RealGM Top 100 List #11

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#81 » by RayBan-Sematra » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:41 am

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Pace is about possessions, not shot attempts. No one is saying West could take 22-23 shots in this era, but instead that what West DID do in his career wasn't at that pace.


Just because the pace he played in adjusted to a more modern pace has him taking less shots doesn't mean he would actually take less shots if he played today.

We can't make that assumption and downgrade him as a result.
Don't you think that would be unfair?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#82 » by ushvinder88 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 5:53 am

Dirk will be a good candidate for spots 15-20, but I think its way too early to discuss him. Just look at his head to head numbers against duncan and garnett, its pretty one sided against him. They often got the better of dirk in their matchups. Larry Bird and Kobe are the two names that should be debated here, but of course this is a kobe hating website, so he will drop off on this list.

Honestly I would be pretty shocked if kobe doesnt get voted 11th or 12th, at the end of the day alot of these guys here dont have enough playoff runs past the 2nd round. All time rankings should be based on what happened, not hypotheticals. If Bill Russell and Magic are getting voted in early despite the fact that both had stacked teams which inflates thier greatness, then why is kobe getting punished?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#83 » by SactoKingsFan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 6:00 am

ushvinder88 wrote:Dirk will be a good candidate for spots 15-20, but I think its way too early to discuss him. Just look at his head to head numbers against duncan and garnett, its pretty one sided against him. They often got the better of dirk in their matchups. Larry Bird and Kobe are the two names that should be debated here, but of course this is a kobe hating website, so he will drop off on this list.


Bird just got voted in at 10. Kobe will most likely get in at 11 or 12. Falling 1 or 2 spots is not that big of a deal.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#84 » by Moonbeam » Fri Jul 25, 2014 7:31 am

I think it's a little unfair to use TS% in comparing modern players with the benefit of the 3-point line to players from before the 3-point line. I imagine that Kobe's advantage in TS% would evaporate and perhaps even become a deficit in comparison to Jerry West.

Does anyone have the league-average TS% figures from West's prime and Kobe's prime?

For the record, I'm leaning to Jerry West for #11, but my mind is far from made up. I know win shares aren't perfect, but West has a pretty clear edge over Kobe there, and it grows further for postseason play.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#85 » by Moonbeam » Fri Jul 25, 2014 7:43 am

ushvinder88 wrote:Dirk will be a good candidate for spots 15-20, but I think its way too early to discuss him. Just look at his head to head numbers against duncan and garnett, its pretty one sided against him. They often got the better of dirk in their matchups. Larry Bird and Kobe are the two names that should be debated here, but of course this is a kobe hating website, so he will drop off on this list.

Honestly I would be pretty shocked if kobe doesnt get voted 11th or 12th, at the end of the day alot of these guys here dont have enough playoff runs past the 2nd round. All time rankings should be based on what happened, not hypotheticals. If Bill Russell and Magic are getting voted in early despite the fact that both had stacked teams which inflates thier greatness, then why is kobe getting punished?


Though I certainly don't like Kobe, I don't think it's unreasonable for him to be out of the top 10. I think the main argument for him to be in the top 10 is based on the number of championships, but that is not something I weigh as heavily as others. From a purely statistical perspective, there are other players who have at least as good of an argument that haven't been included yet (Jerry West, Oscar Robertson, Dr. J, David Robinson, Karl Malone, Dirk Nowitzki, Charles Barkley). I've got a formula based on win shares that, depending on how I weight regular season and postseason play, puts Kobe somewhere between 14th and 17th. That feels about right to me, though I wouldn't complain if Kobe got in at #11.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#86 » by therealbig3 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:04 am

KG vs Kobe: a multi-post analysis...Part 1

I'll be entering this debate with an open mind, and I'm going to objectively look at the evidence and see what it says about each player. I know I've been supporting Kevin Garnett for the last couple of votes, but I'll wipe the slate clean and honestly examine both players in what I think is the best way. Please note, I totally understand that there are more legitimate candidates than just KG and Kobe, but these are the two players that got the most traction outside of Bird in the last thread, so I feel like a direct comparison is appropriate.

There are the box score and non-box score approaches to evaluating who's better. To start with the non-box score first, I'm going to use a few different +/- metrics: with/without, on/off, and RAPM.

This will solely focus on the with/without data for Kevin Garnett.

Kevin Garnett: With/without

Spoiler:
KG was pretty much an iron man throughout his career, so he rarely had an extended stretch of missed RS games throughout his prime. However, in his last 2 years in Minnesota (06 and 07), he missed a total of 12 games. In 08, he missed 11 games. In 09, he missed 25 games. In 10, he missed 13 games. I'm going to combine 11-13 into one sample, because I feel like his average playing level was pretty similar across all 3 seasons. He missed a total of 30 games over those 3 seasons. As you can see, we get 48 games of late-prime KG (06-09), and we get 43 games of post-prime KG (10-13). It'll be interesting to see how his post-prime self stacks up in terms of impact.

I'm going to show the Wolves/Celtics SRS with and without KG, and show the difference that KG makes to the team (this is the same as ElGee's SIO calculations...I'm just doing it for myself for the satisfaction of actually doing it, and it also serves as a good way to double-check).

06-07 Wolves (12 games): -1.79 SRS with, -11.01 SRS without (+9.22 SRS)

08 Celtics (11 games): 9.76 SRS with, 6.39 SRS without (+3.37 SRS)

09 Celtics (25 games): 9.17 SRS with, 3.50 SRS without (+5.67 SRS)

10 Celtics (13 games): 4.07 SRS with, -0.33 SRS without (+4.40 SRS)

11-13 Celtics (30 games): 2.83 SRS with, -1.09 SRS without (+3.92 SRS)


Outside of 08 and 09, his teams were below average without him (including some pretty strong Celtics teams from 10-13), with the exception of the 06 and 07 Wolves, who played like the 9th worst team in NBA history without him, according to SRS .

And he's clearly providing major lift regardless of the situation. You see him bringing that 9th worst team of all time to almost average when he has to do some major heavy-lifting...and then you have him on talented Celtics teams from 08-13...and he's consistently giving them strong contributions, despite being past his prime after his injury in 09 (in the +4 territory in 43 games).

Total lift (91 games without, from 06-13): +5.10
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#87 » by Doctor MJ » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:09 am

Chuck Texas wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
Dirk

I've only seen Dirk talked about to say either 1) Bird was like him but better, or 2) why isn't Dirk being talked about?




I think its fair to simply say no one thought Dirk was worthy of being in the top 10 so no one bothered making Dirk-related posts. If I'm remembering correctly he hasn't received a single vote yet.


And I mentioned him once or twice in relation to KG just because I personally find it hard to see a meaningful gap between the 2 player to the degree you and others do. So I think if we talk KG we should talk Dirk If you had KG in the top 3, I think? and Dirk somewhere outside of 11 that's a big gap and so your point #2 looms large and you wouldn't see the need. I think more and more posters are starting to see Dirk compare more favorably to KG tho I think still clearly behind him in most eyes.

I actually made a couple of small Dirk posts in teh #10 thread not to make a case for him because I don't think he deserved it, but simply to start getting him into the conversation. If we don't talk about him at all for a dozen threads and then those of us who view him higher than some others who have been getting a lot of traction try and bring him up its naturally going to be harder to get people to be open to Dirk when comparing him to people like KG who have been in the conversation almost from the beginning.

I will continue to sprinkle in some more posts about Dirk that aren't an attempt to persuade people to vote for him but more to just give some more perspective on his career that I think frequently gets lost because we have a few key Dirk talking points and we never go much further than that. I think I can add some other things to at least think about especially as it relates to the other players of his era. I hope to do the same with Dallas-era Nash another kind of lost zone that deserves a longer look imo.

But as a big Dirk guy I'm still convinced there are players who deserve to be ranked higher so I won't be going too in depth on him yet because I don't want to be repeating a bunch of posts for 3 or 4 or 5 more threads when he doesnt get voted in.


My apologies if I seemed like I was criticizing. That wasn't my intent.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#88 » by Doctor MJ » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:13 am

Moonbeam wrote:I think it's a little unfair to use TS% in comparing modern players with the benefit of the 3-point line to players from before the 3-point line. I imagine that Kobe's advantage in TS% would evaporate and perhaps even become a deficit in comparison to Jerry West.

Does anyone have the league-average TS% figures from West's prime and Kobe's prime?

For the record, I'm leaning to Jerry West for #11, but my mind is far from made up. I know win shares aren't perfect, but West has a pretty clear edge over Kobe there, and it grows further for postseason play.


I don't have a historical TS% table, but you can figure it out from this:

http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... stats.html

West absolutely has a better TS% edge over his contemporaries than Kobe, and this is a good thing, however with both Oscar & West you'll notice that the edge disappears over time. While wondering about the effect of the 3 is a great question to ask, speaking more generally there seemed to be a trend in the '60s of guys "figuring it out". Some guys got more modern-levels of efficiency from basically as soon as they got used to the NBA (like West), some guys never figured it out (like Baylor), but in general people were gradually learning.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#89 » by Melodabeast » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:20 am

this spot should be go to bryant. nobody has his combo of best player in the league type peak play, ridiculously long 10 year prime, insane longevity, phenomenal box-score and +/- numbers, team success, and accolades/accomplishments. it’s a joke hes out of the top 10.

relevant seasons:

2000: Kobe put up 23/6/5/2/1 on good efficiency (+2.4% TS relative to league average) 110 ORTG (+6) and was very arguably the best perimeter defender in the entire league (youngest player in history to make an all-defense team) on 67 win team that happened to one of the best defenses ever --98.2 DRTG, -6 relative to league average. (Does bird have a defensive peak even close to this?(2000).

