mwhis21 wrote:soxfan2003 wrote:mwhis21 wrote:
I want to breakdown this post real quick:
They look at the team going forward not backward: They look for the team with the pieces that will enable them to win now, not potentially win in 2-3 years if everything goes 100% the way they have to. Kevin Love, turning 26 years old. Do you think he wants to spend his prime on another rebuilding squads where the "youth" MAY pan out to be what Rondo currently is? There have been so many lottery misses compared to lottery hits in the past two decades your making an incredible assumption that any of these players will even sniff the success and accolades that Rondo has accumulated at the ripe old age of 27.
This is how you are starting and ending most of your thoughts.
"Let's just assume" "If Embid was looking like" "Hypothetically, Kevin Love MAY prioritize" "Jordan's defense hasn't always been good, but by most reports" "By most accounts, players look at the entire situation"
Doesn't this raise a red flag for you? You're talking about a perfect storm of IF's & Hypotheticals that would make a genie jealous...I understand you don't like or value Rondo and need to give your opinion in every Rondo discussion, but this is getting out of control.
If 2008 KG/and 2008 Ray Allen are available and it can work cap wise which it can't... I'd be the first one to say trade all of the picks. I know the lottery odds.
Second, Rondo is 28 in 4 days and will be 29 by the end of next year.
Third, this discussion isn't just about Rondo, its about reality and where the Celtics are at.
Rondo by consensus opinion is probably a "third star" on a championship team who will be 29 by the time the Celtics even have a chance to start to be good again but with a lot to prove to get back to that level.
Someone like Love may be a "second star" on a championship team but even he has a lot to prove that his game holds up in the playoffs.
Either way, the Celtics are counting on the draft unless they can trade picks for mega talents like 2008 KG/Durant etc.
1. The KG/Ray Allen trades were 4 years in the making starting with DA shipping out 'Toine. I'm 100% sure that back in 2003 DA didn't say to himself I'm going to lineup assets to get KG and Ray Allen after the 2006 season. Just because said stars aren't available today doesn't mean they won't be in 12 months/18months/24months: You can't predict who's going to come available at any time. People who are hoping for a one year turn around are terribly mislead. The last turnaround was really about 4 years.
2. What is your fascination with age? If he's a "third star" like you're talking about it then there's no reason that Rondo won't play "third star" basketball for the next 5-7 years. The probability of your hype machine binkies to sniff what Rondo has accomplished by 27 is really low.
3. The state of the Celtics: The hard truth is that we're in good shape regardless of whether we do anything at the deadline or not. The key to the Celtics is to be PATIENT. The last thing the C's need to to is go Detroit Pistons and piss away their assets and flexibility for sake of making a move. Cleveland when LeBron was there. Made a rash of panic decisions.
I'm 100% prepared for another lousy year next year before contending again in 2015. Just as I've said numerous times last offseason.
No one is peaching patience much more then me. And patient rebuilding teams(Seattle/OKC with Ray Allen) aren't afraid to trade their stars even after a great season.
It was Ainge's drafting, 2007 tanking and friendship with McHale that put the Celtics in position to recover from the bad Walker trade. Perkins/Jefferson/Rondo etc.
What am I advocating? Giving Danny Ainge more "high quality" draft picks and/or young players with potential since he has tended to draft well and then know the appropriate time to try for the blockbuster trade if its even necessary.
Unless Ainge is very convinced Rondo will sign for a substantial discount, I'm advocating trading Rondo for (good) picks not picks expected to be in the 20's. If teams don't offer a good deal for Rondo, don't do it. Picks are well known to being highly valued assets.
You may be tremendously impressed with Rondo's resume. I just think its very good and there are better players who just happened to not play with as much talent.
Bottom line: If Rondo plays very well the rest of this season and keeps shooting well from 3, I'd have no issue with signing him to 3 years, 37.5 million which is recent Tony Parker money even with a no trade clause thrown in if that was humanly possible. At that price/contract length, I realize it may make sense and be worthwhile gamble. But what are the odds of Rondo signing for those numbers on a rebuilding team? Very little unless his play isn't looking very good by the end of the season. And its not like I'm opposed to the Celtics giving Rondo money. We all know next year will be another rebuilding year in all likelihood so I wouldn't mind the Celtics tearing up his contract and giving him 25 million next year and then 10 million each of the following 3 years. 55 million for 4 years is above Tony Parker money but if the Celtics could structure a deal like that it would make sense since his cap number would be reasonable as he got older. But they can't according to the CBA.