Cammo101 wrote:I think the concept is cool, but I think having more categories would likely give you a more accurate read on where guys stand. As it is now it seems to overrated the smart, jumpshooter because they ace two of the three categories. Guys like JJ Redick or even someone like Andy Rautins would score really well here because they shoot the lights out and have a very good feel for the game.
Also, defense doesn't seem to get weighted in anywhere.
Just my two cents.
A JJ like player fits in pretty well to me. First off JJ is really great as a shooting/skill talent and feel for the game categories but he is not near-maxing out like Steph Curry in either category. I only give 10s and 11s to transcendent talents in their categories. I would rate JJ as a 9 and 8 respectively in the skill impact and feel for the game talent categories. Add in a 1 or 2 in the physical impact category and he's around 18 or 19 which is about right for a legitimate starting SG talent who's not a star (I rate 19-22 as "blue chip starter" talent, then 23-24 as fringe star talent, then 25 and above it gets to clearcut star talent). An inverse version of JJ would be MKG who is also probably around a 9, 8, and 2, just with physical talents, feel for the game and skill level respectively
Re: defense. Well to me the talents that lead to defense are physical tools and feel for the game, which I feel my system covers. The 3rd major element in defense is effort level. Since my system is only rating talent and not whether they'll reach it, I don't grade that in. I generally think something like 5% of the established players in the league are underperforming their talent (ruling out young players in their first handful of years, conceivably struggling because they're young), which I figured out just by counting how many established players I called true enigmas. And there's probably a 5% on the top end, take freak competitors like RWB and Noah, who are packing on a little extra beyond their talent level.
So when it comes to a prospect like eg Stauskas, admittedly the ways I could be wrong about rating him so high could be
- He falls into the 5% enigma club
- I do his grades badly, such as against all the evidence now he turns into a mediocre shooter - AND/OR my above average rating of him in the athleticism/ballhandling/size category ends up a mistake
there is no chance in HE double hockey sticks that the Magic pick Exum before Parker.