Lakers first 15 games without Bryant: 104.6 ORTG (+.5 relative to league average so they were barely above league-average offensively, +5.7 differential overall)
Lakers next 67 games with Bryant: 108.6 ORTG (+4.5 relative to league average, would rank #1 offensively, and a overall differential of +9.9)

Best regular season ever/GOAT level play with Bryant in the lineup.

Yeah,hes not the player he would later become but right away we can see that he’s having huge impact and is a top 10 player in the league.

22/5/4/1.5/1.5 and his defense was even better in the post-season, and he had an all-time great Game 7 in the WCF (25 pts/11 rbs/7 asts/4 stls/3 blks).



2001:

Sorta of an amusing regular season filled with false narrative. Kobe gets off to an amazing start through the first two months. He averages 30/6/5/2 on amazing efficiency-- 56% TS/114 ORTG (would be 58% TS/118 ORTG today) and the lakers go 30-15 and have the best offense in the league. they’re #1 in ORTG and are +6! relative to league average. This is a borderline GOAT level offense. naturally a certain big fella starts bitching and moaning even if if Bryant has been incredible and the offense is historically good. and you start getting all the nonsense in the media and the silly “selfish” narrative appears. Its pretty amusing.

Bryant plays the first 52 games. At this point the lakers are 35-17 (67% win, 57 wins over full season) with still the best offense in basketball/historically great offense @ +6 relative to league average.. But they are seen as an “underachieving’’ team.. Naturally the fools in the media and everybody else are quick to blame Bryant, but the real for their “underachieving” is the mediocre defense. They have a 106 DRTG.+3 over league average. Its clear their “anchor” is back to coasting defensively and everyone else is too. They also have some injury issues. Of course kobe too deserves criticism for not playing up to his full capabilities defensively the reg season. I simply wanted to point out how (Please Use More Appropriate Word) the narratives about kobe “being selfish” and other nonsense that sprang up that reg season are.

Anyway, he misses the next 3 games after playing 52 straight. The lakers win by 2 pts against the spurs, beat the 18-37 hawks at home, and a .500, 28-27 magic team at home…

He misses 2 games in mid-march. Lakers beat a 27-38 Celtics team at home by 5, lose by 12 against a 32-33 sonics team.

But how about when he misses an extended stretch? Obviously an extended stretch will be a lot more telling than 2 games here and there. Well he misses 10 straight later on (plays 11 minutes in one of them before leaving). Lakers beat the 17-41 wizards, impressive win against the kings, impressive win vs. mavs, good win vs. jazz, beat the 12-62 bulls, beat the 34-42 Celtics, 5pt win over wolves. They lose by 21 against the suns, by 24 against the kings, lose to the knicks, but of course we know that point differential/offensive rating/defensive rating is a far greater indicator of team quality than W-L record. So how do the lakers look without the “selfish” Bryant during their only extended stretch without him.. These 10 games? well their offensive rating during this stretch is 105.7...good but nowhere near the borderline historic 109 ORTG/+6 offense they put up when Bryant is playing. What about defense? Well it’s still thoroughly mediocre at 103.9 (+1 over league average). Their overall point differential over this extended stretch? A measly +1.8.…(Their 4 losses without Bryant come by an average margin of 14.5 PPG…)

Now lets look at how much better they are when he return. It’s a bit better than +1.8 team…

After missing 10 straight kobe returns to play the last 4 . His astronomical impact is immediately clear. Lakers have a 120 ORTG and DRTG of 102.5...for a differential of +17.5...that’s just a bit better than the +1.8 they were in the previous 10 without him…
,
Overall he averages 28.5/5.9/5.0/1.8/0.6/25 PER/55.2% TS/112 ORTG (+3.2 above league-average, equivalent to around 57% TS/116 ORTG in today's league so fantastic efficiency) in the regular season.
Helps co-anchor the #2 ranked offense in the league, finishes #3 in ORAPM(https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2001-npi-rapm), and plays good defense though he's not as consistent as he was in 2000.

*small note: shaq missed 6 straight games (only missed 8 all year) in late jan/early feb and the lakers went 4-2. Bryant averaged 34 PPG/9 RPG/4 APG/1.7 SPG/1.7 BPG on 55% TS/114 ORTG*

After a phenomenal reg season Bryant has one of the best postseasons in history.

He averages 29.4/7.3/6.1/1.8/0.7/25 PER/3.8 WS (#1)/+14.2 +/-(#1 on team)on phenomenal efficiency--56% TS/116 ORTG (would be a 120 ORTG in todays league environment) in the post-season while playing absolutely fantastic defense. Hes getting steals, he’s helping and doing a excellent job of getting back on shooters, causing deflections, shutting his man out, rebounding the ball, dude is everywhere defensively. watch some games from that post-season and you’ll hear commentators like doug collins raving about how incredibly quick and active the lakers perimeter defense is.. How great they are at swarming. Kobe plays a HUGE part of this. and is a major reason the lakers finish #1 in post-season DRTG with an amazing 98.2 DRTG.

He averages 34/7/7/2/61% TS in the WCF including a ridiculous 45/10/58% TS on the road in game 1 and this is against the best defense in the league, and 35/9/5/2/57% TS in the WCSF. For the postseason lakers have a 113.0 ORTG with him on the court, and 98.0 when he's off. most impressively he does it on the greatest post-season team in history BY FAR (15-1!). A team that had the #1 defense and #1 offense and won by an average margin of 15 PPG. this is some of the best all-around ball any player has ever played. dude is EVERYWHERE. 22 years and already a top 3 player in the world. you could make a great case that he was a top 2 player.

2002: 25+/5.5/5.5/1.5/0.5/55% TS/112 ORTG (equivalent to 114 ORTG today,so fantastic efficiency) while playing all 82 games. again, finishes #2 in ORAPM (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2002-rapm) and co-anchors the #2 offense in the league.

puts up 27/6/5/2 with his usual excellent defense in the post-season including a 27/6/5+/1.5/0.8/62% TS/120 ORTG in the finals against the best defense in the league.

27+/6/4/2 in the WCF including 31/11/5/2/132 ORTG and 30/10/7/2/121 ORTG in back-to-back elimination games to win the series. his WCSF is probably one of the greatest "clutch" series ever. shaq has the worst series ever and the lakers still beat a 58 win/6.2SRS/#2 DRTG spurs team in 5 games...because of bryant's incredible 4th-quarter play. every game goes down to the very wire and bryant averages a ridiculous 11 PPG/63% TS in the 4th quarters as he takes over down the stretch in EVERY single win for the lakers. lakers win 3rd straight title.

2003: no need to go too in depth... this is one of the greatest all-around seasons ever.

30 PPG
7 APG
6 APG
2.2 SPG
0.9 BPG
55.2% TS( 57.2% TS in today's league)
38% from three on 6 attempts per game
26+ PER
15 WS
#2 in ORAPM (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2003-rapm)
20 40+ point games including 9 straight at one point
averaged 40+ PPG for the entire month of march
5 50+ point games
5 triple-doubles
22 double-doubles

in the post-season he does 32/5/5/2 with a +/- of +17!

top 3 player in the league at least.

and he's doing this season and others in the GOAT defensive era (99-04) where league average TS/ORTG was notably lower....

2004: the single toughest defensive season in history...league average ORTG is at at a ridiculously low 102.9...league average TS is at 51.6%...

kobe gets off to a slow start because of the off-court issues/conditioning but still puts up 23/5/5/54% TS (+2.4) and 111 ORTG (+8, equivalent to 115 ORTG today) through 33 games. lakers go 23-10 with a 106.7 ORTG (+3.8 relative to league average, #4 in the league) and a overall differential of +6. he gets injured and misses the next 7 games (plays 15 min in one of them) and the lakers go 3-4. 98.5 ORTG in those 7 games, a decline of 8.2 points! he comes back for two games and lakers put 115 ORTG and win both. he gets injured again. misses next 7 games. lakers go 4-3 with wins against the 21-24 raps, 19-30 cavs, 13-40 magic, 21-32 heat) and get blow out in every single loss. again, lakers offense totally falls off. ORTG during those 7 games is 100.9 (-2) and overall they play like a -4.3 team.

kobe pretty much plays the rest of the season (only misses two games during which the lakers go 1-1 and their offense collapses yet again--96.6 ORTG in those two) and puts up 26.6/6.4/6.0/1.8/0.6/56.3% TS (58.2% TS today) and 116 ORTG ( 120 ORTG today) and is the best player in the league (outside of KG) over the second half of the second. lakers have a 107.3 ortg (top 3 in the league) over this span.

overall for the season he puts up 24/6/5+/2 on fantastic efficiency (55.1 TS/112 ORTG which is equivalent to 57% TS/116 ORTG today) and has his best defensive season since 02.

basically, when he's playing the lakers look like a 1st-tier contender and a top 3 offense. and when he's out they're mediocre and absolutely awful offensively. imo kobe has clearly become the best player on the lakers by this season.

