Best midrange jumper since 2000?

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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#21 » by Joseph17 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 2:39 pm

Quotatious wrote:
Def Leppard wrote:As of late, ill throw one in here, David west.... Dude seems like he never misses but I'm not sure / doubt stats back this up.

Yeah, he's great, and stats DO back it up. He had seasons with about 45% from the midrange area, on a pretty decent volume.
Joseph17 wrote:Dirk and Brand would be at the top of my list. Not sure about everyone else though.

2006 and 2007 Brand was deadly from midrange, that's true, still good in 2005, but that's about it. His percentages before 2005 aren't that great, in fact he often struggled to reach 40% before '05.

Dirk and KG are the most consistently great midrange shooters among bigs (in fact, Dirk may be the GOAT midrange shooter, at any position).

Chris Bosh is an excellent midrange shooting big, as well.

I thought the OP was talking about peaks. If he wants to include longevity in the equation Dirk is the obvious answer and I don't think anyone else comes close to him. Even KG's accuracy from mid-range is much worse than it was at his peak.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#22 » by Swagalicious » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:08 pm

Dirk is easily the GOAT mid-range shooter of all bigs, but I have a hard time calling him the GOAT at it outright. MJ and Kobe HAVE to be considered here, because of factors such as shot selection, shot creation and shot making ability.

Yes of course Dirk takes and makes a lot of ridiculous shots, and in his earlier years he even used to shoot off the dribble quite a bit. And going by the stats, he probably IS the greatest at it (no data pre late-90s unfortunately). But if you were a coach and you had to evaluate the options and offensive dynamics your team is presented with by the mid-range shooting ability of any given player, it becomes a tougher debate than just showing stats and saying "not close".

I
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#23 » by picc » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:47 pm

Quotatious wrote:How about Nash? He didn't take as many shots as Dirk or Kobe, but his percentages were on Dirk's level. For that reason, I think he deserves to be mentioned.


Nash was taking two shots per game from 10-15 feet, and making one of them.

I guess, technically... the % is impressive? 5 shots per game if you total 10-23 ft, and converting 3 of them.

Meanwhile Dirk and Kobe were taking 7 attempts just from 16-23.

There may be two different interpretations of the right answers to this, depending on if you're going with "most efficient" or "most skilled", which are two different things.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#24 » by picc » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:56 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:If Basketball-reference's shooting numbers are correct, I'm actually kind of surprised that KG's % is as close to Dirk's as they are (from 10 to 16 feet, and from 16 to 23) Didn't think KG would be as far ahead of Kobe as he is.


It makes more sense when you consider KG is assisted on a substantially higher % of his jumpers than either of them, especially Bryant, to go with his lower volume.

Saying that, KG is one of the best big jumpshooters i've ever seen in terms of skill. Aside from Dirk, the only one I can think of off-hand with the same talent was Karl Malone.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#25 » by Imon » Wed Aug 27, 2014 4:03 pm

Swagalicious wrote:Dirk is easily the GOAT mid-range shooter of all bigs, but I have a hard time calling him the GOAT at it outright. MJ and Kobe HAVE to be considered here, because of factors such as shot selection, shot creation and shot making ability.

Yes of course Dirk takes and makes a lot of ridiculous shots, and in his earlier years he even used to shoot off the dribble quite a bit. And going by the stats, he probably IS the greatest at it (no data pre late-90s unfortunately). But if you were a coach and you had to evaluate the options and offensive dynamics your team is presented with by the mid-range shooting ability of any given player, it becomes a tougher debate than just showing stats and saying "not close".

I


Discounting Dirk as a shooter because a higher percentage of his shots are assisted is stupid.

It's like when I hear people saying Dirk's fadeaway is not as impressive as a guard's fadeaway because he's tall and it's easier for him to shoot over people.
Really? If there's such an advantage for a 7-footer to shoot fadeaways then why don't more 7-footers do it? Because it's hard as hell. I mean, even Nick Young has a fadeaway shot and he's a run-of-the-mill shooting guard.

