The role of PGs for winning NBA titles

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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#81 » by Kabookalu » Mon Oct 27, 2014 6:55 pm

og15 wrote:I question how true this is. Really depends on the player you are referring to. For example, some of Chris Paul's favorite teammates have been other ball handling guards. Pargo, Bledsoe, and he's actually too willing to give the ball to Jamal for example. Sure if the PG is ball hog and never passes, then yea, they won't get along, but maybe if you're talking about Iverson in his young days with Stackhouse.

What we see more of is that the team sometimes won't make a good enough effort to compliment the PG with that type of player because they are like "whatever, we have a PG", or maybe they had that player and they traded them to get better at the big man position. I haven't seen much of those guys getting moved because the PG and the wing or other ball handler couldn't get along.

Arenas and Hughes did a great job sharing ball handling / playmaking duties for example. Francis/Mobley were in love.


That's how I feel too, that when teams have a dominant PG they think it permits them to not providing that PG with other ballhandlers to help share the load.

I remember Chris Paul once had a perimeter rotation of Peja Stojakovic and James Posey. People wondered why the Hornets didn't do any better with another all star in David West and a great center in Tyson Chandler. Well look at the rest of the roster, who else was able to handle the ball that wasn't Paul's backup?
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#82 » by Ugalde » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:13 pm

I personally have never believed in the PG leasing the team. Mainly because I don't believe in short players. If the PG is 6"6 or something than maybe, but I just don't believe in the short guys.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#83 » by excision » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:30 pm

stitches wrote:
WhatsMyName wrote:
stitches wrote:The average stats for the starting PGs of the championship teams were as follows


Are these regular season stats or playoffs?

I would rather use median than average (or both) for that statistic because it's such a small sample size that some big outliners have a huge impact on average and median can somewhat negate that. In this case the Miami and Lakers teams are a third of the sample and both in a way constructed were a PG couldn't "get his stats" (triangle and LBJ/Wade ball handler).

It would probably interesting to include the other finalist in the stat or have a separate stat for them, just so you can get more data and have a better view of what leads to winning in the playoffs.

It's the regular season. Here are the averages for the playoffs:

Age: 29.05
MPG: 32.33
PPG: 11.65
RBPG: 3.08
APG: 4.13
STL: 1.1
BLK: 0.22
TOV: 1.78
FG%: 43%
3P%: 33%
FT%: 75%

Here are the median numbers for regular season and for playoffs(they come off even worse than when using averages):
attr--reg---playoff
AGE: 29-------29
MPG: 29.4-------32
PPG: 10.4-------10.3
RBPG: 2.6-------3
APG: 4.2-------3.9
STL: 1.1-------1
BLK: 0.1-------0.1
TOV: 1.7-------1.6
FG%: 44%-------43%
3P%: 37%-------34%
FT%: 80%-------75%


Clearly, the key to winning championships is to get a point guard who shoots worse in the playoffs than the RS :roll:
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#84 » by hands11 » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:44 pm

OvertimeNO wrote:
Hendrix wrote:I don't think it has anything to do with PG's being a bad position to build around, or a case of them getting shutdown easily.

Imo it has to do with the fact that there just so happened to be 'generational talents' at the other positions over the last 20 years. Shaq, Kobe, Lebron, Duncan have won 16 of the 20 championships over the last 20 years. Think about that. That means there isn't a lot of championships to go around for the rest of the teams.

I think it says more of the fact that you need a generational talent to win a ship than it does that there's a problem with PG's. I mean, there has been plenty of great PG's on championsip or finals teams. In the last 20 years of the 40 teams that have made is to the finals, 20 teams have had an all star PG, so I think they are obviously important. Payton, Stockton, Billups, Parker, Rondo, Westbrook, and Kidd have all been big impact guys for great teams.

Last time there was a 'once in a generation' player at PG (Magic), he didn't have much of a problem getting rings. There just hasn't happened to be one in a while.



