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Help me become a hardcore baseball fan - the stats

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Komodo
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Help me become a hardcore baseball fan - the stats 

Post#1 » by Komodo » Sun Dec 7, 2014 4:01 am

I see so many stats used in baseball forums - xfip, war, ops, .... WWhat are the best ones used to evaluate pitchers? batters? Where do you get the stats?
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Re: Help me become a hardcore baseball fan - the stats 

Post#2 » by Tyrone Slothrop » Sun Dec 7, 2014 3:02 pm

Fangraphs and baseball-reference are the two best stats sites (I find Fangraphs to be much better and easier to use.)

wOBA and wRC+ are the two best stats for hitters. In a nutshell, wOBA takes On-base percentage and then places weighted values on different types of hits/walks. wRC+ more or less takes this stat and adjusts for league and parks.

FIP and xFIP are your go-to stats for pitchers. FIP places greater value in things that a pitcher can directly control (strikeouts, walks, home runs) without the influence of luck and fielding. xFIP takes FIP and adjusts for league and parks.
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Re: Help me become a hardcore baseball fan - the stats 

Post#3 » by satyr9 » Sun Dec 7, 2014 5:07 pm

Here's the thing about advanced stats, you can't just learn a few and use them the way you used to judge guys based on batting average or ERA. It's a rabbit hole, where different stats relate to each other and tell you different things and you have to understand what they are evaluating to be able to use them in relation with each other.

The primary advanced stats that try to simplify or rate a player in a single number, like OPS or WAR, or FIP are not really valuable for anything other than as a very loose comparison metric. They're ways to try and say which kind of power hitter is equal to this kind of defensive middle infielder or how a high velocity flamethrower contributes about as much as a ground ball control specialist.

It's fun to be able to say these guys are roughly equal or show why you want one over another, but where advanced stats are actually advanced, from a fan's perspective, are when you find something and learn something just off numbers. You can look at variance in a player's performance, look at his BABIP, HF:FB%, LD%, his OSwing and ZSwing rates and you'll start to see a picture of what the player more likely will accomplish in the future. The same kind of things for pitchers.

My main point here is that OPS or WAR or FIP are "advanced" stats, but they're advanced stats trying to accomplish what we mistakenly used BA, RBI, R, and HR for in the past, to calculate a player's totality.

Here's where I'd start: http://www.tangotiger.net/runscreated.html Things have moved on from here quite a ways, but I think it'll give you a clear sense of what "advanced" stats are trying to do. Once you understand the motivation it becomes easier to appreciate why it's worth the effort.

Or, for other reading or just to catch you up on what a particular abbreviation means, the Fangraphs glossary is solid: http://www.fangraphs.com/library/
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Re: Help me become a hardcore baseball fan - the stats 

Post#4 » by dagger » Sun Dec 7, 2014 6:58 pm

Informed sounds better than hardcore, maybe you can avoid the bitterness that comes from being a hardened Jays fan
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