Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup

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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#41 » by NO-KG-AI » Sun Feb 16, 2014 9:33 pm

rrravenred wrote:
NO-KG-AI wrote:Russell
Garnett
Bird
Pierce
Havlicek

I think you can get the best lineup available with these guys, and at their best, the 5 best Celtics.


Garnett vs. McHale is a really interesting conundrum (that a lot of teams would like to have). A question for me is really one of fit... if you have Russell, do you need Garnett?

(As an aside... Hondo at PG? Not 100% sold on that, though with Bird in the lineup you don't really need a traditional initiator)


I think with Bird, Pierce, and even Garnett in the post, a true PG would be wasted anyway. Go for the epic defender :D

As for Garnett or McHale. Even without the defensive gap, Garnett's shooting and passing makes way more space for Russell, Pierce, Bird... whoever. Better complimentary offensive skills to someone like Bird. I think a true post scorer is probably wasted with Bird being pushed outside too much, and Russell in the lane.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#42 » by rrravenred » Sun Feb 16, 2014 9:38 pm

Think McHale is THE true post scorer... ;-)

Understand your point, of course. And with Pierce at SG (slightly out of position, would have thought) as a slasher, you open room for him and Bird to cut with Russ and KG able to pump it down low from the high post. It does basically leave Bird as your only low post threat which COULD allow the other team to load up the paint and let the jumpers fall where they may... but given the talent on offer, that may not work out too well in any case...
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#43 » by therealbig3 » Mon Feb 17, 2014 12:49 am

Hmmm, Pierce not a top 5 Celtic?

Russell, Bird, and McHale, I'd say are better. I'd personally take Pierce next, over Havlicek and Cowens. Cousy isn't even in the conversation for me.

Pierce to me is basically a superior version of Havlicek.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#44 » by JeremyGray35 » Mon Feb 17, 2014 1:03 am

Cousy
Pierce
Bird
McHale
Russell

Sixth - Garnett
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#45 » by Laimbeer » Mon Feb 17, 2014 1:57 am

Russell
Garnett
Bird
Hondo
Cousy
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#46 » by wigglestrue » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:07 am

therealbig3 wrote:Hmmm, Pierce not a top 5 Celtic?

Russell, Bird, and McHale, I'd say are better. I'd personally take Pierce next, over Havlicek and Cowens. Cousy isn't even in the conversation for me.

Pierce to me is basically a superior version of Havlicek.


Image

That's madness.

Look, Pierce has been great. But, like, Dantley-great. A little better than Dantley, somewhere in the 40-50 range, but perhaps not even that. Not remotely close to Havlicek's level. For that matter, McHale can't match Havlicek, either. Your standards are bizarre, lol. I won't even get into Cousy, as you are a Cousy-dismisser. As recently as 2003 around here, both Cousy and Havlicek were more or less uncontested Top 15-25 players. Perception was not so off then and Pierce has not elevated himself so much since that 10+ years later they're now both ranked beneath Pierce. Cowens's defense was greater than Pierce's offense, he won two titles, and an MVP. Cowens > Pierce. Havlicek > Pierce. Cousy > Pierce. Havlicek and Cousy > McHale.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#47 » by acrossthecourt » Mon Feb 17, 2014 5:15 am

wigglestrue wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:Hmmm, Pierce not a top 5 Celtic?

Russell, Bird, and McHale, I'd say are better. I'd personally take Pierce next, over Havlicek and Cowens. Cousy isn't even in the conversation for me.

Pierce to me is basically a superior version of Havlicek.


Image

That's madness.

Look, Pierce has been great. But, like, Dantley-great. A little better than Dantley, somewhere in the 40-50 range, but perhaps not even that. Not remotely close to Havlicek's level. For that matter, McHale can't match Havlicek, either. Your standards are bizarre, lol. I won't even get into Cousy, as you are a Cousy-dismisser. As recently as 2003 around here, both Cousy and Havlicek were more or less uncontested Top 15-25 players. Perception was not so off then and Pierce has not elevated himself so much since that 10+ years later they're now both ranked beneath Pierce. Cowens's defense was greater than Pierce's offense, he won two titles, and an MVP. Cowens > Pierce. Havlicek > Pierce. Cousy > Pierce. Havlicek and Cousy > McHale.

