drewsprocket wrote:Scutt wrote:bwgood77 wrote:
Portland 2nd?
I'd have to bet something more like
1. OKC (missed westbrook for awhile last year and still nearly had best record)
2. SA
3. MEM
4. LAC
5. DAL
6. PHX
7. POR
8. GS
Houston barely misses, and New Orleans fairly close.
Both of you really think Houston isn't going to make the playoff's? I know they lost Chandler Parsons, but like them or not, Howard and Harden are some of the best at their positions. I do agree that the Pelicans are a wild card, and I think they might get that last spot with them pairing Asik with Davis. I see the Suns and Dallas as the ones on the outside looking in, I hope I am wrong, but the West is just so stacked. Dragic, Green, and Markieff should all be looking to up their games to get paid, but I am not sure how team chemistry will play out with so many guards and I am still not convinced we didn't highly overachieve to get those 48 wins last year. My guess is something like this:
1. OKC
2. SA
3. LAC
4. HOUS
5. MEM
6. POR
7. GS
8. NO or possibly DAL or PHX
I think you're right about Houston on second thought but I'm not sold on them going past 5th seed tops. I love harden but he's over rated. Portland I see making the biggest leap this year.
Not sure if this has been pointed out but the NBA is the most predictable US professional sport when it comes to regular season standings and a playoff berth.
The following represents the difference between the top 8 teams in the WC at the date of 12/25 and the aggregate difference between those teams and the teams that made the playoffs in each corresponding season (Team that missed playoffs, seed at 12/25, major reason that I can remember). The strike shortened 2011-2012 season is excluded.
12/25/13 v WC Playoff Standings
-1 (Suns, 6 seed, Bledsoe Injury)
12/25/12 v WC Playoff Standings
-1 (TWolves, 7 seed, Love Injury)
12/25/10 v WC Playoff Standings
-1 (Jazz, 4 seed)
12/25/09 v WC Playoff Standings
-1 (Rockets, 6 seed)
12/25/08 v WC Playoff Standings
-1 (Suns, 8 seed)
Odds are that if the Bledsoe injury does not happen we finish in the top 8 of the WC in 2013-2014 and make the playoffs. In that vein, as I believe the Suns are improved, the Suns will compete for a playoff seed with the second level of WC teams (GS, HOU, DAL, MEM, POR) next year. Should be fun.