Mutnt wrote:Doctor MJ wrote:And so, this does factor in with Russell, but not as much as people would think. I look at the "hockey stick" part of the basketball's growth as basically happening from the star of the NBA through the '60s. I see that from stat development, and I also go by how the superstars' did as they aged. There's basically no reasonable opinion that says Kareem's talent was anything but top tier by any era because we saw what he could do even in the '80s, and the same applied to Wilt in the '70s. Similarly, it's Russell's ability to dominate well into his 30s that makes it silly in my book to put him in another category.
Right, I think Russell mostly likely would be dominant defensively in any era, it's just his individual defensive impact drops significantly in the modern era due to the drastic improvements and or changes in talent/strategy/rules etc. which were still pretty much different (dare I say more tailored towards someone like Russell) in the later stages of his career. Does that mean a team couldn't produce a dominant league-leading defense with Russell at the helm nowadays and even win championships? Well, not really. We've seen a lot of teams utilize that sort of approach (most successfully the Pistons). But Big Ben was still miles away from rivaling Russell on the defensive end. The Pistons did it far more collectively than just ''Big Ben, you shut down the paint, block every shot, get 20 rebounds, and we will worry about the offense''. In fact, Boston probably did it a lot more collectively too than people give them credit, but nevermind. Ok, so Big Ben wasn't the same type of player that Russell was, but neither did guys more similar (arguably better athletes) like D-Rob or Hakeem rival Russell. At some point you just got to realize that not everyone was 3 levels below Russell in NBA history in terms of defense, but that Russell just had an amazing situation going for him in Boston at that time. A lot of it (most of it, honestly) is due to himself, sure, but a lot also isn't.
In essence, the problem here isn't merely a question of whether Russell would dominate or not. The problem is how much would he dominate relative to his own era. This isn't some slight towards Russell, I also firmly believe Wilt would be less dominant in the modern era as well, but I think his ceiling, under the right conditions, would certainly be higher than Russell's.
For the most part agree with all of this.
When you get to Wilt, my quibble would be that that Wilt's got a lot of issues that really don't have anything to do with era.
Mutnt wrote:Back to Russell, those who are skeptical of him in a way they aren't with Wilt see him as someone to small to be a modern center. What I've always maintained is that the ideal size for a defensive big has always remained roughly Russell-like. Is that sufficient to stop Shaq 1-on-1? No, but no one can do that, not even Mutombo. The way to battle such a player, in the rare circumstances that you must, is with smart teamwork.
Oh, I'm skeptical of Wilt too. Not only in a context of impact but individually, Wilt was someone who feasted on people through being an athletic anomaly like few others in his time. Sure, he seemed to have little trouble even against the Russell's and Thurmond's of the era, but even then he still relied on his athleticism to get himself anywhere. He could do that today as well, it just wouldn't be enough to be AS dominant. You see someone like Howard out there, who is amongst the most physically gifted players in the league and he needs to use actual skill to have a chance of scoring, unlike Wilt who would mostly just throw a weird looking flip shot at the hoop, no biggie, I'll rebound it, throws another shot, misses, no biggie, I'll get it again, and then dunks it on someone... Like could you imagine Wilt getting blocked or stripped as much from the weak side as Howard does. No way.
What I mean is that there's no reasonable way to dispute his physical talent. Sure some exaggerate it, but Wilt would be a mega-prospect in any era. That's something people don't necessarily agree to about Russell.
Re: flip shots & rebounding. Dude, Wilt was plenty efficient in his shooting. You're imagining that entire difference between he and Howard.
I also have to note that as we stand here in 2014, it blows my mind to see people still talking about Howard as if he's a physical talent for the ages next to Wilt. I mean, c'mon, meet Anthony Davis. Howard's very much a strong talent, but he's not a super-outlier physically, and he's sure as hell not one mentally.
Re: Wilt getting stripped. Actually what's remarkable to me is just how stupid Wilt was about this. He loved to hold the ball way far away from the guy guarding him as if he were a Harlem Globetrotter toying with a hapless opponent. Guys passing by guarding other players would just pluck the ball right away from him. It's amazing anyone would play like that, and realistically, it's an area where Wilt would improve today simply because of the stats he'd be able to see and his fixation on stats.
Mutnt wrote:Russell stands at the top of my GOAT list because I see him as a clear cut top tier talent, and one of a hard-to-find stripe. Think Hakeem could have been a better version of Russell? Okay, but there aren't a lot of these type of guys. Super-long, super-agile guys, with super high field intelligence? They just don't come along very often.
There weren't/aren't a lot of these type of guys but there were/are enough in the history of the game to sufficiently claim not a single one of them (no matter the shape/size/breed) came close to doing what Russell did in Boston. Here's where people stop and ponder - Was it that Russell was so much better than everyone else or did the circumstances he played under heavily influenced what was going on. Choose the more likely one.
As I've said, I'm totally on board with saying Russell wouldn't be able to do as much to opponents today as he did back then.
