor and I would put you on ignore if I could. We get it, you think that Bargnani is a negative-impact player no matter what, and that you have the right to attack anyone who says otherwise, with weak statistical arguments (not even numbers, this time, but it doesn't matter) and venom- that's all I've ever seen you do. You came into a possibly positive thread on Bargnani and did your little dance, great job. You snipped a sentence and did your thing. We do not share an idea of fun. You're boring. Put me on ignore if you can.
Point me in the direction of attacking that I've done here.


Suga2Panda wrote:Bargnani doesn't give you enough on offense to justify building a defense to compensate for his suckness. What have some people been watching the last 7 years?
FluLikeSymptoms wrote:Suga2Panda wrote:Bargnani doesn't give you enough on offense to justify building a defense to compensate for his suckness. What have some people been watching the last 7 years?
What? The other defenders at 3 and 4/5 are there. Nobody is trying to build around him, the thought is that he can be used to build around what we've got ie. KL, RG, JV/Amir.


FluLikeSymptoms wrote:Post defence and 3pt shooting are incredibly difficult and schematically imperative things, not little things, and they're things this team needs from a big as a different look. We need somebody to put on legit scoring bigs on the defensive end, JV isn't there yet and it could take a couple years, and we need spacing on offence.
You can find decent rebounders and help defenders anywhere (Birdman got signed a Harlem shake ago, after playing for nobody), that's all you can find up front, but we already have three on the roster.
It's not like we're going to land a post scorer or any big better than Amir or JV, and most, if not all stretch bigs are considerably worse defenders than Bargnani and any we could get would likely go to another bench.
So, no, not just any big we have or could realistically get would help this team more- if we had stretch bigs and excellent 250lb post defenders, then you might be right. We don't, and you're probably not.
We finally have creative players like KL and RG, good defensive/rebounding SFs in Rudy and Fields and help defenders in JV (coming along) and Amir in our rotation, so we can ask AB to do what he does best in a smaller role and shorter minutes and it could help the team greatly.
When he mostly played off-ball, he shot threes very well and he can still get his shot off from everywhere if we should occasionally need that. Don't ask him to anchor the D in a zone or as solo big, don't ask him to create off the bounce from the wing all night. That was dumb, and now it's completely unnecessary. In our grand scheme, what he does well, provided his arm heals, doesn't need to be cancelled out going forward.
You're not proving anything, 10 players and 2 coaches can dictate the outcome of each play. There's a reason guys like Goldsberry are coming up with new ways to analyze basketball by breaking it down to the smallest number of factors possible and in identified conditions, such as 1v1 outcomes 5ft from the hoop. It's fair to question the study, but to rebut with substantially less conclusive evidence is about as smart as that sounds, as is treating those stats as indicators of future success in different conditions.
I covered all of this in this thread. You even quoted some of it in this section. Irony? You drew a conclusion from a basketball stat as though it had the strength of a baseball stat, while ignoring the baseball-like stat which Goldberry produced, and you used baseball as a reference in your weaker, basketball stat-based conclusion. Yes, posters point to the paper as a positive for Bargnani. Why not? I don't get where you wanted to go with this.
You didn't even acknowledge the paper until I did, you first suggested that a SF in Novak, who plays no interior defence or defense of any kind, would help more than AB. Then, you said that any big would likely make us better, a statement which you tried to support with on/off stats, shaky to begin with but presented as "pretty much indisputable" evidence which does apply to his new/future role, teammates and coach, and the future was my point of discussion. I don't think you considered the post you quoted or put much thought into this, you just saw a chance to bash Bargnani and now you're scrambling.
I probably overreacted. You only attacked Bargnani this time, you only came into a positive Bargnani thread and said anyone would likely make us better, using flimsy reasoning to support that claim, and used my post as launching pad for your oddly immoderate agenda. The rest stands. At least I can ignore Doug Smith and the gang.



Suga2Panda wrote:http://www.sloansportsconference.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/The%20Dwight%20Effect%20A%20New%20Ensemble%20of%20Interior%20Defense%20Analytics%20for%20the%20NBA.pdf
"Appendix 1: Expanded Results from Case Study 1: Basket Proximity Shots faced when defender was within 5 feet of basket."
It's sorted by opponents close FG% (points in the paint), David Lee when he is 5 feet and less from the basket, allows opp FG% of 61%... Andrea doesn't even make the list... I'm assuming that means opp FG% is GREATER than 61% when he is 5 feet and less from the basket.

Schadenfreude wrote:Suga2Panda wrote:http://www.sloansportsconference.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/The%20Dwight%20Effect%20A%20New%20Ensemble%20of%20Interior%20Defense%20Analytics%20for%20the%20NBA.pdf
"Appendix 1: Expanded Results from Case Study 1: Basket Proximity Shots faced when defender was within 5 feet of basket."
It's sorted by opponents close FG% (points in the paint), David Lee when he is 5 feet and less from the basket, allows opp FG% of 61%... Andrea doesn't even make the list... I'm assuming that means opp FG% is GREATER than 61% when he is 5 feet and less from the basket.
I'm guessing that it's actually because there haven't been enough shots involving Bargnani that met the qualifying criteria, namely the involved player being within five feet of the basket.




Schadenfreude wrote:.
we do know that AB doesn't leave his man, that's the problem

I_Like_Dirt wrote:we do know that AB doesn't leave his man, that's the problem
Just because he doesn't leave his man doesn't mean he's within 5 feet of him when he scores. Once his man gets by him, Andrea lets him go more often than almost any other NBA player I can recall. There is even an argument that it isn't a bad play since it leads to him fouling less on a play where he's beaten in the first place, but it also inflates his appearance in statistical analysis like the one in the article here. On offense, Andrea is almost always close to the top of the 3 point arc making him one of the closest players to his own defensive basket but when the opposing team fastbreaks, he's almost never the first guy back despite that advantage, which also cuts out a lot of his volume. The idea that Andrea is a good man defender is misplaced here. He could be a good man defender but he's really only a good man defender when the play doesn't leave him behind in the first place.

FluLikeSymptoms wrote:Schadenfreude wrote:.
I'd put my comprehension and posting record next anyone's and feel good about it.

Harry Palmer wrote:FluLikeSymptoms wrote:Schadenfreude wrote:.
I'd put my comprehension and posting record next anyone's and feel good about it.
Other than mine, obviously.