RealGM Top 100 List #12

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#101 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 8:02 am

90sAllDecade wrote: Kobe succeeded at roughly the same amount with or without Shaq from what I've seen (I could be wrong)

If by succeeded you mean "he posted big numbers" then maybe that's true. If by succeeded you mean "he won as much" that's certainly untrue. From 99-04 Kobe's win-loss record without Shaq was 23-26 (a 38 win pace). Over the same period Shaq's win-loss record in games Kobe missed was 30-10 (a 61 win pace). It's a pretty glaring difference. Part of me is still torn to vote for Dr J, but I'm going to stick with Karl Malone for now. This false narrative that he benefitted unduly from a system is weird. Kobe played every one of his prime years bar 1 for the same HoF coach, so clearly he should have benefitted too. When Stockton's role fell off drastically in 1998 Karl Malone was still Karl Malone (some stats were posted earlier, and he basically looks the same. A few points less, 1 rebound more, etc). The supposedly "worse" Karl Malone still looks better than Kobe, especially considering who Kobe matched up with in some of these series.

But the clincher is this; Kobe still has his host of negatives, and Karl Malone doesn't. Not one Kobe poster has addressed his negatives. Not one. How can we not take points off for a guy who sabotages his own team time and again for personal glory, probably costing them multiple titles in the process. That's not my opinion, it's Phil Jackson's, and I provided extensive documentation for it on page 1.

As I see it Karl is comparable on O, vastly better on D, way more longevity, comparable or better accolades, no negatives to hurt his case. Some people suggested Kobe peaked higher. Is that even true though? Karl Malone at his peak was a 31-11-3 player with a FG% of 56.2%, who could play monstrous D. Was Kobe really having more holistic impact than that? I doubt it.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#102 » by PaulieWal » Mon Jul 28, 2014 8:12 am

Baller2014 wrote:But the clincher is this; Kobe still has his host of negatives, and Karl Malone doesn't. Not one Kobe poster has addressed his negatives. Not one. How can we not take points off for a guy who sabotages his own team time and again for personal glory, probably costing them multiple titles in the process. That's not my opinion, it's Phil Jackson's, and I provided extensive documentation for it on page 1.


I am not a Kobe/Lakers fan but IMO you are going overboard with his "negatives". Sure he deserves to have the 04 title as a black mark on his resume but outside of MJ and probably Russell all of the players in the top 10 have playoff failures that were discussed and analyzed. Assuming you have no agenda, you are really underrating Kobe. I am not a ring counter but there is a reason he was a significant contributor on 5 championship teams. While he does have the tendency to hijack the offense at times and take bad shots I feel his 08-10 run is pretty incredible. He minimized all of his negatives and became a good leader on those teams. Him and Gasol had a great run in a tough WC.

I don't care where he gets voted in but I feel if somebody is able to be a part of 5 winning teams they must be doing at least something right. This doesn't ignore his negatives like every other all-time great but he has his positives also. Again, I am not a Kobe/Lakers fan. Take this comment as you will.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#103 » by lukekarts » Mon Jul 28, 2014 10:35 am

Basketballefan wrote:I'm quite surprised to see no one mention Dirk yet.

Not that i would make a case for him at this spot, but i thought a majority of realgm posters considered him better than Malone so it's surprising to see Malone mentioned before him.


I'm someone surprised by this, KG going in at #11 is really surprising, I don't have him rated nearly as highly, but I felt over the past 6 months or so on RealGM, Dirk was typically coming out more favourable than KG in comparions.