You can't discount the idea that systems/teams aren't as important as the generational nature of the talent, because even the guys you mentioned didn't start winning titles until they were surrounded by the right complement of teammates, and with the right system. And for whatever reason, those things just seem more difficult to do when you've got a ball-dominant PG as the primary point of attack on offence.


Wizards. Gil. Max contract. End of story.

Its hard to build a team around that.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#85 » by Hendrix » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:49 pm

Ugalde wrote:I personally have never believed in the PG leasing the team. Mainly because I don't believe in short players. If the PG is 6"6 or something than maybe, but I just don't believe in the short guys.

Short players exist brah
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#86 » by hands11 » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:51 pm

JonFromVA wrote:
Hendrix wrote:
JonFromVA wrote:
However, winning titles isn't about regular season efficiency. It's about being able to execute when facing top teams who've had plenty of time to prepare & game plan against what you do.

The Cavs used to make a big deal about taking Chauncey Billups out of the game - "cut off the head of the snake" they'd say. The Spurs stopped LeBron in 2007 by conceding him the jump shot, but by bringing 2 or 3 help defenders to cut him off from getting in the paint. The Bulls were able to conquer the Lakers by using Pippen to guard Magic.

The strategy against any great player is the same - when the going get rough, stop him and force someone else to beat you.

So there are two counters to this ... have an unstoppable player, or have a terrific team with guys who can step up if the defense is able to stop your star.

This is where a ball movement base team that's not wrapped all around one player to generate their offense has an advantage. On the flip side, they need to figure out how to share the ball and everyone has to be capable of playing off the ball.

I suppose the closest thing we've seen to an unstoppable PG was Allen Iverson, but his ball dominance was problematic.


I don't think anyone is arguing that you shouldn't have other players capable of stepping up, and good ball movement. Even Duncan had TP, and Man. Shaq and Kobe had each other. LBJ had Wade, and Bosh. KG had Ray and PP. Etc... I'm not saying 1 PG plus scrubs are going to win a championship or anything.

I'm simply saying that you can have a championship calibre offense with a PG running the show, and defense is a completely different story.


It's historically been difficult to keep other ball handlers happy when you have a ball dominant PG.

It was problematic that Rondo couldn't shoot well early in his career. He had to have the ball in his hands, but that was another situation where a very good PG landed on a terrific team as opposed to having that team built around him.

Also offense can't be decoupled from defense ... take the Suns for instance, or often the Nuggets.

My point is just that there's a lot of factors in play, and it may very well be easier to build a championship team with your best player being something other than your pg.


Another good point. Score first PG who are ball dominate does often want to or have the energy to also be lock down defenders.

Max contracting a PG like this is not a good way to go.

CP3 making 20,068,563, $21,468,695 , $22,868,827 and $24,268,959 is insane.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#87 » by og15 » Mon Oct 27, 2014 7:58 pm

JonFromVA wrote:
og15 wrote:
JonFromVA wrote:
It's historically been difficult to keep other ball handlers happy when you have a ball dominant PG.

It was problematic that Rondo couldn't shoot well early in his career. He had to have the ball in his hands, but that was another situation where a very good PG landed on a terrific team as opposed to having that team built around him.

Also offense can't be decoupled from defense ... take the Suns for instance, or often the Nuggets.

My point is just that there's a lot of factors in play, and it may very well be easier to build a championship team with your best player being something other than your pg.

I question how true this is. Really depends on the player you are referring to. For example, some of Chris Paul's favorite teammates have been other ball handling guards. Pargo, Bledsoe, and he's actually too willing to give the ball to Jamal for example. Sure if the PG is ball hog and never passes, then yea, they won't get along, but maybe if you're talking about Iverson in his young days with Stackhouse.

What we see more of is that the team sometimes won't make a good enough effort to compliment the PG with that type of player because they are like "whatever, we have a PG", or maybe they had that player and they traded them to get better at the big man position. I haven't seen much of those guys getting moved because the PG and the wing or other ball handler couldn't get along.

