dho4ever wrote:JellosJigglin wrote:dho4ever wrote:
Last year, the lakers were 27-55.
Seeds 7, 8, 9, 10 were
50-30
49-33
48-34
40-42
The last time Kobe was healthy, the lakers were 45-37 and that's with Dwight Howard (albeit injuired) as the second best player on the team who still put up better numbers (17-12-2 blocks) than Jordan Hill ever did.
A trying Kobe probably puts them around 10th seed.
That was with D'Antoni running the team in the first half of the season, when he had Pau Gasol shooting 3's. See their record in the second half after Kobe took control of the team and played like an MVP.
But Kobe is also coming back from injury, he's older, and his supporting cast is terrible. I still don't think that's going to equate to more than 45 wins or anywhere near the playoffs.
I guess my point was that 45-win team shouldn't be used as a measuring stick to forecast this current team's success, because it was a tale of 2 teams: 1st half was D'Antoni ball and 2nd half was Kobe ball. That was a 50+ win team with any other coach in the NBA. We saw what happened when Kobe knocked some sense into D'Antoni and put his teammates in position to maximize their strengths. I believe they had the best record in the NBA in the second half that season, when Kobe had enough of D'Antoni's 3-ball. Kobe was tight with Pau, and it didn't sit well with him to see Pau reduced to being a spot-up, corner 3 point shooter. I have never seen a coach guide his team as poorly as D'Antoni did that season.
Does that mean this Laker team can win 45 games? I doubt it. I have them right around a .500 team, so around 41 wins. That's only a 4 game difference, so I wouldn't be shocked if they won 45. It's just highly unlikely and I wouldn't bet money on it.