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Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition)

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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1301 » by doct3r dr3 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:39 am

rcklsscognition wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


Tony Allen took more 3s a game than Oladipo in college then just nosedived when he got drafted.


And shot <30%

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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1302 » by meatwad4343 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:43 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:
Orlando_Pride wrote:
Skin wrote:


I dont think Rockets have a first. Didnt they trade it to Oklahoma?


I think the idea is the Rockets would GET a first for Thomas Robinson.


wouldn't that defeat the purpose of them shedding salary then? since they'd have to pay a guarenteed contract to the 1st rounder.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1303 » by Neon1 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:44 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


Watch from the 4:30-6:50 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter. McLemore shoots off catch and shoot,he shoots off screens, he shoots on dribble moves and pull ups, Shoots in transition, AND he shoots off wide open sot ups.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHaCrtbL_zg[/youtube]

Oladipo can only shoot a (NCAA range) three when spotted up wide open at a standstill set shot and even that cannot be certain (based on sample size and his horrible past shooting history).
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1304 » by dsg2021 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:47 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


I know you're trying to back off Oladipo as a better shooter than McLemore, but saying the spot up argument isn't very good is a really bad contradiction. You don't take as many 3's as McLemore without having some extremely close shut-outs, doing all the hurried speed/change of speed McLemore does with the screens offense, or outright on the dribble/hesitation made-jumpers. Meanwhile, Oladipo has never made more than two 3 pointers in any single game in three whole whopping college seasons.

The NBA body to drive argument has been mentioned lightly before, I know you weren't comparing Ben to Oladipo in that post you made a page or so behind, but for comparison sake, I believe you're doing some of those NBA comps with in-shoe heights but then you're doing McLemore's barefoot height. Bad shoehorning. He is around 6 '4.75" tall in-shoes which is round-up territory to 6 '5 and a half inch taller than Oladipo's in-shoe height. Granted, I think like 6 '5.5 to like 6 '7 or 6 '8 is the NBA range of SG's, but it's still really close for basically both McLemore and Oladipo, and basically both their speed and athleticism makes them set for being great NBA SGs in the athletic sense. You're concerned about weight, but McLemore is like only 10-15 lbs away from some of them, and much younger still.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1305 » by Neon1 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:53 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:Tony Allen took more 3s a game than Oladipo in college then just nosedived when he got drafted.


And shot <30%

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:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1306 » by Mannchild » Sat Jun 22, 2013 2:53 am

Skin wrote:
Coach_McGuirk wrote:@ESPNSteinLine

Some draft scuttle: Rockets have been offered chance to shed contract of PF Thomas Robinson for first-round pick in next Thursday's draft

This would be a good move it that team happens to be us.


Are you implying that we should trade #2 for him or try and acquire another pic for him? I dont care how bad this draft is i wouldnt trade a top 5 pick for Robinson. Now, i would def trade a 8-15 pick for him.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1307 » by Calcasian » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:00 am

meatwad4343 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:
Orlando_Pride wrote:
I dont think Rockets have a first. Didnt they trade it to Oklahoma?


I think the idea is the Rockets would GET a first for Thomas Robinson.


wouldn't that defeat the purpose of them shedding salary then? since they'd have to pay a guarenteed contract to the 1st rounder.


They would probably pick someone they can stash overseas to keep them off the books for this year.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1308 » by doct3r dr3 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:00 am

dsg2021 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


I know you're trying to back off Oladipo as a better shooter than McLemore, but saying the spot up argument isn't very good is a really bad contradiction. You don't take as many 3's as McLemore without having some extremely close shut-outs or outright on the dribble/hesitation made-jumpers. Meanwhile, Oladipo has never made more than two 3 pointers in any single game in three whole whopping college seasons.


Kansas relied on McLemore for offense more than Indiana did Oladipo. They ran a lot of screens for McLemore to get catch-and-shoot looks, in a manner not dissimilar to J.J. Redick at Duke. He was encouraged to shoot more, and a lot of the offense was built around getting him open. In the pros, both players, like J.J. Redick, will probably be relegated to the role of opportunistic, non-first option shooters, the way Oladipo was in college.

