Vote: David RobinsonI think Robinson is the best remaining player, and I'd take him over anyone else who's still around if I'm trying to build a championship team. He's the only elite two way big left, capable of anchoring both his team's offense and its defense. He's probably a top 5 defensive player of all time and one of the game's best offensive bigs ever as well. He never had much help until Duncan came along, at which point he collected two titles in 6 years despite never playing with a great wing. His numbers suggest he's one of the very best in the history of the game, and here's a breakdown:
Elite Box Score numbersRobinson was absolutely dominant in the box score. In his first NBA game, he had 23 pts, 17 reb, and 3 blk, and he went on to capture the following box score "accolades":
Regular Season#3 all time in career estimated impact (after LeBron and Jordan)
#2 all time in career ws/48 (after Jordan)
#4 all time in career PER (after Jordan, LeBron, and Shaq)
#7 all time in career ASPM (after LeBron, Jordan, Barkley, Bird, Magic,and Paul)
Playoffs#10 all time in career estimated impact (after Jordan, LeBron, Hakeem, Magic, Duncan, Shaq, Durant, Bird, and Wilt)
#7 all time in career ws/48 (after Jordan, Mikan, LeBron, Magic, West, and Wilt)
#15 all time in career PER
His playoff failures are clearly overstated - though he wasn't the incredible force he is in the regular season, he was still an elite playoff performer, and probably better than anyone else still on the board. It's also worth noting that the small playoff sample size make the drop less significant than you might think.
Elite On/Off numbersThough we don't have RAPM for Robinson's prime, he was comparatively dominant in his later years. In fact, he has the second best average "30s" npi rapm (ie average of every year played at ages 30-39). Here's the top 5:
1. Stockton, +4.3
2. Robinson, +3.8
3. Garnett, +3.8
4. Ginobili, +3.5
5. Dirk, +3.5
(Shaq, Duncan, and Nash come next)
Additionally, Robinson missed significant time in 2 separate seasons in his prime, 1992 and 1997, so we can look at the effect his absence had on his teams in those years.
In 1992, Robinson missed the final 14 games of the season. With him the Spurs had a +4.5 adjusted net rating (for comparison, the 2014 Heat were a +4.7). Without him, the Spurs plummeted to -5.1 (the 2014 Lakers were -5.2). That's a (huge!) swing of 9.6, and according to ElGee's WOWY charts, the Spurs were on pace to win 24 fewer games without him.
In 1997, Robinson played only 7 games. In those 7 games,the Spurs were a -0.8. In the 75 games without him, they were -8.4, a swing of 7.8. Robinson's absence in 1997 also helps explain how the Spurs went from a 59 win team in 1996 to a 20 win team in 1997.
It's also worth mentioning that in 1989, the year before Robinson's arrival, the Spurs won only 21 games, then won 56 in his rookie year.
This all suggests that Robinson can lift a bottom feeder to contender level. It's a shame we never got to see what he could do with a great wing.
Concluding PointsDavid Robinson gets beat down all the time for "failing" in the playoffs and getting embarrassed in his matchup with Hakeem. But the truth is he was an absolute force. He was capable of protecting the rim as good as anyone ever, his superb quickness allowed him guard the pick and roll at a very high level and be all over the floor on defense. His offense was terrific as well - he averaged over 25 four times, and in 1994 he averaged 29.8 pts and 4.8 ast. He got to the line at a rate higher than all but four players in NBA history.
Similar to Garnett, he gets knocked quite a bit for not winning in his prime, but no one would have won a title with his teammates, and he still managed to lead his team to at least 49 wins every healthy year he had before Duncan. And when he finally got a great teammate - even though the guy played the same position as him - it only took a year before he won a championship. His years with Duncan have always been very underrated, and I looked at them a bit last thread:
I know he's not the most popular, but if I'm trying to build a championship team there's no way I pass up on David Robinson in favor of anyone who's left.