Arenas and Hughes did a great job sharing ball handling / playmaking duties for example. Francis/Mobley were in love.


otoh, Bledsoe is no longer on the Clippers. They decided to go with JJ, and Jamaal Crawford has been primarily used as a 6th man in that instant offense role

Arenas and Hughes are an interesting case because they were essentially both combo-guards who thrived in Eddie Jordan's version of the Princeton. Neither of them were very at running a team or a traditional offense.

I feel you're right that teams give up too easily on incorporating multiple ball handlers and it will be real interesting how things go for the Cavs this season, but Irving and Waiters is another great case in point. At least early in their careers, a lot of people like the Wall+Beal combo better because they fit together so much easier.

That doesn't mean that Irving+Waiters can't fit together, or that Beal won't play more on the ball and Wall off the ball in the future, but it's harder and teams don't seem to have time or patience for hard.

Even Manu Ginobili (one of the best SGs of this generation) has been pushed in to coming off the bench because it makes things easier for the Spurs.
Bledsoe got traded because the team felt it could improve in two positions with Dudley and Redick and Doc didn't have the idea some Clippers fans had of playing Paul and Bledsoe together.

Doc saw Bledsoe as a PG and saw it as trading a backup for two starters. Of course some of us felt different, but whatever.

Paul and Bledsoe actually worked very well on defense and they were very good on offense. It was really nice to have two guys that could attack from pick and roll and get in the paint and kick out.

I actually like the 6th man ball handling guard. I'd put him on the bench not because he doesn't work with the starters, but because for the 12-13 minutes that your PG is on the bench, if you have a Ginobili type, you maintain high level play making and shot creating.

Of course it depends on the team too. If you have 3 guards that can all create then yea start your best two. If you have a defense / spot up guard and a dynamic one, the players and the team is maximized by letting the more reliant guy play more with players that van create for him.

Those 6th men still end up playing most of their minutes next to the other ball handler but it gives a team better balance as opposed to having both your best ball handlers on together then going to the bench and there's just mediocre guys.

Part of the advantage outside of height that you might get with other positions is that teams don't get as comfortable without a secondary ball handler / shot creator.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#88 » by JonFromVA » Mon Oct 27, 2014 10:32 pm

I used to like having Kevin Johnson and Mark Price on the Cavaliers ... but the powers that be decided KJ was redundant. So, they traded him to Phoenix (along with Mark West and picks) to get Larry Nance (who played the same position as Hot Rod Williams).

Maybe Phoenix will show the way?
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#89 » by miltk » Mon Oct 27, 2014 10:38 pm

but that is how management has decided to structure the okc's roster. there's been no attempt by okc to add a third star, and btw ibaka ain't it. maybe it's that their market is too small to afford a bona fide third star. i don't think yours is a solution because it makes more sense to have TWO superstars and try to fill the void than only one superstar and some good players - that doesn't work either.

bottom line is the simple fact is that okc is a top3 team as they stand. from their perspective they only need tweaking. losing westy is a major overhaul and that makes no sense


hands11 wrote:
miltk wrote:i think in theory if a ring team is supposed to have a BALANCED offense, and if by default the pg has the ball in his hands more than any other player,,,then it is counterproductive to have a "great" pg on the team because he will need the ball to be great. this takes away from the others. there's only so much time a player can have on any posession.

is oscar going to be 100% oscar if he has to pass to other great players. in such a case i prefer a less ball-dominant pg. conversely, okc needs a ball dominant pg because westbrook and durant is all they have.


Which is the problem.

WB is amazing, no doubt, but they would be better off with KD, a less good PG and better post player/center.

i.e. Moving Ellis to SG and getting a PG that isn't as good.

KD and Dirke would have won titles by now.

I don't think OKC is going anywhere this year and the clock is ticking on KD leaving if they don't.

Problem with OKC is you have KD and WB that are both #1 options and WB has the ball. I would move Surge to center and KD to PF/PG and fill in as needed around that. Remake the roster.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#90 » by nonjokegetter » Mon Oct 27, 2014 10:47 pm

Hendrix wrote:I don't think it has anything to do with PG's being a bad position to build around, or a case of them getting shutdown easily.