The NBA body to drive argument has been mentioned lightly before, I know you weren't comparing Ben to Oladipo in that post you made a page or so behind, but for comparison sake, I believe you're doing some of those NBA comps with in-shoe heights but then you're doing McLemore's barefoot height. Bad shoehorning. He is around 6 '4.75" tall in-shoes which is round-up territory to 6 '5 and a half inch taller than Oladipo's in-shoe height. Granted, I think like 6 '5.5 to like 6 '7 or 6 '8 is the NBA range of SG's, but it's still really close for basically both McLemore and Oladipo, and basically both their speed and athleticism makes them set for being great NBA SGs in the athletic sense. You're concerned about weight, but McLemore is like only 10-15 lbs away from some of them, and much younger still.


1. All of the heights were barefoot heights taken from DraftExpress.
2. McLemore's not all that young; he redshirted his freshman year and turned 20 in February. He's like 8 or 9 months younger than Oladipo, 3 months younger than Shabazz.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1309 » by Skin » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:06 am

Mannchild wrote:
Skin wrote:
Coach_McGuirk wrote:@ESPNSteinLine

Some draft scuttle: Rockets have been offered chance to shed contract of PF Thomas Robinson for first-round pick in next Thursday's draft

This would be a good move it that team happens to be us.


Are you implying that we should trade #2 for him or try and acquire another pic for him? I dont care how bad this draft is i wouldnt trade a top 5 pick for Robinson. Now, i would def trade a 8-15 pick for him.

No, I made a mistake. The way I read it was HOU would give up a first rounder in order for someone to take T-Rob off their hands. lol. My bad.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1310 » by IGotDaMagicInMe » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:12 am

Maybe the Cavs would trade their first for trob instead and we could get dallas's pick instead of cleveland?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1311 » by dsg2021 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:15 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:
dsg2021 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


I know you're trying to back off Oladipo as a better shooter than McLemore, but saying the spot up argument isn't very good is a really bad contradiction. You don't take as many 3's as McLemore without having some extremely close shut-outs or outright on the dribble/hesitation made-jumpers. Meanwhile, Oladipo has never made more than two 3 pointers in any single game in three whole whopping college seasons.


Kansas relied on McLemore for offense more than Indiana did Oladipo. They ran a lot of screens for McLemore to get catch-and-shoot looks, in a manner not dissimilar to J.J. Redick at Duke. He was encouraged to shoot more, and a lot of the offense was built around getting him open. In the pros, both players, like J.J. Redick, will probably be relegated to the role of opportunistic, non-first option shooters, the way Oladipo was in college.

The NBA body to drive argument has been mentioned lightly before, I know you weren't comparing Ben to Oladipo in that post you made a page or so behind, but for comparison sake, I believe you're doing some of those NBA comps with in-shoe heights but then you're doing McLemore's barefoot height. Bad shoehorning. He is around 6 '4.75" tall in-shoes which is round-up territory to 6 '5 and a half inch taller than Oladipo's in-shoe height. Granted, I think like 6 '5.5 to like 6 '7 or 6 '8 is the NBA range of SG's, but it's still really close for basically both McLemore and Oladipo, and basically both their speed and athleticism makes them set for being great NBA SGs in the athletic sense. You're concerned about weight, but McLemore is like only 10-15 lbs away from some of them, and much younger still.


1. All of the heights were barefoot heights taken from DraftExpress.
2. McLemore's not all that young; he redshirted his freshman year and turned 20 in February. He's like 8 or 9 months younger than Oladipo, 3 months younger than Shabazz.


Good point on the first paragraph, the offense structure of each team could be a huge factor, but I think the career shooting %'s of McLemore and Oladipo again point to McLemore just being one of the best shooters period. Also, you're really underrating how hard it is to use screens and bodies that crafty for shooting and making those shots. Then you mention J.J., who actually still does use a lot of screens and crafty motion off bodies for his shooting just fine as the not-first option in offense in the past 3-4 NBA seasons. You could point to J.J.'s first two poor seasons of getting shots and make a McLemore correlation, but then you're admitting there is a curve of improvement there for someone who is a pure shooter, and I never ever thought McLemore would be an amazing SG from day 1 or season 1. That's what I project in another season or so though. Using J.J. also hurts though again, the Magic set a ton of screens for him, so you just made a bridge for those same teammates to use those same screens/techniques J.J. used with them, for McLemore.


