Vegas Team Win lines (Recollection time!) 2014-15 Season

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Vegas Team Win lines (Recollection time!) 2014-15 Season 

Post#1 » by HartfordWhalers » Thu Oct 2, 2014 12:07 pm

Westgate SuperBook NBA Win Totals
Predicted NBA win totals for the 2014-15 NBA season, posted by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas on Tuesday.

Team Win Total
Cavaliers 58.5
Thunder 57.5
Spurs 56.5
Bulls 55.5
Clippers 55.5
Warriors 50.5
Mavericks 49.5
Raptors 49.5
Rockets 49.5
Wizards 49.5
Grizzlies 48.5
Trail Blazers 48.5
Hornets 45.5
Heat 43.5
Suns 42.5
Nets 41.5
Pelicans 41.5
Hawks 40.5
Knicks 40.5
Nuggets 40.5
Pistons 36.5
Pacers 32.5
Lakers 31.5
Kings 30.5
Magic 28.5
Celtics 26.5
Jazz 25.5
Timberwolves 25.5
Bucks 24.5
76ers 15.5

See -- http://espn.go.com/espn/chalk/story/_/id/11619674/las-vegas-westgate-superbook-sets-win-totals-nba-cleveland-cavaliers-league-best-585" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Here's the test.

Simple version:
Pick 3 teams that look too low, and 3 that look to high.

Advanced version:
Follow above, but also make a stab at every single line (Over, Under, Too close to call)

I am a Genius! (this isn't being saved, right?) version:
Follow above, and give an exact win total prediction for every single team.


So, who's feeling brave?


Here is last years thread -- viewtopic.php?f=2&t=1276585" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#2 » by jowglenn » Thu Oct 2, 2014 12:14 pm

OK, off the top of my head, rough guesses:

Westgate SuperBook NBA Win Totals
Predicted NBA win totals for the 2014-15 NBA season, posted by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas on Tuesday.

Team Win Total
Cavaliers 58.5 Over
Thunder 57.5 Over
Spurs 56.5 Over
Bulls 55.5 Under
Clippers 55.5 Under
Warriors 50.5 Over
Mavericks 49.5 Over
Raptors 49.5 Under
Rockets 49.5 Under
Wizards 49.5 Over
Grizzlies 48.5 Under
Trail Blazers 48.5 Over
Hornets 45.5 Over
Heat 43.5 Over
Suns 42.5 Under
Nets 41.5 Under
Pelicans 41.5 Over
Hawks 40.5 Over
Knicks 40.5 Under
Nuggets 40.5 Over
Pistons 36.5 exactly correct, so i guess.... Under.
Pacers 32.5 Over
Lakers 31.5 Over
Kings 30.5 Under
Magic 28.5 Under
Celtics 26.5 Under
Jazz 25.5 Under
Timberwolves 25.5 Over
Bucks 24.5 Over
76ers 15.5 Over
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#3 » by HartfordWhalers » Thu Oct 2, 2014 12:17 pm

jowglenn wrote:OK, off the top of my head, rough guesses:
Pistons 36.5 exactly correct, so i guess.... Under.


How can they win exactly a half game?!?!?!???

(Sorry could not resist)
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#4 » by goober » Thu Oct 2, 2014 12:39 pm

HartfordWhalers wrote:
jowglenn wrote:OK, off the top of my head, rough guesses:
Pistons 36.5 exactly correct, so i guess.... Under.


How can they win exactly a half game?!?!?!???

(Sorry could not resist)

That's gonna be the game where Josh Smith starts at the 3 so no one really wins
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#5 » by jowglenn » Thu Oct 2, 2014 1:24 pm

HartfordWhalers wrote:
jowglenn wrote:OK, off the top of my head, rough guesses:
Pistons 36.5 exactly correct, so i guess.... Under.


How can they win exactly a half game?!?!?!???

(Sorry could not resist)


One game will be cancelled entirely (similar to how the Pacers game against Boston was cancelled after the boston marathon bombings) and will not be rescheduled, so it's pro-rated, since technically they'll go 36-45. The .5 represents the missing game.

:)
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#6 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Oct 2, 2014 1:44 pm

Team Win Total
Cavaliers 58.5 -- Under
Thunder 57.5 -- Over
Spurs 56.5 -- Under
Bulls 55.5 -- Under
Clippers 55.5 -- Over
Warriors 50.5 -- Over
Mavericks 49.5 -- Over
Raptors 49.5 -- Over
Rockets 49.5 -- Under
Wizards 49.5 -- Under
Grizzlies 48.5 -- Over
Trail Blazers 48.5 -- Under
Hornets 45.5 -- Over
Heat 43.5 -- Over
Suns 42.5 -- Under
Nets 41.5 -- Under
Pelicans 41.5 -- Over
Hawks 40.5 -- Over
Knicks 40.5 -- Under
Nuggets 40.5 -- Under
Pistons 36.5 -- Under
Pacers 32.5 -- Under
Lakers 31.5 -- Over
Kings 30.5 -- Under
Magic 28.5 -- Over
Celtics 26.5 -- Under
Jazz 25.5 -- Over
Timberwolves 25.5 -- Over
Bucks 24.5 -- Under
76ers 15.5 -- Over