Dirk's job on the Mavs has never been to be the ball-handler. Of course a higher percentage of his shots are going to be assisted. Are we to discount Duncan's shooting percentages because the percentage of his shots that have been assisted throughout his career (53%) is similar to Dirk's (54%)?
While were on this topic how about KG? Other people have already brought him up in this thread. His career assisted percentage is 67% - which is significantly higher than Dirk or Duncan - does this knock him down?
And on the other side - Nash's career assisted percentage is 14% - MUCH lower than Kobe's 35% (while having better shooting percentages all-around). Nash of course doesn't get the same defensive attention but his shooting percentages are great nonetheless. I guess Nash is the GOAT mid-range shooter then just look at his minuscule assisted percentage.

The team would suffer offensively if Dirk (or just any other PF/C) were the primary ball handler - it messes up the spacing on the floor and leaves a bunch of teammates just standing around and watching him.

Bringing up something like assisted shot percentage when one guy, Kobe, is a guard and another guy, Dirk, is a PF is just reaching.
Guard play involves lots of ball handling. Like I said, you're reaching on this one.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#26 » by NO-KG-AI » Wed Aug 27, 2014 4:52 pm

Lots of reaching. Guys like Chris Paul and Steve Nash have higher percentages than Kobe on much lower assisted %'s. Being assisted doesn't necessarily make it a better shot, nor does it mean that your % will automatically rise with assisted baskets, some guys aren't as proficient catching and shooting quickly, and are more comfortable using their own bread and butter moves to set up a shot.

Kobe has lower percentages than guys with both significantly higher assisted % and significantly lower %. There isnt' a case for him here. He's an excellent shot creator, but he's absolutely not one of the greatest mid range guys of all time, and he isn't even that special in his own era. Even LeBron has two seasons in Miami where he shot better from 16-23, and no one would make an argument for him here. You have to jump through a lot of hoops to make the argument for Kobe being the best, all he has in his favor is that he takes a lot of them. Neither his assisted % or his shooting percentages are anything special.

Unfair to hold it against guys like this, even though they get assisted buckets, these are all guys that are rarely, if ever, left wide open to take shots. Guys like DIrk and KG are naturally going to have higher assisted percentages, because they can shoot over anyone effortlessly, so they don't need to take extra dribbles or waste time after the catch, no matter what the coverage looks like.

Even before I checked any numbers, I would have said it was clearly Dirk for me. I don't care about prettiness or who looks the coolest, or giving more props to a guy for being shorter in some sort of "pound for pound' argument. Dirk is clearly the most effective player from that range, and I think the numbers back it up pretty soundly.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#27 » by tsherkin » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:02 pm

I can't see this being anyone but Nash or Dirk, personally. I lean towards Dirk; his volume and efficiency together from 10-23 feet are just utterly absurd.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#28 » by picc » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:56 pm

Bryant's percentages from 10-16 have been right up there with Dirk's. Since 06 he's averaged 46% from that area. Dirk at 47%. Not much difference between the unanimous GOAT and him from what I originally believed was the actual mid range (?).

But it seems strange to mention point guards (even those with a lower assisted FG%), without considering that not only does the volume difference mean they aren't really taking more unassisted FG's, but that their style of play is vastly different. CP3 and Nash are mainly shooting off screens with the defense shading to play the pass. Of course, both are strong midrange shooters - CP3 vastly underrated as a shooter IMO - but Kobe, and Dirk (as per their roles), are much more consistently shooting against teams defending for the shot attempt. Totally different circumstances surrounding the majority of their FGA, with much higher degree of difficulty on average, on top of significantly higher volume. All of which are related in accordance to how the D gameplans against them vs playmaking point guards.

Again, if pure efficiency is the only criteria here, I get it. But with any nod to volume and difficulty at all, Nash, and most point guards in general, don't play the kind of game that should warrant consideration in a topic like this. When you're taking 5 jumpshots a contest, with the ball in your hands the whole time, your threat to punish the defense through that specific area is fairly limited in comparison. Nash was scoring 6ppg from the midrange...that's all it takes?