Your second paragraph is right, but I failed to mention on my part that I meant comparing McLemore's weight to the in the NBA already SG's ages & corresponding weights. Someone that young being only 10-15 lbs from NBA SG's who are varied amounts of years already older than McLemore. So he can't make 10 lbs in 2-3 years from now you think, if he has to?
The heights points were really wrong of me to assume you lied or shoehorned, but I also failed to mention that in all 7 SG's heights you mentioned, McLemore was actually taller than 4/7 of them and really close to 5/7 of them (Harden) anyways. Again, I don't want to think McLemore/Oladipo are taller than most NBA SG's anyways, but take their speed and athleticism into it, and they' will, again, be great NBA SG's in the athletic sense.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1312 » by doct3r dr3 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:16 am

Neon1 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


Watch from the 4:30-6:50 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter. McLemore shoots off catch and shoot,he shoots off screens, he shoots on dribble moves and pull ups, Shoots in transition, AND he shoots off wide open sot ups.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHaCrtbL_zg[/youtube]

Oladipo can only shoot a (NCAA range) three when spotted up wide open at a standstill set shot and even that cannot be certain (based on sample size and his horrible past shooting history).




Watch from the 8:45-10:25 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgWJGiJJAwk[/youtube]



8-)
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1313 » by Neon1 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:35 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:

Watch from the 8:45-10:25 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgWJGiJJAwk[/youtube]



8-)


I did. And it showed exactly that. Where did he he show anything else?
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1314 » by rcklsscognition » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:53 am

doct3r dr3 wrote:
rcklsscognition wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:Neon1, I didn't say Oladipo was necessarily a better shooter than McLemore, but people act like McLemore is Ray Allen and Oladipo is Tony Allen, when percentages tell a different story. Of course the volume argument is a fair one, but ~1 3PM per game isn't nothing -- Paul Pierce made 1.1 his last year and Vince Carter made 1.2 in his. The "spot up" argument isn't a very good one. It's not like McLemore was killing people off the dribble.


Tony Allen took more 3s a game than Oladipo in college then just nosedived when he got drafted.


And shot <30%

Image


Tony Allen shot 40% freshman year on 2.4 attempts a game. I just don't consider Oladipo's numbers this year real. Maybe 10 years down the road we can look back and say this was the start of something good, but right now, it looks like an anomaly.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1315 » by orlando1214 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:56 am

Neon1 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:

Watch from the 8:45-10:25 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgWJGiJJAwk[/youtube]



8-)


I did. And it showed exactly that. Where did he he show anything else?


:lol: Yeah I like Oladipo but that probably wasn't the best clip to show that he is anything more than a spot up shooter. Honestly though, I like both Oladipo and McLemore and I'll be happy with either. They both have their flaws but I trust Hennigan to pick whoever is best for the team, so I'm not too worried.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1316 » by rcklsscognition » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:56 am

Neon1 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:

Watch from the 8:45-10:25 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgWJGiJJAwk[/youtube]



8-)


I did. And it showed exactly that. Where did he he show anything else?


That was 12 wide open spot up simple shots in a row. Problem is it pigeonholes him a bit. Unless you've watched him all year, it's hard to say that's who he is. Maybe he had 12 other shots that weren't wide open spot ups that he made, just didn't make the clip.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1317 » by doct3r dr3 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 3:57 am

dsg2021 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:
dsg2021 wrote:I know you're trying to back off Oladipo as a better shooter than McLemore, but saying the spot up argument isn't very good is a really bad contradiction. You don't take as many 3's as McLemore without having some extremely close shut-outs or outright on the dribble/hesitation made-jumpers. Meanwhile, Oladipo has never made more than two 3 pointers in any single game in three whole whopping college seasons.


Kansas relied on McLemore for offense more than Indiana did Oladipo. They ran a lot of screens for McLemore to get catch-and-shoot looks, in a manner not dissimilar to J.J. Redick at Duke. He was encouraged to shoot more, and a lot of the offense was built around getting him open. In the pros, both players, like J.J. Redick, will probably be relegated to the role of opportunistic, non-first option shooters, the way Oladipo was in college.

The NBA body to drive argument has been mentioned lightly before, I know you weren't comparing Ben to Oladipo in that post you made a page or so behind, but for comparison sake, I believe you're doing some of those NBA comps with in-shoe heights but then you're doing McLemore's barefoot height. Bad shoehorning. He is around 6 '4.75" tall in-shoes which is round-up territory to 6 '5 and a half inch taller than Oladipo's in-shoe height. Granted, I think like 6 '5.5 to like 6 '7 or 6 '8 is the NBA range of SG's, but it's still really close for basically both McLemore and Oladipo, and basically both their speed and athleticism makes them set for being great NBA SGs in the athletic sense. You're concerned about weight, but McLemore is like only 10-15 lbs away from some of them, and much younger still.