his numbers fall off in the post-season (25/6/5/2/51%TS/103 ORTG) but you know what the insane thing is? his efficiency is still well above league-average in the post-season. there's never been a tougher defensive environment than the 04 post-season. league average ORTG in that post-season was a ridiculously low 98.8. thats insane. seriously, there's a reason they changed the rules and eliminated hand-checking the next season. it should also be pointed out that no star in modern history has played better defensive competition than what kobe saw that post-season.

he played:
the rockets (#5 defense, -3.9 relative to league average)
the spurs (GOAT level defense, #1 ranked, -8.8! relative to league average)
the wolves (#6, -3.3 relative to league average)
the pistons (GOAT level defense,#2 ranked defense, -7.5! relative to league average...but these numbers don't tell the full story. after the rasheed wallece trade the pistons had a defensive rating of 91.9 . that's -10.9!!! relative to league average. this is easily the best defense ever)

so he played two GOAT level/top 5 all-time defenses and two other top 5 defenses in the toughest defensive environment ever. insane. of course, he was still phenomenal through the first round three rounds and torched the GOAT level spurs defense in the last 4 games ((28/6/6/2/56% TS)including a all-time great 42/6/5/2/65% TS game in game 4 as the lakers backdoor swept


imo top 3 player in the league behind only KG/Duncan

2005: obviously easily the worst season of his prime. his numbers are still phenomenal (28/6/6/1.4/56.3 TS (+3.3) and i have no doubt that he would be in contention for best player in the league with better health and a better environment but of course the only thing that matters is what actually happened.. he suffered through plantar fasciitis the entire season and never really looked like himself. clear huge down season but still a top 10 player.

2006: the return. this is one of the greatest offensive seasons of all-time.

he puts up 35+/5+/5/2/28+ PER/15+ WS/56% TS/114 ORTG and somehow takes a horrific supporting cast (kwame brown/luke walton/sasha vujiec/odom/chris mihm/smush parker/devean george/brian cook/laron profit) and leads them to 46 wins, 7th best offense ,and 7th best SRS (2.52) and basically has them at 50 win caliber/quality in the west.

he put up the greatest adjusted offensive +/- scorer to EVER be recorded at +18.9: http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bryanko01/on-off/2006/

That same year he was #1 in ORAPM at with nobody even remotely close to him: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2006-rapm

he has 27 40+ point games, 8 50+ point games,two different months where he averages 40+...he has a 81 point game...and another game where he puts up 62 pts in three quarters against the best team in the west.

what's crazy about this season is that he actually got off to a slow start. he suffered a sprained hand in the 3rd game which really bothered him for a couple of weeks. Only put up 32/5/4/50% TS though 15 games...

Then 36+/6/5/2/58% TS/116 ORTG through the next 67 games and the lakers had a 110.5 ORTG over that 67 game stretch. that's the 4th best offense in the league (+4.3 relative to league average)that's right. he was anchoring a top 5 offense with total and utter garbage around him. incredible.

best player in the league.

2007: not as great as 2006 due to the off-season knee surgery which caused a somewhat slow star...but still an extraordinarily season.

averages 32/6/5/2/26+ PER/58% TS/115 ORTG with a monster +6 ORAPM
10 50+ point games
20 40+ point games
couple 60+ point games
two different months of averaging 40+
puts up 38/6/5/2/58% TS/117 ORTG in the last 35 games

somehow takes this supporting cast:
smush parker
lamar odom (missed 24 games)
luke walton (missed 22 games)
maurice evans (6 games missed)
kwame brown (missed 41 games)
jordan farmar (missed 10 games)
ronny turiaf (missed 10 games)
brian cook (missed 17 games)
vladimir radmonivic (missed 17 games)
sasha vujacic (missed 10 games)

and still makes the playoffs in the West, has them at the #7 ranked ORTG, and #4 in eFG%. incredible. this is even worse garbage than what he had in 2006.

best player in the league.

2008: puts up 28+/6+/5+/2 on fantastic efficiency-- 58% TS/115 ORTG--

his +/- numbers continue to be amazing.
finishes #2 in ORAPM/+6.1 overall (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2008-rapm).

plays all 82 games at 39 MPG. and his defense is excellent. legitimately all-defense worthy and his best defensive season 2004. so we're talking about a guy who is at least a top 2 offensive player in the world and a legitimately very good defender. leads the most inury-riddled team in the league to 58 wins and a 7.2 SRS/#1 seed in the best/toughest conference ever. anchors the #3 offense in the league...a team that was GOAT level offensively after the pau trade. they went 29-7 with a 9+ SRS! and 116.6! ORTG in the 36 games after the trade. bryant put up 29/6/6/2/59% TS/118 ORTG in those 36 games. he averages 34/6/5/2/59% TS/119 ORTG including a 49/10/5/2/66% TS game against a 50 win nugs team in a 1st-round sweep. he does 33+/7+/7+/2/63% TS/122 ORTG in the WCSF, and then 30/6/5/2/61% TS against the #2 defense/defending champ spurs.overall the lakers go 12-3 in the first three rounds of the playoffs with bryant putting up 33/6/6/2/61% TS/119 ORTG…and even those numbers don’t really capture how well he was playing. His D continued to be strong and his play-making/creation for others amazing. This season is easily the best he’s ever been as a passer/creator.

overall he has another all-time post-season run.30+/6/6/2/58% TS/116 ORTG over 23 games against 4 50+ win teams including a 66 win GOAT level defenses and the defending champs.

best player in the league.

2009: pretty much the perfect season. he sorta coasts during the reg season and still completely dominates. puts up 27/6/5/1.5/56% TS/115 ORTG/#3 in ORAPM/+6.1 overall and is still a good defender. takes incredible care of the ball. somehow manages a ridiculously low 9% turnover rate. anchors the #3 offense in the league and his raw offensive +/- is amazing. lakers have a 116! ORTG with him on the court. leads his team to 65 wins, 7.3 SRS, and they win a great conference by 10 freaking games.

he then has another all-time post-season run. puts up 30+/6/5+/2/56.4% TS/9% turnover rate/116 ORTG while playing excellent defense (especially in the last two rounds) over 23 games. including 34/6/6/2/63% TS/132 ORTG in the WCF and 32+/7+/6/1.5/1.5/54% TS/111 ORTG in the Finals. anchors a dominant post-season team. they go 16-7 with the 12th best playoff SRS ever and 8th highest point differential...with a supporting cast of essentially pau/odom and a bunch of role-players. wins his 4th championship.

top 2 player in the league.

2010: starts out putting up 30+/6/5/2/57% TS/115 ORTG through the first two months and the lakers are well on their way to another 60+ win season. injures really hurt him, he's not healthy for the entire second half of the season pretty much, and his numbers take a tumble. still, he ends up with another fantastic reg season, though clearly a step down from his 06-09 runs. still ends up averaging 27/6/5/1.5/0.5/+5.6 RAPM and his +/- numbers are still phenomenal. clearly he's in the very last stages of his prime by this point. leads his team to 58 wins and the #1 seed.

he then has one last hurrah with yet another incredible post-season run.
averages 29+/6+/6/1.5/57% TS/117 ORTG over 23 games. after he gets his knee drained after game 4 of the first round...he proceeds to have one of the great stretches of his career: 30+/7+/6/1.4/0.8/58% TS/119 ORTG over the last 19 games including a ridiculous 34+/9/7/2/64% TS/135 ORTG WCF ...lakers have a GOAT level 116 ORTG during that 19 game stretch. wins his 5th championship. this is the end of his prime.

top 3 player in the league.

he then falls off clearly and is no longer the same guy, but we're still talking top 10 payer in the league level in 2011, 2012, and 2013. \

2012 in particular is underrated. 28/5/5/1.4 while playing 39 MPG with easily better defense than 2011 and 2013 and he had a terrific playoff run…and the only bad thing was that his efficiency was only slightly above league-average…but that’s almost exclusively caused by the horrific spacing on that team. Two slow plodding 7-footers in the foot-court and very little shooting+ coached by the worst offensive head coach in the league (mike brown) is a recipe for disaster. He would have been significantly more efficient on almost any other team in the league.

Proof?
His TS% that season with both Pau/Bynum on: 51% TS
With just Pau: 56% TS
With just Bynum: 56% TS
Both out: 55%

More proof" in the games either Bynum or pau didn’t play he had a TS% of 57%.

And in 2013 we saw his efficiency shoot back up to excellent levels---57% TS/112 ORTG--and its exclusively because of the much better spacing.

2012 kobe is still a top 6-7 player.2011 and 2013 is still top 10.that’s still a hugely valuable player to have.


basically bryant holds one of the very greatest offensive seasons ever (2006), one of the greatest all-around seasons ever (2003), and multiple all-time great playoff runs (01, 08, 09, 2010).

We’re talking about a guy who has about 8-9 different seasons where he was a top 3 player in the league, 15! All-NBA seasons in total (insane longevity), and a 3-yr peak (06-08) where he put up 32/6/5/2/57% TS/27 PER and was very widely regarded as the greatest player on Earth.

He has one of the sickest post-season stretches EVER with his run from 08-10...30+/6/6/2/57% TS/116 ORTG/26+ PER while leading his team to 3 straight Finals and back-to-back championships.

