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Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII

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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#521 » by verbal8 » Wed Apr 23, 2014 4:43 pm

Youheardme90 wrote:I mean, I thought about it last night. Nene is an older guy with a history of injury problems, we should not just look for someone with talent to replace Nene, but a player with a similar skill set. A physical, passing big man.


I did a rough search of C/Fs averaging more than block per 36 and 2 AST/36 min. One name that might be a good target from that list is Kyle O'Quinn. I don't know what it would take to get him from Orlando, but his numbers don't look terrible different from a young Nene:

http://bkref.com/tiny/QUPKf
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#522 » by Nivek » Wed Apr 23, 2014 6:20 pm

Here are some PF/C types who are high in my "Diamond" rating, which basically looks for players who aren't playing as much as their production might warrant. This is PF and C with at least 500 total minutes, 24 or less MPG and a PPA of 90 or better. List sorted by PPA

  1. Brandan Wright
  2. Jordan Hill
  3. Mason Plumlee
  4. Trevor Booker (ahem)
  5. Gorgiu Dieng
  6. Patrick Patterson
  7. Timofey Mozgov
  8. Omer Asik
  9. Kosta Koufos
  10. Andray Blatche
  11. Kyle O'Quinn
  12. DeJuan Blair
  13. Bismack Biyombo
  14. Jon Leuer
  15. Jeff Withey

The last 4 names rate in the 90s.

Nenê's PPA this season: 102
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#523 » by nuposse04 » Wed Apr 23, 2014 7:54 pm

Nivek wrote:Here are some PF/C types who are high in my "Diamond" rating, which basically looks for players who aren't playing as much as their production might warrant. This is PF and C with at least 500 total minutes, 24 or less MPG and a PPA of 90 or better. List sorted by PPA

  1. Brandan Wright
  2. Jordan Hill
  3. Mason Plumlee
  4. Trevor Booker (ahem)
  5. Gorgiu Dieng
  6. Patrick Patterson
  7. Timofey Mozgov
  8. Omer Asik
  9. Kosta Koufos
  10. Andray Blatche
  11. Kyle O'Quinn
  12. DeJuan Blair
  13. Bismack Biyombo
  14. Jon Leuer
  15. Jeff Withey

The last 4 names rate in the 90s.

Nenê's PPA this season: 102


Almost all of those guys sans Patterson are glorified hustle players. As we've seen so far against the Bulls, you can't exect to win games when the guy on the other side is trying and actually has skill. I think getting any of those guys for next season would prove useful in the RS in giving useful minutes to lower the lode on Nene, but none of them would supplant Nene's utility in the playoffs I think.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#524 » by nuposse04 » Wed Apr 23, 2014 7:57 pm

Like I remember watching Brandon wright in the dallas/spurs game and in the last 7 mins or so, he was out there while Dallas was crashing on offense, it seemed like to me Spurs just decided to ignore him sans one dunk. I just don't think any of those guys would serve the same dividends in the playoffs...and for the record, I do want us to Sign Jordan Hill :) but not replace Nene (cause I don't think he can).
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#525 » by Dark Faze » Wed Apr 23, 2014 8:02 pm

I honestly don't really know what my thoughts are anymore in regards to talent acquisition. The only thing I'm sure of is that Seraphin and Singleton are out.

The playoffs have simply painted every aspect of this team in a much different light. Its shown us that while a fairly inconsistent regular season club--when healthy we are a very talented playoff group. Obviously you hope you keep winning otherwise that opinion can change quickly, but I'm trying my best to be objective and think long term while key pieces I've wanted to leave--Booker, Nene, Ariza, and Gortat, are showing the sort of grit, calm attitude, and strong IQ necessary to foster growth in our youngsters.

Nothing was more humbling to me than Game 1--the way our young studs ran into a wall, were scared ******** and yet guys like Dre, Nene and Gortat settled them down and showed them how to play playoff ball.

Right now if I had to lean one way or another, I'd suggest finding a way to move Web in order to free up money and development time for Porter. Besides that I'd like to see us flirt with the lux tax to extend our expirings and bring in a guy from Niveks list--preferably Jordan Hill.

Get two more years of playoff experience and then start gunning for all-star names like Durant.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#526 » by LyricalRico » Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:03 pm

^ Another board member coming around! I love it! :D
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#527 » by payitforward » Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:40 pm

verbal8 wrote:
Youheardme90 wrote:I mean, I thought about it last night. Nene is an older guy with a history of injury problems, we should not just look for someone with talent to replace Nene, but a player with a similar skill set. A physical, passing big man.

I did a rough search of C/Fs averaging more than block per 36 and 2 AST/36 min. One name that might be a good target from that list is Kyle O'Quinn. I don't know what it would take to get him from Orlando, but his numbers don't look terrible different from a young Nene:

http://bkref.com/tiny/QUPKf

I've been talking about Kyle O'Quinn since a few months before the 2012 draft is all!! Finally, someone else notices this kid.

