Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season.

Post #101 » by **montestewart** » Fri Jul 19, 2013 4:48 pm

Higga wrote:Well since I have us getting a 6 seed, I may need to up my 43 wins to about 46 or so. For now I'll stick with 43 though, and hope I end up being too low.

Come to 44. We got a starting 5, but our bench is a little thin.

TheKingOfVa360 · Post #102 » by **TheKingOfVa360** » Fri Jul 19, 2013 6:16 pm

montestewart wrote:
Higga wrote:Well since I have us getting a 6 seed, I may need to up my 43 wins to about 46 or so. For now I'll stick with 43 though, and hope I end up being too low.

Come to 44. We got a starting 5, but our bench is a little thin.

Yeah I'm going with 44 wins for us. But it would be great to see the Wizards finally win 50 games.

hands11 · Post #103 » by **hands11** » Sat Jul 20, 2013 5:37 am

Dat2U wrote:I'm just waiting for the shoe to drop (some random injury) before I make my real prediction. Sometimes the shoe drops during the summer (Kwame's broken foot), sometimes it happens right before training camp begins (Wall's stress injury) and sometimes it happens during camp (Haywood's wrist injury).

Yeah, its just to early to make a quality prediction in my book.

We don't even have final rosters. Teams are still making moves. Injuries will happen somewhere along the way between all the teams.

But as a general projection.. I expect no worse then 38. 44 is probably more realistic. But if Nene looks really good and they add the right pieces, they can win over 44.

Need more information. Gotta at least get through these trade talks. We just don't know the final rosters. How can you really predict not knowing that ?

dckingsfan · Post #104 » by **dckingsfan** » Sat Jul 20, 2013 8:46 pm

Wins

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
56 - jeffsays
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride
50 - JWizmentality, nuposse04
49 - AFM
48 - DaRealHibachi, GhostsOfGil
47 - The Consiglieri, TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup, hands11 (to be adjusted)
44 - TGW, dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, closg00
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan
40 - Zonkerbl, MJG
39 - DCKingsFan
38 - Ruzious, hands11
37 - Earth2Ted
36 - truwizfan4evr
35 - FAH1223
30 - Knighthonor

Off Rating

TwentyOne920 has 106 (rounding)
DCKingsFan has 101

Defensive Rating

TwentyOne920 has 104
DCKingsFan has 102

Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Higga has Yes
DCKingsfan has NO

Porter wins ROY honors

DCKingsfan has NO

dckingsfan · Post #105 » by **dckingsfan** » Sat Jul 20, 2013 8:46 pm

Offensive and Defensive ratings please?

dobrojim · Post #106 » by **dobrojim** » Tue Jul 23, 2013 5:42 pm

how 'bout predictions for which player(s) among the Wiz rotation players
will play at least 65 games?

Wall
Nene (handicap?)
Okafor
Beal
Webster
Ariza
Porter
Maynor

dckingsfan · Post #107 » by **dckingsfan** » Thu Jul 25, 2013 6:54 pm

Or maybe a Okafor/Nene combined games?

dobrojim · Post #108 » by **dobrojim** » Thu Jul 25, 2013 7:33 pm

knock on wood

I think Okafor has a decent chance to play 70 games.
From all reports, he takes very good care of his body.

dckingsfan · Post #109 » by **dckingsfan** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 12:04 am

True and Nene has been resting all summer. I guess Beal is the one I am most worried about.

sashae · Post #110 » by **sashae** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 1:53 am

The average NBA team over the 2001-2011 seasons lost 86 man-games per season to injury (the Wizards, being the Wizards, lost an average of 125 games/season to injury, worst in the league, with the Clippers and the Warriors following at 117 -- the Spurs and Suns were league-best with 40 and 50 games respectively.)

How many games do we predict the Wizards will lose to injury next season? And based on that, how does it affect your opinion of their record?

I feel like the Wizards are permanently hexed, and will lose 120 games to injury. That suggests to me, say, 30 games for Nene, 10-15 for Wall, and 10-15 for Beal (among other flotsam and jetsam losses.) To me, at least, an "at full health" team for the Wizards is an unlikely thing, unfortunately.

Based on that, I'm going with a record of 41-41 and the 8th seed.

CntOutSmrtCrazy · Post #111 » by **CntOutSmrtCrazy** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 2:41 am

47-35

hands11 · Post #112 » by **hands11** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 6:11 am

dckingsfan wrote:True and Nene has been resting all summer. I guess Beal is the one I am most worried about.

Hard to tell.

Like Nene, Beal didn't seem to rest long enough to really heal. He says he was always playing on a sprained ankles even in his college days. Maybe all this rest and proper rehab can change things for him. Same could even be true of Booker. I feel pretty curtain that is true for Wall.

Wall is working on his thighs and other leg muscles to strengthen his knee. Beal says he is going to work on is calves to help his ankle.

There seems to be a very obvious difference in how they are dealing with injured player. They used to always bring them back to soon and them EFJ would go right to 40 mins with them. Now they are resting them properly once they discover, they have a much slower approach to things then they did before. And it sounds like they are designing program in strengthen the injured area to protect against future injuries.

