RealGM Top 100 List #2

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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#401 » by DQuinn1575 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:06 pm

Baller2014 wrote:
JordansBulls wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:Right now it looks like 22 to 22:

Bill Russell: 22 (penbeast0, MacGill, fpliii, DQuinn1575, JordansBulls, HeartBreakKid, DHodgkins, magicmerl, batmana, Texas Chuck, Quotatious, Jaivl, ardee, Doctor MJ, D Nice, PCProductions, GC Pantalones, rich316, drza, rico381, Dr Spaceman, Warspite)

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar: 22 (Baller2014, colts18, Greatness, Dr Positivity, DannyNoonan1221, Basketballefan, SactoKingsFan, TrueLAfan, trex_8063, ronnymac2, therealbig3, Owly, Mutnt, Narigo, kayess, lorak, An Unbiased Fan, O_6, Moonbeam, Gregoire, RSCD3, Notanoob)

Couldn't we just declare it a tie then and they are both 2 and just to #4.


No, because All_Decade has been posting continuously in this thread, and has said he prefers Kareem. He has yet to officially change his vote, but I'd think that's a pretty compelling reason not to declare a tie. Someone should PM him actually so we can move on to #3 in time.


We have about a dozen eligible voters who have not done so - we should wait the 24 hours before coming to a decision. If at that time it is still a tie, then we should call it once.

Obviously anyone is free to PM any of these voters.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#402 » by An Unbiased Fan » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:12 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Raja Bell was an All-Defensive team selection and an efficient wing shooter with range. Clearly he was more valuable to a championship team than, say, Ben Wallace who may have played better defense but was the worst offensive player I've ever seen. Or for centers, Brendan Haywood was a good defensive center and a solid high percentage offensive player.

And yet . . . Wallace may have been the most valuable player on an NBA championship team.

LOL, come on man, you know that not what's being argued. Raja Bell never even reached 15 ppg, nor did he ever get 3 apg. His offensive impact was very low, and way below his defensive impact.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#403 » by MacGill » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:14 pm

I feel like this thread is getting side tracked a little and poster's are building emotions that will come out full swing in the next few votes. Let's all have patience here so we can keep an open mind about the new conversations all of us will be engaging in.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 

Post#404 » by Mutnt » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:14 pm

drza wrote:Portability doesn't mean that you make a player play in ways that are contrary to their nature (like your Russell shooting perimeter shots example). No, portability is closer to what you suggested...it's the concept of how many situations and on how many different (but realistic) types of teams can a player make a maximal impact.


It's funny cause you make it sound like having the ability to greatly impact the game in a variety of ways is a bad thing. The point isn't that Russell would've played 'contrary to his nature' if he had to be the primary scoring option on his team or a jump-shooting, spread-the-floor-like big man. The point is that Russell couldn't play that way because he didn't have the necessary skill to thrive in those scenarios. Luckily for him, he played in an era where the type of role he had, the type of skillset he did possess, was MUCH MORE influential on the outcome of games than it would've been in pretty much any other era for example. That's not to say you can't win games or even championships by dominating on defense in current times of basketball, I think the Pistons proved that about a decade ago when they had two Finals appearances and won one chip in the process with a below average offense, but as good as Ben Wallace was on defense, it seemed like those Pistons were far more of a collective force than the actual feeling of Wallace carrying them such as Russell was doing for example. I mean, the Pistons were already dropping defensively with B.Wallace still playing starter minutes for them, and the drop of when he left was barely noticeable despite pretty much the same core. So did B.Wallace forgot how to guard his man as effectively in 2 years or is there something more behind this? Ok, Flip Saunders changed how the Pistons played (you can also use the verb improve) but since you are advocating that defensive ability is the most transcendent, the most portable, the most impactful, and the most inherently good quality an individual can have then he should have still been able to do his thing.