Imo it has to do with the fact that there just so happened to be 'generational talents' at the other positions over the last 20 years. Shaq, Kobe, Lebron, Duncan have won 16 of the 20 championships over the last 20 years. Think about that. That means there isn't a lot of championships to go around for the rest of the teams.

I think it says more of the fact that you need a generational talent to win a ship than it does that there's a problem with PG's. I mean, there has been plenty of great PG's on championsip or finals teams. In the last 20 years of the 40 teams that have made is to the finals, 20 teams have had an all star PG, so I think they are obviously important. Payton, Stockton, Billups, Parker, Rondo, Westbrook, and Kidd have all been big impact guys for great teams.

Last time there was a 'once in a generation' player at PG (Magic), he didn't have much of a problem getting rings. There just hasn't happened to be one in a while.


I agree with this, but I can't help but think if CP was drafted by the 79 Lakers you might consider him generational, too. It doesn't detract greatly from your overall point, just that there's more than a few of those types of guys you just listed. Takes both luck and skill.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#91 » by miltk » Mon Oct 27, 2014 10:51 pm

NO-KG-AI wrote:The best players in the league are going to get the majority of the titles, and the best players in the league are usually not a PG, because size matters.

If there were more Magic style PGs, this comparison would look different.


and as we've seen there's been no magic until lebron and lebron is just a shell of a facilitator as magic. but lebron started with two legit guards, and magic did so most of the time too. in other words that role of a legit small guard has got to be filled no matter what. it's not like miami said "okay, since we have lebron we don't need to play two legit guards". it was wade/chalmers/lebron not wade/lebron and three bigs
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#92 » by hands11 » Mon Oct 27, 2014 11:05 pm

nonjokegetter wrote:
Hendrix wrote:I don't think it has anything to do with PG's being a bad position to build around, or a case of them getting shutdown easily.

Imo it has to do with the fact that there just so happened to be 'generational talents' at the other positions over the last 20 years. Shaq, Kobe, Lebron, Duncan have won 16 of the 20 championships over the last 20 years. Think about that. That means there isn't a lot of championships to go around for the rest of the teams.

I think it says more of the fact that you need a generational talent to win a ship than it does that there's a problem with PG's. I mean, there has been plenty of great PG's on championsip or finals teams. In the last 20 years of the 40 teams that have made is to the finals, 20 teams have had an all star PG, so I think they are obviously important. Payton, Stockton, Billups, Parker, Rondo, Westbrook, and Kidd have all been big impact guys for great teams.

Last time there was a 'once in a generation' player at PG (Magic), he didn't have much of a problem getting rings. There just hasn't happened to be one in a while.


I agree with this, but I can't help but think if CP was drafted by the 79 Lakers you might consider him generational, too. It doesn't detract greatly from your overall point, just that there's more than a few of those types of guys you just listed. Takes both luck and skill.



CP3 is a generational talent. And so is B Griff

LAC should be pretty close to there this year though. Thats a pretty stacked team.

I won't be surprised if they win the title. And might be able to keep it going because they have the talent and would just need to resign it. They can even eventually go over lux tax to keep it together two extra years.

LAC my have threaded the needle of building a title team with a max PG. But a lot of that has to do with having someone as good as J Craw as your back up SG and a S5 big in Hawes as your back up center.

For this team to get over the finishing line, Barnes will need to produce from SF.

It really is a pretty complete roster.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#93 » by og15 » Mon Oct 27, 2014 11:09 pm

JonFromVA wrote:I used to like having Kevin Johnson and Mark Price on the Cavaliers ... but the powers that be decided KJ was redundant. So, they traded him to Phoenix (along with Mark West and picks) to get Larry Nance (who played the same position as Hot Rod Williams).

