GreenHat wrote:SideshowBob wrote:Another point. Why is SRS typically looked at without adjusting for pace to begin with? Seems like it would make more sense for it to be consistently referenced as per100 than unadjusted, no?
I completely agree. Its much easier to get separation with more possessions.
I also never understood why people use simple addition/subtraction relative to league average for Ortg/Drtg.
Taken to an extreme isn't it much easier to be +5 compared to league average if league average is 150 rather than if it is 50?
These are good points -- GreenHat, I will personally look at standard deviations, but the reason why we don't see std or other measurements when publishing/discussing is because that level of detail is unnecessary -- it's like fretting over the errors in TS% or pos calculation. Although if you can demonstrate better predictive power...
Bob -- I'll actually defend not normalizing SRS to pace here: SRS is simply margin of victory (MOV) with a basic schedule adjustment. The usefulness there is that tells you how much a team wins by. This matters because the smaller their MOV, the more likely they are to lose close games. Introducing pace would change the utility of that metric across teams and across seasons. In short, a 9 SRS team at 90 pace is no more likely to win than a 9 SRS team at 120 pace*...which is the point of the stat.
*As far as I know!