Also don't understand minimizing the stress burden taken off a FGA when its simply caught and shot with set feet. It doesn't mean your efficiency will rise in 100% of cases, no. But there is definitely a correlation. You don't have to look further than KG himself to see that. In 6 years pre-Boston, his FG% from 16-23 averaged .44. Since 08, its risen to .47 from a roughly 15-20% increase in assisted attempts. Chris Bosh, another jumpshooting big, shot .44 from 16-23 in Toronto from '08-'10. Since joining Miami he's gone up to .47 from that zone with a roughly 15% increase in assisted attempts.

It helps. Particularly with bigs who don't have the perimeter mobility, ballhandling skills and passing threat that guards utilize to create space further from the basket.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#29 » by tsherkin » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:04 pm

picc wrote:Bryant's percentages from 10-16 have been right up there with Dirk's. Since 06 he's averaged 46% from that area. Dirk at 47%. Not much difference between the unanimous GOAT and him from what I originally believed was the actual mid range (?).


It's a fuzzy and ill-defined concept, but most of us generally include the 16-23' range as part of the mid-range.

CP3 and Nash are mainly shooting off screens with the defense shading to play the pass. Of course, both are strong midrange shooters - CP3 vastly underrated as a shooter IMO - but Kobe, and Dirk (as per their roles), are much more consistently shooting against teams defending for the shot attempt.


This is an inaccurate representation of Steve Nash's shooting ability; he uses that shot against set defenses as well as in transition, as WELL as around screens. Watching him play, you can see him pull the shot well enough from everywhere, and even his finishing ability closer to the basket is a testament to his touch on his shooting attempts. Meantime, precisely BECAUSE of his shooting ability, teams play up on him plenty, and you can see this in his seasons without Amare as the roll threat, too. He's got pop shooters or Amare, so he's going to get that look, but precisely because HE is such a nasty shooter, the D is facing a lose-lose proposition, so lots of them still charge him and play up on the shooter. Letting him get into the lane is a worse proposition because of his in-traffic passing acumen.

The volume argument is a decent one, of course,

In 6 years pre-Boston, his FG% from 16-23 averaged .44. Since 08, its risen to .47 from a roughly 15-20% increase in assisted attempts.


Right, the increase in assisted attempts and a scattered few less bail-out attempts have definitely helped him.

It helps.


Yes, you've proved a correlation between a higher assisted percentage and a higher FG%. You still have to extend that argument to account for the much LOWER AST% that Nash has compared to those bigs, however, before that comment becomes super strong, though.

Not that I'm arguing per se for Nash, I actually ultimately went with Dirk, but for the sake of a stronger argument, yes?

Particularly with bigs who don't have the perimeter mobility, ballhandling skills and passing threat that guards utilize to create space further from the basket, they benefit from the assist even more for that reason.


Right, but is that a point in their favor? If all they're doing is stand-still catch and shoot, how is that any different than a PG benefiting from space created by a screen? More particularly, shouldn't you partially credit the player involved on the other half of the PnP that created that jumper for the big in the first place with some of that efficiency by acknowledging what that higher AST% really entails?
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#30 » by RebelWithACause » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:05 pm

picc wrote:1. Dirk
2. KB
3. KD


KD has no business being on this list. None

Cassell, Glenn the Big Dog Robinson and Allan Houston are much better.

And many others as well.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#31 » by Jonny Blaze » Wed Aug 27, 2014 9:23 pm

Dirk by a pretty large margin.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#32 » by ronnymac2 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 9:29 pm

DIdn't Dirk shoot an insane percentage from mid-range in 2011? Like 52% or something?

I'd say Dirk was the best.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#33 » by RebelWithACause » Wed Aug 27, 2014 9:53 pm

ronnymac2 wrote:DIdn't Dirk shoot an insane percentage from mid-range in 2011? Like 52% or something?