Maybe Phoenix will show the way?
Maybe. I'm not going to neglect that you want someone who can guard SG's still. I wouldn't start Paul and Collison or something, but if you have a PG that can guard SG's, either start them together or make the PG a higher paid 6th man PG/SG and start a more role player type guy at SG. For the Clippers for example, if we're making the comparison of Bledsoe vs Redick for example, my first mention after the trade is that head height is useless and Bledsoe has the same length while being more athletic than Redick, so Redick is actually more undersized than Bledsoe at SG and Bledsoe is no more undersized than guys like Ellis, Gordon (both), not much more than Mayo, etc.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#94 » by michaelc204 » Tue Oct 28, 2014 12:28 am

stitches wrote:The average stats for the starting PGs of the championship teams were as follows:
Age: 29.05
MPG: 29.67
PPG: 11.2
RBPG: 2.84
APG: 4.44
STL: 1.18
BLK: 0.2
TOV: 1.7
FG%: 44%
3P%: 34%
FT%: 78%


These stats look heavily influenced by Derek Fisher
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#95 » by tsherkin » Tue Oct 28, 2014 12:28 am

fluffernutter wrote:Isn't this all just an effect of the PG position simply not being as important as Center/Wing? The best "pure" point guard (Stockton) with endless unbreakable PG-style records is clearly not the guy to build a championship-winning team around. For that you would far prefer the best "pure" center ever (Kareem perhaps) or the best "pure" Forwardy type player ever (Lebron) or the best wing (Jordan).


It depends. If you're talking about combo guard-sized and smaller guards running the offense, then I'm inclined to agree. If you're talking about more outlier types likes West, Robertson and Magic, then it's a bit different. It also depends on what you call Wade. 06 Wade was a guard who was the primary volume scorer and ball-handler for his team, not terribly dissimilar to prime Jerry West in that regard. Wade was called a SG, whereas West is often argued as a PG (though some discuss a direct switch of position mid-career as well).

In any case, he was a primary offensive initiator from the guard position. He had more size, though, and more scoring ability than we typically see from the smaller PG types... and was able to get off-ball more effectively as necessary. Same deal with guys like Jordan and Kobe, it was the mix of overall offensive dominance that permitted them to be so individually successful (and then obviously quality of roster which permitted them to compete for titles).

I've always wondered at the notion of a "pure point." We haven't seen one win a title in... ever, I don't think. What we typically consider a "pure point" is a roleplayer by definition. Stockton was like the SUPER pure point, and I wouldn't deign to call him a roleplayer, but he's about as good as it gets when you look at a super-low shooting volume with an extreme emphasis on giving up the ball. Rondo is another example, but far worse and much more obviously suited to a lower-usage complementary role. Jason Kidd was pure point-ish, but he shot a little too much to be called that (he had numerous seasons in the vicinity of 14-16 FGA/g, even in a lower-pace period). And of course, Kidd was an outlier based on defensive value and rebounding ability, which diverges from exactly the premise of a pure point in some ways.

In any case, the value of a pure point is as a roleplayer mostly. You need to be able to challenge a defense with yourself as a threat offensively, otherwise your utility is extremely limited to your team, I agree. It's much easier to make of yourself a more versatile threat as a non-PG player (speaking of PGs as small guard primary initiators).

You can't say point guard X or Y got close but ran into the GOAT. How come the point guard X or Y isn't the GOAT? Because they were not able to beat the HOF center or wing to prove it.


This is bad logic. It simply means they weren't good enough to BE that level of player, which isn't a sin. There are barely a handful of players who are worthy of a comparison to someone like, say, Michael Jordan. That doesn't diminish the value of someone like, say, Chris Paul. It just means that he isn't a titanic legend in the annals of basketball history (save, perhaps, for the more statistically-minded).

Size is king, of course, because basketball has been and remains a vertical game in many ways. But it's not quite as simple as that, of course.


Nash couldn't do it.


Yeah, but he was close, and didn't have title luck. Injuries, suspensions, they didn't really support him. And, of course, he did run into a superior player a couple of times. Sometimes that happens. There are any number of players who just hit the "wrong place, wrong time" button en route to their failure to win a title. I don't think anyone mostly educated on the topic would question the idea that the Jazz in the late 90s were a title-caliber team... but they had the misfortune of running into the greatest post-60s dynasty in league history, and the GOAT. That's raw luck. Some guys, they don't acquire sufficient roster support in their career to make a spirited run at a title, and/or run into a superior opponent. That doesn't necessarily mean you CAN'T win with that player, just that they didn't win. Not exactly the same thing.


