2014 Predictions

dagger · Post #21 » by **dagger** » Tue Apr 1, 2014 5:53 pm

fivethirtyeight.com, the home of all things analytical in life, has its AL East forecast, and its more pessimistic than even n34 and Santoki

[tweet]https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/451052589447000065[/tweet]

Santoki · Post #22 » by **Santoki** » Tue Apr 1, 2014 6:02 pm

That looks about right, but I think the Rays have a bounceback year (for lack of a better word) and win the AL East.

baulderdash77 · Post #23 » by **baulderdash77** » Wed Apr 2, 2014 2:01 am

1. 55
2. 8
3. No
4. Cecil, Bautista
5. Yes
6. Bautista
7. Dickey
8. Yes
9. 2
10. Tampa, New York, Boston, Baltimore, Toronto.

My guess is the Jays win 76 games this season.

Lateral Quicks · Post #24 » by **Lateral Quicks** » Sat May 17, 2014 2:58 pm

So, it looks like most of us are screwed on the number of starts for McGowan/Hutch/Morrow. A lot will depend on whether Morrow comes back post all-star break (I doubt it).

Randle McMurphy · Post #25 » by **Randle McMurphy** » Sat May 17, 2014 4:39 pm

23 starts so far. I'll need Morrow to come back to reach 50. A few picked in the 40s, though, which could end up pretty close.

Relentless88 · Post #26 » by **Relentless88** » Sat May 17, 2014 4:43 pm

I thought I was being pessimistic by picking 60.

BigLeagueChew · Post #27 » by **BigLeagueChew** » Sun Sep 28, 2014 3:43 pm

Bump!

Santoki · Post #28 » by **Santoki** » Sun Sep 28, 2014 3:57 pm

Everyone had the O's in dead last and they won the division by double digits.

I think most of us had the Jays around .500, with a fair few picking them to be last which would have put them around 72 wins again.