The dude's career averages are 26/5/5/1.5/56% TS/112 ORTG...over nearly two ****ing decades. He has more 30+ point/40+ point and 50+ point games than anyone outside of Mike and Wilt. During his 10-year prime you'll looking at averages of 29/6/5/2/56% TS/25+ PER...and 4 of those seasons were spent in the GOAT defensive era (99-04), while sharing the ball with another star, and playing in the triangle.

Those numbers are just as good in during his post-season prime...expect no star (outside of Shaq) has ever played better defensive competition during the postseason.
This list is the strongest opposing playoff defenses for modern stars in the playoffs

PS Prime Avg. Opp Drtg ▾
Shaquille O’Neal 101.9
Kobe Bryant 102.6
Kevin Garnett 103.5
Dwyane Wade 103.7
Tim Duncan 103.7
Karl Malone 103.9
Steve Nash 103.9
Dirk Nowitzki 103.9
LeBron James 104.4
Michael Jordan 105
Larry Bird 105.5
Hakeem Olajuwon 105.8
Charles Barkley 105.8
David Robinson 106.5
Magic Johnson 106.7


He has some of the most ridiculous feats/stretches of all-time.
5 different months where he averaged 40+ PPG
9 straight 40+ point games
13 straight 35+ point games
27 40+ point games in one season
10 50+ point games in one season
5 different 60+ point games
81 points
62 points in three quarters
4 straight 45+ point games
A different stretch of 4 straight 50+ point games
Last 30 games of 07: 38 PPG/6 RPG/5 APG/2 SPG/58% TS
Last 68 games of 2006: 36+ PPG/6 RPG/5 APG/2+ SPG/57% TS/116 ORTG

And he doesn't just dominate in the box-score...dude is also a +/- monster.

He has the #3 RAPM (regularized adjusted +/-) of the decade once you adjust for minutes and is #1 in ORAPM: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/10-year-rapm

At his offensive peak (06) he put up the greatest adjusted offensive +/- scorer to EVER be recorded at +18.9: http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bryanko01/on-off/2006/

That same year he was #1 in ORAPM at with nobody even remotely close to him: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2006-rapm

#2 in minute-adjusted 01-12 ORAPM behind only Nash: http://godismyjudgeok.com/DStats/2012/nba-stats/overrated-and-underrated-via-rapm-part-2/

*note: I realize RAPM is not even close to being a perfect tool, nor do I see it as such. I'm merely pointing out that Kobe definitely seems to be a player who has enormous impact even outside his terrific box-score numbers*


Efficiency:

Considered and ‘inefficient chucker” by ignorant fools even though he’ put up fantastic/excellent efficiency numbers throughout his prime and has a career TS/ORTG. Of 56%/112 over 18 seasons!. This is just one of many false narratives/myths about him.

He’s consistently +3-4% relative to league average TS/+9-11 points over league average ORTG in his 10 year prime. This is very good and more than comparable to many of the guys ahead of them.

Here’s what prime Kobe’s TS/ORTG numbers would look like in the today’s era based on league-average TS/ORTG of 2014--53.6% TS, 106.7 ORTG

2001: 57% TS/115.7 ORTG
2002: 56% TS/115.7 ORTG
2003: 56.7% TS/114.1 ORTG
2004: 57.1% TS/115.8 ORTG
2005: 56.9% TS/111.8 ORTG
2006: 56.0% TS/114.5 ORTG
2007: 57.5% TS/115.2 ORTG
2008: 57.2% TS/114.2 ORTG
2009: 55.3% TS/114 ORTG
2010: 53.8% TS/108 ORTG---injured

As you can see his efficiency is consistently excellent/very good throughout his prime.
Another myth destroyed.


If you wanna just look at his game from a skill/ability/talent position...we're talking about of the 5 best scorers ever, one of the best non-PG creators/play-makers/ball-handlers of all-time, someone who was legitimately a good and sometimes even great defender for many seasons, a fantastic rebounding guard, and a guy with an almost perfect skill-set.

Dude has seasons (2013) where he led the entire freaking lead in post-up efficiency as a freaking guard: Among 106 players to finish at least 75 post-ups with a shot, drawn foul, or turnover, Bryant was the most efficient in the league, per Synergy Sports. The most efficient! At age 34! He hit 55 percent of his post-up shots and produced 1.05 points per possession from the block, per Synergy.

He's one of the greatest mid-range players/shooters ever: http://grantland.com/the-triangle/courtvision-kobe-bryant-and-the-elbow-test/

He can shoot the 3. He has superb handles. He might the greatest triple-threat player ever, and has GOAT level foot-work and shot-making ability. Seriously, we're talking about one of the three best ever in terms of sheer skill.

In terms of accolades/accomplishments...
5 NBA Titles and 7 Finals Appearances
2 Titles/4 Finals appearances as the best player
2X Finals MVP
1X NBA MVP
2X Scoring Champion
15X All-NBA including 11X All-NBA 1st Team
12X All-NBA defensive team including 9X 1st Team
16X Time All-Star

It’s a joke hes not in the top 10.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#90 » by E-Balla » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:26 am

tsherkin wrote:
GC Pantalones wrote:Its not the misses (even though I do believe in the Kobe assist. I've chucked up crap knowing a teammate will pull it down if I missed) its the makes. A missed Kobe shot and Fisher shot is that same but Kobe is missing less than Fisher. If Kobe takes a shot at 40% that his teammates makes at 33% he's helping the team if that's the best look they can get that possession.


The wording there is off. From 01-10, Kobe was MISSING 12 shots per game (and similar in the years which followed). Fisher's career-high FGA/g is 10.8, one of two seasons with double-digit attempts, so Kobe is missing a lot more.

Yeah, Fisher is worse inside of the arc, but a bad shot wouldn't be a lot better dor Kobe than Fisher when you consider the actual percentages involved. Kobe brings valuable shot generation and is noticeably more efficient than a guy like Iverson, but your 33% stat is arbitrary and not relevant.

I mean he'd make a late clock jumper at a more efficient rate than Fisher (and he'd consistently create a better look). That's extremely valuable and it would make your numbers worse than if you took less of those shots but it doesn't make you less valuable.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#91 » by E-Balla » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:35 am

tsherkin wrote:
GC Pantalones wrote:Well overall Aldridge still had a ORTG you wouldn't expect from the best player and first option on a great offense.


Only if you look at nothing but team ORTG and assume; LMA rocked a 108 this year, uncharacteristically low, probably due to usage, but again, team construction made that happen. Few turnovers plus lots of threes and offensive rebounding. He blew on the offensive glass, but 7.2% TOG against 29.8% USG matters, a lot.

Portland was about team, not so much individual offensive excellence.

That said, Lillard? 20.7 ppg, second leading scorer. 116 ORTG against 25.0% USG, and that certainly mattered as well, as did matthews and batum (as supporting cast, 113-118 ORTG).

Food for thought. It takes a lot more than usual to build a great offense that way, more than a first-pass look otherwise indicates.

Yes that's true but it shows you can have an offense that has 4 guys that can only create the most efficient shots (with creators that can get outside looks and cut to the basket) and literally have only failsafe for it they can't create those looks (Lamarcus with a spot up jumper or high post possession) and that offense will still be elite.

Without LaMarcus they might barely be a top 10 offense if that. No one on the roster outside of LMA and maybe Mo Williams can create a look when things break down.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#92 » by Baller2014 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:36 am

Melodabeast wrote:this spot should be go to bryant.

Welcome new poster.

If you think we should vote on Kobe, could you please explain what sort of penalty you're applying for his huge negative off-court intangibles (see my post on page 1). Nobody has done this since it was brought up way back in thread #5.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#93 » by E-Balla » Fri Jul 25, 2014 8:43 am

DannyNoonan1221 wrote:
GC Pantalones wrote: General consensus, my thinking, and even the RPOY project puts Kobe over KG from 2001-2010. I mean a few thought KG was better at the time but the most thought Kobe was better.


The difference doesn't have to be much for it to be clear. 2 is clearly over 3 but on a infinite scale its a small difference - but a distance nonetheless.

With West he's great but he's not a Kobe. It was a weaker era and his team was stacked. With Moses I see his game, what he accomplished, etc. and come out impressed but his impact doesn't seem to be so amazing when looking at how teams did without him and with him outside of 83.


Alright, so Moses falls behind of Kobe because of team success. Fair enough. West played in a weaker era- not going to fight you there. I am not giving you the "stacked team" argument though. Kobe won 3 straight titles with Shaq and PJ. Not sure how much more stacked his team could be. And would Kobe be here if he only had two titles?

I'm not a ring counter. Kobe would definetly be here if he never had his first 3 finals runs (but still played great). Actually if they lost in the CF all 4 of those runs with Shaq he'd probably rank higher (he usually had issues in the Finals. Injury in 2000, horrible game 1 in 2001 - great after that though, great in 02, terrible blackmark on career in 04). Kobe from 08-10 had one of the greatest 3 year postseason runs ever. Actually in a thread a long time ago he got voted 6th or 7th in a ranking of 3 year runs for 08-10.