The 3 I feel best about winning more: Heat, Hornets, and Hawks

Spoiler:
Image



The 3 I feel best about winning less: Bulls, Cavs, and Rockets


And I'm way too lazy to try and keep track of the total wins to predict exact records, but I will predict the Dallas Mavericks record since that's my team: 53-29.
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#7 » by bondom34 » Thu Oct 2, 2014 7:15 pm

3 Over:
Minnesota
Memphis
Miami

3 Under:
Raptors
GSW
NOP
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#8 » by Knosh » Thu Oct 2, 2014 8:55 pm

Top 3 Over:
Timberwolves
Spurs
Memphis

Top 3 Under:
Cavs
Knicks
Lakers

Basically over on smaller markets and the team that lost Love, under on big markets and the team that got Lebron and Love...

Only 4 teams in the WC with 50+ wins looks wrong. I would guess there will be 7-8 50ish win teams again, so I like the over on the Mavs, Rockets, Grizzlies and Portland.

I was expecting that I would like the under on Phoenix before i saw the lines, but now I'm not so sure anymore.
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#9 » by Blazer50 » Thu Oct 2, 2014 9:03 pm

Too Low
Timberwolves, Magic and Blazers

Too High
Spurs, Clippers and Mavericks
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#10 » by Texas Chuck » Thu Oct 2, 2014 9:04 pm

Knosh wrote:
Spoiler:
Top 3 Over:
Timberwolves
Spurs
Memphis

Top 3 Under:
Cavs
Knicks
Lakers

Basically over on smaller markets and the team that lost Love, under on big markets and the team that got Lebron and Love...

Only 4 teams in the WC with 50+ wins looks wrong. I would guess there will be 7-8 50ish win teams again, so I like the over on the Mavs, Rockets, Grizzlies and Portland.

I was expecting that I would like the under on Phoenix before i saw the lines, but now I'm not so sure anymore.



Good to see you around again mate.
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#11 » by HornetJail » Fri Oct 3, 2014 12:36 am

Cavaliers 58.5 UNDER
Thunder 57.5 OVER
Spurs 56.5 OVER
Bulls 55.5 OVER
Clippers 55.5 OVER
Warriors 50.5 OVER
Mavericks 49.5 OVER
Raptors 49.5 UNDER
Rockets 49.5 UNDER
Wizards 49.5 UNDER
Grizzlies 48.5 UNDER
Trail Blazers 48.5 UNDER
Hornets 45.5 OVER
Heat 43.5 OVER
Suns 42.5 OVER
Nets 41.5 UNDER
Pelicans 41.5 OVER
Hawks 40.5 OVER
Knicks 40.5 UNDER
Nuggets 40.5 OVER
Pistons 36.5 OVER
Pacers 32.5 UNDER
Lakers 31.5 UNDER
Kings 30.5 UNDER
Magic 28.5 UNDER
Celtics 26.5 OVER
Jazz 25.5 UNDER
Timberwolves 25.5 OVER
Bucks 24.5 UNDER
76ers 15.5 UNDER


Top 3 over: Hawks, Hornets, Clippers
Top 3 under: Cavaliers, 76ers, Magic
investigate Adam Silver
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#12 » by Trader_Joe » Thu Oct 1, 2015 5:53 pm

A lot less participation last year, but still thought the results would be interesting to look at.

Heat and Hornets seemed to get people picking the over.

EDIT:
Completely missed Knosh linking to this in the OP for this year's.
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Re: Vegas Team Win lines (Prediction time!) 

Post#13 » by HornetJail » Thu Oct 1, 2015 8:54 pm

MotorKeepsGoing wrote:Cavaliers 58.5 UNDER
Thunder 57.5 OVER
Spurs 56.5 OVER
Bulls 55.5 OVER

Clippers 55.5 OVER
Warriors 50.5 OVER
Mavericks 49.5 OVER
Raptors 49.5 UNDER
Rockets 49.5 UNDER
Wizards 49.5 UNDER
Grizzlies 48.5 UNDER
Trail Blazers 48.5 UNDER
Hornets 45.5 OVER
Heat 43.5 OVER
Suns 42.5 OVER
Nets 41.5 UNDER
Pelicans 41.5 OVER
Hawks 40.5 OVER
Knicks 40.5 UNDER
Nuggets 40.5 OVER
Pistons 36.5 OVER
Pacers 32.5 UNDER
Lakers 31.5 UNDER
Kings 30.5 UNDER
Magic 28.5 UNDER
Celtics 26.5 OVER
Jazz 25.5 UNDER
Timberwolves 25.5 OVER
Bucks 24.5 UNDER
76ers 15.5 UNDER


Top 3 over: Hawks, Hornets, Clippers
Top 3 under: Cavaliers, 76ers, Magic


Well, I did terrible
investigate Adam Silver

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