I guess what I'm trying to say is that the importance of environment/scenario when analyzing players who are specialized or have excelled in certain situations should be carefully taken into account. That's why a lot of posters, including myself, feel safer with guys who we know have the ability and skillset that allows them to be adjustable and still have elite impact in a variety of team scenarios. It's not that a LeBron James' performance and level of impact is indifferent to this phenomenon, of course his offensive impact will be lessen if he plays with guys who take the ball out of his hands, but at least we know that it was from a strategic standpoint (albeit probably a stupid one) because the point is that LeBron is not incompetent off-ball (imagine what Scottie did for the Bulls, but now substitute him with a player that's pretty much superior in every single aspect), but if you wanna go with a guy like Russell, you have to have the confidence that this guy will pretty much single-handedly make your team a contender just by playing great defense and rebounding, and a lot of sings point out that was probably true in the earlier eras of basketball, but since basketball has changed immensely since, making comparisons in a vacuum when you are trying to rank players that played 50 years apart creates a lot of loopholes and becomes like comparing apples to fruitcakes. I believe a guy like Hakeem or KG would do an equally good job in Russell's spot in the 60's, but now I'm suppose to say, ''Welp, sorry that you can't single-handedly dominate a defense as much Russell did because everything, outside your control of course, has gotten better and more sophisticated since then, but good luck on developing an offensive arsenal to compensate for the lack of impact you could have potentially made on the other end.''
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#405 » by ThaRegul8r » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:19 pm

penbeast0 wrote:Raja Bell was an All-Defensive team selection and an efficient wing shooter with range. Clearly he was more valuable to a championship team than, say, Ben Wallace who may have played better defense but was the worst offensive player I've ever seen. Or for centers, Brendan Haywood was a good defensive center and a solid high percentage offensive player.

And yet . . . .


I've been reading the arguments from both sides, and I wanted to get a baseline for what's the point at which the offensive advantage is no longer enough to put a player ahead over the defensive advantage. Some concede Russell's defensive advantage, but the offense is what puts x player over the top, so to gain better understanding, I'm trying to find out where that ends.

Not too long ago, on the subject of two-way players, I asked whether Walt Frazier was better than Magic because he was a better two-way player, and the answer was that he wasn't because Magic had greater impact. So I'm wondering which two-way big represents the point at which their "two-wayness" doesn't exceed Russell's defensive impact. I know it isn't relevant to the Russell v. Kareem runoff, but I want to better understand the position.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#406 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:30 pm

I'm still confused why it matters so much where your impact is coming from. It will be interesting when we get to the inevitable Shaq/Duncan debates and the KG/Dirk debates to see if the same guys maintain this same bias towards the offensive end of the court. Or maybe the bias is towards the better all-around player which will be interesting in say Chuck v Mailman or Stockton v Nash.

Is it ideal to be dominant at all aspects of the game? Of course it is, but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one for what appear to be stylistic reasons.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#407 » by lorak » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:35 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one


You don't understant, but that's what you did: because Russell had less impact than KAJ and you prefer Bill.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#408 » by Mutnt » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:44 pm

ThaRegul8r wrote:Not too long ago, on the subject of two-way players, I asked whether Walt Frazier was better than Magic because he was a better two-way player, and the answer was that he wasn't because Magic had greater impact. So I'm wondering which two-way big represents the point at which their "two-wayness" doesn't exceed Russell's defensive impact. I know it isn't relevant to the Russell v. Kareem runoff, but I want to better understand the position.


This is one of the problems yes, and it needs to be carefully analyzed through a plethora of data like advance stats, off/on court metrics, team results and probably the most important one, context. You can have all the statistical data in the world but if you don't know how to properly contextualize it someone like Wilt would be an undisputed GOAT because of his 50/25 peak. And even that isn't enough because sometimes the value of your teammates can elevate an individuals case based on just being a part of a successful team but not necessarily doing more for your team than your rival guy who is busting his back with some scrubs.

Touching on Fraizer vs. Magic, it's even arguable if Fraizer was a better defender than Magic, the offensive advantages Magic has over him then make this not even close at all.

As far as your questions goes, non such definitive point exists. However, you can make a pretty good educated assumption on value and impact based on the available statistical metrics + actually watching basketball (yea, that helps sometimes) + applying context of why certain things functioned the way they did and how the ability of certain players allowed them to impact different aspects of the game. All in all is a combination of multiple things, the more you know, the better you understand, obviously.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 

Post#409 » by MisterWestside » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:52 pm

drza wrote:"Goodness" may be inherent to some extent (obviously player quality changes over time, but speaking at any given moment) but our evaluation of that goodness is NOT inherent. In your example, The Cavaliers situation is NOT the only basketball situation there is. It's not even the only LIKELY scenario for LeBron. Therefore, you can't necessarily evaluate his global value just by determining how good he is in that one role (I really feel like I should be preaching to the choir with this post, as the kernel is one of the big arguments you've been using against Russell in this thread).