I'd say Dirk was the best.


Yes, almost 52 % in 11 and 50 % in 07. So he was north of 50 % 2 times
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#34 » by Texas Chuck » Wed Aug 27, 2014 10:07 pm

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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#35 » by picc » Wed Aug 27, 2014 10:42 pm

tsherkin wrote:It's a fuzzy and ill-defined concept, but most of us generally include the 16-23' range as part of the mid-range.


That’s cool.

This is an inaccurate representation of Steve Nash's shooting ability; he uses that shot against set defenses as well as in transition, as WELL as around screens. Watching him play, you can see him pull the shot well enough from everywhere, and even his finishing ability closer to the basket is a testament to his touch on his shooting attempts. Meantime, precisely BECAUSE of his shooting ability, teams play up on him plenty, and you can see this in his seasons without Amare as the roll threat, too. He's got pop shooters or Amare, so he's going to get that look, but precisely because HE is such a nasty shooter, the D is facing a lose-lose proposition, so lots of them still charge him and play up on the shooter. Letting him get into the lane is a worse proposition because of his in-traffic passing acumen.


First, my comments weren’t meant to imply he’s just left open to fire away. He’s rarely, if ever, open. Can shoot from everywhere. I’m a believer...believe me.

But I think we should be more careful about comparing attributes across positions without accounting for how positions and roles change your shooting dynamic. Point guards, scoring wings, and shooting bigs are not apples-to-apples-to-apples in many cases. This included.

Nash’s low assistedFG% and high FG% are a product of a few things. 1. Great shooting talent. 2. Low volume. 3. Role as a pass-first point guard. I understand your points above, and didn’t intend to give the impression teams just let Nash shoot at will, but there is clear difference between the amount of airspace he typically gets when shooting the ball and the amount of space more prototypical scorers get. Even guys who are objectively much worse shooters than he is. And much of it is directly attributable to his role as primary and secondary playmaker, as well as his propensity to use screens more often (in order to set up plays).

He takes significantly less shot attempts than they do, and the ones he does take are under less duress, on average, for the aforementioned reasons. Whether we like it or not, those factors will affect your FG% just as much as your relative skill level will. And while we’ve all seen Steve face a defender up, rock him to sleep, and shoot a J dead in his face, the number of times it actually does happen isn’t nearly enough to justify the same credit as players who have to do it every possession. For whatever reason.


Yes, you've proved a correlation between a higher assisted percentage and a higher FG%. You still have to extend that argument to account for the much LOWER AST% that Nash has compared to those bigs, however, before that comment becomes super strong, though.


Yes and no. I’m not contending that either of those bigs are better shooters than Steve Nash. He is far superior to Garnett, who is superior to Bosh, and I doubt they’d shoot better than him under any circumstance. I think that’s the contradiction you were getting at, but correct me if i’m wrong.

Right, but is that a point in their favor? If all they're doing is stand-still catch and shoot, how is that any different than a PG benefiting from space created by a screen? More particularly, shouldn't you partially credit the player involved on the other half of the PnP that created that jumper for the big in the first place with some of that efficiency by acknowledging what that higher AST% really entails?


Well, it isn't. Its actually more beneficial, and less indicative of dynamic shooting ability. Even if you’re shooting off a screen, you’re still shooting off the dribble – which is almost universally harder to do than simply catching and shooting.

I’m not quite following here. It sounds like you may be under the impression i’m arguing for these guys over Nash? On the contrary, my point was more to demonstrate why KG’s percentages weren’t quite as amazing as they seemed when previously brought up.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#36 » by picc » Wed Aug 27, 2014 10:46 pm

RebelWithACause wrote:
picc wrote:1. Dirk
2. KB
3. KD


KD has no business being on this list. None

Cassell, Glenn the Big Dog Robinson and Allan Houston are much better.

And many others as well.


Good calls. I'd have to look up each of them to do more thorough analysis.