I've got Dirk next on my list but it'd be unfair for me to vote, at this point I feel my voting needs to be more strategic :(
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#104 » by lukekarts » Mon Jul 28, 2014 10:41 am

Baller2014 wrote:
90sAllDecade wrote: Kobe succeeded at roughly the same amount with or without Shaq from what I've seen (I could be wrong)

If by succeeded you mean "he posted big numbers" then maybe that's true. If by succeeded you mean "he won as much" that's certainly untrue. From 99-04 Kobe's win-loss record without Shaq was 23-26 (a 38 win pace). Over the same period Shaq's win-loss record in games Kobe missed was 30-10 (a 61 win pace). It's a pretty glaring difference. Part of me is still torn to vote for Dr J, but I'm going to stick with Karl Malone for now. This false narrative that he benefitted unduly from a system is weird. Kobe played every one of his prime years bar 1 for the same HoF coach, so clearly he should have benefitted too. When Stockton's role fell off drastically in 1998 Karl Malone was still Karl Malone (some stats were posted earlier, and he basically looks the same. A few points less, 1 rebound more, etc). The supposedly "worse" Karl Malone still looks better than Kobe, especially considering who Kobe matched up with in some of these series.

But the clincher is this; Kobe still has his host of negatives, and Karl Malone doesn't. Not one Kobe poster has addressed his negatives. Not one. How can we not take points off for a guy who sabotages his own team time and again for personal glory, probably costing them multiple titles in the process. That's not my opinion, it's Phil Jackson's, and I provided extensive documentation for it on page 1.

As I see it Karl is comparable on O, vastly better on D, way more longevity, comparable or better accolades, no negatives to hurt his case. Some people suggested Kobe peaked higher. Is that even true though? Karl Malone at his peak was a 31-11-3 player with a FG% of 56.2%, who could play monstrous D. Was Kobe really having more holistic impact than that? I doubt it.


Addressing Kobe's negatives? I think his career does that. Sure he's had some great team-mates, one of whom (Shaq) was clearly better than him, but he won titles without Shaq. He has the whole league respecting his attitude (insofar as to working hard to make himself a better player) and his ability as a player.

He has some negatives, as does everyone at this point, but he won titles as the best player or 2nd best player on his team, he won accolades accordingly, he rarely had a playoff drop off to the extent Malone did.

And I'm really not a Kobe fan.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#105 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 11:01 am

It's cool to have a different opinion and discuss it, but I don't think "his career speaks to that" is really a response to some of the concerns I raised. Kobe won 5 titles because he was very fortunate in his circumstances, not just because he was talented. He actually cost the team multiple titles with his issues too. If you look at everything good you cited about Kobe (except titles) you'll notice they all apply at least as much to Karl Malone. I see no reason to prefer Kobe, in spite of Karl Malone's clear advantages across the board, just because Kobe was luckier in his circumstances.

Also, I notice you and Shaqattack aren't actually on the voting panel this round, but if you keep participating I'm sure Pen will add you soon.

If anyone wants a vote update, it's:

K.Malone- 3 (Baller, T-Rex, Realbig3)
Oscar- 2 (Hbreak, Quo)
Kobe- 2 (Jbulls, BBallfan)
West- 1 (Rayban)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#106 » by lorak » Mon Jul 28, 2014 11:42 am

Baller2014 wrote:
Also, I notice you and Shaqattack aren't actually on the voting panel this round,


Probably unintentional omission by penbeast, because ShaqAttack requested to join 8 days ago and is participating since thread #9, so he definitely should be allowed to vote by now, especially considering how good and active poster he is on PC board.

----
Question to people, who voted for Malone - why he over Stockton?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#107 » by The Infamous1 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:00 pm

Prime Karl Malone 94-98 PS only
27.2 PPG/11.6 RPG/3.5 52%TS 108 Ortg

Prime Kobe 06-10 PS only
29.8 PPG/5.7 RPG/5.4 APG 57%TS 112 Ortg
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#108 » by penbeast0 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:09 pm

therealbig3 wrote:Well, Columbus actually was stupid, tbh.


Go to off topic thread . . . .
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#109 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:44 pm

lorak wrote:
Baller2014 wrote:
Also, I notice you and Shaqattack aren't actually on the voting panel this round,


Probably unintentional omission by penbeast, because ShaqAttack requested to join 8 days ago and is participating since thread #9, so he definitely should be allowed to vote by now, especially considering how good and active poster he is on PC board.

----
Question to people, who voted for Malone - why he over Stockton?