My take on player goodness is not limited to a player's use in one role (which imply value, by the way). I don't focus on roles. Using Russell as an example: I (and others) have stated elsewhere that was perhaps a better offensive player than his offensive value reflected (note the use of the superlative for goodness there). His skills on offense just weren't needed as much, given the role that he was asked to play in Boston. So, despite playing in one particular role in Boston, I can still rate Russell's basketball goodness on offense appropriately.

Back to your LeBron example, I disagree with your assertion that he didn't help the Heat. In fact, he dramatically helped the Heat. Just not to the extent that he had previously lifted the Cavs. So what seeing LeBron in 2010 on the Cavs and 2011 on the Heat did was to give us two snapshots of what LeBrons value might be in 2 very different situations. His inherent goodness didn't change, but our ability to judge that goodness got more sophisticated.


Thanks, I'll edit that post to avoid ambiguity. Yes, you're correct; he did help his new team, just not as much as his team in Cleveland.

See the above point for my response to your conclusion.

This all ties into the concept of portability. Portability doesn't mean that you make a player play in ways that are contrary to their nature (like your Russell shooting perimeter shots example). No, portability is closer to what you suggested...it's the concept of how many situations and on how many different (but realistic) types of teams can a player make a maximal impact.


I reject the notion of portability simply because it brings value back into the mix (part of this concept includes looking at how many teams need your skills, which can vary). I do look at a player's versatility, however. And while versatility is part of a basketball player's goodness, it's also important to be dominant in those skills. Take two players, A and B. A is a so-so player in areas such as shooting and posting-up. B can't shoot, but he's an all-time great in the post. I would call B the better player, because B's dominance in his one skill offsets A's fringe talents across more skills. So, I take both versatility and dominance into account.

In your LeBron example, he showed he could have a historical impact in his time in Cleveland and a still league-leading impact in his time in Miami which suggests very good portability. But the fact that pairing him with another high quality ball dominant wing lessens his impact shows that some of his package of goodness might reasonably be replicated on good teams and that thus his portability might not be as good as some others.


And this is exactly why I don't consider the concept of "portablility". In a league full of LeBron Jameses, his package of goodness can be reasonably replicated on good teams. That has nothing to do with James's goodness; it doesn't lessen it.

Think about Bill Russell, and the era he played in. Now think about the modern era, and the relatively larger number of athletic defenders that can more or less protect the rim and cover ground. Do you think he'd be as portable in the modern era, in which his package of goodness can be reasonably replicated on good teams? Do you think I'd rate him as a lesser basketball player because of it?

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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#410 » by ronnymac2 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 3:58 pm

ThaRegul8r wrote:
ronnymac2 wrote:To be honest, sometimes I wonder if Garnett (and Duncan) were better than Russell, too. The shot-blocking and defensive rebounding are the things that hold me back some.


So to the anti-Russell contingent, where, in your mind, is Russell's floor? Just sticking to big men for the moment, Kareem, Shaq, Hakeem, Duncan, Garnett are over him, Wilt, Robinson, Ewing, I imagine? Howard I've seen? Is Mourning better? Which all-time big men are over him, and where does he fall? I imagine he would be below any big man who could play defense and has scored 20 in a season. I imagine prime Walton as well—Bob Ryan said prime Walton was better than Russell, but he didn't play long enough. Since some have of the participants him as GOAT, I'm interested in the lowest range. (Some say he'd be lucky to be a bench player today, but I'm not interested in that.)

Second question, for a big man who wasn't "two-way," how good of a scorer do they have to be to be better than Russell if they weren't an elite defender? For elite defenders, even if they weren't as good as Russell, the offense puts them over the top, but where Russell is clearly ahead, how good do they have to be offensively? Dirk would be a given. Who else? Barkley? People don't seem to like him because of his defense, but would his offense win out? Since nothing's going on, I thought this would be an opportunity to get some feedback.


I wouldn't say I'm part of any anti-Russell contingent. I've gone on record in this very thread stating why I think Russell would be a great choice at #2, and if I haven't already, I'll say now that he's got a solid case for #1, too. I wouldn't have minded if voting ended yesterday.

As for a floor? Well, Shaq/Hakeem/KAJ/Wilt are there. That's about it. I'll mention Tim Duncan, too. He's my gate-keeper to the Top-10 anyway, but I've never really included him in the Big5Centers/MJ/Magic/Bird/LeBron level because I feel his peak was inferior to those players. That said, my valuation of how important peak is to an all-time rank will perhaps shift as I learn more in this project, so I'll leave open that Duncan may surpass Russell or others in that list of 9 as well.