When Ernie made the brain-dead trade for Okaforiza (read carefully, please: bad trade, not bad player(s) ), he threw in the #46 pick we had in the '12 draft -- with that pick, I had been focusing on O'Quinn for us. He went to Orlando at #49.

Orlando's smart young GM will have no interest whatever in trading O'Quinn to us or anyone. He's a terrific young prospect, and they have him tied up for the next two seasons for a pittance (an NBA pittance I mean!).
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#528 » by payitforward » Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:45 pm

nuposse04 wrote:
Nivek wrote:Here are some PF/C types who are high in my "Diamond" rating, which basically looks for players who aren't playing as much as their production might warrant. This is PF and C with at least 500 total minutes, 24 or less MPG and a PPA of 90 or better. List sorted by PPA

  1. Brandan Wright
  2. Jordan Hill
  3. Mason Plumlee
  4. Trevor Booker (ahem)
  5. Gorgiu Dieng
  6. Patrick Patterson
  7. Timofey Mozgov
  8. Omer Asik
  9. Kosta Koufos
  10. Andray Blatche
  11. Kyle O'Quinn
  12. DeJuan Blair
  13. Bismack Biyombo
  14. Jon Leuer
  15. Jeff Withey

The last 4 names rate in the 90s.

Nenê's PPA this season: 102


Almost all of those guys sans Patterson are glorified hustle players. As we've seen so far against the Bulls, you can't exect to win games when the guy on the other side is trying and actually has skill. I think getting any of those guys for next season would prove useful in the RS in giving useful minutes to lower the lode on Nene, but none of them would supplant Nene's utility in the playoffs I think.

Sorry, nuposse, complete BS to me. You might want to take another look at what Booker did last night, for example, and then re-think his utility. Look at numbers, then watch the 4th quarter one more time.

I don't even know what "glorified hustle players" are. If a guy gets a lot of offensive boards is he a "hustle" player? Would those boards help more if someone else got them? Not to mention that I'm betting you haven't seen enough minutes of most of those guys to have any idea whatever what kind of players they are.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#529 » by payitforward » Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:48 pm

nuposse04 wrote:Like I remember watching Brandon wright in the dallas/spurs game and in the last 7 mins or so, he was out there while Dallas was crashing on offense, it seemed like to me Spurs just decided to ignore him sans one dunk. I just don't think any of those guys would serve the same dividends in the playoffs...and for the record, I do want us to Sign Jordan Hill :) but not replace Nene (cause I don't think he can).

"Like I remember watching"... X is not an analysis of any kind. It's something that comes to mind once you've already made up your mind. For example, I remember watching Nene be awful many, many games -- all last season for example.

The Nene I remember in those memories couldn't replace the Nene I remember seeing last night and sunday night, for example.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#530 » by payitforward » Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:53 pm

LyricalRico wrote:^ Another board member coming around! I love it! :D

Everything's all good when we win, and I hope we keep winning -- not going to be jinxing anything by being critical.

But... the big thing to think about Gortat and Ariza is that they are both UFAs, and we might not be able to re-sign them both even if we want to. And the big thing to think about Miller, even if he does play next year, is how you replace him.

You like Maynor, don't you LR? Loved the signing. Should we "come around" to that? He'll be available next Summer. You want him again? As much as you wanted him last Summer?
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#531 » by dckingsfan » Wed Apr 23, 2014 11:53 pm

Nivek wrote:Here are some PF/C types who are high in my "Diamond" rating, which basically looks for players who aren't playing as much as their production might warrant. This is PF and C with at least 500 total minutes, 24 or less MPG and a PPA of 90 or better. List sorted by PPA

  1. Brandan Wright
  2. Jordan Hill
  3. Mason Plumlee
  4. Trevor Booker (ahem)
  5. Gorgiu Dieng
  6. Patrick Patterson
  7. Timofey Mozgov
  8. Omer Asik
  9. Kosta Koufos
  10. Andray Blatche
  11. Kyle O'Quinn
  12. DeJuan Blair
  13. Bismack Biyombo
  14. Jon Leuer
  15. Jeff Withey

The last 4 names rate in the 90s.

Nenê's PPA this season: 102


I love what Plumlee has done this year... terrific list. But the younger players aren't going anywhere - I think they stay stapled to the teams that drafted them (could be wrong though).

Wright has played really well for Dallas - I think the $5M they will pay him next year is a steal. You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#532 » by payitforward » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:05 am

dckingsfan wrote:...You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.

He'll be front and center for a lot of teams. And the better we do in the playoffs the more attention he'll command this Summer.

You can say the same for Ariza. He's had a fabulous season, and the deeper we go into the playoffs the more GMs will be looking at him.