Well, the list is the list. I've seen some good posts from him, but I've seen some good posts from others too, like Royoga and FJS (who already refrained from voting Malone last thread until he was added to the panel). I think for appearances sake nobody should be added after the thread begins.

As for Stockton, I linked to a thread about my views on Stockton earlier in this thread. Basically Karl Malone was the engine that ran the Jazz teams, and Stockton was his sidekick. It was the difference between an MVP candidate and an all-nba teamer. Both are good, but one you can build your team around, and one you can't.

The Infamous1 wrote:Prime Karl Malone 94-98 PS only
27.2 PPG/11.6 RPG/3.5 52%TS 108 Ortg

Prime Kobe 06-10 PS only
29.8 PPG/5.7 RPG/5.4 APG 57%TS 112 Ortg

Very misleading. Why are we only looking at those years? It's news to me that 06-10 now represents Kobe's peak. Is Karl Malone age 31-35 his peak now? Why are we looking at only these stats and years?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#110 » by Quotatious » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:49 pm

Baller2014 wrote:Both are good, but one you can build your team around, and one you can't.

Could you explain what you mean by that a little more? Because I see no reason why you couldn't build a better team around Stockton than for example around Kidd (led his team to the finals twice as the man - granted, in a very weak conference, but still) or Payton, and a bit worse than around Nash.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#111 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:55 pm

Rather than derail this thread, you can read more of my views on Stockton here:
viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1323918
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#112 » by Warspite » Mon Jul 28, 2014 12:56 pm

Vote DrJ

regular season 8.5rpg 4.2apg 2.0spg 1.7bpg 24.2ppg
Post season 8.5rpg 4.4apg 1.7spg 1.7bpg 24.2ppg

MVP 74,75,76,81 Titles 74,76,83

12 straight yrs of being 1st or 2nd team (3 times) all league.

74 Finals
game 1: 47pts 10 rebs being guarded by Willie Wise. However Wise was unable to score and working too hard on defense so he was switched to SG in the 2nd half. At the end of the 3rd Utahs Jimmy Jones was 9-11 25pts. Coach switched DrJ to him and he was held scoreless the rest of the game.

game2: 32pts 9rbs 4asts in a 24pt blowout

game 3: Scored the last 4pts in an OT win on the road.

1976:
Game1: Hits 20ft baseline jumper with no time remaining for the win. 45pts 12rebs

Game2: Scores a record 25pts in 4th qter to bring the Nets back but fall short 48pts 14rbs 8asts

Game3: DrJ blocks Jones go ahead shot and then breaks up a 3on1 break with a block to end the Nuggets game. 31pts 10rebs

Game4: DrJs worst game of the series 34pts 16rbs 6asts on 50% shooting

Game5: 37pts 15 rebs 5asts

Game 6: After being down 22pts in 3rd Nets go to press defense. DrJ with 5 steals in the 4th qter they come back from behind and win the series. DrJ doesnt score in the 4th qter but still has 31pts 19rebs.

74-83 9 seasons he wins 3 titles reaches Finals 6 times is the MVP 4 times.

Of course no DrJ post would be complete without mentioning the GOAT basketball move
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#113 » by Reservoirdawgs » Mon Jul 28, 2014 1:07 pm

I'm a little sad that Dirk isn't getting more consideration for #12. This is copy/pasted from a post I made about who you would rather have as a franchise player - Dirk or Kobe.

Spoiler:
To compare the two players, I am going to take them from ages 20-34 in the regular season and ages 20-33 in the post season (since Kobe missed the 2013 postseason and the 2014 season due to injury):

Dirk Nowitzki Regular Season Ages 20-34 (1,108 games, 39,975 minutes)
PER: 22.8
TS%: 57.6 (16.6 FGA/Game)
eFG%: 50.8
TRB%: 12.7
AST%: 12.9
TOV%: 9.2
USG%: 26.8
ORtg: 115.3

Kobe Bryant Regular Season Ages 20-34 (1,089 games, 42,231 minutes):
PER: 23.7
TS%: 55.5 (21.1 FGA/Game)
eFG%: 48.7
TRB%: 8.2
TOV%: 11.6
USG%: 31.9
ORtg: 111.3