As for KG...it's really based on how similar their defensive games are. Garnett is really the one who plays like a modern-day Russell on defense, combining the horizontal and vertical defensive games, and while I think Russell gets underrated offensively, KG is clearly superior on offense. Trying to figure out just how good KG is on defense in relation to Russell is difficult. KG does pretty much everything right on defense except, as I said, rebound and block shots like Russell...

The second question doesn't apply to me because all I care about is how good you are as a player. The offense of Howard/Robinson doesn't impress me anyway. Ewing's offense I see clearly below KG, and if KG vs. Russell isn't clear to me and Russell is getting the edge anyway, no way does Ewing go ahead.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#411 » by penbeast0 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:14 pm

lorak wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one


You don't understant, but that's what you did: because Russell had less impact than KAJ and you prefer Bill.


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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#412 » by penbeast0 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:16 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:Raja Bell was an All-Defensive team selection and an efficient wing shooter with range. Clearly he was more valuable to a championship team than, say, Ben Wallace who may have played better defense but was the worst offensive player I've ever seen. Or for centers, Brendan Haywood was a good defensive center and a solid high percentage offensive player.

And yet . . . Wallace may have been the most valuable player on an NBA championship team.

LOL, come on man, you know that not what's being argued. Raja Bell never even reached 15 ppg, nor did he ever get 3 apg. His offensive impact was very low, and way below his defensive impact.


But way higher than the offensive impact of Ben Wallace whose offensive impact is negative. It is possible to have a defensive impact high enough (like Russell) over even another very good defender (like Kareem) that that defensive impact outweighs even a far superior offensive impact. I used a case where it's tough to argue that Bell is more impactful -- exaggerating the differential because it wouldn't make much sense to make the argument and have a lot of people read it and go . . . "but, Raja Bell and Brendan Haywood ARE more impactful than Ben Wallace."
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#413 » by lorak » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:28 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
lorak wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one


You don't understant, but that's what you did: because Russell had less impact than KAJ and you prefer Bill.


Don't write posts whose only purpose is to belittle or bait someone you disagree with into an argument. This is the only warning you will receive.



That wasn't purpose of my post. I was just poiting out that Texas Chuck is doing exactly that, what he thinks others are doing. And I was talking in detail why Russell's impact was lower, yet non of Russell's supporters explained his first three years in the NBA or how his offense lowers his overall impact or how Celtics improved when added players like KC, Sanders or Hondo. All you guys are doing is basically looking at drtg or/nd titles and ignoring whole context.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#414 » by Mutnt » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:30 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:I'm still confused why it matters so much where your impact is coming from. It will be interesting when we get to the inevitable Shaq/Duncan debates and the KG/Dirk debates to see if the same guys maintain this same bias towards the offensive end of the court. Or maybe the bias is towards the better all-around player which will be interesting in say Chuck v Mailman or Stockton v Nash.

Is it ideal to be dominant at all aspects of the game? Of course it is, but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one for what appear to be stylistic reasons.


Where the impact comes from doesn't matter, what matters is the extent of the impact and if this impact is as closely as possible governed by the player himself (how he plays, the things he can do), or is the impact he is producing limited or inflated due to various exterior factors that are beyond the player's control. In term, this leads us to prop or counter-prop players, not based on their ability to impact, but based on the impact itself in vacuum. An absurd illustration of this would be like if me and you were talented shot-blockers and equally gifted athletes who decided to have a shot-blocking contest, except for the result sample, I'd go to compete with my 14-year old cousin and his friends from school while your competition would be College basketball players. I believe you can imagine the results, my impact would far exceed yours, but not because you are actually a worse shot-blocker. That's the issue here.

I'd prefer a player who gives me the best chance of winning for as long as possible and is also, as much as possible, independent of outside factors controlling his impact. This outside factors being everything that doesn't concern the player himself, that is coaching, his teammates, competition etc.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#415 » by colts18 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:31 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
But way higher than the offensive impact of Ben Wallace whose offensive impact is negative. It is possible to have a defensive impact high enough (like Russell) over even another very good defender (like Kareem) that that defensive impact outweighs even a far superior offensive impact. I used a case where it's tough to argue that Bell is more impactful -- exaggerating the differential because it wouldn't make much sense to make the argument and have a lot of people read it and go . . . "but, Raja Bell and Brendan Haywood ARE more impactful than Ben Wallace."