Also, don't agree that a small difference is "noticeably" or "flat out". I don't mean to nitpick, but it seems very generic to just claim he was better and not support it. Again, while KG supporters have moved him up on my list almost 10 spots, I am still picking Kobe over him. But to say he is clearly better seems a little near-sighted; it is very difficult in my opinion to distinguish how much impact KG's defense really has on the overall game in order to make up what he lacks on offense. Not only is it harder to track defensive impact, but the media and general fans love people who can score points. Add that up with being in LA, winning titles with Shaq and coming straight out of high school playing the same position as a retiring MJ and you have the dream situation for anyone who wants a relatively inflated legacy.

I have a completely different opinion of Kobe than the mainstream. For years I was called a Kobe hater for saying Lebron/Wade was better. Why do people constantly bring up the media when discussing Kobe? Sure he has insane Stans but so does Lebron, Bird, Jordan, etc. Anyone who's been that great had their share of crazy irrational fans.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#94 » by E-Balla » Fri Jul 25, 2014 9:08 am

Melodabeast wrote:
Spoiler:
this spot should be go to bryant. nobody has his combo of best player in the league type peak play, ridiculously long 10 year prime, insane longevity, phenomenal box-score and +/- numbers, team success, and accolades/accomplishments. it’s a joke hes out of the top 10.

relevant seasons:

2000: Kobe put up 23/6/5/2/1 on good efficiency (+2.4% TS relative to league average) 110 ORTG (+6) and was very arguably the best perimeter defender in the entire league (youngest player in history to make an all-defense team) on 67 win team that happened to one of the best defenses ever --98.2 DRTG, -6 relative to league average. (Does bird have a defensive peak even close to this?(2000).

Lakers first 15 games without Bryant: 104.6 ORTG (+.5 relative to league average so they were barely above league-average offensively, +5.7 differential overall)
Lakers next 67 games with Bryant: 108.6 ORTG (+4.5 relative to league average, would rank #1 offensively, and a overall differential of +9.9)

Best regular season ever/GOAT level play with Bryant in the lineup.

Yeah,hes not the player he would later become but right away we can see that he’s having huge impact and is a top 10 player in the league.

22/5/4/1.5/1.5 and his defense was even better in the post-season, and he had an all-time great Game 7 in the WCF (25 pts/11 rbs/7 asts/4 stls/3 blks).



2001:

Sorta of an amusing regular season filled with false narrative. Kobe gets off to an amazing start through the first two months. He averages 30/6/5/2 on amazing efficiency-- 56% TS/114 ORTG (would be 58% TS/118 ORTG today) and the lakers go 30-15 and have the best offense in the league. they’re #1 in ORTG and are +6! relative to league average. This is a borderline GOAT level offense. naturally a certain big fella starts bitching and moaning even if if Bryant has been incredible and the offense is historically good. and you start getting all the nonsense in the media and the silly “selfish” narrative appears. Its pretty amusing.

Bryant plays the first 52 games. At this point the lakers are 35-17 (67% win, 57 wins over full season) with still the best offense in basketball/historically great offense @ +6 relative to league average.. But they are seen as an “underachieving’’ team.. Naturally the fools in the media and everybody else are quick to blame Bryant, but the real for their “underachieving” is the mediocre defense. They have a 106 DRTG.+3 over league average. Its clear their “anchor” is back to coasting defensively and everyone else is too. They also have some injury issues. Of course kobe too deserves criticism for not playing up to his full capabilities defensively the reg season. I simply wanted to point out how (Please Use More Appropriate Word) the narratives about kobe “being selfish” and other nonsense that sprang up that reg season are.

Anyway, he misses the next 3 games after playing 52 straight. The lakers win by 2 pts against the spurs, beat the 18-37 hawks at home, and a .500, 28-27 magic team at home…

He misses 2 games in mid-march. Lakers beat a 27-38 Celtics team at home by 5, lose by 12 against a 32-33 sonics team.

But how about when he misses an extended stretch? Obviously an extended stretch will be a lot more telling than 2 games here and there. Well he misses 10 straight later on (plays 11 minutes in one of them before leaving). Lakers beat the 17-41 wizards, impressive win against the kings, impressive win vs. mavs, good win vs. jazz, beat the 12-62 bulls, beat the 34-42 Celtics, 5pt win over wolves. They lose by 21 against the suns, by 24 against the kings, lose to the knicks, but of course we know that point differential/offensive rating/defensive rating is a far greater indicator of team quality than W-L record. So how do the lakers look without the “selfish” Bryant during their only extended stretch without him.. These 10 games? well their offensive rating during this stretch is 105.7...good but nowhere near the borderline historic 109 ORTG/+6 offense they put up when Bryant is playing. What about defense? Well it’s still thoroughly mediocre at 103.9 (+1 over league average). Their overall point differential over this extended stretch? A measly +1.8.…(Their 4 losses without Bryant come by an average margin of 14.5 PPG…)

Now lets look at how much better they are when he return. It’s a bit better than +1.8 team…

After missing 10 straight kobe returns to play the last 4 . His astronomical impact is immediately clear. Lakers have a 120 ORTG and DRTG of 102.5...for a differential of +17.5...that’s just a bit better than the +1.8 they were in the previous 10 without him…
,
Overall he averages 28.5/5.9/5.0/1.8/0.6/25 PER/55.2% TS/112 ORTG (+3.2 above league-average, equivalent to around 57% TS/116 ORTG in today's league so fantastic efficiency) in the regular season.
Helps co-anchor the #2 ranked offense in the league, finishes #3 in ORAPM(https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2001-npi-rapm), and plays good defense though he's not as consistent as he was in 2000.

*small note: shaq missed 6 straight games (only missed 8 all year) in late jan/early feb and the lakers went 4-2. Bryant averaged 34 PPG/9 RPG/4 APG/1.7 SPG/1.7 BPG on 55% TS/114 ORTG*

After a phenomenal reg season Bryant has one of the best postseasons in history.

He averages 29.4/7.3/6.1/1.8/0.7/25 PER/3.8 WS (#1)/+14.2 +/-(#1 on team)on phenomenal efficiency--56% TS/116 ORTG (would be a 120 ORTG in todays league environment) in the post-season while playing absolutely fantastic defense. Hes getting steals, he’s helping and doing a excellent job of getting back on shooters, causing deflections, shutting his man out, rebounding the ball, dude is everywhere defensively. watch some games from that post-season and you’ll hear commentators like doug collins raving about how incredibly quick and active the lakers perimeter defense is.. How great they are at swarming. Kobe plays a HUGE part of this. and is a major reason the lakers finish #1 in post-season DRTG with an amazing 98.2 DRTG.

He averages 34/7/7/2/61% TS in the WCF including a ridiculous 45/10/58% TS on the road in game 1 and this is against the best defense in the league, and 35/9/5/2/57% TS in the WCSF. For the postseason lakers have a 113.0 ORTG with him on the court, and 98.0 when he's off. most impressively he does it on the greatest post-season team in history BY FAR (15-1!). A team that had the #1 defense and #1 offense and won by an average margin of 15 PPG. this is some of the best all-around ball any player has ever played. dude is EVERYWHERE. 22 years and already a top 3 player in the world. you could make a great case that he was a top 2 player.

2002: 25+/5.5/5.5/1.5/0.5/55% TS/112 ORTG (equivalent to 114 ORTG today,so fantastic efficiency) while playing all 82 games. again, finishes #2 in ORAPM (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2002-rapm) and co-anchors the #2 offense in the league.

puts up 27/6/5/2 with his usual excellent defense in the post-season including a 27/6/5+/1.5/0.8/62% TS/120 ORTG in the finals against the best defense in the league.

27+/6/4/2 in the WCF including 31/11/5/2/132 ORTG and 30/10/7/2/121 ORTG in back-to-back elimination games to win the series. his WCSF is probably one of the greatest "clutch" series ever. shaq has the worst series ever and the lakers still beat a 58 win/6.2SRS/#2 DRTG spurs team in 5 games...because of bryant's incredible 4th-quarter play. every game goes down to the very wire and bryant averages a ridiculous 11 PPG/63% TS in the 4th quarters as he takes over down the stretch in EVERY single win for the lakers. lakers win 3rd straight title.

2003: no need to go too in depth... this is one of the greatest all-around seasons ever.

30 PPG
7 APG
6 APG
2.2 SPG
0.9 BPG
55.2% TS( 57.2% TS in today's league)
38% from three on 6 attempts per game
26+ PER
15 WS
#2 in ORAPM (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2003-rapm)
20 40+ point games including 9 straight at one point
averaged 40+ PPG for the entire month of march
5 50+ point games
5 triple-doubles
22 double-doubles

in the post-season he does 32/5/5/2 with a +/- of +17!

top 3 player in the league at least.

and he's doing this season and others in the GOAT defensive era (99-04) where league average TS/ORTG was notably lower....