CP3 isn't even close, and he's not even that bad at defense. Either history and common sense teaches us this, or we are living through a very weird freak of probability.


It's generally easier to affect the game more when you're bigger than what we typically see from the PG position, though, that's true. It's harder to be elite on offense from that spot than from the others, it's harder to be an impact defender. It's very difficult to be a title-level player to begin with, regardless of position, as there are factors external to the player which he cannot even control but play strongly into his chances.

All things to consider.


hands11 wrote:
We should not be drawing the line at finals appearances. That is where the point is most magnified.

Last finals is interesting though. Both teams where designed correctly. Its just SAS was a machine and Wade couldn't do his full on Wade act.


Well, what we are discussing is the winning of NBA titles. We see plenty of teams which are briefly competitive in the first or second rounds. A protracted period of one-and-dones doesn't really get you closer to an NBA title. Maybe expand to include conference finals appearances, that certainly wouldn't be a bad idea, because that's at least on the cusp of a title shot, certainly indicating contention (particularly if it happens more than in one isolated season).
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#96 » by hands11 » Tue Oct 28, 2014 1:58 am

No, the opposite. Only title winners.

Winning a title is the biggest different maker. That was the point I was making.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#97 » by WorldBeFree » Tue Oct 28, 2014 2:14 am

Pg cant be your main scoring option. He has to invovle, everyone and needs to know when to score and should be able to score. A team with a great big and a good pg, will always be better then a team with a great pg and a good big. Also i do think the six man guy or the bench, are really important for the title win. Its always this unknown factor that changes the game! Also having the best player of the nba helps alot ^^

Edit: But i do think a good pg is important for winning it all. He has to be a leader in the locker room, a guy who the others can trust an rely on! It doesn't has to show in the stats. Billups and Parker are almost perfect pg's for me!


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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#98 » by tsherkin » Tue Oct 28, 2014 2:20 am

hands11 wrote:No, the opposite. Only title winners.

Winning a title is the biggest different maker. That was the point I was making.



With that, I cannot agree. It ignores too much context, IMHO.
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#99 » by John Long » Tue Oct 28, 2014 2:24 am

Cloud777 wrote:
John Long wrote:
UnbelievablyRAW wrote:Sadly, the problem a Derrick Rose and CP3 will always face

They're great, but when you get to the playoffs and a taller stronger guy is put on you to slow you down and you're around 6 ft tall you're gonna suffer

Only guy I can remember that would crap on people no matter what was AI but he couldn't win a title either


Yup, once Phil put Kobe on him it was over. The last point guard to carry his team to the championship was Isaiah Thomas and he is vastly underrated due to his failures as a GM, not sure why that should tarnish his reputation as a player however he was an all time great.


Wait, what? Once Phil put Kobe on who? Hopefully you aren't referring to A.I. because it was Tyronn Lue who locked him. Kobe had nothing to do with it.


AI destroyed Fisher and had his way with Tyrone Lue. Phil's M.O is putting Kobe on AI or Bibby in the 4th quarter of the playoffs during that 3 peat stretch then the Lakers closes those team out period...the video is not good quality and it is obviously not the nba finals but it does give an example of the point I was making. AI is one of my fav players to ever play the game, obviously one poster already refuted my statement with numerous stats to back it up which I let go, you probably should've and1'd him and kept it moving.
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hands11
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Re: The role of PGs for winning NBA titles 

Post#100 » by hands11 » Tue Oct 28, 2014 2:27 am

tsherkin wrote:
hands11 wrote:No, the opposite. Only title winners.

Winning a title is the biggest different maker. That was the point I was making.



With that, I cannot agree. It ignores too much context, IMHO.


The last mile is 10 miles long.

Its the biggest difference maker. Its were all shortcomings are magnified.

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