You know Webster and Okafor are mature and very focused on their bodies. Wall seems that way now as well. Beal has the maturity so I fully believe he will be that kind of player. Maynor having recovered from an ACL has learned a lot about taking care of his body. And I think Nene is fully aware of the need to rest and then train properly to take care of himself. He is now at that age where he has to do it. If not, he will have a shorter career. He knows that. I heard him say it. I wonder how much influence Okafor at the same age might have on Nene. Temple seems to take care of himself.

So as a team, I like their chances to stay healthy. I think the trainers are doing a better job and I think the team collectively has enough people that will do it right that they will help set the standard for those that might not be there yet. Maybe some will even train together.

A healthy team has a better chance of staying healthy.

hands11 · Post #113 » by **hands11** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 6:16 am

sashae wrote:The average NBA team over the 2001-2011 seasons lost 86 man-games per season to injury (the Wizards, being the Wizards, lost an average of 125 games/season to injury, worst in the league, with the Clippers and the Warriors following at 117 -- the Spurs and Suns were league-best with 40 and 50 games respectively.)

How many games do we predict the Wizards will lose to injury next season? And based on that, how does it affect your opinion of their record?

I feel like the Wizards are permanently hexed, and will lose 120 games to injury. That suggests to me, say, 30 games for Nene, 10-15 for Wall, and 10-15 for Beal (among other flotsam and jetsam losses.) To me, at least, an "at full health" team for the Wizards is an unlikely thing, unfortunately.

Based on that, I'm going with a record of 41-41 and the 8th seed.

I believe they will miss less then the league average this year.

But its not just about missed games. Its about if players are playing hurt and how in shape they are.

GhostsOfGil · Post #114 » by **GhostsOfGil** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 2:05 pm

sashae wrote:The average NBA team over the 2001-2011 seasons lost 86 man-games per season to injury (the Wizards, being the Wizards, lost an average of 125 games/season to injury, worst in the league, with the Clippers and the Warriors following at 117 -- the Spurs and Suns were league-best with 40 and 50 games respectively.)

How many games do we predict the Wizards will lose to injury next season? And based on that, how does it affect your opinion of their record?

I feel like the Wizards are permanently hexed, and will lose 120 games to injury. That suggests to me, say, 30 games for Nene, 10-15 for Wall, and 10-15 for Beal (among other flotsam and jetsam losses.) To me, at least, an "at full health" team for the Wizards is an unlikely thing, unfortunately.

Based on that, I'm going with a record of 41-41 and the 8th seed.

I posted this before but if you havnt seen it, brace yourself:

Our AVERAGE is higher than your prediction :lol:

Post #115 » by **montestewart** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 2:47 pm

Wizards record '13-'18: 207-203

closg00 · Post #116 » by **closg00** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 2:56 pm

GhostsOfGil wrote:
I posted this before but if you havnt seen it, brace yourself:

Our AVERAGE is higher than your prediction

What does this tell you about the kind of rosters Grunfeld has put together during his nearly 10 years?
But, but, if were are healthy this-year........

GhostsOfGil · Post #117 » by **GhostsOfGil** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 3:08 pm

No doubt closg00. The excuse has fallen upon deaf ears considering he is responsible for signing injury prone players.

dckingsfan · Post #118 » by **dckingsfan** » Fri Jul 26, 2013 10:44 pm

Wins

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
56 - jeffsays
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride
50 - JWizmentality, nuposse04
49 - AFM
48 - DaRealHibachi, GhostsOfGil
47 - The Consiglieri, TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup, hands11 (to be adjusted)
44 - TGW, dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, closg00
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae
40 - Zonkerbl, MJG
39 - DCKingsFan
38 - Ruzious, hands11
37 - Earth2Ted
36 - truwizfan4evr
35 - FAH1223
30 - Knighthonor

Off Rating

TwentyOne920 has 106 (rounding)
DCKingsFan has 101

Defensive Rating

TwentyOne920 has 104
DCKingsFan has 102
hands11 has 86
Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Higga has Yes
DCKingsfan has NO

Porter wins ROY honors

DCKingsfan has NO

Games Lost due to injury

120 - sashae
110 - DCKingsFan
86 - hands11

hands11 · Post #119 » by **hands11** » Sat Jul 27, 2013 5:42 am

I saw a 47 and 68 in there.

All signs point to a healthy season for them.

There is no Gil knee or D Song or DSleez back on this team.

The two biggest injury concerns are Nene and Booker and I think both will be fine this year. And Booker isn't critical anyway.

Hey, don't go putting me down for 86. I said < 86

dangermouse · Post #120 » by **dangermouse** » Sat Jul 27, 2013 7:29 am

I would not be shocked if Wall did not make the All Star squad. East is deep at guard.

The only way he makes it is if we, and he, are really turning heads with our play and our record by the time voting opens. I think if that happens, and Rose is disappointingly average, he has a shot.

The Celtics will probably suck, if they keep hold of Rondo I don't think he makes the ASG. His stats will probably take a hit, and if your team is sucking you generally dont make the team.

DWill has a pretty good team around him, i'd put money on him making it.

Kyrie at this point has got to be as good a lock as there is. Only injury will keep him out. Then you've got Dwade, ditto. Thats all ive got off the top of my head.

I think Wall COULD take Jrue's spot, but it is not something i'd take to Vegas. In the long run i dont see it as all that important. Its a cool little award and it gives us something to cite in arguments with other team's fans. Thats about it. We know his play, when he is on, is ASG worthy.