Post#10 » by blackham9258 » Mon Oct 21, 2013 6:32 am
Gordon will not be getting an offer over $11M per in the off-season. Who is going to give it to him. Celtics will usually be the first team out of peoples mouths.... Really with Jeff Greene and Wallace eating up wing /SF minutes? Not likely. Boston will likely end up in the top 5 and will be looking for a player at the wing to be its next Paul Pierce. They are still years away and aren't in a position to overpay to become mediocre... Ainge is too smart for that.
Most teams who might... and I stress might be interested in Haryward are they really going to be in a rush to overpay a non-allstar? No, and it is more likely that they will draft a wing this year that they will build around rather than overpay for someone elses non-allstar wing.
Gordon Hayward is not a championship piece... He is a complimentary piece. Is LAL going to pay for an above average SF? No way. They will go gang busters for Lebron and then when he decides to stay in Miami or return to Cleveland are they going to please their fan base with Haryward? No.
Bring it Board: Who is going after Hayward at $11M
Portland-no
Phoenix-maybe but the draft may preclude them and the whole point that you don''t go for a middling FA when you still suck.
LAC-No
Mem-No capped
SA-No capped
Houston-no capped and parsons
Dallas-close to capped
Minny-no capped
Denver- no capped
NOLA- no capped
Atl- no capped
Sac-no mostly capped with upcoming wing
OKC-capped
NYC-capped
Was- capped beal on the way etc
Tor-capped gay wont opt out
Charlotte-Maybe, but would hayward go play there.. no
BKL-capped
IND- capped
Mil- Capped
CHi- capped
CLE- capped and waiting for lebron
Orl- drafting wings and have them in the stable already Harkless, Tobias, Oladipo, Afflalo
Phi- maybe, but who will they be drafing
Det- capped
So to review you are left with the very unlikely "MAYBE" scenarios of: Boston, Charlotte, Philly Phoenix, and maybe throw in a surprise or two. But really this new CBA doesn't lend itself to overpaying for players unless they are superstars. I like Gordon but he is no superstar and won't be getting that kind of money and interest. If you look over the last 2 years what big money contracts have been handed out to wings who aren't allstars or changed teams?
Tyreke Evans and Iggy are the only guys I can think of. Tyreke was wildly overpaid and everyone scoffed at that contract.. NOLA is nuts. Iggy apparently wanted to leave and that was that and he got less than $12 per as an allstar and olympian. He could have had that offer in Denver but chose to leave. Batum I guess got an offer from Minnesota but was overpaid too. I guess you could count smaller deals like Mayo and Kevin Martin. But the more I think about it if Gordon won't accept $8-$9M per let him test FA. My bet is he will find the water cold like Pekavic did. His best cast scenario is $10M per in the offseason and that is only if he doesn't get exposed this season and see his numbers slip.
Don't overpay to become a mediocre team. I want to keep Hayward as a Jazz man for a long time, I don't want to spend 5 years lamenting another AK type contract that ties our hands to mediocre results.