A better comparison is Ben Wallace to Shaq. Who had more impact?
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#416 » by lorak » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:34 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:Raja Bell was an All-Defensive team selection and an efficient wing shooter with range. Clearly he was more valuable to a championship team than, say, Ben Wallace who may have played better defense but was the worst offensive player I've ever seen. Or for centers, Brendan Haywood was a good defensive center and a solid high percentage offensive player.

And yet . . . Wallace may have been the most valuable player on an NBA championship team.

LOL, come on man, you know that not what's being argued. Raja Bell never even reached 15 ppg, nor did he ever get 3 apg. His offensive impact was very low, and way below his defensive impact.


But way higher than the offensive impact of Ben Wallace whose offensive impact is negative. It is possible to have a defensive impact high enough (like Russell) over even another very good defender (like Kareem) that that defensive impact outweighs even a far superior offensive impact. "


It's possible, but it's not the case here, because Russell was around +8 on defense (GOAT defensively) and -2.5 on offense, so overall 5.5 impact, while KAJ was +4 on offense and +2.5 on defense, so overall 6.5 impact
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#417 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:40 pm

Mutnt wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:I'm still confused why it matters so much where your impact is coming from. It will be interesting when we get to the inevitable Shaq/Duncan debates and the KG/Dirk debates to see if the same guys maintain this same bias towards the offensive end of the court. Or maybe the bias is towards the better all-around player which will be interesting in say Chuck v Mailman or Stockton v Nash.

Is it ideal to be dominant at all aspects of the game? Of course it is, but I don't understand why you would prefer a player with less positive impact over another one for what appear to be stylistic reasons.


Where the impact comes from doesn't matter, what matters is the extent of the impact and if this impact is as closely as possible governed by the player himself (how he plays, the things he can do), or is the impact he is producing limited or inflated due to various exterior factors that are beyond the player's control. In term, this leads us to prop or counter-prop players, not based on their ability to impact, but based on the impact itself in vacuum. An absurd illustration of this would be like if me and you were talented shot-blockers and equally gifted athletes who decided to have a shot-blocking contest, except for the result sample, I'd go to compete with my 14-year old cousin and his friends from school while your competition would be College basketball players. I believe you can imagine the results, my impact would far exceed yours, but not because you are actually a worse shot-blocker. That's the issue here.

I'd prefer a player who gives me the best chance of winning for as long as possible and is also, as much as possible, independent of outside factors controlling his impact. This outside factors being everything that doesn't concern the player himself, that is coaching, his teammates, competition etc.
That is not Russell, not now, not even if we transport every player in history to the 60's game.


I don't really get this as counter to my post, but that's cool. I mostly agree with what you are saying, save the needlessness of the shotblocking example.

What I don't understand is what factors you think Russell is so dependent on in relation to other players.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#418 » by HeartBreakKid » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:54 pm

colts18 wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:

A better comparison is Ben Wallace to Shaq. Who had more impact?

Not really because Shaq is probably a better offensive player than Ben Wallace is.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#419 » by colts18 » Thu Jul 3, 2014 4:54 pm

HeartBreakKid wrote:Not really because Shaq is probably a better offensive player than Ben Wallace is.

That's the point.
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Re: RealGM NBA Top 100 List -- #2 -- 24 hour runoff! 

Post#420 » by Mutnt » Thu Jul 3, 2014 5:03 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:What I don't understand is what factors you think Russell is so dependent on in relation to other players.


Russell just had a perfect storm that not many players enjoy. That's not to discredit the things he did very well, but it's not disputable that he had the best coaching at the time (yes, he has won titles without Red as the official coach) and also the best supporting casts relative to his league. That's for pretty much all of his career. But that's not really the issue when discussing a project like this although it does immensely contribute to the fact that he by far the most team success (his calling card) than any other great player. It's the era advantages that Russell had in relation to most other centers that bother me. All of these were already mentioned and discussed ad naseaum every time someone hinted Bill Russell so I won't single them out again.

And yes, I'm aware that other eras also offered advantages to different types of players, like the introduction of the three-point line and what not.

But let me ask a simple question. If you were a 60's team GM or whatever they were called back then, and had to pick either to sign Russell or Hakeem, you would take Russell why exactly?

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