Havlicek's rank on certain lists is really interesting to me. He seems like one of the most overrated players ever, and it's due to the usual factors: lots of titles on deep teams, longevity (i.e. huge volume stats that make one think he was a statistical monster), and pace inflation.

I just don't see how a player who wasn't even a major contender for the MVP in a time when many of the best players were in the ABA should be a top 15 player ever. He got one first place vote in '72 and five another time but still was ranked only fifth.

People hate it when you point out things like pace because you shouldn't decide basketball things based on numbers (but that's what they're doing often with citing these stats, so ... just making it fair.) For example, Havlicek's highest scoring season was 28.9. Hey, that looks great; players have a hard time matching that today. But Boston's pace was 120 (!) and he played 45 minutes a game. Using today's pace of 94, which is the highest in a long time, and 40 minutes a game (the limit for today's players), that's ... 20 points per game.

His stats look better because he played an unreal amount of minutes, especially for the pre-merger era. You can't just say "top 20 player because he has 26,000 points" and that he has a lot of titles or something. There has to be stronger evidence.

Yeah, he's known for defense and intangibles, but he needs an awful lot of those to get close to top 15/20. 36 players have won the MVP award, he played in a pretty weak era for MVP competition, he was on a successful team so he had that bias going for him ... by those contemporary accounts, how is that a top 15/20 guy?

I assume the typical counter to this is some rote post about his career stats and titles and, strangely, how "stat guys" are ruining the league by only going by the numbers (but that's what you're doing just going by career stats and championships.)

If you want to rank him high because he played huge minutes and want your list to look like one of the top guys by minutes played, go ahead. I just prefer to think of how good guys were during a sustained three year peak first to get an idea of how valuable he was.

I like Havlicek as a player. He's a great piece to a successful team, back then at the very least, but top 15, as I've seen from a few lists? No way.

And I'm not sure why Pierce is being compared to Dantley. You calling Pierce a team cancer ... ?
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#48 » by soxfan2003 » Mon Feb 17, 2014 9:59 am

My all time Celtics team will get criticized by people for several of my choices but with my life on the line, these are the 5 players I would go with in a series with the players having lets say 3 months to practice together and playing according to today's rules with the 3 point line.... Why leave off Bill Russell who rightfully deserves to be considered the best Celtic of all time? KG/McHale/young Bird is still tremendous frontcourt defense and you aren't exposing yourself to the other team fouling Russell or not guarding him that much. With my life on the line, I would not want to take any chances to a team just hacking Russell or not guarding him that much.

Bird -- SF
McHale -- PF -- narrowly edge out Russell. According to Barkley, McHale toughest defender he ever faced.
2008 KG -- C
young Pierce -- SG
2008 Ray Allen -- PG

If Ainge/DJ could handle the guard duties in the 80's with only Bird to help them out... Ray Allen, Pierce could do it with KG and Bird to help them out as needed.

Sure this team would struggle to stop the quick PG's like the 86 Celtics struggled since 2008 Ray Allen or younger PP wouldn't be quick enough but I don't mind if some PG is trying to beat me with 20 ft jumpers with the offensive this team gives me.

I just think this team would absolutely smoke other teams with its offense and still be much better defensively then the 86 Celtics since with all due respect to Parish, KG is a massive improvement defensively. And the loss of defense from DJ to Pierce is more then made up from the defensive improvement from Ainge to Ray Allen.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#49 » by wigglestrue » Mon Feb 17, 2014 2:01 pm

acrossthecourt wrote:
wigglestrue wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:Hmmm, Pierce not a top 5 Celtic?

Russell, Bird, and McHale, I'd say are better. I'd personally take Pierce next, over Havlicek and Cowens. Cousy isn't even in the conversation for me.

Pierce to me is basically a superior version of Havlicek.


Image

That's madness.

Look, Pierce has been great. But, like, Dantley-great. A little better than Dantley, somewhere in the 40-50 range, but perhaps not even that. Not remotely close to Havlicek's level. For that matter, McHale can't match Havlicek, either. Your standards are bizarre, lol. I won't even get into Cousy, as you are a Cousy-dismisser. As recently as 2003 around here, both Cousy and Havlicek were more or less uncontested Top 15-25 players. Perception was not so off then and Pierce has not elevated himself so much since that 10+ years later they're now both ranked beneath Pierce. Cowens's defense was greater than Pierce's offense, he won two titles, and an MVP. Cowens > Pierce. Havlicek > Pierce. Cousy > Pierce. Havlicek and Cousy > McHale.