Now, I imagine that both those guys would give us the chance to match any offer; maybe even come here for a tiny bit less than their best other offer. But, even so, that number seems likely to go up with every playoff win we get.

That's why it's so important to enjoy this success. Live in the moment. Beat the Bulls, knock down the Pacers or whoever, go to the Eastern Finals and surprise the Heat, then beat on whatever set of Western chumps dares to take the floor against the mighty Wizards.

It's all about a title, baby -- rings are the things.

(...and then Ernie can retire and let the next guy clean up when Gortat and Ariza leave, Nene has a career-ending injury, Methuselah (ooops I mean Andre Miller) retires, Webster's back freezes up permanently, Booker slips away, etc....)
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#533 » by Hypnotizer » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:06 am

dckingsfan wrote:You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.


I don't think DAL is serious option for Gortat. They are old. Nowitzki, Marion, Carter... We are young and perspective team.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#534 » by payitforward » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:21 am

Hypnotizer wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.

I don't think DAL is serious option for Gortat. They are old. Nowitzki, Marion, Carter... We are young and perspective team.

Hey Hyp -- you do recognize that this is these guys' profession, right? That they play for money, and that never again in their lives after they retirement will they ever earn even a meaningful fraction of what they earn in the NBA, that this is their one and only chance to clean up, that the next contract Gortat signs will be the biggest one of his career, the most money he'll ever earn, and that he is not interested in the really great time you and I are having as we watch the Wizards exceed expectations? This is stuff you are aware of, right?

Oh, and that he has an agent who's paid to have the hard conversations w/ the Wizards FO that get top $$ out of them?

Gortat will be looking at all options, every one of them, and using them to get himself the best deal he can -- if he wants to play here, great, I've always loved him as a player. But... the more we succeed right now, the more Marcin Gortat will cost us or anyone next year. Duh.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#535 » by nuposse04 » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:31 am

payitforward wrote:Sorry, nuposse, complete BS to me. You might want to take another look at what Booker did last night, for example, and then re-think his utility. Look at numbers, then watch the 4th quarter one more time.

I don't even know what "glorified hustle players" are. If a guy gets a lot of offensive boards is he a "hustle" player? Would those boards help more if someone else got them? Not to mention that I'm betting you haven't seen enough minutes of most of those guys to have any idea whatever what kind of players they are.


Sounds like I hit a nerve :/ , for the record, I mostly am in line with w/e Nivek promotes because his stats do seem predictive and generally I think advance stats are the way to go in evaluating players at a superficial level. My issue with the majority of the players on that list (who I have watched ty very much, well except leur and Whitey but they're buried on benches) is that you can't run offense for them, and if their offense is predicated on other players missing shots (Offensive rebounding) then it isn't a guarantee that there energy will serve the same value as it may in the RS because to be honest, every team in the post season plays with more energy and discipline. I would absolutely agree that the point they get off offensive rebounds matter, but my question is it reasonable to assume that those opportunities will be just as plentiful against quality playoff opposition? I'm legitimately curious is there any evidence that suggests that offensive rebounding opportunities as just as plentiful as they are in the regular season...if they are then the rest of my response doesn't matter and I'll happily eat crow :P

My question, outside of patterson(who I like cause of his floor spacing and wanted for some time now :evil: ) on that list, could we actually expect any of those players to go do what Nene has currently in the playoffs against a team like the Bulls? Blair was worthless in game 1, kostas useless in both game 1&2 and Plumlee hasn't torn it up either. I'm a Booker fan but unless his midrange J is on he's a wildcard every night. I mean in game 1 I liked his energy in battling with Taj but he certainly didn't produce many points on his own (although I do think he had a positive +/- differential, so I suppose that is something). Game two was far more enjoyable :)

I'm not a fan of Nene's contract or his injury history, but I have a hard time understanding how Nene doesn't have value in the post season (cause I assume that is what we're debating here, which 4/5 could we get moving forward that could pay dividends down the line as we try to become a more competitive playoff team). I'm not an EG fan and I know your vitriol towards players he's moved assets for is probably something we have in common, but Nene is paying dividends for us right now because he's a legit option in the post and helps facilitate the offense... would really expect analogous production if we swapped Nene for Blair? Can you run offense through Blair? His advance stats are pretty but since you claim to be a better expert on his game, provide some context for me, what facet of his game specifically would be something the Bulls could not handle at all (like they haven't been able to with Nene).
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#536 » by Hypnotizer » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:35 am

payitforward wrote:
Hypnotizer wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.

I don't think DAL is serious option for Gortat. They are old. Nowitzki, Marion, Carter... We are young and perspective team.