1. All of the heights were barefoot heights taken from DraftExpress.
2. McLemore's not all that young; he redshirted his freshman year and turned 20 in February. He's like 8 or 9 months younger than Oladipo, 3 months younger than Shabazz.


Good point on the first paragraph, the offense structure of each team could be a huge factor, but I think the career shooting %'s of McLemore and Oladipo again point to McLemore just being one of the best shooters period. Also, you're really underrating how hard it is to use screens and bodies that crafty for shooting and making those shots. Then you mention J.J., who actually still does use a lot of screens and crafty motion off bodies for his shooting just fine as the not-first option in offense in the past 3-4 NBA seasons. You could point to J.J.'s first two poor seasons of getting shots and make a McLemore correlation, but then you're admitting there is a curve of improvement there for someone who is a pure shooter, and I never ever thought McLemore would be an amazing SG from day 1 or season 1. That's what I project in another season or so though. Using J.J. also hurts though again, the Magic set a ton of screens for him, so you just made a bridge for those same teammates to use those same screens/techniques J.J. used with them, for McLemore.


Your second paragraph is right, but I failed to mention on my part that I meant comparing McLemore's weight to the in the NBA already SG's ages & corresponding weights. Someone that young being only 10-15 lbs from NBA SG's who are varied amounts of years already older then McLemore. So he can't make 10 lbs in 2-3 years from now you think, if he has to?
The heights points were really wrong of me to assume you lied or shoehorned, but I also failed to mention that in all 7 SG's heights you mentioned, McLemore was actually taller than 4/7 of them and really close to 5/7 of them (Harden) anyways. Again, I don't want to think McLemore/Oladipo are taller than most NBA SG's anyways, but take their speed and athleticism into it, and they' will, again, be great NBA SG's in the athletic sense.


1. At the end of the day, for all J.J. Redick was as a player here, he was still a 28-year-old backup on the worst team in the league. He wasn't getting screens run for him or plays called for him when the Magic were contenders, or even on a fringe-playoff team like the Bucks. J.J. probably surpassed the expectations of some who thought he'd bust as an 11th pick, but he did little more than that. Not someone I'd be excited about drafting 2nd overall.

2. There's nothing that special about McLemore's shooting numbers. This year alone, a bunch of college players bested his shooting volume and accuracy -- and not just guys from mid-majors and obscure colleges, either (See: Seth Curry, Reggie Bullock, Joe Harris, Erik Murphy, etc.)

3. The guys I picked out to compare to McLemore were specifically those around his height. There's no sense comparing him to guys like Paul George (6'7.75"), Tracy McGrady (6'6.5") or Klay Thompson (6'5.75") that are much taller than he is. And perhaps I should have also explained that all the weights are also taken from those pre-draft measurements on DraftExpress.

4. Their vertical leaps are indeed impressive, but it doesn't amount to much if they don't use it in the game. (High-flying fastbreak dunks don't count).
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1318 » by rcklsscognition » Sat Jun 22, 2013 4:00 am

One thing McLemore does that sets him apart is use his vertical leap for opening space on his shot. That is a big deal in the NBA. He can get shots off with defenders on him. He's shown he can do it already. That's super valuable.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1319 » by doct3r dr3 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 4:03 am

orlando1214 wrote:
Neon1 wrote:
doct3r dr3 wrote:

Watch from the 8:45-10:25 mark and you will see the guy is NOT just a simple spot up shooter.

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgWJGiJJAwk[/youtube]



8-)


I did. And it showed exactly that. Where did he he show anything else?


:lol: Yeah I like Oladipo but that probably wasn't the best clip to show that he is anything more than a spot up shooter. Honestly though, I like both Oladipo and McLemore and I'll be happy with either. They both have their flaws but I trust Hennigan to pick whoever is best for the team, so I'm not too worried.


Fine, start from the 9:55-10:25 mark then.

Point is, DX gives both guys a sort of tepid endorsement of their off-the-dribble shooting abilities.
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Re: Official Speculation Thread (Pt. LV - NBA Draft Edition) 

Post#1320 » by Gomagic44 » Sat Jun 22, 2013 4:17 am

Just wanted to chime in to say, the last day of commentary has been better than the week store it. Thanks for the info guys. I learn the nba through paying attention to your debates.

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