

Ok, new model. Yes, I know this isn't perfect, but it does give some insight.
Here are the assumptions:
- The teams currently 2-13 will lose all their road games and only win at home against others on this list.
- Milwaukee loses all of the rest of their games and gets the #1 slot before the lottery.
Here is our tanking competition (first number is current stranding, the number is parentheses is projected):
13 (13). Brooklyn (22-26) Wins (32)
12 (11t). New Orleans (22-27) Wins (28)
11 (11t). Charlotte (22-28) Wins (28)
10 (10). Detroit (20-29) Wins (27)
9 (7t). New York (20-30) Wins (26)
8 (7t). LA Lakers (18-32) Wins (26)
7 (4). Boston (18-33) Wins (24)
6 (7t). Cleveland (17-33) Wins (26)
5 (3). Sacramento (17-33) Wins (23)
4 (5t). Utah (16-33) Wins (25)
3 (5t). Philadelphia (15-36) Wins (25)
2 (2). Orlando (15-37) Wins (22)
1 (1). Milwaukee (9-40) Wins (9)
If this scenario plays out, it is the nightmare scenario. Charlotte and Brooklyn get the last two playoff spots, and we end up with the 10th pick before the lottery, likely giving that to Charlotte.