Owly wrote:We're digressing somewhat here but I'll give my thoughts. SG's do seem to have grown a little more but the largest chunk was in Sharman's playing career, and there isn't the evidence there that it affected him negatively,....
Just saying.....Sharman
is facing a larger change in size at his position. I gotta think that as the height difference gets bigger and bigger that we'll hit a tipping point. A 2" deficit might be manageable (perhaps why no big drop-off seen). But as we near a 4" height differential, and the associated change in reach (difference in height of reach might be more like 5") and weight/size (likely 20-25 lbs difference).....idk; he's beginning to not just be a little small for the position, he'd be downright shrimpy.
Owly wrote: whereas Cousy does slip over his career (now you can argue that that wasn't the cause, that rule changes, aging had more to do with it. But unless you buy into a DWS increase simply coinciding with Russell's arrival (but with no causal relationship, and thus a Cousy WS improvement is legit), Cousy seems to get worse after the mid 50s. The other caveat would be a Celtic system change (emphasising D, sacraficing offensive efficiency) but that would affect Sharman just as much.
I think it's possible (even probable) that changes seen in Cousy's DWS may be partly related to change in team philosophy/strategic emphasis upon Russell's arrival, but I suspect probably part of it is a casual relationship associated with Russell's presence. As to his decline in OWS, I absolutely do believe
some of that is directly related to pace-focused play and the conscious team philosophy of sacrificing efficiency in favor of more shot attempts.
As to why we don't see this with Sharman.....well, I kinda think we do, no? His DWS also takes a jump to levels not seen previously immediately upon Russell's arrival. As for his OWS, well, below is his OWS/48 by year for all years we have minutes data:
'52: .104
'53: .173
'54: .183
'55: .131
'56: .128
'57: .140
'58: .126
'59: .091
'60: .135 (reduced minutes role)
'61: .084
So same basic trend: DWS rate up, OWS rate down. His OWS suffer marginally less than Cousy, though I suspect some of that can be attributed to role. Sharman wasn't the guy with the ball in his hands a lot, the guy forcing the difficult shots when---God forbid!---a whole 11 seconds had ticked off the shot-clock and he still hadn't found a teammate for a better shot.
Read on, Gents, for a soapbox rants follows
Though no one has said it outright (I don't think), the implication I'm inferring from posts is that many here believe Sharman was better and/or more important to the Celtic offense than Cousy. This drives me to voice a concern that's been building for some time:
I'm beginning to feel corners of this forum are getting bit too shooting efficiency-centric. Related to that, WS or WS/48 (which LOVE shooting efficiency like I love my wife---which is to say: a lot) is being pushed as the most accurately descriptive advanced stat
by far over PER or any other metrics (except for RAPM where available, for the impact stat devotees).
And I don't think it always paints an accurate picture. As a few "for instances" from more recent times:
Lakers '08 thru '10:
Pau Gasol had a better WS/48 and OWS than Kobe in each of those years, and on pretty significant volume, too (for that matter, Andrew Bynum bested Kobe on one or two occasions, as well). But is anyone here willing to claim Pau (or Bynum) was offensively better or more important to that Laker offense than Kobe? Because such would sound ridiculous to me, as it seems very plain [to me] that the triangle offense ran off of Kobe (much in the same way it ran off of Jordan in Chicago). And fwiw, ORAPM very clearly supports my opinion that Kobe was the most important offensive character on those teams (Bynum being no where even close; was actually an offensive negative, despite what WS say).
But perhaps Kobe is too different of a player type to Cousy. Then how about Jason Kidd? Note the similarities: both had mediocre or poor shooting efficiency (well, Cousy really not early in his career; is only in his late years), though still had some high-ish shooting volumes; both were considered the offensive catalysts for their teams despite their offensive advanced metrics sometimes looking sub-stellar; both were facilitators on teams better known for their defense; both were fantastic transition passers/facilitators. On that note....
'02 Nets:
Jason Kidd's OWS/48 was .049. Kerry Kittles' was .070. Lucius Harris and Todd MacCulloch (in a reduced minute roles) had OWS/48 of .093 and .099, respectively. Now does anyone actually believe any of these guys was a better offensive player, or rather, was
more important to their offense than Kidd in '02? Kidd's shooting efficiency was terrible (ts -3.6% to league average, while taking more FGA/g than anyone else on the team), and OWS or OWS/48 would have us reject outright the notion that Kidd was most important offensive player on that team; WS/48 might even have us question who was the best player
overall on that team.
But contemporary popular opinion at the time placed Kidd as
far and away the best player on the team; eye-test today would do the same. PI ORAPM.....has to be terrible, right? No way it could be good while shooting so poorly, right?.........Actually, tied for 4th in the league that year (5th in league in combined RAPM).
'03 Nets:
Kerry Kittles' OWS/48: .103
Richard Jefferson OWS/48: .090
Jason Kidd OWS/48: .088
His shooting is much better (actually marginally ahead of league avg ts this year); he again led the team in FGA/g. Here again OWS would call into question who was the best/most important offensive player on their team (Jefferson playing just 1.4 mpg fewer than Kidd, too). But again, at the time (and eye-test today likely to say the same) there was no question who was driving that bus. PI ORAPM? Again tied for 4th-best in league (and well ahead of anyone else on his team: Jefferson was actually a slight negative); also once again 5th in league in combined RAPM.
'04 Nets:
Kidd's shooting was back to putrid (ts -3.1% to league avg), though he still once again leads team in FGA/g.
Jason Kidd OWS/48: .055
Richard Jefferson OWS/48: .100 (and in marginally more mpg, too)
Kittles very close at .052, as well.
Again, just not quite consistent with perception.
PI ORAPM? Kidd is tied for 10th in the league, well ahead of anyone else on his team, and ahead of some efficient scorers such as Ray Allen, fwiw.
I bring this up to emphasize that shooting efficiency (and related OWS) isn't the only yard-stick, and for some guys it appears the advanced metrics REALLY give a false impression.
General consensus seems to be that Sharman was a better defender than Cousy. And that's not a new impression; from what I've read that's consistent with in-era peer accounts, as well as media accounts of the time. So if Sharman was an equal (or better) offensive player as well, why is it that Cousy was consistently---by both media AND professional peers---considered to be the better player? Media voted on the All-NBA teams, and bestowed Cousy more highly and/or frequently than Sharman (despite the fact that he frequently scored more ppg than Cousy, and fans/media---especially then---seemed to attach a lot of value to points). Their professional peers---the players---voted for the MVP....and they consistently thought more highly of Cousy than Sharman.
People seemed to recognize Sharman as the more scrappy defender, AND he was often scoring more ppg (and on better shooting%, too).....yet no one seemed to think Sharman was the better or more important player. Are we to believe this is ALL just because Cousy was getting "style points" (for the better part of a decade)? Seems a bit of a stretch to me.
I think this is one of those cases where WS is not at all painting an accurate picture of what was going on. And unfortunately so little game footage from the 50's is publicly available to apply the eye-test too. Though even in watching Celtic games from '62 (just after Sharman is gone), it still appears that the offense flows thru Bob Cousy, even though he's past his prime by this point.
So....a word of caution on taking WS/48 (and the shooting efficiency it has such a casual relationship with) at face-value, yeah?
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire