johnnyvann840 wrote:coldfish wrote:The Bulls have a very good team now. Odds are pretty good that it won't be as good 3 years from now. I'm not even getting into other situations like Thibs likely leaving. Keeping Mirotic for that time instead of cashing him in for talent today might not be prudent.
Well, if Thibs leaves or/is forced out it means the team has failed at a fairly reasonable level for a major shake up.. 2nd round exit, getting handled easily in the ECF's (if they lose in a hotly contested 6 or 7 gamer to the Cavs and the Cavs win it all, is that acceptable for this season and enough?) Not sure what the bar is, but it won't be good and bringing in a new coach with a new system and a veteran core that has been drilled the Thibs way for half a decade, only means a likely tear down and rebuild. With one (or both) of Rose and Noah not getting re-signed, Taj gone, Pau 35, 36 (and even 37 years old). The team building around Jimmy, Niko, Doug?, Snell? .. draft picks? I mean, yeah... who are our bigs going to be other than Niko? PG?.. so many unknowns.
Regardless, if Thibs is not the Bulls coach on opening day next season our chances at winning it all during the Rose era have gone down to slim and very very slim. That is just the reality of it. So, for everyone clamoring for Thibs to be gone and Fred Hoiberg or some NBA re-tread to take over, just be careful what you all wish for. It might not be the pretty picture you envision it to be and actually could be painful for a while.
So, let's just win it all this year and not have to worry about any of this.
Bulls fans have a rather warped view of the NBA as a result of the dynasty. What many fans saw is Collins do fine as a coach and then Phil come in and take them to the next level. What people tend to miss is that the dynasty Bulls were one of the greatest sports teams of all times in any sport. You had a tremendous number of things line up perfectly for that to happen. Very, very few teams just go out and hire the next Phil Jackson. More often than not, its the next Vinny Del Negro. Beyond that, it wasn't just Phil Jax. It was Winter and Bach too. The Bulls seem very much against having highly paid, talented assistants nowadays and aren't too high on paying vet coaches big money. They would really have to pull an about face to go from Thibs to some higher level coaching staff.
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Getting back to my points. Maybe everything works out great and the Bulls continue to be a contender for 5-6 more years. I'm not going to completely discount that possibility. I'm just pointing out all the things that make it statistically unlikely. Keeping things like picks and non contributing young players is basically planning on it being successful which isn't a good bet.