Countdown to Ernie Grunfeld Firing

[hands11]

Your reasoning is correct, but...according to basketball-reference's strength of schedule measure, the Wizards have played the league's 4th easiest schedule thus far. They're 17th in scoring margin (at -0.60)

That said, I haven't run numbers on benches to compare the quality of the Wizards' bench to the rest of the league. When I looked at starters, I found the Wizards were 15th overall, just a shade below the league average in production from starters. So, their bench could be somewhere in the middle, especially since Wittman went to the tighter rotation. I should be able to take a look at this pretty easily. Maybe later today.

In a way, even more interesting would be to know how our strength of schedule looks for the rest of the season (based on opponents' current records, obviously -- might change some).

Who knows? Maybe it gets easier!!

So, I did take a look at the relative quality of the Wizards starters and bench.

What I found: the starting lineup ranks 14th. Their bench ranks 15th.

Cool. You did PPA for all the Wizards. I had been wanting to see that. Thanks.

[payitforward]

Your reasoning is correct, but...according to basketball-reference's strength of schedule measure, the Wizards have played the league's 4th easiest schedule thus far. They're 17th in scoring margin (at -0.60)

That said, I haven't run numbers on benches to compare the quality of the Wizards' bench to the rest of the league. When I looked at starters, I found the Wizards were 15th overall, just a shade below the league average in production from starters. So, their bench could be somewhere in the middle, especially since Wittman went to the tighter rotation. I should be able to take a look at this pretty easily. Maybe later today.

In a way, even more interesting would be to know how our strength of schedule looks for the rest of the season (based on opponents' current records, obviously -- might change some).

Who knows? Maybe it gets easier!!

So, I did take a look at the relative quality of the Wizards starters and bench.

What I found: the starting lineup ranks 14th. Their bench ranks 15th.

Two responses:

1. Starters and bench 14th and 15th, 4th easiest schedule so far, record of 21-22. Sorry, but this should make you wonder just how well your PPA metric really does correlate to wins/losses. And...

2. Forget all that -- hey everybody, Kevin wrote a novel; it's his first, and you can download the first chapter for free at http://kevinbroom.com/no-in-between-kevin-broom/, and I read it, and it's good! Are those the things you wanted me to say, Kevin?

I'm sure -- convinced, it's solid!, no problem -- that there will be a discount coupon for us here. He probably just hasn't gotten to letting us know -- no problem, Kev. Where's that coupon?

Also, today being January 28 and you saying you are publishing in January, where's the rest of the novel? Dude, take your time -- where is it?

[tontoz]

1. Starters and bench 14th and 15th, 4th easiest schedule so far, record of 21-22. Sorry, but this should make you wonder just how well your PPA metric really does correlate to wins/losses.

I don't think PPA takes into account strength of schedule. Since both the starters and the bench rate as average then it makes sense that their record is roughly .500.

[keynote]

Our board's countdown thread for the Blessed Event is going to reach 100 pages.

That's a very, very sad thing.

[hands11]

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/23 ... -Of-Season


Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season

Well done EG. Well done.

Add him to the list of players we had that could have helped that we don't have for no good reason.

[TGW]

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/231693/Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season


Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season

Well done EG. Well done.

Add him to the list of players we had that could have helped that we don't have for no good reason.

Welcome to the darkside, brother.

[tontoz]

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/231693/Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season


Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season

Well done EG. Well done.

Add him to the list of players we had that could have helped that we don't have for no good reason.

Welcome to the darkside, brother.

It is never too late to do the right thing.

IBTL

You guys should push this to 101 pages just to annoy nate. I am too tired to stay up tonight.

[closg00]

See ya on the other side, this thread will burn-on.

[Nivek]

In a way, even more interesting would be to know how our strength of schedule looks for the rest of the season (based on opponents' current records, obviously -- might change some).

Who knows? Maybe it gets easier!!

So, I did take a look at the relative quality of the Wizards starters and bench.

What I found: the starting lineup ranks 14th. Their bench ranks 15th.