Havlicek's rank on certain lists is really interesting to me. He seems like one of the most overrated players ever, and it's due to the usual factors: lots of titles on deep teams, longevity (i.e. huge volume stats that make one think he was a statistical monster), and pace inflation.

I just don't see how a player who wasn't even a major contender for the MVP in a time when many of the best players were in the ABA should be a top 15 player ever. He got one first place vote in '72 and five another time but still was ranked only fifth.


Dude, it's absurd to do what you're doing there, using MVP voting as a measure for a time when we only have first-place votes, and pretending like the competition for the award was weak. That '72 vote, for example? The first-place votes were divided between Kareem, Jerry West, and Wilt. That's weak? Since we have no clue how many second or third place votes Havlicek got, it's pointless to use that against him.

In lieu of having full MVP voting to parse, how about we look to...All-NBA nods.

Four 1st teams, and seven 2nd teams.

(EDIT: That's the equivalent of four top-5 MVP finishes, and seven more top-10.)

That's automatic Top 30-ness. Maybe higher, still Top 20-25.

Pierce? Three 3rd teams, one 2nd.

(EDIT: And here are Pierce's MVP finishes...

MVP Award Shares
2000-01 NBA 0.004 (13)
2001-02 NBA 0.017 (11)
2002-03 NBA 0.001 (11)
2007-08 NBA 0.001 (14)
2008-09 NBA 0.017 (7)

...come on. No way Pierce should even sniff Havlicek.)

People hate it when you point out things like pace because you shouldn't decide basketball things based on numbers (but that's what they're doing often with citing these stats, so ... just making it fair.) For example, Havlicek's highest scoring season was 28.9. Hey, that looks great; players have a hard time matching that today. But Boston's pace was 120 (!) and he played 45 minutes a game. Using today's pace of 94, which is the highest in a long time, and 40 minutes a game (the limit for today's players), that's ... 20 points per game.


And if Paul Pierce had to play that many minutes at that pace, what would his stats have been like? Answer: Not as good. Part of why Havlicek is great is his endless stamina. That isn't just volume or longevity. That's an actual important trait to have in the game of basketball.

His stats look better because he played an unreal amount of minutes, especially for the pre-merger era. You can't just say "top 20 player because he has 26,000 points" and that he has a lot of titles or something. There has to be stronger evidence.


Who on earth is "just" saying that? There's also Havlicek's all-time defense. Pierce has been a pretty good defender at times, sure. Not even close to Havlicek.

Yeah, he's known for defense and intangibles, but he needs an awful lot of those to get close to top 15/20. 36 players have won the MVP award, he played in a pretty weak era for MVP competition, he was on a successful team so he had that bias going for him ... by those contemporary accounts, how is that a top 15/20 guy?


He might not be Top 15-20 anymore. But he sure as hell isn't below Pierce. And yes, he DOES have a lot of those. And the success of his team isn't a mere bias: He was a significant reason for that success!

I assume the typical counter to this is some rote post about his career stats and titles and, strangely, how "stat guys" are ruining the league by only going by the numbers (but that's what you're doing just going by career stats and championships.)


Huh?

If you want to rank him high because he played huge minutes and want your list to look like one of the top guys by minutes played, go ahead. I just prefer to think of how good guys were during a sustained three year peak first to get an idea of how valuable he was.


Uh, okay, and Havlicek still beats Pierce.

I like Havlicek as a player. He's a great piece to a successful team, back then at the very least, but top 15, as I've seen from a few lists? No way.


He was also a first-option for a successful team, several successful teams, actually, as many as four champions, depending on who you deem to be the first option in the '66 playoffs.

And I'm not sure why Pierce is being compared to Dantley. You calling Pierce a team cancer ... ?


No, just in terms of career production, peak. Pierce isn't that much better than a Dantley.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#50 » by Quotatious » Mon Feb 17, 2014 2:13 pm

Hondo is roughly on par with Pippen, Barry and Baylor, so objectively, I'd take him over Pierce, and believe me - that's not an easy decision for me as a fan - Pierce's fan, that is. If I wanted to be unbiased though, the answer is pretty clear for me - Hondo is better.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#51 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Feb 17, 2014 2:43 pm

Thinking about this and then thinking about the all-time Mavs team makes me so so sad....