Using Doctor MJ's RAPM Chronology Spreadsheet that can be found on this website: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc ... qaFE#gid=3 we can look at their normalized RAPM and look at their top 5 seasons from 2000-2012 (minus 2001 because data is still incomplete for that year). We can see that Dirk's top 2 seasons are much better than Kobe's top 2 seasons, and Dirk's third best season is just SLIGHTLY below Kobe's best season. The five-year sum of their best RAPM is:

Dirk: 45.63
Kobe: 37.6

That's not an insignificant amount. The big thing that brings Kobe down is his poor defense. The sum of his five best years as a defender is 3.14. The sum of Dirk's five best years as a defender is 14.57. Now, if we were to take their ORAPM (which is what you would want Kobe for) then Kobe comes out better...the sum of his best five years is 36.97 while the sum of Dirk's best five years is 34.91. Of course, if we were to add up the numbers from 2000-2012 (minus 2001 since the data is incomplete for that year) then Dirk comes out on top 65.76 to Kobe's 62.96 strictly for ORAPM. If you wanted to say that at his absolute peak that Kobe was a better offensive threat then I would still probably disagree but there is at least some evidence to back that up (although the same evidence would show that Dirk is the better offensive player).

Now, since many consider 2001 to be the start of Kobe's prime and you believe that he is being underrepresented by not having the RAPM for 2001 then I think it's fair to suggest that he would make some ground up on Dirk, although Dirk would still have a sizeable lead over the years.

In the postseason, here are their respective stats. I took their numbers from the 2001 season (since that was the first season that Dirk made the postseason and both are the same age at 22) and then went through their next eleven postseasons.

Kobe (11 postseasons starting from 2001, 170 games, 7,116 minutes):
PER: 23.1
TS%: 54.7
eFG%: .487
TRB%: 7.4
AST%: 23.4
TOV%: 11.3
USG%: 32.2
ORtg: 110.1

Dirk (11 postseasons starting from 2001, 124 games, 5127 minutes):
PER: 24.9
TS%: 58.1
eFG%: .491
TRB%: 14.3
AST%: 12.0
TOV%: 8.9
USG%: 26.6
ORtg: 119.4

That is an absolutely massive difference between TS% and ORtg. Now, in this very thread people have mentioned how Kobe has played against better defenses than Dirk. I think that's fair to bring up, and I would recommend going back to those posts (should be in the first five pages) so you can get some context for the games themselves.


I was going to include West and Oscar in this, but unfortunately due to the era that they played the amount of advanced stats are lacking and I didn't feel I would be able to adequately compare them. Smarter people can focus on why those people deserve to be voted over Dirk and Kobe. However, I feel that Dirk should be much more competitive in this spot then it appears he is.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#114 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 1:19 pm

Dirk is coming up soon for me too. Looking forward to hearing more about him.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#115 » by FJS » Mon Jul 28, 2014 1:49 pm

I was leaning towards to vote Kobe, but some posters there gave excellent analisys for why I should vote to Karl Malone.
Incredible longetivity and peak (In fact some of his non peak years are better than most of peak years of other players). He never missed a game, he worked hard in his flaws, and he never played with a 2nd offensive star when the team reached his maturity (92-98).
Kareem played with Magic, Magic with Kareem. Bird with McHale, Lebron with Wade/Bosh. MJ with Pippen. Dr J with Moses, Russell with a lot of scorers. Wilt with West and Baylor... Duncan with Gino, Paker or Robinson in 99.
Only Olajuwon and Dirk did it without a great second scorer and they had the luck to not play finals vs Jordan.

Of course Stockton was one of the best pg ever, but he was not a scorer. He was efficient and had good %, but we don't know if it's Sloan fault or Stockton's fault to not try to score more. He was the perfect teammate for the Mailman, but im 97 and 98 he was alone in offense. And this hurt his efficiency. He played with some terrible teammates like Ostertag, Keefe, Foster... Carr in the downhill of his carreer... another mediocre ones like Russell, Anderson or Eisley...

