Draft Lottery Prediction Thread

Bensational · Post #1 » by **Bensational** » Mon Apr 29, 2013 8:39 pm

I thought we may as well have a bit of fun with the upcoming Draft Lottery.

Everyone take a quick moment to pay worship to your basketball overlords/false idols (Diener/Pat Williams/Rak-attack/etc), and take a guess at what the final draft order will look like. Then after the lottery, we can compare and give a bag of virtual cookies to the winner/s.

rcklsscognition · Post #2 » by **rcklsscognition** » Mon Apr 29, 2013 8:59 pm

Kings
Suns
Magic
Bobcats
Pelicans
Cavs
Pistons
Wizards
Wolves
Blazers
76ers
Thunder
Mavs
Jazz

Bensational · Post #3 » by **Bensational** » Mon Apr 29, 2013 9:06 pm

After long praise to Shivakamini Somakarvakram, I've decided that basketball karma will reward the following:

1 - Washington
2 - Phoenix
3 - Utah
4 - Orlando
5 - Charlotte
6 - Cleveland
7 - New Orleans
8 - Sacramento
9 - Detroit
10 - Minnesota
11 - Portland
12 - Philadelphia
13 - Oklahoma
14 - Dallas

This will be the first draft that sees neither of the bottom two landing a top 3 pick! Stern will buck the trend of rewarding teams that have had a superstar forced their way out of town to a larger market (because he hates Orlando/or because he acknowledges that this is a crappy draft and he's saving our 'karma' for next year's draft).

This is a great opportunity for Stern to reinforce the notion that this is, indeed, a "lottery", by providing a shocking result. meanwhile, he gets to tie up a few loose ends. Washington get the final piece of the trio that will carry them into the playoffs for the next 5+ years (Noel/Beal/Wall), and it placates another superstar and prevents them leaving town. Phoenix, is given the #2 because it's a convenient opportunity to reward a strong and loyal fan base that have also just lost their superstar. Keeps that market strong (without much risk of giving them a true superstar). Utah gets a high enough pick to draft their PG of the future (Burke).

Only in basketball could politics and religion gel so harmoniously.

MAGICian619 · Post #4 » by **MAGICian619** » Mon Apr 29, 2013 10:28 pm

1- Orlando
2- Portland
3- Phoenix
4- Charlotte
5- Cleveland
6- New Orleans
7- Seattle
8- Detroit
9- Washington
10- Minnesota
11- Philadelphia
12- Toronto
13- Dallas
14- Utah

rcklsscognition · Post #5 » by **rcklsscognition** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 1:08 am

MAGICian619 wrote:1- Orlando
2- Portland
3- Phoenix
4- Charlotte
5- Cleveland
6- New Orleans
7- Seattle
8- Detroit
9- Washington
10- Minnesota
11- Philadelphia
12- Toronto
13- Dallas
14- Utah

I wanted to put Portland #2 too. I ran the mock draft once after they updated it and it was Orlando, Portland, Charlotte.

MagicFan41 · Post #6 » by **MagicFan41** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 1:21 am

1) Phoenix - Noel
2) New Orleans - Mclemore
3) Orlando - Burke
the rest just fall into order so there's sort of only a point to predicting the top 3 if anybody wants to save time, lol.

Cammo101 · Post #7 » by **Cammo101** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 2:41 am

1. Charlotte -
2. Dallas -
3. Sacramento -
4. Orlando -
5. Cleveland -
6. Phoenix -
7. New Orleans -
8. Detroit -
9. Washington -
10. Minnesota -
11. Portland -
12. Philadelphia -
13. Oklahoma City -
14. Utah -

doct3r dr3 · Post #8 » by **doct3r dr3** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 4:05 am

the cynic in me says we & phoenix will get 1/2 this year for losing dwight/nash, and then next year the raps get #1 so toronto can get wiggins.

MagicFan41 · Post #9 » by **MagicFan41** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 5:33 am

Why are some people putting OKC in the list? Do they get somebody's pick this year or is this just an error or what's the deal?

Post #10 » by **Def Swami** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 5:34 am

We'll land at #3.

MagicFan41 · Post #11 » by **MagicFan41** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 5:36 am

Def Swami wrote:We'll land at #3.

That's our least likely spot mathematically. 4 is most likely. Everyone seems to think it's 1, lol.

drsd · Post #12 » by **drsd** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 7:16 am

MagicFan41 wrote:
Def Swami wrote:We'll land at #3.

That's our least likely spot mathematically. 4 is most likely. Everyone seems to think it's 1, lol.

There is a 46.5% chance Orlando will land in the top two to select one of the two blue-chip prospects: Noel and McLemore.

And you are correct as Orlando has a 35.8% chance for #4. Another way of looking at this, though, is that Orlando has a 64.2% chance of being in the top-3.

At 3 or 4, if the Magic does not trade down, one would suspect the team will over-reach for Burke.

My prediction is that if Orlando drafts either #1 or #2, they will draft McLemore, and if #3 or #4, Burke.

..

rcklsscognition · Post #13 » by **rcklsscognition** » Tue Apr 30, 2013 8:22 am

MagicFan41 wrote:Why are some people putting OKC in the list? Do they get somebody's pick this year or is this just an error or what's the deal?

Yes, they acquired Toronto's 1st rounder from Houston in the Harden trade. Houston had it from the Kyle Lowry trade. It is top 3 protected.

Bensational · Post #14 » by **Bensational** » Mon May 20, 2013 8:52 pm

one day to go... get your entries in... cyber cookies on the line here.

orlando1214 · Post #15 » by **orlando1214** » Mon May 20, 2013 9:03 pm

1. Magic
2. Cavs
3. Bobcats
4. Suns
5. Pelicans
6. Kings
7. Pistons
8. Wizards
9. T-Wolves
10. Blazers
11. 76ers
12. Thunder
13. Mavs
14. Jazz

Skin · Post #16 » by **Skin** » Tue May 21, 2013 12:03 am

1. Bobcats
2. Cavs
3. Magic
4. Suns
5. Pelicans
6. Kings
7. Pistons
8. Wizards
9. T-Wolves
10. Blazers
11. 76ers
12. Thunder
13. Mavs
14. Jazz

1. Bobcats - Noel
2. Cavs - Porter
3. Magic - Burke
4. Suns - Olapido
5. Pelicans - Bennett
6. Kings - McLemore
7. Pistons - McCollum
8. Wizards - Len
9. T-Wolves - Adams
10. Blazers - Zeller
11. 76ers - Muhammed
12. Thunder - Gobert
13. Mavs - Schroeder
14. Jazz - Olynyk

Mule Tears · Post #17 » by **Mule Tears** » Tue May 21, 2013 12:22 am

1. Suns
2. Cavs
3. Magic

Greenraida · Post #18 » by **Greenraida** » Tue May 21, 2013 1:52 am

Im supremely confident in Magic getting #1

Smooth_E · Post #19 » by **Smooth_E** » Tue May 21, 2013 2:41 am

I'm not trying to be a butt munch, but this thread has "jinx" written all over it.

With that said, I kinda hope we get #3 so we have no excuse not to draft Alfonso Clark Burke III aka Trigga Trey.

Smooth_E · Post #20 » by **Smooth_E** » Tue May 21, 2013 2:41 am

Mule Tears wrote:1. Suns
2. Cavs
3. Magic

I'm going to co-sign this prediction.