I think it's crucial though to recognize that there were other guys having big impact back then defensively. What shocked me when I did more detailed analysis was how far beyond Russell was than everyone else. So again, without making any claims to exactly what Russell could do today, I think you've got to look at Russell as a perfect storm type guy for doing what he was trying to do back then, and should be very skeptical when people assert that others could have done the same thing.
Mutnt wrote:This, incidentally, was why I was so excited about Anthony Davis as a prospect. He's one of that rare breed,
and hence whenever we do have someone who truly surpasses Russell, he's basically going to look like Davis did. (And maybe Davis is the one to do it but regardless, it will be someone like him.) And how many guys are like him? Look at guys like Drummond and Noel. Look at how they mentally struggle. There's every reason to believe that someone shaped like Russell was with a huge brain would be huge today even if not AS huge as he was back then.
See, you're searching for the ''new Russell'' by looking at which players potentially have the best combination of traits that resembled Russell's own where in fact, no one is coming close to doing what Russell did, no matter how they look, because that is impossible today as you (hesitantly?) acknowledged in the final line of the paragraph. So how is that not a legitimate point of concern when talking about Russell relative to other players? The way he could and did impact the game from a defensive standpoint is not replicable anymore, thus giving him an advantage over a huge pool of players in NBA history. Yes, I realize Wilt,Thurmond and everyone else back then had every opportunity to do the same as Russell but didn't, but those guys represent only a fraction of NBA players. What about KG, Duncan, D-Rob, Hakeem, Ewing, Mutombo? Why don't you think those guys, based on what you've seen from them, wouldn't be able to replicate what Russell did or at least come within the vicinity if they played back then? That's not even mentioning the impact they'd be having on the offensive end as well.
Okay at this point it jus seems clear to me that you're coming at this with a whole set of assumptions. You keep talking as if I'm saying Russell would do today what he did back then...even while acknowledging that I previously that this would not be the case. I'd say you need to really step back and ask yourself what precisely I've asserted that you object to.
Re: Why wouldn't those guys do what Russell did. Well fundamentally, Russell's defense was predicated on him being extremely long and extremely quick, and knowing when to go out to challenge, when to go back, etc. He was playing a game considered high risk high reward, without making his team really feel the risk involved. Between that and what you get when you hear him talk, to me the guy just seems like a brilliant BBIQ guy.
On that last point I think Garnett is similar, but Garnett it seems pretty clearly is just not the shot blocker some other guys are. Honestly I think that he could have been much more along those lines if he'd been more confident in knowing when to go for it, but any way: I'm cool with someone making a case for Garnett to be Russell-esque, but I'm just not willing to go that far.
Hakeem and Robinson are the obvious guys to consider when we look at the physical specimens then. Duncan, Mutombo and Ewing simply weren't quick enough. You can argue that other things would have made up for that, but they wouldn't have out-Russelled Russell. Hakeem and Robinson, you can legit ask if they would.
I think Hakeem is the more tempting case because he seems to have a greater ability to absorb insight, adapt, and expand his game. It's because of this I've said that he's the lowest guy on my GOAT list who has a legit claim to be THE GOAT. But of course when I say this, other than the very peak, there are very clear reasons why he wasn't even the best player at the time. It took him quite a while before he improved to the point where you'd even think of talking about him like this, and part of that was counterproductive things with his attitude. This marks a stark contrast with Russell who realistically never had a serious issue along these lines. Russell came right in and did his thing. Yes it was simpler back then, but Russell was also someone who wasn't being taught how to play his position, he was someone telling the world the right way to play it. Coaches changed what they did around him and it worked phenomenally well.
It's always debatable how to factor in the spearhead aspect of a player's legacy. However when you're talking about it giving a longevity edge in impact due in part to that player's own intuition on how to play, to me it's a big deal, and so I haven't been able to rank Hakeem ahead of Russell based on imagining Hakeem in Russell's shoes.
Might offense have been enough to turn the comparison? Possibly, but to me what we've seen again and again is that the offensive impact of bigs tends to be overrated. There are a few exceptions, but for the most part if you want to make a great offense with a volume scoring big, you need sophisticated coaching and the right players around the big. I don't have faith that the guys you're talking about are the ones who break that mold. Yes they'd have an advantage over Russell on this front, but Russell's defensive impact was so off the charts that unless I feel a guy can really be right in that same ballpark, I have trouble talking anyone getting 12 rings instead of 11.
Mutnt wrote:What about the scoring issues? Well first think on the "symmetric" aspect of the analysis that I stated before. It is beyond debate that Russell molded his game in a particular direction for maximum impact. That's why his scoring fell off like it did. Ask yourself then how well others could have done what Russell did with the kind of exponentially increasing impact he had.
Russell wasn't really a good scorer no matter how he or Boston choose to play. He just wasn't, no real point in trying to cover that up and even if the Celtics gave him more opportunities at that end of the floor in wouldn't matter in the grand scheme.
Sadly, a lot (most?) NBA greats did not have the luxury of being able to 'mold or model' their game in a certain way. That on top of already playing in a vastly more competitive era. Hakeem had to anchor the defense and then come down the floor, get position in the post and do his thing almost every single time he was on the floor. That's really, really, taxing and under-appreciated.