Hey Hyp -- you do recognize that this is these guys' profession, right? That they play for money, and that never again in their lives after they retirement will they ever earn even a meaningful fraction of what they earn in the NBA, that this is their one and only chance to clean up, that the next contract Gortat signs will be the biggest one of his career, the most money he'll ever earn, and that he is not interested in the really great time you and I are having as we watch the Wizards exceed expectations? This is stuff you are aware of, right?

Oh, and that he has an agent who's paid to have the hard conversations w/ the Wizards FO that get top $$ out of them?

Gortat will be looking at all options, every one of them, and using them to get himself the best deal he can -- if he wants to play here, great, I've always loved him as a player. But... the more we succeed right now, the more Marcin Gortat will cost us or anyone next year. Duh.


I agree.
First move of our next GM (Ernie) will be re-signing him and Ariza though. Do you really think EG let him go after all he did here? Better be ready for a $48 mln/ 4 years deal. And I don't think Cuban will go frenzy-mode as much as our new-old GM this summer.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#537 » by nuposse04 » Thu Apr 24, 2014 12:46 am

I'd offer Gortat probably 3 years 30 mil and not a penny more...My "hope" is that all these pretty things like "team culture" and position here are appealing...but if he's just looking for money I could see him bouncing. EG will overpay to keep him, that is a given though, that is how EG operates. Jordan Hill doesn't do much for floor spacing but he is a stop gap center that I'm ok with us running with since he does produce in the regular season. Plus he has dreads, to match with Nene of course. He's semi youngish too, but didn't he have have injury issues some time ago?
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#538 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Thu Apr 24, 2014 1:46 am

payitforward wrote:
Hypnotizer wrote:
dckingsfan wrote:You know Dallas is going hard after a C next year - my guess is Gortat is front and center on their radar.

I don't think DAL is serious option for Gortat. They are old. Nowitzki, Marion, Carter... We are young and perspective team.

Hey Hyp -- you do recognize that this is these guys' profession, right? That they play for money, and that never again in their lives after they retirement will they ever earn even a meaningful fraction of what they earn in the NBA, that this is their one and only chance to clean up, that the next contract Gortat signs will be the biggest one of his career, the most money he'll ever earn, and that he is not interested in the really great time you and I are having as we watch the Wizards exceed expectations? This is stuff you are aware of, right?

Oh, and that he has an agent who's paid to have the hard conversations w/ the Wizards FO that get top $$ out of them?

Gortat will be looking at all options, every one of them, and using them to get himself the best deal he can -- if he wants to play here, great, I've always loved him as a player. But... the more we succeed right now, the more Marcin Gortat will cost us or anyone next year. Duh.


Gortat's making the same $7.7M that Ariza makes. Last season, Okafor and Nene each made more than $13M. Marcin DESERVES A HUGE RAISE.

I am really ignorant on the cap but I believe re-signing both Ariza and Gortat is in the interest of the Wizards. The team is well balanced.
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#539 » by Chocolate City Jordanaire » Thu Apr 24, 2014 1:49 am

nuposse04 wrote:I'd offer Gortat probably 3 years 30 mil and not a penny more...My "hope" is that all these pretty things like "team culture" and position here are appealing...but if he's just looking for money I could see him bouncing. EG will overpay to keep him, that is a given though, that is how EG operates. Jordan Hill doesn't do much for floor spacing but he is a stop gap center that I'm ok with us running with since he does produce in the regular season. Plus he has dreads, to match with Nene of course. He's semi youngish too, but didn't he have have injury issues some time ago?


Why should Gortat make that much less than what Okafor made or Lewis before him? Why should he accept less than what Javale McGee makes?
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Re: Official Trade Thread - Part XXVII 

Post#540 » by nuposse04 » Thu Apr 24, 2014 2:02 am

Chocolate City Jordanaire wrote:
nuposse04 wrote:I'd offer Gortat probably 3 years 30 mil and not a penny more...My "hope" is that all these pretty things like "team culture" and position here are appealing...but if he's just looking for money I could see him bouncing. EG will overpay to keep him, that is a given though, that is how EG operates. Jordan Hill doesn't do much for floor spacing but he is a stop gap center that I'm ok with us running with since he does produce in the regular season. Plus he has dreads, to match with Nene of course. He's semi youngish too, but didn't he have have injury issues some time ago?


Why should Gortat make that much less than what Okafor made or Lewis before him? Why should he accept less than what Javale McGee makes?


He shouldn't, but tim duncan is making 9.3 mil according to my quick google search, I wouldn't say Gortat is worth more then timmy this season...I'm trying to equate what might be fair based on his production right now...I' probably not giving him enough because I don't know when his decline will start, but I assume sooner then later. I want to resign him but lets not break the bank, I'd say Gortat is priority 1, Ariza is 2nd. I know ariza will be in demands. Miami fans seem to think they can get him for the MLE (which I don't think is realistic).

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