KD is easily the most talented overall shooter of any of them, with only Houston having an argument. But i'm willing to convince myself those guys were better at midrange. I'll have to check on some things.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#37 » by tsherkin » Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:03 pm

picc wrote:
First, my comments weren’t meant to imply he’s just left open to fire away. He’s rarely, if ever, open. Can shoot from everywhere. I’m a believer...believe me.


No, no, I realize. You were saying that he wasn't necessarily always pulling a Kobe and attacking a single defender and then pulling a dribble-stop or something to create the jumper, which is a different sort of degree of difficulty than the shots we typically see from Nash, yes? I respect the comment, it's true that some of Kobe's lower FG% results from his shot selection, the fact that he's in motion more than just popping around a screen, that he has often taking 6-8 attempts per game from 16-20, etc, etc.

It IS very difficult to compare shooting ability across different positions/roles. Same deal with his 3pt shooting.

I don't think Kobe's as good a shooter as is Nash to begin with anyway, but it makes a direct comparison very difficult. It's also true that for Kobe, the shot is his goal. For Nash, he is baiting the defenders to open up a passing lane and burning them when they don't, which is an inherently different strategy with different results.



Yes and no. I’m not contending that either of those bigs are better shooters than Steve Nash. He is far superior to Garnett, who is superior to Bosh, and I doubt they’d shoot better than him under any circumstance. I think that’s the contradiction you were getting at, but correct me if i’m wrong.


Generally. Without being condescending, I was just trying to point out that you'd showed the one thing, but to connect it back to the role/position angle of discussion, we needed another step, that's all.


Well, it isn't. Its actually more beneficial, and less indicative of dynamic shooting ability. Even if you’re shooting off a screen, you’re still shooting off the dribble – which is almost universally harder to do than simply catching and shooting.


Well, no, not always. A lot of the time what actually happens for the pop big is that they peel off of the screen, catch and shoot without the ball ever touching the floor (unless it was a bounce pass). You can see TONS of that happening for Malone, Bosh, Garnett and Duncan. Boozer, Lee and Amare, as well.

I’m not quite following here. It sounds like you may be under the impression i’m arguing for these guys over Nash? On the contrary, my point was more to demonstrate why KG’s percentages weren’t quite as amazing as they seemed when previously brought up.


Nah, KG is a very good shooter from the mid-range. He isn't Dirk's level (and you can look at volume, degree of difficulty, basically any angle you want), but he's still a guy who was deadly. In his 6-year run as a 20/10/5 player, he took 18.1 FGA/g, shooting between 23 and 32 percent of his shots from 16-23 feet (don't have data for 2000, actually, just 01-05), and an additional 20-27% from 10-15 feet. From 01-05, he shot 46.8% from 10-16 and 44.3% from 16-23.

That's bloody marvelous no matter how you characterize it. So right there, you're looking at maybe 43-60% of his FGAs per game. He was BRUTAL from the elbows and the foul line, absolutely brutal in his effectiveness.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#38 » by PCProductions » Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:34 pm

Just looking up various distances throughout the years, Nash and Dirk were always near the top in the grey-area that is the "mid range". Garnett was up there mostly as well, though not on the level of those two.

Cassell was really strong earlier on as well apparently. Makes sense. Bryant seems a little overrated in this category, at least as far as efficiency is concerned, though he tends to force hard shots.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#39 » by H2tObes » Thu Aug 28, 2014 2:36 am

Feel like Aldridge deserves a mention.
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Re: Best midrange jumper since 2000? 

Post#40 » by Clyde Frazier » Thu Aug 28, 2014 2:48 am

Nice being able to look at Allan Houston's mid range #s on bball ref for a few years:

01 -- 10-16 ft 48.9%, 16-23 ft 48.9%
02 -- 10-16 ft 47.8, 16-23 ft 44.9%
03 -- 10-16 ft 49%, 16-23 ft 46.4%

Seeing him drop 50+ on almost all jumpers was a thing of beauty!

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