Two responses:

1. Starters and bench 14th and 15th, 4th easiest schedule so far, record of 21-22. Sorry, but this should make you wonder just how well your PPA metric really does correlate to wins/losses. And...

I always wonder about PPA and how it describes winning. So far this season, the team-level correlation between PPA and scoring margin is 0.90, which is lower than normal. Last season, it was 0.94. Same in 2011-12. Going back through the years, the correlation ranges from 0.90 to 0.96 season to season. Average is 0.94.

2. Forget all that -- hey everybody, Kevin wrote a novel; it's his first, and you can download the first chapter for free at http://kevinbroom.com/no-in-between-kevin-broom/, and I read it, and it's good! Are those the things you wanted me to say, Kevin?

I'm sure -- convinced, it's solid!, no problem -- that there will be a discount coupon for us here. He probably just hasn't gotten to letting us know -- no problem, Kev. Where's that coupon?

Also, today being January 28 and you saying you are publishing in January, where's the rest of the novel? Dude, take your time -- where is it?

Discount?

Discount?!

I've been dropping pearls for FREE here for years! And now you want a discount?!

Actually, yes there will be. A discount, I mean. Will post details when the book goes live, which looks like it'll be next week.

Thanks very much for the kind words about the first chapter. Glad you enjoyed. Hopefully the rest won't disappoint.

Now if I could just get another million or so folks to like it...

[verbal8]

http://basketball.realgm.com/wiretap/231693/Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season


Suns-Sign-Leandro-Barbosa-For-Remainder-Of-Season

Well done EG. Well done.

Add him to the list of players we had that could have helped that we don't have for no good reason.

Welcome to the darkside, brother.

It is never too late to do the right thing.

IBTL

You guys should push this to 101 pages just to annoy nate. I am too tired to stay up tonight.

We need to get milellie111 to post on this thread. It will quickly blow past 101 pages. Or maybe his thread should just be merged into this one.

[verbal8]

According to Basketball-Reference Wes Unseld was GM from 1995-2000 during that time the team record was: 172-206 0.455

EG has been GM since 2003
Wizards record: 310-456 0.40

I think Unseld's record is higher than his performance as GM, but having 5 seasons in a row below that level should get a GM fired.

[verbal8]

Maybe this thread needs some winter weather predictions.

[tontoz]

Toe jam > Grunfeld

[verbal8]

Toe jam > Grunfeld

lol

[tontoz]

Grunfeld makes Ron Burgundy look smart.

[tontoz]

I will henceforth refer to a Number 2 as a Grunfeld.

[tontoz]

Need a little help to get to 101. Beuller?

[payitforward]

2. Forget all that -- hey everybody, Kevin wrote a novel; it's his first, and you can download the first chapter for free at http://kevinbroom.com/no-in-between-kevin-broom/, and I read it, and it's good! Are those the things you wanted me to say, Kevin?

I'm sure -- convinced, it's solid!, no problem -- that there will be a discount coupon for us here. He probably just hasn't gotten to letting us know -- no problem, Kev. Where's that coupon?

Also, today being January 28 and you saying you are publishing in January, where's the rest of the novel? Dude, take your time -- where is it?

Discount?... I've been dropping pearls for FREE here for years! And now you want a discount?!...

That's the point, isn't it? You've gotten us used to a low cost!

Thanks very much for the kind words about the first chapter. Glad you enjoyed. Hopefully the rest won't disappoint.

Now if I could just get another million or so folks to like it...

Do you follow Lawrence Block's blog? You should. One of my absolute favorite American detective/mystery writers, and he's taken his huge backlist into the world of electronic books with great success. Check it out....

[noworriesinmd]

I will henceforth refer to a Number 2 as a Grunfeld.

Excuse me, I'm about to take a Grunfeld!!! LMAO.

[Nivek]

I'm following Block's blog now. Always enjoyed his books. I see that he wrote one in collaboration with Donald Westlake. For a long time, Robert B. Parker was my favorite, but I LOVE Westlake's books whether he's writing under his own name or under his Richard Stark alias.