Bill Russell/Walton(yeah I know I know but I only need spot minutes and I love Celtics Walton)
KG/McHale
Bird/Truth
Sam Jones/Havlicek (he's the 6th man duh)
Cousy/Rondo
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#52 » by lorak » Mon Feb 17, 2014 2:46 pm

I think many people don't realize how much Havlicke's stats are affected by pace. If we adjust them per 90 possessions then his career averages are: 16.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.8 APG with -0.7 TS% relatively to league average. Really nothing special and even if he was great defender (what is not so sure), then it's still not enough to be better than Pierce.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#53 » by Quotatious » Mon Feb 17, 2014 2:57 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:Thinking about this and then thinking about the all-time Mavs team makes me so so sad....

All-Time Mavs would be that bad as a team...

Bradley (yep, Shawn Bradley :D )/Donaldson/Tarpley
Dirk/Sam Perkins/AC Green
Aguirre/Finley
Blackman/Terry
Harper/Kidd/Brad Davis (can't leave him out of the Mavs all-time team, heart and soul of this franchise, kinda like KC Jones for the Celtics).

I left Roy Tarpley out of this team because of his very questionable influence on other guys (yeah, "influence" is unfortunately a very proper word to be connected with Tarpley...).

All positions except center are VERY solid. I could see them functioning pretty well as unit, maybe if only Aguirre could somehow cut down on his FGAs...

Hard to pick a coach - Dick Motta, Don Nelson and Rick Carlisle are all very strong candidates.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#54 » by wigglestrue » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:11 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:Thinking about this and then thinking about the all-time Mavs team makes me so so sad....

Bill Russell/Walton(yeah I know I know but I only need spot minutes and I love Celtics Walton)
KG/McHale
Bird/Truth
Sam Jones/Havlicek (he's the 6th man duh)
Cousy/Rondo


I...really like that team, as a team!
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#55 » by wigglestrue » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:20 pm

Quotatious wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:Thinking about this and then thinking about the all-time Mavs team makes me so so sad....

All-Time Mavs would be that bad as a team...

Bradley (yep, Shawn Bradley :D )/Donaldson/Tarpley
Dirk/Sam Perkins/AC Green
Aguirre/Finley
Blackman/Terry
Harper/Kidd/Brad Davis (can't leave him out of the Mavs all-time team, heart and soul of this franchise, kinda like KC Jones for the Celtics).

I left Roy Tarpley out of this team because of his very questionable influence on other guys (yeah, "influence" is unfortunately a very proper word to be connected with Tarpley...).

All positions except center are VERY solid. I could see them functioning pretty well as unit, maybe if only Aguirre could somehow cut down on his FGAs...

Hard to pick a coach - Dick Motta, Don Nelson and Rick Carlisle are all very strong candidates.


No Mavs-era Nash in limited minutes, no bench role for Chandler, no still-quite-good Marion?
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#56 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:28 pm

Quotatious wrote:Bradley (yep, Shawn Bradley :D )/Donaldson/Tarpley
Dirk/Sam Perkins/AC Green
Aguirre/Finley
Blackman/Terry
Harper/Kidd/Brad Davis (can't leave him out of the Mavs all-time team, heart and soul of this franchise, kinda like KC Jones for the Celtics).




Look at the above tho compared to the Celtics. The Celtics have 2 guys better than Dirk in Russell and Bird, another essentially his equal in KG, then legit HoFers all over the place--so many that really really good players would get left on even a 15 man squad.

Also Dallas would be imo(excluding guys not here very long):

Donaldson/Bradley (yep thats the best we ever had....)
Dirk/Perkins (we are pretty strong here)
Aquirre/JHo/Marion (talented but flawed)
Blackman/Fin/JET (solid)
Kidd(young or old, but not prime)/Harper/Nash(again not the best of him)

That's a lotto team in an all-time NBA by team league(would be cool to see this done for every team)
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#57 » by Quotatious » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:34 pm

Well, it obviously can't compare to the Lakers or Celtics, but it's decent. Think about what would the Bobcats fans say about their all-time "great" team. :lol: Obviously the Mavs exist 5 or 6 times as long as them, but the talent level is proportionally good. Okay, let's not derail the thread about the Celtics here.
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Agreed. We would have to establish some criteria and then choose players according to those. If it wasn't for the all-time fantasy league going on right now, I'd actually be willing to run such a project.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#58 » by wigglestrue » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:38 pm

DavidStern wrote:I think many people don't realize how much Havlicke's stats are affected by pace. If we adjust them per 90 possessions then his career averages are: 16.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.8 APG with -0.7 TS% relatively to league average. Really nothing special and even if he was great defender (what is not so sure), then it's still not enough to be better than Pierce.


