Post#47 » by Brapman » Thu Apr 11, 2013 4:29 pm
The guard situation is totally up in the air.
1. Knight is 21 years old - obviously an extremely talented player. He's coming off a truncated rookie season becasuse of the strike - one in which the team had absolultely NO offensive players. He improved quite a bit in the offseason - but he's suffered in season two from a ton of injuries to his legs/feet. We really don't know yet whether he can/will make a Billups like leap as a guy who can play PG. If he plays SG, we have to have guys at PG who are bigger PG types than Calderon/Bynum because there will be a lot of matchups against that guard pairing that will maim us.
2. Stuckey's best position, by far is PG. No question about that. When he's playing well, he's a monster at that position, and there are very few PG's in the league who can match up with him because he's too strong for them. He cannot play SG on a team that needs him to be a spot up distance shooter.
3. English: has shown me absolutely nothing.
4. Calderon is a great pure PG on offense and a great shooter - possibly the perfect offensive player on a team with Monroe and Drummond, but a defensive sieve. If we resign him, we have to load up with other defensive monsters to aid Drummond and to protect against Calderon's weakness.
5. Bynum is one of the worst defensive guards I've ever seen, but one of league's most dynamic offensive 1 on 1 guards, and a guy who blends with Drummond because he is great at exactly one pass (the lob) even though he's a pretty bad pure PG otherwise. He's a great penetrating guard, but a guy who I think brings the rest of the offense to a standstill.
6. Middleton is a guy who I think can play minutes at SG. He's got fine handle, great offensive skills, plays good D, and all around looks like a player the Pistons should want to grow with.
IMO, it's the guard situation that needs to be sorted out. If I were Joe, my offseason priority is to make decisions about who are guards will be over the next few seasons. Here's the plan I'm settling in on now:
a) Install Stuckey as our PG. Stuckey will be on an expiring contract and extremely tradeable at the deadline. It's his best position, so lets ride with him there.
b) Keep Knight as our SG. He's going to be stronger next season, and he's a matchup nightmare. Other teams will have to play chicken with us: their bigger SG trying to defend Knight. Knight trying to defend those bigger SG's. Which coach blinks first. But we're covered to a certain extent by Drummond, and with bigger PG's.
c) Draft Smart, if we get lucky in the lottery, or MCW if we don't, or McLemore, or Oladipo. A three guard rotation of any of those guys plus Knight and Stuckey could be ideal. If we draft the PG, we can bring him along slowly, but we'll have drafted a guy with the size we need to pair with Knight.
d) Play Middleton some minutes at SG - he'd be the team's 4th guard or possibly the 5th guard depending on who we sign as a FA.
e) Don't resign Calderon. I like Jose, but if we're committed to Knight, I think the team needs to move on since Jose doesn't mesh defensively with Brandon. We'll be a team playing whack-a-mole on D forever, so we should go in a different direction.
We will clearly be trying out guard combinations for much of the next couple of seasons - but Stuckey's expiring contract will remain a valuable trade asset - more valuable as next season roles along, plus we'll hopefully be increasing his trade value from the low point it is today. We can also always move Knight since it's clear that this kid has a huge heart, and can and will be part of a rotation on a great team in the future. My plan will dramatically improve the team's defensive ability. It's super desireable to make sure we have PG's and SG's who can prevent/limit as much penetration into the paint as possible, and who are athletic and long enough to both 3 pt shooters.
If this is our focus this offseason, we can allocate some of our salary cap space to improving our defensive presence at the back power positions. I'd just leave Singler and Middleton alone for now.
I like this plan a hellof a lot better than any plan that has us drafting a lousy defensive fit or a selfish scorer (Shabazz) at SF.