2004: the single toughest defensive season in history...league average ORTG is at at a ridiculously low 102.9...league average TS is at 51.6%...

kobe gets off to a slow start because of the off-court issues/conditioning but still puts up 23/5/5/54% TS (+2.4) and 111 ORTG (+8, equivalent to 115 ORTG today) through 33 games. lakers go 23-10 with a 106.7 ORTG (+3.8 relative to league average, #4 in the league) and a overall differential of +6. he gets injured and misses the next 7 games (plays 15 min in one of them) and the lakers go 3-4. 98.5 ORTG in those 7 games, a decline of 8.2 points! he comes back for two games and lakers put 115 ORTG and win both. he gets injured again. misses next 7 games. lakers go 4-3 with wins against the 21-24 raps, 19-30 cavs, 13-40 magic, 21-32 heat) and get blow out in every single loss. again, lakers offense totally falls off. ORTG during those 7 games is 100.9 (-2) and overall they play like a -4.3 team.

kobe pretty much plays the rest of the season (only misses two games during which the lakers go 1-1 and their offense collapses yet again--96.6 ORTG in those two) and puts up 26.6/6.4/6.0/1.8/0.6/56.3% TS (58.2% TS today) and 116 ORTG ( 120 ORTG today) and is the best player in the league (outside of KG) over the second half of the second. lakers have a 107.3 ortg (top 3 in the league) over this span.

overall for the season he puts up 24/6/5+/2 on fantastic efficiency (55.1 TS/112 ORTG which is equivalent to 57% TS/116 ORTG today) and has his best defensive season since 02.

basically, when he's playing the lakers look like a 1st-tier contender and a top 3 offense. and when he's out they're mediocre and absolutely awful offensively. imo kobe has clearly become the best player on the lakers by this season.

his numbers fall off in the post-season (25/6/5/2/51%TS/103 ORTG) but you know what the insane thing is? his efficiency is still well above league-average in the post-season. there's never been a tougher defensive environment than the 04 post-season. league average ORTG in that post-season was a ridiculously low 98.8. thats insane. seriously, there's a reason they changed the rules and eliminated hand-checking the next season. it should also be pointed out that no star in modern history has played better defensive competition than what kobe saw that post-season.

he played:
the rockets (#5 defense, -3.9 relative to league average)
the spurs (GOAT level defense, #1 ranked, -8.8! relative to league average)
the wolves (#6, -3.3 relative to league average)
the pistons (GOAT level defense,#2 ranked defense, -7.5! relative to league average...but these numbers don't tell the full story. after the rasheed wallece trade the pistons had a defensive rating of 91.9 . that's -10.9!!! relative to league average. this is easily the best defense ever)

so he played two GOAT level/top 5 all-time defenses and two other top 5 defenses in the toughest defensive environment ever. insane. of course, he was still phenomenal through the first round three rounds and torched the GOAT level spurs defense in the last 4 games ((28/6/6/2/56% TS)including a all-time great 42/6/5/2/65% TS game in game 4 as the lakers backdoor swept


imo top 3 player in the league behind only KG/Duncan

2005: obviously easily the worst season of his prime. his numbers are still phenomenal (28/6/6/1.4/56.3 TS (+3.3) and i have no doubt that he would be in contention for best player in the league with better health and a better environment but of course the only thing that matters is what actually happened.. he suffered through plantar fasciitis the entire season and never really looked like himself. clear huge down season but still a top 10 player.

2006: the return. this is one of the greatest offensive seasons of all-time.

he puts up 35+/5+/5/2/28+ PER/15+ WS/56% TS/114 ORTG and somehow takes a horrific supporting cast (kwame brown/luke walton/sasha vujiec/odom/chris mihm/smush parker/devean george/brian cook/laron profit) and leads them to 46 wins, 7th best offense ,and 7th best SRS (2.52) and basically has them at 50 win caliber/quality in the west.

he put up the greatest adjusted offensive +/- scorer to EVER be recorded at +18.9: http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bryanko01/on-off/2006/

That same year he was #1 in ORAPM at with nobody even remotely close to him: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2006-rapm

he has 27 40+ point games, 8 50+ point games,two different months where he averages 40+...he has a 81 point game...and another game where he puts up 62 pts in three quarters against the best team in the west.

what's crazy about this season is that he actually got off to a slow start. he suffered a sprained hand in the 3rd game which really bothered him for a couple of weeks. Only put up 32/5/4/50% TS though 15 games...

Then 36+/6/5/2/58% TS/116 ORTG through the next 67 games and the lakers had a 110.5 ORTG over that 67 game stretch. that's the 4th best offense in the league (+4.3 relative to league average)that's right. he was anchoring a top 5 offense with total and utter garbage around him. incredible.

best player in the league.

2007: not as great as 2006 due to the off-season knee surgery which caused a somewhat slow star...but still an extraordinarily season.

averages 32/6/5/2/26+ PER/58% TS/115 ORTG with a monster +6 ORAPM
10 50+ point games
20 40+ point games
couple 60+ point games
two different months of averaging 40+
puts up 38/6/5/2/58% TS/117 ORTG in the last 35 games

somehow takes this supporting cast:
smush parker
lamar odom (missed 24 games)
luke walton (missed 22 games)
maurice evans (6 games missed)
kwame brown (missed 41 games)
jordan farmar (missed 10 games)
ronny turiaf (missed 10 games)
brian cook (missed 17 games)
vladimir radmonivic (missed 17 games)
sasha vujacic (missed 10 games)

and still makes the playoffs in the West, has them at the #7 ranked ORTG, and #4 in eFG%. incredible. this is even worse garbage than what he had in 2006.

best player in the league.

2008: puts up 28+/6+/5+/2 on fantastic efficiency-- 58% TS/115 ORTG--

his +/- numbers continue to be amazing.
finishes #2 in ORAPM/+6.1 overall (https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2008-rapm).

plays all 82 games at 39 MPG. and his defense is excellent. legitimately all-defense worthy and his best defensive season 2004. so we're talking about a guy who is at least a top 2 offensive player in the world and a legitimately very good defender. leads the most inury-riddled team in the league to 58 wins and a 7.2 SRS/#1 seed in the best/toughest conference ever. anchors the #3 offense in the league...a team that was GOAT level offensively after the pau trade. they went 29-7 with a 9+ SRS! and 116.6! ORTG in the 36 games after the trade. bryant put up 29/6/6/2/59% TS/118 ORTG in those 36 games. he averages 34/6/5/2/59% TS/119 ORTG including a 49/10/5/2/66% TS game against a 50 win nugs team in a 1st-round sweep. he does 33+/7+/7+/2/63% TS/122 ORTG in the WCSF, and then 30/6/5/2/61% TS against the #2 defense/defending champ spurs.overall the lakers go 12-3 in the first three rounds of the playoffs with bryant putting up 33/6/6/2/61% TS/119 ORTG…and even those numbers don’t really capture how well he was playing. His D continued to be strong and his play-making/creation for others amazing. This season is easily the best he’s ever been as a passer/creator.

overall he has another all-time post-season run.30+/6/6/2/58% TS/116 ORTG over 23 games against 4 50+ win teams including a 66 win GOAT level defenses and the defending champs.

best player in the league.

2009: pretty much the perfect season. he sorta coasts during the reg season and still completely dominates. puts up 27/6/5/1.5/56% TS/115 ORTG/#3 in ORAPM/+6.1 overall and is still a good defender. takes incredible care of the ball. somehow manages a ridiculously low 9% turnover rate. anchors the #3 offense in the league and his raw offensive +/- is amazing. lakers have a 116! ORTG with him on the court. leads his team to 65 wins, 7.3 SRS, and they win a great conference by 10 freaking games.

he then has another all-time post-season run. puts up 30+/6/5+/2/56.4% TS/9% turnover rate/116 ORTG while playing excellent defense (especially in the last two rounds) over 23 games. including 34/6/6/2/63% TS/132 ORTG in the WCF and 32+/7+/6/1.5/1.5/54% TS/111 ORTG in the Finals. anchors a dominant post-season team. they go 16-7 with the 12th best playoff SRS ever and 8th highest point differential...with a supporting cast of essentially pau/odom and a bunch of role-players. wins his 4th championship.

top 2 player in the league.

2010: starts out putting up 30+/6/5/2/57% TS/115 ORTG through the first two months and the lakers are well on their way to another 60+ win season. injures really hurt him, he's not healthy for the entire second half of the season pretty much, and his numbers take a tumble. still, he ends up with another fantastic reg season, though clearly a step down from his 06-09 runs. still ends up averaging 27/6/5/1.5/0.5/+5.6 RAPM and his +/- numbers are still phenomenal. clearly he's in the very last stages of his prime by this point. leads his team to 58 wins and the #1 seed.

he then has one last hurrah with yet another incredible post-season run.
averages 29+/6+/6/1.5/57% TS/117 ORTG over 23 games. after he gets his knee drained after game 4 of the first round...he proceeds to have one of the great stretches of his career: 30+/7+/6/1.4/0.8/58% TS/119 ORTG over the last 19 games including a ridiculous 34+/9/7/2/64% TS/135 ORTG WCF ...lakers have a GOAT level 116 ORTG during that 19 game stretch. wins his 5th championship. this is the end of his prime.

top 3 player in the league.

he then falls off clearly and is no longer the same guy, but we're still talking top 10 payer in the league level in 2011, 2012, and 2013. \

2012 in particular is underrated. 28/5/5/1.4 while playing 39 MPG with easily better defense than 2011 and 2013 and he had a terrific playoff run…and the only bad thing was that his efficiency was only slightly above league-average…but that’s almost exclusively caused by the horrific spacing on that team. Two slow plodding 7-footers in the foot-court and very little shooting+ coached by the worst offensive head coach in the league (mike brown) is a recipe for disaster. He would have been significantly more efficient on almost any other team in the league.