And, again, how do you think Pierce would do playing 40-45 minutes a game at 120 possessions a game? Again: Not as good, not as good as Havlicek did, as he himself did playing 35-40 minutes at 90 possessions a game. And why should it matter, wasn't it just random that Havlicek's teams chose to play at that pace? No. It was by design, and it led to multiple championships. So, could Pierce have done what Havlicek did, in the 60's and 70's, for those Celtics, in order to execute that philosophy well enough to win titles? No. Because Havlicek was only able to lead those teams that way because he was special.

And it is most definitely a sure thing that Hondo was a great defender, one of the very, very best of all time. I know your schtick is hating on the oldies, but just know that what you think is an advanced level of analysis there is really just first-and-a-half level thinking, not even second level.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#59 » by Quotatious » Mon Feb 17, 2014 3:52 pm

We can't really assume that Hondo's numbers would look the same in today's game as the pace-adjusted stats that DavidStern posted. Obviously he would play differently in the modern league, wouldn't chuck nearly as many low percentage shots with bad elevation. Havlicek's incredible stamina (and many other 60s stars would have the same advantage) would just allow his to play harder than most today's players on both ends of the court, while still averegaing 35-40 MPG, assuming he doesn't get called for too many fouls, playing really hard defensively.

My point is that it's inaccurate and logically flawed to simply adjust 60s players' stats to today's pace and just assume that it's what they would actually average in the current NBA, and conversely - today's players (like LeBron) wouldn't necessarily put up 45/13/12 or some other totally otherworldly statlines on insane efficiency. The are many variables that come into play in those kinds of exercises.

I DO understand that there's no other way to measure that stuff using hard facts (stats), but I just think the it'll remain an open speculation forever, and that's why I'd rather compare players from the same era, rather than 50 years removed from each other.

It's NOT to say that I don't respect the work than DavidStern puts into those analysis - I sincerely appreciate his efforts, and think that he's an outstanding poster, but it seems that we just have to agree that there are, and probably will always be, some limitations as far as comparisons across different eras.
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Re: Who do you pick for an all-time Celtics starting lineup 

Post#60 » by lorak » Mon Feb 17, 2014 4:01 pm

wigglestrue wrote:
DavidStern wrote:I think many people don't realize how much Havlicke's stats are affected by pace. If we adjust them per 90 possessions then his career averages are: 16.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 3.8 APG with -0.7 TS% relatively to league average. Really nothing special and even if he was great defender (what is not so sure), then it's still not enough to be better than Pierce.


And, again, how do you think Pierce would do playing 40-45 minutes a game at 120 possessions a game? Again: Not as good,



1. Havlicek played only 5 seasons when he averaged at least 40 MPG each year (41.6, 45.4, 45.1.42.1 and 40.7 MPG) and during those 5 years he averaged (per 90 possessions): 43 MPG, 19.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 5.3 APG and +1.1 TS%

(BTW, that's Havlicek's prime. Nothing impressive, Pierce was MUCH better scorer, better rebounder and probably even better passer. Defense is the only thing Hondo was better, but as perimeter player, during era without 3p line, he rather didn't have great defensive impact.)

Rest of career he averaged 33.6 MPG (with 38.7 as "career high" during these non 40 MPG years), 14.4 PPG, 4.3 PRG, 3.0 APG and -1.6 TS%

So actually high minutes numbers helped his production.

2. More possessions don't mean more fatigue. It means more run and gun ant that style of play is far less tiring, than slow paced half court game. In half court offense/defense most of hard work is done. If you ever played the game at any level, you should have known that.

And it is most definitely a sure thing that Hondo was a great defender, one of the very, very best of all time


Why you are so sure of that?

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