Still managed to make 5 WCF as the alpha man and 2 Finals, beating teams where playing Duncan, Robinson, Rodman, (spurs in different years), Shaq, Kobe, Jones, Nick Van Exel (2 times), Olajuwon, Barkley, Drelexr Rockets (2 times)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#116 » by lukekarts » Mon Jul 28, 2014 2:08 pm

Baller2014 wrote:It's cool to have a different opinion and discuss it, but I don't think "his career speaks to that" is really a response to some of the concerns I raised. Kobe won 5 titles because he was very fortunate in his circumstances, not just because he was talented. He actually cost the team multiple titles with his issues too. If you look at everything good you cited about Kobe (except titles) you'll notice they all apply at least as much to Karl Malone. I see no reason to prefer Kobe, in spite of Karl Malone's clear advantages across the board, just because Kobe was luckier in his circumstances.

Also, I notice you and Shaqattack aren't actually on the voting panel this round, but if you keep participating I'm sure Pen will add you soon.

If anyone wants a vote update, it's:

K.Malone- 3 (Baller, T-Rex, Realbig3)
Oscar- 2 (Hbreak, Quo)
Kobe- 2 (Jbulls, BBallfan)
West- 1 (Rayban)


I participated in the last 100 and penbeast said I was included in voting from round 10... maybe not?

In any case, I'll elaborate further:

Malone's first 14 seasons:

RS - 26 & 11 on 53-27-73 with 58 TS% and 53 eFG% (2x MVP, 12 consecutive All-NBA, 4x All-D team, 11x All-Star)
PS - 27 & 11 on 47-10-74 with 53 TS% and 47 eFG% (2 Finals Appearances, No Rings)

Malone's career:

RS - 25.0 PPG (57.7 TS%), 10.1 Rebounds, 37.2 minutes, 23.9 PER
PS - 24.7 PPG (52.6% TS%), 10.7 Rebounds, 41.0 minutes, 21.1 PER

What we see with Malone supports the majority of observations about his failings. He could not sustain his RS performances - in fact, he scored less, less efficiently, in more minutes.

Malone's 'choke' has been brought up a few times, but I'll explore it again. 89 Playoffs versus the Warriors - by face value Malone had his best series yet his team lost to a much lower seeded team - why? I think in part, because he couldn't step his game up. In 1992-93, his drop in production from the RS to the Seattle series is the key factor why they lost.

Chicago Series for Malone - http://www.virtualsportsnetwork.com/for ... oke-Artist (it's not the most analytical analysis and I don't have the footage readily available to provide that now, but I did look into it and agreed in time for this topic in 2011 - viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1200391). Later in his career I also distinctly remember his 8 point game versus the Blazers which saw the Jazz lose the series. 3/16 from the field is a full on choke in an elimination game.

The evidence against Malone for this spot outweights the evidence for him. I find it very hard to say much more here. In my mind, his perceived best ability (scoring) was not actually that good. He did have some all round qualities, was a good rebounder and defender, but none of his secondary qualities were notable enough to warrant his inclusion here. He was not a good enough post-season scorer especially. When a team heads into the post-season built around a very good player like Malone, expecting he can continue to score at his volume as efficiently, but he fails, a lot of that failure is on him. Or, we revise our outlook and say Malone doesn't warrant being that #1 guy - either way, I don't think he shows value over a guy like Dirk here.

Kobe's career, by contrast

RS - 25.5 PPG (55.5% TS%), 5.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists; 36.6 minutes
PS - 25.6 PPG (54.1% TS%), 5.1 rebounds, 4.7 assists; 39.3 minutes*

*missed 04/05 peak, and 13 onwards.

Kobe sees a smaller efficiency drop off, and he's still above average efficiently. More notably, there's not the substantial list of failures, in my opinion, that warrant putting him behind Malone.