Proof?
His TS% that season with both Pau/Bynum on: 51% TS
With just Pau: 56% TS
With just Bynum: 56% TS
Both out: 55%

More proof" in the games either Bynum or pau didn’t play he had a TS% of 57%.

And in 2013 we saw his efficiency shoot back up to excellent levels---57% TS/112 ORTG--and its exclusively because of the much better spacing.

2012 kobe is still a top 6-7 player.2011 and 2013 is still top 10.that’s still a hugely valuable player to have.


basically bryant holds one of the very greatest offensive seasons ever (2006), one of the greatest all-around seasons ever (2003), and multiple all-time great playoff runs (01, 08, 09, 2010).

We’re talking about a guy who has about 8-9 different seasons where he was a top 3 player in the league, 15! All-NBA seasons in total (insane longevity), and a 3-yr peak (06-08) where he put up 32/6/5/2/57% TS/27 PER and was very widely regarded as the greatest player on Earth.

He has one of the sickest post-season stretches EVER with his run from 08-10...30+/6/6/2/57% TS/116 ORTG/26+ PER while leading his team to 3 straight Finals and back-to-back championships.

The dude's career averages are 26/5/5/1.5/56% TS/112 ORTG...over nearly two ****ing decades. He has more 30+ point/40+ point and 50+ point games than anyone outside of Mike and Wilt. During his 10-year prime you'll looking at averages of 29/6/5/2/56% TS/25+ PER...and 4 of those seasons were spent in the GOAT defensive era (99-04), while sharing the ball with another star, and playing in the triangle.

Those numbers are just as good in during his post-season prime...expect no star (outside of Shaq) has ever played better defensive competition during the postseason.
This list is the strongest opposing playoff defenses for modern stars in the playoffs

PS Prime Avg. Opp Drtg ▾
Shaquille O’Neal 101.9
Kobe Bryant 102.6
Kevin Garnett 103.5
Dwyane Wade 103.7
Tim Duncan 103.7
Karl Malone 103.9
Steve Nash 103.9
Dirk Nowitzki 103.9
LeBron James 104.4
Michael Jordan 105
Larry Bird 105.5
Hakeem Olajuwon 105.8
Charles Barkley 105.8
David Robinson 106.5
Magic Johnson 106.7


He has some of the most ridiculous feats/stretches of all-time.
5 different months where he averaged 40+ PPG
9 straight 40+ point games
13 straight 35+ point games
27 40+ point games in one season
10 50+ point games in one season
5 different 60+ point games
81 points
62 points in three quarters
4 straight 45+ point games
A different stretch of 4 straight 50+ point games
Last 30 games of 07: 38 PPG/6 RPG/5 APG/2 SPG/58% TS
Last 68 games of 2006: 36+ PPG/6 RPG/5 APG/2+ SPG/57% TS/116 ORTG

And he doesn't just dominate in the box-score...dude is also a +/- monster.

He has the #3 RAPM (regularized adjusted +/-) of the decade once you adjust for minutes and is #1 in ORAPM: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/10-year-rapm

At his offensive peak (06) he put up the greatest adjusted offensive +/- scorer to EVER be recorded at +18.9: http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/b/bryanko01/on-off/2006/

That same year he was #1 in ORAPM at with nobody even remotely close to him: https://sites.google.com/site/rapmstats/2006-rapm

#2 in minute-adjusted 01-12 ORAPM behind only Nash: http://godismyjudgeok.com/DStats/2012/nba-stats/overrated-and-underrated-via-rapm-part-2/

*note: I realize RAPM is not even close to being a perfect tool, nor do I see it as such. I'm merely pointing out that Kobe definitely seems to be a player who has enormous impact even outside his terrific box-score numbers*


Efficiency:

Considered and ‘inefficient chucker” by ignorant fools even though he’ put up fantastic/excellent efficiency numbers throughout his prime and has a career TS/ORTG. Of 56%/112 over 18 seasons!. This is just one of many false narratives/myths about him.

He’s consistently +3-4% relative to league average TS/+9-11 points over league average ORTG in his 10 year prime. This is very good and more than comparable to many of the guys ahead of them.

Here’s what prime Kobe’s TS/ORTG numbers would look like in the today’s era based on league-average TS/ORTG of 2014--53.6% TS, 106.7 ORTG

2001: 57% TS/115.7 ORTG
2002: 56% TS/115.7 ORTG
2003: 56.7% TS/114.1 ORTG
2004: 57.1% TS/115.8 ORTG
2005: 56.9% TS/111.8 ORTG
2006: 56.0% TS/114.5 ORTG
2007: 57.5% TS/115.2 ORTG
2008: 57.2% TS/114.2 ORTG
2009: 55.3% TS/114 ORTG
2010: 53.8% TS/108 ORTG---injured

As you can see his efficiency is consistently excellent/very good throughout his prime.
Another myth destroyed.


If you wanna just look at his game from a skill/ability/talent position...we're talking about of the 5 best scorers ever, one of the best non-PG creators/play-makers/ball-handlers of all-time, someone who was legitimately a good and sometimes even great defender for many seasons, a fantastic rebounding guard, and a guy with an almost perfect skill-set.

Dude has seasons (2013) where he led the entire freaking lead in post-up efficiency as a freaking guard: Among 106 players to finish at least 75 post-ups with a shot, drawn foul, or turnover, Bryant was the most efficient in the league, per Synergy Sports. The most efficient! At age 34! He hit 55 percent of his post-up shots and produced 1.05 points per possession from the block, per Synergy.

He's one of the greatest mid-range players/shooters ever: http://grantland.com/the-triangle/courtvision-kobe-bryant-and-the-elbow-test/

He can shoot the 3. He has superb handles. He might the greatest triple-threat player ever, and has GOAT level foot-work and shot-making ability. Seriously, we're talking about one of the three best ever in terms of sheer skill.

In terms of accolades/accomplishments...
5 NBA Titles and 7 Finals Appearances
2 Titles/4 Finals appearances as the best player
2X Finals MVP
1X NBA MVP
2X Scoring Champion
15X All-NBA including 11X All-NBA 1st Team
12X All-NBA defensive team including 9X 1st Team
16X Time All-Star

It’s a joke hes not in the top 10.

First off welcome. Secondly holy crap. Thirdly no seriously this post might be the best so far and that's saying something (sorry ronnymac but he crapped on your look at early Hakeem). Lastly I had to go to work but I was planning a monster Kobe post. I don't agree with everything said but you covered every possible positive point I could think to list for Kobe (even ending on that freaking Grantland article. I was looking everywhere for that thing when trying to explain how Kobe's numbers don't come close to showing his impact because of the type of shots he takes).

Great post man.

Baller2014 wrote:
Melodabeast wrote:this spot should be go to bryant.

Welcome new poster.

If you think we should vote on Kobe, could you please explain what sort of penalty you're applying for his huge negative off-court intangibles (see my post on page 1). Nobody has done this since it was brought up way back in thread #5.

I already addressed this. The penalty is in his on the court results. Its like xRAPM taking height as a factor when its already factored in the player's numbers (by height having an effect on their game). No need to give him an extra bump down when he already has that bump down (mainly in the form of 2004-2005).
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#95 » by Baller2014 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 10:10 am

There's ample evidence his off the court antics effected on the court results. I went over this at length, and all the specific problems I highlighted have been ignored.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#96 » by therealbig3 » Fri Jul 25, 2014 10:25 am

KG vs Kobe: a multi-post analysis...Part 2

Part 1

This will solely focus on the with/without data for Kobe Bryant.

Kobe Bryant: With/without

Spoiler:
I guess somewhat fortunately for us as analysts, Kobe does miss a decent amount of games during his prime. Most notably, in 00, 01, 04, 05, and 10. His role/playing level is pretty different in all of these seasons, so I can't really combine the samples. However, he does miss a combined 12 games in 12 and 13, and I feel that's a fair combination of samples, because I feel like he was pretty much the same player in both of those years. This is going to be interesting to look at, because unlike with KG, we're actually going to get a pretty decent sample size from Kobe's prime. And both KG and Kobe were in similar situations: part of some really talented squads for the most part, but also being forced to carry bad ones as well (06 and 07 KG vs 05 Kobe).

Like I did with KG, I'm going to show the Lakers SRS with and without Kobe, and show the difference that Kobe makes.

00 Lakers (16 games): 9.20 SRS with, 5.14 SRS without (+4.06 SRS)

01 Lakers (14 games): 4.00 SRS with, 2.49 SRS without (+1.51 SRS)

04 Lakers (17 games): 5.90 SRS with, -1.56 SRS without (+7.46 SRS)

05 Lakers (16 games): -1.62 SRS with, -5.27 SRS without (+3.65 SRS)

10 Lakers (9 games): 4.70 SRS with, 5.42 SRS without (-0.72 SRS)

12-13 Lakers (12 games): 1.79 SRS with, -1.14 SRS without (+2.93 SRS)


Kobe's 04 impact is really surprising, because that has been universally regarded as a down year for him, but perhaps that year for Kobe is pretty underrated. The Lakers were a fantastic team with him on the floor that season, but they were clearly below average when he missed games. I feel like he was probably the guy that held everything together and made sure that the other pieces of the big 4 functioned together optimally.