Russell broke the scoring record in the NCAA tournament before he came to Boston. Then, even though he wasn't the offensive focus, he soon got to a point where he scoring comparable volume to his teammates with better efficiency than most. Among those being Cousy, who is considered an all-time great for no reason other than his offense.
Again this is not to say that Russell isn't overshadowed on this from by other superstar bigs, but the bottom line is that no one would have said Russell was terrible as a scorer early on, and there's every reason to think he could have improved a lot had that been the best way for him to help his team.
Re: Most don't get to mold their game. Actually nowadays most do. The days where it was expected that you get a big to anchor both sides of the ball are mostly done. It was stupid basketball strategy.
But let's consider precisely what "molding" means from a perspective of Hakeem and Russell, because I've been sloppy about it and you I think are seeing it as some kind of zero sum game.
I think if you watch Tim Duncan in his prime what should immediately become clear is how little he has to move out there compared to the small players. He's still burning calories because he's big, but he's not flying around everywhere. To some degree this IS why bigs can be two-way players. If you watch a Wade or a Rondo when they totally cranked, you can see how they would be DPOY level guys if they would sustain that energy. But they don't. They can't. A big can simply stand there and have an effect.
Russell's molding to some extent represents a focus on practice in the sense that he could have been better about fine-tuning his shooting coordination. But much of what we're really talking about is an offense that used Russell to get it going, rather than one that was trying to feed him. He'd start the break with rebounds and blocks. And then in the half court he'd work further away from the basket as a point center, which also allowed him to be back on defense quicker. We're not, therefore, really talking about a guy who got to rest on one side of the ball. We're just talking about a guy who understood that working the post wasn't going to be his bread & butter.
This doesn't entirely negate the concern of "What if Hakeem could focus more on defense?", but when you remember that all this happened AFTER Russell had already come in and torched the league with his "I'm doing it this way" defense, it becomes pretty hard to justify the notion that Russell's defense was inherently contingent on not scoring more on offense. (And as I said, he was all about defense in college too when he was scoring plenty in the tourney.)
Mutnt wrote:To me that's a big deal, and the fact that you might say he'd need to do it differently today doesn't change that. I've said before that it would be tough for me to draft Russell above LeBron for today's game, and that's a real factor certainly, but it's not everything.
That changes everything actually.
If your GOAT list is simply "Who would do best right now?", it changes everything.
That's not how I do my GOAT list though. I respect all eras as being legitimate basketball. I don't give them equal weight because I judge how high the degree of difficulty was, but if a guy today couldn't be as successful back then, that's a factor.
Mutnt wrote:Additionally understand how volume scoring has fallen off considerably in perceived importance particularly for bigs. Realistically your ideal 2-way big at this point is probably scoring like 20 PPG efficiently while having mega-defensive impact. I think Russell focused on doing that probably could pretty dang close to it, all while giving us passing that would make us blush. In some ways I imagine Russell as being Marc Gasol with a hyper-agile body and without any of the reticence that has taken years for him to truly shed.
Ideally, you don't even need your big man to score and still get away with being a dominant team, but that ''ideal'' is not what most of situations will look like. Like I said, Hakeem didn't have an ideal situation in any case, he didn't have enough offensive talent on his team to offset his opposition without actually asserting himself on offense. I mean, honestly, it really depends on how a team functions. I think it's pretty irrelevant to be setting things in stone like ''the big needs to ideally do this and this and focus on that''... The big needs to do whatever the team requires him to do as long as the results show an overall improvement in overall play.
Don't set up false ideals here. The move away from bigs as volume scorers isn't about getting them to NOT score, it's about simply using them as one more option, whereas there's a traditional hold over in thinking of "Get it to the guy closest to the goal" based on basketball being a field sport where "guards" are defensive player.
(The fact that we now realize that for the most part "guards" are the best offensive players in the world, will forever remain hilarious.)
Re: Hakeem needed to score! Tough to say really. What happened with him is what naturally happened with super-talented bigs. In the end, because he continued to develop and develop, he eventually reached a point a decade into his career where it truly made sense for him to be an offensive focus...though part of that was the fact that the Rockets' spearheaded the modern strategy of using hub & spokes with perimeter guys at the 3's. Had Rudy T not been ahead of his time, Hakeem probably goes down as worse than Robinson.
Mutnt wrote:Last: With the above paragraph you're probably thinking not for the first time, "Oh yea, what about Davis?" Davis might be the one who breaks the rules, and as mentioned, I'm basically poised to crown him over Russell once he gets there. It's frankly easy to imagine him doing something even more than Russell did back in Russell's era...but we can't get ahead of ourselves. We've yet to see him lead even a decent defense let alone something incredible.
Really, Davis doing more than Russell did back in his era? Defensively? Wow. No offense but I sometimes find your expectations to be rather, well, wild, for lack of a better term.
Again with the weird filter.
Obviously I'm not expecting Davis to have more defensive impact now that Russell did back then. That's not a reasonable thing to say. Start off assuming I"m saying something reasonable when you read, and you'll be amazed at how my statement makes plenty of sense.