We could debate the narrative of each one's careers in more detail, of course, and it will get pretty subjective. I think most have been discussed already though.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#117 » by Senior » Mon Jul 28, 2014 2:08 pm

I don't think Malone's defensive impact at his peak was "monstrous". He was a good low post defender because of his strength and his ability to swipe at the ball to force turnovers, but he's not Hakeem or Mutombo out there. Malone was good, not great. Definitely not outweighing Kobe by some significant margin.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#118 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Jul 28, 2014 2:20 pm

Colts18 was posting a bunch of before/after Nash stuff and I guess as an oversight forgot Dirk, so let me add this to help his data out and to show something about Dirk:


Dirk in 04(with one of the GOAT offensive PGs Steve Nash)

22/9/3 46/34/88 TS 56% otrg 116


Dirk in 05(with rookie Devin Harris and JET playing out of position)

26/10/3 46/40/87 TS 58 otrg 118




Dirk is a big who is not at all dependent on a great PG to get him good looks. And this became huge for the Mavericks as they were able to rebuild the offense around Dirk and surround him with good defenders and still have really good offenses, but now the team was much better constructed for the playoffs.

Now I like to make sure and not ignore context. Other things changed in Dallas besides Nash leaving and despite Nash supporters pointing out the 04 Mavs were the GOAT offensive team let me assure you that was not a good year in Dallas. Was the offense great in the RS? Of course it was: Nash, Dirk, Finley, Jamison, even guys like Marquis Daniels, Nellie coaching--you are going to have some terrific offensive numbers. But why were they dumped quickly in the playoffs? It wasn't the terrible defense, but the offense that failed them.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#119 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Jul 28, 2014 2:22 pm

Senior wrote:I don't think Malone's defensive impact at his peak was "monstrous". He was a good low post defender because of his strength and his ability to swipe at the ball to force turnovers, but he's not Hakeem or Mutombo out there. Malone was good, not great. Definitely not outweighing Kobe by some significant margin.



There's a big enough gap between Deke and Kobe for Malone to be having a significantly greater impact on defense than Kobe and I think its pretty clear he was. Both guys good man defenders, but Malone defended much more consistently. Plus his defensive rebounding is a big edge, plus the intimidation factor is a big edge. Believe me guys taking it to the basket and getting hammered by Malone think twice about doing it again. Think the bad boys in Detroit.

I think a clear edge defensively has to go to Malone.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #12 

Post#120 » by Baller2014 » Mon Jul 28, 2014 2:49 pm

lukekarts wrote:I participated in the last 100 and penbeast said I was included in voting from round 10... maybe not?

Well, Pen had you listed as off the list when this thread began, so I think the assumption is you're not voting yet, and that's what I've assumed in my count. Shaqattack, who is in the same position, was deliberately left off the count for last thread by Pen (despite having requested to join several threads earlier). And Pen's post to you on this (here, viewtopic.php?p=40689225#p40689225) says that he adds posters like you "every two or three threads". It seems you haven't been added yet. I don't think it will alter this vote, because from what I've seen FJS and Royoga (also on the wait list) have pretty opposite views to you and Shaqattack (and anyway, Oscar looks like the favourite to me). I'm still keen to hear what you have to say and respond to it either way.

Kobe's career, by contrast

RS - 25.5 PPG (55.5% TS%), 5.3 rebounds, 4.8 assists; 36.6 minutes
PS - 25.6 PPG (54.1% TS%), 5.1 rebounds, 4.7 assists; 39.3 minutes*

*missed 04/05 peak, and 13 onwards.

Kobe sees a smaller efficiency drop off, and he's still above average efficiently. More notably, there's not the substantial list of failures, in my opinion, that warrant putting him behind Malone.

1) I don't like the use of career stats in this way tbh, it lacks context. D doesn't show up with these stats either.
2) Don't you think Kobe's efficiency was helped by often being on better teams (or being the 2nd banana on offense, when the other team was swarming Shaq)?
3) Kobe has a pretty large list of failures too, not just 03, 04, 05-07 and 11, but also the titles he could have won them if he hadn't sabotaged his team, and the titles they won in spite of his antics (largely thanks to Shaq being so awesome it didn't matter). Again, I cover this extensively on page 1, it's all quite well documented.

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