As expected, the 05 Lakers without Kobe were awful...but they really weren't anywhere close to as bad as the 06 and 07 Wolves without KG, and the lift that Kobe provided when he was in the lineup really isn't that high for a guy on a unipolar team with bad teammates. His contributions to the first two Lakers championships were quite strong, especially 00 (his 01 RS is probably overrated now, as it was really his playoff run where he dominated).

Also, probably as expected, the Lakers in 10 were completely fine without Kobe and technically played a little better without him. This is kind of in line with the general feeling during that season, where Kobe was generally regarded as having a down year.

Total lift (84 games without, from 00, 01, 04, 05, 10, 12, and 13): +3.57

Regardless of whatever criticisms people want to throw at Kobe, the dude was clearly a high impact player throughout his career, and played an especially huge role for the 04 Lakers, which has probably been overlooked as a result of his poor Finals.

However, if we bring this back to KG, Kobe's teams clearly didn't miss him as much as KG's teams missed him, as KG posted the clearly higher with/without numbers at +5.10. Even more impressively, KG was out of his prime for about half the sample (43 out of 91 games missed from 10-13), while most of Kobe's with/without data is coming from his prime (53 out of 81 games are from 01, 04, 05, and 10), and KG still trumps him.

So with regards to one major piece of data (with/without), KG has the decisive edge imo.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#97 » by ardee » Fri Jul 25, 2014 10:44 am

Baller2014 wrote:
Melodabeast wrote:this spot should be go to bryant.

Welcome new poster.

If you think we should vote on Kobe, could you please explain what sort of penalty you're applying for his huge negative off-court intangibles (see my post on page 1). Nobody has done this since it was brought up way back in thread #5.


It's been repeated time and time again that those off court issues are the reason he wasn't voted for at no. 6 or 7 and has actually dropped this low.

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#98 » by SactoKingsFan » Fri Jul 25, 2014 11:02 am

ardee wrote:
Baller2014 wrote:
Melodabeast wrote:this spot should be go to bryant.

Welcome new poster.

If you think we should vote on Kobe, could you please explain what sort of penalty you're applying for his huge negative off-court intangibles (see my post on page 1). Nobody has done this since it was brought up way back in thread #5.


It's been repeated time and time again that those off court issues are the reason he wasn't voted for at no. 6 or 7 and has actually dropped this low.

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Kobe wasn't getting votes at 6 or 7 because he wasn't a legit candidate. Shaq and LeBron peaked higher and had several seasons that were better than Kobe's peak seasons, which is why they got voted in before Kobe was seriously considered.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#99 » by Quotatious » Fri Jul 25, 2014 11:20 am

I'll likely vote for Oscar here, but please don't count my vote officially yet. Now I honestly see Robertson as more or less Magic's and Bird's equal (and he kinda combines their skillsets - he's a big, 6'5''/6'6'' guard, quick and athletic enough to be a guard, and strong/big enough to play SF, terrific offensive orchestrator but also an elite volume scorer, with excellent shooting ability and post game). Sure, he played just 39 playoff games in his absolute prime in Cincinnati, so it's a very small sample size compared to those other guys (Magic/Bird, but also Kobe, Dirk, West and Doc, basically all except KG, who also didn't play that many playoff games in his prime in Minny). Robertson literally didn't have any weaknesses. Also pretty good longevity (11 year prime, from his rookie season to 1970-71, and he averaged 28.3/8.2/10.1 on 57.1% TS - sure, his volume stats are inflated a bit because of a lot faster pace in the 60s, though his Royals were always in the bottom half of the league in terms of pace, and usually at the top in terms of efficiency, and his 57.1% TS is actually higher than if a 80s-2000s player had such efficiency, because of the lower league average TS). His offensive impact is well documented, in particular by ElGee's research, that chart posted by Jaivl earlier in this thread.

I had Oscar, Dirk, KG, Kobe, Doc and West as my 11-16, in order, before the project, and after thinking a ton about in in the last few days, I'll probably stay with that, as far as who I'll argue for in the next few threads.

Frankly, I feel quite comfortable with Dirk ahead of Kobe - it's extremely close, but as RAPM suggests, DIrk had better defensive results in most seasons (both in NPI, in the early/mid 2000s, and especially after 2010 - Kobe was slightly better between 2008 and 2010, although it also depends on the website that you're using - the Google Sites RAPM, I believe compiled by colts18, IIRC, has Kobe as a little better defender in 2009 and 2010, but GotBuckets has Dirk as a little better, also in 2008). I see Dirk as a slightly superior scorer (lower volume, higher efficiency, in the RS, though he was obviously the first option on the Mavs for almost his entire career, while Kobe had Shaq for his first few prime seasons, and still posted inferior efficiency, particularly in the postseason, where Dirk's scoring volume clearly goes up, his efficiency stays basically the same, and he also becomes a better rebounder than he was in the RS, so I'd call him a better playoff performer than regular season performer, which is very rare and valuable). Even if we assume that Kobe should get some credit for his playmaking (he obviously should), and it makes up for Dirk's slightly superior scoring efficiency, they're equal on offense and defense (that's being a little generous to Kobe and giving credence to the eye-test, as far as defense), longevity is very close (just slightly in Kobe's favor at this point) and finally, there's the thing that Baller2014 has adamantly insisted on for the last few threads - what do we make of Kobe's personality issues? I don't think it's a really significant concern, but when you compare him to such a great teammate and unabashedly loyal (it's largely circumstantial, and I know that nobody would really want to leave an organization which is ran by Mark Cuban, but still, the facts are in Dirk's favor, and Kobe's had the luxury of playing with better teammates, more often than not, and on the biggest market team in the NBA).

Now, how do I feel about KG? I'm not sure anymore. He seems to have a great case to be ranked over Oscar and everyone else here, at #11, but it's also easy to see why he could be ranked below Oscar, DIrk and Kobe - him not being an elite #1 offensive option, unlike the other three guys (West and Doc, too), may be the main problem that the posters who value offensive lead dogs highly at this stage in our project, have with KG. His all-around game is, quite honestly, the best of all guys here, with Oscar being the only one with a strong argument. I really think that he suffered from more or less the same issue as late 80s, pre-93 Hakeem - an organization where nothing seemd to go right at that time. I don't even blame him for taking that huge max contract - don't fool yourself - virtually any up and coming (important notion) superstar would do the same given such opportunity.

Lately I've really started to buy into the narrative (actually it's not much of a narrative, but rather something that seems very close to the truth) that KG is basically TD without nearly as much team success (something that I don't care about, anyway), and I also think (not everyone agrees with it) that he was, and would still be even in a more favorable team situation, a worse scorer than Duncan, when it really matters, against tough playoff defense (but KG also did some things better than KG - shooting in general, but also playmaking (as kind of a point forward). TD just performed better in the playoffs, and that's why he IMO should be higher than KG, just not by much. Defensively, I think they're pretty much even - Duncan was more consistent because of a much better team situation), Garnett had higher defensive peak. Duncan was the better post, vertical defender and shotblocker, Garnett the better "perimeter", hortizontal defender and also better in transition. Okay, enough with the rants about TD and KG, as one of them has been selected a long time ago (but you know, arguing how close Garnett really was to the guy selected as #5 GOAT player, is a nice way to prop him up...)

So, that being said, now I'm leaning towards KG over Dirk and Kobe, with Oscar ahead of all of them. Robertson vs Garnett may be an interesting comp as well, but I'd rather go with Oscar, as he's exactly the kind of a player that I think would be an outstanding franchise cornerstone (overall, he's close to Garnett as an all-around player, and him being a lot better #1 offensive option is, in my opinion, slightly more valuable than Garnett's outstanding defensive presence, as far as their main strengths are concerned, particularly today, in a league that is A LOT more guard friendly than the 60s, were Oscar actually played).

I guess those who take accolades into account have it a bit easier to decide...Kobe is likely a rather clear favorite for #11 for them, but (un)forutnately, I don't...

I'll confirm my official vote later on, but right now, I feel quite strongly that it'll be Oscar (more likely) or KG.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #11 

Post#100 » by tsherkin » Fri Jul 25, 2014 1:06 pm

GC Pantalones wrote:
tsherkin wrote:
GC Pantalones wrote:Its not the misses (even though I do believe in the Kobe assist. I've chucked up crap knowing a teammate will pull it down if I missed) its the makes. A missed Kobe shot and Fisher shot is that same but Kobe is missing less than Fisher. If Kobe takes a shot at 40% that his teammates makes at 33% he's helping the team if that's the best look they can get that possession.


The wording there is off. From 01-10, Kobe was MISSING 12 shots per game (and similar in the years which followed). Fisher's career-high FGA/g is 10.8, one of two seasons with double-digit attempts, so Kobe is missing a lot more.

Yeah, Fisher is worse inside of the arc, but a bad shot wouldn't be a lot better dor Kobe than Fisher when you consider the actual percentages involved. Kobe brings valuable shot generation and is noticeably more efficient than a guy like Iverson, but your 33% stat is arbitrary and not relevant.

I mean he'd make a late clock jumper at a more efficient rate than Fisher (and he'd consistently create a better look). That's extremely valuable and it would make your numbers worse than if you took less of those shots but it doesn't make you less valuable.


If you are trying to argue that Kobe is a better focal offensive player than Fisher, save your fingers: we all agree.

If you're trying to argue that this point has salience to this project, it's not too useful because he's fa from the only star feeling the burden of such shots, so it isn't a point of separation.

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